mitigation and adaptation - metromedia.metro.net/projects_studies/sustainability/images...mitigation...

25
Planning for Climate Change: Mitigation and Adaptation Cheryl Laskowski, Ph.D. August 21, 2013

Upload: others

Post on 20-Jun-2020

9 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Mitigation and Adaptation - Metromedia.metro.net/projects_studies/sustainability/images...Mitigation and Adaptation Cheryl Laskowski, Ph.D. August 21, 2013 2 Complimentary Responses

Planning for Climate Change:

Mitigation and Adaptation Cheryl Laskowski, Ph.D. August 21, 2013

Page 2: Mitigation and Adaptation - Metromedia.metro.net/projects_studies/sustainability/images...Mitigation and Adaptation Cheryl Laskowski, Ph.D. August 21, 2013 2 Complimentary Responses

2

Complimentary Responses to Climate Change

Climate Change

Impacts

Greenhouse Gas Emissions

Response

Mitigation Adaptation

Definitions

> Mitigation: Reduce GHG emissions, increase GHG sinks.

> Adaptation: Reduce impacts from climate change

Page 3: Mitigation and Adaptation - Metromedia.metro.net/projects_studies/sustainability/images...Mitigation and Adaptation Cheryl Laskowski, Ph.D. August 21, 2013 2 Complimentary Responses

3

Complimentary Responses to Climate Change

Definitions

> Mitigation: Reduce GHG emissions, increase GHG sinks.

> Adaptation: Reduce impacts from climate change

Climate Change

Impacts

Greenhouse Gas Emissions

Response

Mitigation Adaptation

Page 4: Mitigation and Adaptation - Metromedia.metro.net/projects_studies/sustainability/images...Mitigation and Adaptation Cheryl Laskowski, Ph.D. August 21, 2013 2 Complimentary Responses

Greenhouse Gas Emissions

Page 5: Mitigation and Adaptation - Metromedia.metro.net/projects_studies/sustainability/images...Mitigation and Adaptation Cheryl Laskowski, Ph.D. August 21, 2013 2 Complimentary Responses

5

Transport - Rail Electricity

20%

Transport - Purchased

2%

Transport - Non-Revenue

3% Transport -

CNG 54%

Transport - Gasoline Bus

2%

Transport - Vanpool

3%

Facilities - Electricity

11%

Facilities - Natural Gas

1%

Refrigerants 2%

Inventory Benefits

> Understanding where your emissions come from

> Identifying areas to reduce emissions

Greenhouse Gas Emissions: Inventory

Page 6: Mitigation and Adaptation - Metromedia.metro.net/projects_studies/sustainability/images...Mitigation and Adaptation Cheryl Laskowski, Ph.D. August 21, 2013 2 Complimentary Responses

6

Greenhouse Gas Emissions: Inventory

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Me

tric

To

ns C

O2

e

Inventory Benefits

> Monitor performance over time

Page 7: Mitigation and Adaptation - Metromedia.metro.net/projects_studies/sustainability/images...Mitigation and Adaptation Cheryl Laskowski, Ph.D. August 21, 2013 2 Complimentary Responses

7

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Po

un

ds

CO

2e

Pe

r B

oa

rdin

g

Percentage of Total Greenhouse Gas Emissions by Source

Bus Purchased Heavy Rail Light Rail Bus Operated by Metro

Greenhouse Gas Emissions: Inventory

Inventory Benefits

> Monitor indicators over time

Page 8: Mitigation and Adaptation - Metromedia.metro.net/projects_studies/sustainability/images...Mitigation and Adaptation Cheryl Laskowski, Ph.D. August 21, 2013 2 Complimentary Responses

8

Greenhouse Gas Emissions: How-To

> Emissions = Activity Data x Emission Factor

> Activity Data can be affected by technology changes, usage patterns

> Emission Factors are generally affected by others

Understanding & Managing your Activity Data is Key!

