Mobile Broadband Acceleration in the Americas ? Mobile Broadband Acceleration in the Americas Chris

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  • Mobile Broadband Acceleration in the Americas

    Chris Pearson, President, 4G Americas

    www.4gamericas.org May 14, 2013

    www.4gamericas.org

  • Global Mobile Traffic: Voice & Data 2010-2018

    Source: Ericsson (Nov 2012)

    Mobile Data Traffic will grow 12 times between 2012 and 2018

    www.4gamericas.org

  • 0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    LTE drives 168% higher daily mobile data consumption in North America

    Mobile application volume per user per day - in MB * Source: Alcatel-Lucent 9900 Wireless Network Guardian, network analytics

    Video Social Networking

    Mixed Content Sharing

    14.5

    21.4

    2.8 3.7 1.4

    3.3

    Volume Per User Per Day in MB

    MB

    3G LTE

  • 3GPP Mobile Broadband Evolution

    Rel 8 HSPA+ DL: 42 Mbps

    UL: 11.5 Mbps 10/5 MHz

    Evolved EDGE DL: 1.89 Mbps UL: 947 kbps

    Rel 8 LTE DL: 300 Mbps UL: 45 Mbps 20/20 MHz

    2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    Rel 9 HSPA+ DL: 84 Mbps UL: 23 Mbps 10/10 MHz

    Rel 10 HSPA+ DL: 168 Mbps UL: 23 Mbps 20/10 MHz

    Rel 11 HSPA+ DL: 336 Mbps UL: 46 Mbps 40/10 MHz

    EDGE

    HSPA-HSPA+

    Rel 9 LTE DL: 300 Mbps UL: 45 Mbps 20/20 MHz

    Rel 10 LTE DL: 1.2 Gbps

    UL: 568 Mbps 40/40 MHz

    Rel 11 LTE DL: >1.2 Gbps

    LTE & LTE-Advanced

    Source: Mobile Broadband Explosion, Rysavy Research, September 2012

    www.4gamericas.org

  • The foundation of the mobile broadband world enabling operators the flexibility to meet the

    increasingly advanced wireless needs of customers today and tomorrow.

    Global footprint International roaming Robust mobile broadband speeds Continues to evolve Smooth transition to LTE

    HSPA and HSPA+

    www.4gamericas.org

  • 3GPP Rel 9

    3GPP Rel 8

    3GPP Rel 7

    Dual-Carrier/ Combinations

    Multi-Carrier/ Combinations

    21

    28

    42

    84

    168

    Mbps

    3GPP Rel 10

    HSPA+ Downlink Theoretical Peak Rate in Mbps

    2x5 MHz 64 QAM

    2x10 MHz 64 QAM

    2x20 MHz 2x2 MIMO

    64 QAM

    2x10 MHz 2x2 MIMO

    64 QAM

    2x5 MHz 2x2 MIMO

    MIMO

    Dual-Carrier/ Combinations

    336

    3GPP Rel 11

    www.4gamericas.org

  • Global Deployments

    520 networks

    in 198 countries

    327 networks

    in 127 countries

    172 networks

    in 70 countries

    Data as of May 8, 2013

    >445 HSPA+ devices

    available*

    821 LTE devices

    available*

    Sources: 4G Americas, Informa Telecoms & Media, Public Announcements, *GSA, April 2013

    >4,000 HSPA

    devices available*

    www.4gamericas.org

  • >250 LTE Networks expected

    by YE 2013

    Next Generation Global Standard

    Technology platform of choice for GSM-HSPA, Greenfield, WiMAX and EV-DO operators

    Available in both FDD and TDD modes and supported by numerous frequency bands

    Offers capacity and speed to handle a rapid increase in data traffic

    172 LTE commercial networks launched in 70 countries

    Source: 4G Americas, Informa Telecoms & Media, WCIS+

    88 Million LTE subscriptions

    400 operator commitments

    worldwide

    www.4gamericas.org

  • 0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

    0

    500

    1000

    2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

    Timeline for Global LTE Deployments

    Worldwide Subscriptions

    Worldwide Networks

    63 M -Informa

    9.3 M Informa

    633 M -Informa

    56 145

    250

    134 M -Informa

    252 M -Informa

    406 M -Informa

    198 Million -IHS

    Source: Public Announcement & 4G Americas Forecasts

    947 M -Informa

    1 Billion -IHS

    322 Million -Strategy Analytics Forecast

    1.6 Billion -Strategy Analytics

    380

    785 M -ABI Research

    www.4gamericas.org

  • 0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    Dec 13 Dec 14 Dec 15 Dec 16 Dec 17

    Mill

    ion

    s LTE in the U.S.

    September 2011 December 2010 July 2012

    Sources: Public Announcements, Informa WCIS+ Estimates, Jan 2013

    March 2013

    Currently covers 287 million PoPs

    270 million PoPs by YE 2013

    200 million PoPs by YE 2013

    194 million subscriptions by YE 2017

    LTE Subscription Growth in the U.S.

