Monitoring Economic Development

in Morocco

Mohamed TAAMOUTI

International Forum on Monitoring National Development: Issues and Challenges

27-29 September 2011, Beijing

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Outline

Moroccan economic structure is changing

Monitoring economic changes

Monitoring employment

Monitoring economic activity

Main challenges

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Moroccan economic structure is changing (1)

Contribution to GDP

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Moroccan economic structure is changing (2)

Some sectors are emerging (% of VA)

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Moroccan economic structure is changing (3)

Employment structure (%)

Moroccan economic structure is changing (4)

Hidden impact of the crisis

 % of temporary jobs in Unemployment

rate (%)Total Employment New job creations

2000 4,1 -87,1 13,42001 4,0 -18,9 12,32002 4,4 21,6 11,32003 4,8 14,0 11,52004 5,0 28,2 10,82005 5,1 25,0 11,12006 5,1 5,2 9,72007 5,2 11,4 9,82008 5,9 53,5 9,62009 7,0 132,4 9,12010 7,6 53,3 9,1

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How do we monitor economic changes?

A continuously developing and improving national statistical system

Statistical law in 1968 A decentralized system A tradition of secured funding of statistical activities Uses International standards (ILO, SCN93,

classifications, BoP, financial statistics, etc.)

Subscribed to IMF’s SDDS since 2005 Statistical capacity indicators of the WB (2010) :

Overall score : 76% (65% for all developing countries) Methodology : 90% (56% for all developing countries)

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Monitoring Employment A regular national employment survey :

covering annually a sample of 1% of Moroccan households ;

captures several aspects related to labor force, employment, unemployment, under employment, etc.

The survey serves also as a platform for monitoring some basic social indicators (access to drinking water, electricity, etc.)

The results are released on a quarterly and yearly basis.

Employment is also captured through population censuses and different household surveys.

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Monitoring economic activity

A set of regular business, agriculture, trade, financial, … data collection. Economic census, Agriculture census;

Yearly business surveys covering all economic sectors ;

Public investment survey every 5 years;

The yearly business survey is deepened every 5 years to capture the interrelations between different sectors : “economic structure survey”

The results of the “economic structure survey” serve for GDP base year change every 5 years.

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Monitoring economic activity On the basis of all censuses, surveys and

administrative data : National accounts are compiled following SCN93

For some sectors satellite accounts are (or will be) compiled (tourism, agriculture, education, forests).

A satellite account for households will be compiled on the basis of a new time use survey

For emerging sectors, new surveys are launched to better take them into consideration in national accounts (NGO survey, time use survey).

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Monitoring economic activityThe informal sector

For a more comprehensive coverage of economic activity in Morocco, informal sector surveys are carried out every 5 years.

The objective : a more precise estimate of the contribution of this sector to employment and GDP.

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Main Challenges (1)

Improve and formalize coordination between

different components of the NSS.

Promote evidence based decision-making through

promoting the use of statistics.

Develop data production at sub national levels.

Development of administrative data.

Development of business registers.

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Main Challenges (2)

Improving business surveys response rate.

Developing a quality assurance framework.

Developing environmental data collection

framework and develop environmental accounting.

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Thank You

谢谢