> CO2 emissions = kWh per year x CO2 per kWh

> Convert bus fleet to CNG, Establish conservation policy measures

> Utility provider’s production portfolio

> Coordination among departments

> Standardizing collection

> Institutionalizing the process

> Provides insight beyond GHG emissions

Page 9: Mitigation and Adaptation - Metromedia.metro.net/projects_studies/sustainability/images...Mitigation and Adaptation Cheryl Laskowski, Ph.D. August 21, 2013 2 Complimentary Responses

9

Evaluate activity over time, not just GHG emissions

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

To

ns

Historic Waste Production

Total Solid Waste Solid Waste Trash Solid Waste Recycled

Greenhouse Gas Emissions: Activity Data

Page 10: Mitigation and Adaptation - Metromedia.metro.net/projects_studies/sustainability/images...Mitigation and Adaptation Cheryl Laskowski, Ph.D. August 21, 2013 2 Complimentary Responses

10

0

5

10

15

20

Div

isio

n 11

Div

isio

n 66

Div

isio

n 34

Div

isio

n 6

Div

isio

n 4

Div

isio

n 60

Div

isio

n 9

Div

isio

n 3

Div

isio

n 5

Div

isio

n 21

Div

isio

n 1

Div

isio

n 8

Div

isio

n 10

Div

isio

n 2

Div

isio

n 7

Div

isio

n 22

Div

isio

n 18

Div

isio

n 15

Div

isio

n 30

Div

isio

n 99

- G

atew

ay

Div

isio

n 20

Kilo

wa

tt H

ou

rs in

Mil

lio

ns

Facility Electricity Use by Major Facilities in 2012

Greenhouse Gas Emissions: Activity Data

Understand activity data by facility

Page 11: Mitigation and Adaptation - Metromedia.metro.net/projects_studies/sustainability/images...Mitigation and Adaptation Cheryl Laskowski, Ph.D. August 21, 2013 2 Complimentary Responses

Greenhouse Gas Displacement

Page 12: Mitigation and Adaptation - Metromedia.metro.net/projects_studies/sustainability/images...Mitigation and Adaptation Cheryl Laskowski, Ph.D. August 21, 2013 2 Complimentary Responses

12

APTA, 2011

Accounting for the Benefits

Page 13: Mitigation and Adaptation - Metromedia.metro.net/projects_studies/sustainability/images...Mitigation and Adaptation Cheryl Laskowski, Ph.D. August 21, 2013 2 Complimentary Responses

13

Accounting for the Benefits

Emissions generated by Transit

Emissions displaced by Transit

Mode Shift Avoided car trips

Congestion Relief

Land-Use Multiplier Source

Quantity of Emissions Displaced (MT CO2e)

Total Emissions Displaced from Mode Shift (491,291)

Emissions from Metro Operations 484,983

Net Emissions from Metro Operations (6,308)

Metro 2012 Net Greenhouse Gas Emissions

Page 14: Mitigation and Adaptation - Metromedia.metro.net/projects_studies/sustainability/images...Mitigation and Adaptation Cheryl Laskowski, Ph.D. August 21, 2013 2 Complimentary Responses

14

Other Transportation Agencies with Similar Efforts

New York (MTA)

> Annual sustainability report since 2008

> LED Lighting and CFL upgrades for bridges, tunnels, train signaling lights

> Renewable energy (rooftop PV panels and fuel cells)

> Use recycled water for car wash

> Innovative and artistic raised-grate street sculptures to prevent subway flooding

Chicago (CTA)

> Green Initiatives

> Converted entire bus fleet ultra-low sulfur diesel in March 2003

> Buses delivered since 2007 have clean-diesel engines and particulate filters that meet EPA emissions standards

> CTA currently operates 250 hybrid buses, 15% total bus fleet

> In 2011, CTA received a $2.2 million federal grant to purchase two all-electric buses

Page 15: Mitigation and Adaptation - Metromedia.metro.net/projects_studies/sustainability/images...Mitigation and Adaptation Cheryl Laskowski, Ph.D. August 21, 2013 2 Complimentary Responses