    Launch Date:

    200 million PoPs by YE 2013

    Launch Date: Launch Date: Launch Date:

    www.4gamericas.org

  • 9 68

    134

    252

    406

    633

    947

    Global LTE Subscription Growth

    2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

    Millions of Subscriptions

    2012

    Source: Informa Telecoms & Media, Subscription Forecast, February 2013

    Global LTE Subscriptions

    will surpass 1 billion in 2018

    2011

    www.4gamericas.org

  • Key Components of the LTE Evolution to LTE-Advanced

    Initial Deployments

    2010 to 2012 Higher Capacity/Throughput

    and/or Efficiency

    2013 to 2016

    Enables more users, more applications and a better

    experience

    Wider Radio Channels: 20 MHz

    Carrier Aggregation: up to 100 MHz

    Advanced Antenna Configurations

    More Advanced MIMO

    (Higher Order, Multi-User, Higher Mobility)

    Coordinated Multipoint Transmission

    HetNets (Macrocells/Picocells/Femtocells)

    HetNet Self Optimization/Organization

    More Intelligent and Seamless Offload

    Greater Capabilities Voice Widely Handled in the Packet Domain

    Policy-Based Quality of Service

    Typically 5 or 10 MHz Radio Channels

    2X2 Multiple Input Multiple Output (MIMO) Antennas

    Initial Self-Optimization/

    Organization for Auto Configuration

    www.4gamericas.org

  • LTE vs LTE-Advanced Key Performance Indicators

    Release 8

    LTE

    Release 10

    LTE-Advanced

    Peak Data Rate Downlink: 300 Mbps

    Uplink: 75 Mbps

    Downlink: 1 Gbps

    Uplink: 500 Mbps

    Peak Spectrum Efficiency Downlink: 15 [bps/Hz]

    Uplink: 3.75 [bps/Hz]

    Downlink: 30 [bps/Hz]

    Uplink: 15 [bps/Hz]

    Latency User plane: 10 Msec

    Control Plane: 100 Msec

    User plane: 5 Msec

    Control Plane: 50 Msec

    Scalable Bandwidth

    Support Up to 20 MHz

    Up to 20 MHz

    with band aggregation

    up to 100 MHz

    MIMO

    (Spatial Multiplexing)

    Downlink: Up to 4x4 Downlink: Up to 8x8

    Uplink: N/A Uplink: Up to 4x4

    Source: 4G Americas Member Companies www.4gamericas.org

  • Spectrum Demand

    The dramatic increase in mobile broadband and data traffic drives the need for additional spectrum throughout the Americas region

    ITU analysis states that spectrum requirements by 2020 for a single network within a single country will range from 1280-1720 MHz. Countries in the Americas will need an additional 557-997 MHz beyond identified

    spectrum allocations by 2020

    www.4gamericas.org

  • Demand vs Spectrum

    0

    0.5

    1

    1.5

    2

    2.5

    Demand Versus Spectrum(Normalized)

    No New Spectrum

    Partially IncreasedSpectrum

    Fully increasedSpectrum

    Demand

    Rysavy Research 2011

    Todays smartphones use 35 times more spectrum than traditional cell phones, and tablets use 121 times as much spectrum.

    www.4gamericas.org

  • National Broadband Plan 300 MHz by 2015 500 MHz by 2020

    U.S. FCC Spectrum Allocations Progress & Possibilities Advanced Wireless Services (AWS2, AWS-3,etc.)

    1695 MHz, 1755-1780MHz/2155-2180 MHz, 1900 MHz H&J Block

    75-85 MHz?

    Mobile Satellite Systems (AWS-4)

    2000-2020 MHz/2180-2200 MHz 40 MHz

    Wireless Communications Services (WCS)

    2305-2315 MHz/2350-2360 MHz 20 MHz

    Broadcast (incentive auction) 600 MHz 120 MHz?

    3.5 GHz Small Cell 3550-3650 MHz 100 MHz?

    www.4gamericas.org

    Can the FCC achieve their objective?

    http://www.google.com/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=sVeOEy7TdBFkhM&tbnid=w86KqjIyoIja3M:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://www.suasnews.com/2011/09/8563/fcc-outlines-vision-for-deployable-aerial-communications-architecture/fcc-logo/&ei=vwR4UYnRJ-H0iwLk_YGQDw&bvm=bv.45580626,d.cGE&psig=AFQjCNGyy6G_zs0wKqX0cqknYJQqOBLI5A&ust=1366906385332205

  • The Importance of 1755-1780 MHz Spectrum in the U.S.

    www.4gamericas.org

    April 24, 2013

    In sum, instead of continuing the current course of contemplating reallocating the entire 1755-1850 MHz band at some point in the distant future we strongly urge that NTIA focus the effort on reallocation of the 1755-1780 MHz sub-band as soon as possible. Sharing or relocation studies for the 1780-1850 MHz band should continue in accordance with federal requirements and should take into account the long-term evolution of available technology. However, near-term action to auction the 1755-1780 MHz band paired with 2155-2180 MHz would help relieve the growing pressure for spectrum. At the same time, federal agencies would continue to have access to 1780-1850 MHz for ten years, based on current technology and potential pairing options.

    To: US Dept. of Commerce 4G Americas

    AT&T

    T-Mobile USA

    Verizon

    CTIA

    From:

  • Thank you!

    www.4gamericas.org May 14, 2013

    www.4gamericas.org

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