mogens vestergaard gp, associate professor, phd

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Bo Christensen, Professor Praktiserende læge, Ph.d. A A R H U S U N I V E R S I T Y INSTITUTE OF PUBLIC HEALTH Department of General Practice Mogens Vestergaard GP, Associate professor, PhD

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Epidemiology in General Practice – the Nordic paradise. Mogens Vestergaard GP, Associate professor, PhD. Data collection. Storm P. Modern science (1910). The Nordic paradise. Several important papers. Programme. Nationwide registries - Mogens Vestergaard - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Mogens Vestergaard GP,  Associate  professor,   PhD

Bo Christensen, Professor Praktiserende læge, Ph.d.

A A R H U S U N I V E R S I T Y

INSTITUTE OF PUBLIC HEALTHDepartment of General Practice

Mogens VestergaardGP, Associate professor, PhD

Page 2: Mogens Vestergaard GP,  Associate  professor,   PhD

Storm P. Modern science (1910).

Data collection

Page 3: Mogens Vestergaard GP,  Associate  professor,   PhD

The Nordic paradise

Page 4: Mogens Vestergaard GP,  Associate  professor,   PhD

Several important papers

Page 5: Mogens Vestergaard GP,  Associate  professor,   PhD

Nationwide registries - Mogens Vestergaard

The Danish General Practice

Database - Henrik Schroll

Drugs and registers- Morten Andersen

Population-based cohorts- Carsten Obel

Programme

Page 6: Mogens Vestergaard GP,  Associate  professor,   PhD
Page 7: Mogens Vestergaard GP,  Associate  professor,   PhD

Civil Registration

System

Nationwide registries

Page 8: Mogens Vestergaard GP,  Associate  professor,   PhD

National Health Service

National Hospital Register

Statistic Denmark

Medical Birth Register

Cause of death register

National Presciption Registry

PKU register

Danish General Practice Database

Psykiatric Central Register

Civil Registration

System

Nationwide registries

Page 9: Mogens Vestergaard GP,  Associate  professor,   PhD

Childhood vaccinations – an example

Page 10: Mogens Vestergaard GP,  Associate  professor,   PhD

Wakefield Lancet 1998

Timing of symptoms

MMR and Autism

Page 11: Mogens Vestergaard GP,  Associate  professor,   PhD

Vaccination cohort

RegistriesCivil Registration system, Central psychiatric Register, National Hospital Register, Medical Birth Register, National Health Service

CohortDanish children born 1991-1998 (N= 537,000)

MMR vaccinated (N=439,251)

OutcomeAutism (N= 316), Autism spectrum disorder (N= 422)

Febrile seizures (N=17,986)

Page 12: Mogens Vestergaard GP,  Associate  professor,   PhD

MMR vaccination

AutismAutism spectrum

disorder

No

Yes

1.00 (reference)

0.92 (0.68-1.24)

1.00 (reference)

0.83 (0.65-1.07)

MMR and Autism

Page 13: Mogens Vestergaard GP,  Associate  professor,   PhD

0,00

1,00

2,00

3,00

4,00

5,00

6,00

7,00

3 8 13 18 23 28 33 38 43 48 53 58

Pro

po

rtio

n (

%)

Age of the child (months)

Boys Girls

MMR and febrile seizures

Page 14: Mogens Vestergaard GP,  Associate  professor,   PhD

0,00

1,00

2,00

3,00

4,00

5,00

6,00

7,00

3 8 13 18 23 28 33 38 43 48 53 58

Pro

po

rtio

n (

%)

Age of the child (months)

Boys Girls

Age at MMR vaccination

MRR vaccination

Page 15: Mogens Vestergaard GP,  Associate  professor,   PhD

01

23

45

67

8 - 2626 - 52

52 - 104104- 156

156 -

Time since vaccination (weeks)

RR

0

1

2

3

4

MMR and Febrile seizures – relative risk

Page 16: Mogens Vestergaard GP,  Associate  professor,   PhD

Number of febrile seizures within 14 days of a MMR vaccination per 1000 children aged 15-

17 months

Not vaccinated

Vaccinated Risk difference

All children

Siblings to children with febrile

Children with a history of febrile seizures

0,9

2,6

11,5

2,5

6,6

31

1,6 (1,4-1,7)

4.0 (2,9-5,4)

19,5 (16,1-23,6)

MMR and Febrile seizures – absolute risk

Page 17: Mogens Vestergaard GP,  Associate  professor,   PhD

Stress and childhood cancer - an example

Page 18: Mogens Vestergaard GP,  Associate  professor,   PhD

Maternal bereavement• Child• Partner• Sibling• Parent

Childhood cancer

Prenatal Postnatal

Stress and childhood cancer

Page 19: Mogens Vestergaard GP,  Associate  professor,   PhD

Sweden

Finland Denmark

Stress and cancer

Scandinavian registries

Page 20: Mogens Vestergaard GP,  Associate  professor,   PhD

Registerbased research - strenght

Size matters

Page 21: Mogens Vestergaard GP,  Associate  professor,   PhD

Size matters

No selection bias

Registerbased research - strenght

Page 22: Mogens Vestergaard GP,  Associate  professor,   PhD

Size matters

No selection bias

Data is collected prospectively

Registerbased research - strenght

Page 23: Mogens Vestergaard GP,  Associate  professor,   PhD

Size matters

No selection bias

Data is collected prospectively

The researcher do not influence data collection

Registerbased research - strenght

Page 24: Mogens Vestergaard GP,  Associate  professor,   PhD

Size matters

No selection bias

Data is collected prospectively

The researcher do not influence data collection

Data already exists

Registerbased research - strenght

Page 25: Mogens Vestergaard GP,  Associate  professor,   PhD

Data quality

Registerbased research - weaknesses

Page 26: Mogens Vestergaard GP,  Associate  professor,   PhD

Data quality

Registerbased research - weaknesses

Page 27: Mogens Vestergaard GP,  Associate  professor,   PhD

Data quality

Heavy computer skills are needed

Registerbased research - weaknesses

Page 28: Mogens Vestergaard GP,  Associate  professor,   PhD

Data quality

Heavy computer skills are needed

Statistical significant results need not be biological relevant

Registerbased research - weaknesses

Page 29: Mogens Vestergaard GP,  Associate  professor,   PhD

Data quality

Heavy computer skills are needed

Statistical significant results need not be biological relevant

Lack of important variables

Registerbased research - weaknesses

Page 30: Mogens Vestergaard GP,  Associate  professor,   PhD

Use it but look out for the pitfalls

Registerbased research

Page 31: Mogens Vestergaard GP,  Associate  professor,   PhD