Climate Change

Adaptation

Page 16: Mitigation and Adaptation - Metromedia.metro.net/projects_studies/sustainability/images...Mitigation and Adaptation Cheryl Laskowski, Ph.D. August 21, 2013 2 Complimentary Responses

16

Steps in assessing long-term climate impacts

Identify Potential Impacts Extreme Heat

Flooding

Drought

Wildfires

High Winds

Sea Level Rise

Identify Critical Assets Ridership

Connectivity

Assess Risk Likelihood

Consequence

Act Plan

Implement

Page 17: Mitigation and Adaptation - Metromedia.metro.net/projects_studies/sustainability/images...Mitigation and Adaptation Cheryl Laskowski, Ph.D. August 21, 2013 2 Complimentary Responses

17

TBD: cheryl # Days >95°F per year

Identify Potential Risks

Page 18: Mitigation and Adaptation - Metromedia.metro.net/projects_studies/sustainability/images...Mitigation and Adaptation Cheryl Laskowski, Ph.D. August 21, 2013 2 Complimentary Responses

18

TBD: cheryl # Days >95°F per year

Identify Potential Risks

Page 19: Mitigation and Adaptation - Metromedia.metro.net/projects_studies/sustainability/images...Mitigation and Adaptation Cheryl Laskowski, Ph.D. August 21, 2013 2 Complimentary Responses

19

TBD: cheryl # Days >95°F per year

Identify Potential Risks

Page 20: Mitigation and Adaptation - Metromedia.metro.net/projects_studies/sustainability/images...Mitigation and Adaptation Cheryl Laskowski, Ph.D. August 21, 2013 2 Complimentary Responses

20

Identify critical assets

Page 21: Mitigation and Adaptation - Metromedia.metro.net/projects_studies/sustainability/images...Mitigation and Adaptation Cheryl Laskowski, Ph.D. August 21, 2013 2 Complimentary Responses

21 21

Assess risk

Page 22: Mitigation and Adaptation - Metromedia.metro.net/projects_studies/sustainability/images...Mitigation and Adaptation Cheryl Laskowski, Ph.D. August 21, 2013 2 Complimentary Responses

22 22

Assess risk

Page 23: Mitigation and Adaptation - Metromedia.metro.net/projects_studies/sustainability/images...Mitigation and Adaptation Cheryl Laskowski, Ph.D. August 21, 2013 2 Complimentary Responses

23

Asset and Risk Description of Risk/

Comments Likelihood Consequence Rating

Overheating of communications or signalling system, causing stoppage, delay, or bus bridge

Expected to impact inland above ground locations. The loss of service impacting an entire line

Possible (3) Moderate (3) High

Assess risk

Page 24: Mitigation and Adaptation - Metromedia.metro.net/projects_studies/sustainability/images...Mitigation and Adaptation Cheryl Laskowski, Ph.D. August 21, 2013 2 Complimentary Responses

24

Resources

Guidance Documents APTA: Quantifying Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Transit APTA: Guidelines for Climate Action Planning APTA: Quantifying and Reporting Transit Sustainability Metrics TRB: Emissions Savings from Transit California Climate Change Adaptation Policy Guide ICLEI: US Community Protocol for Greenhouse Gas Emissions Inventories

Climate Science + Adaptation Cal-Adapt.org NOAA Sea Level Rise Viewer California Climate Change Adaptation Strategy for Energy & Transportation

Transportation Reports Metro Climate Action and Adaptation Plan Adaptation Cost Benefit Analysis Overview FTA Flooded Bus Barns and Buckled Rails Adapting to Rising Tides: San Francisco US DOT Climate Adaptation Plan

Page 25: Mitigation and Adaptation - Metromedia.metro.net/projects_studies/sustainability/images...Mitigation and Adaptation Cheryl Laskowski, Ph.D. August 21, 2013 2 Complimentary Responses

Planning for Climate Change:

Mitigation and Adaptation Cheryl Laskowski, Ph.D. [email protected]