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Milton Keynes Employment June 2016

Headlines

The JSA claimant count rate in Milton Keynes was 1.2% in June 2016. This is a fall of 0.1% from May 2016 and a fall of 0.5% from May 2015 (the claimant count rate stood at 1.7% in June 2015).

There were 1,990 JSA claimants in Milton Keynes in June 2016. This is a decrease of 150 individuals from May 2016.

The Milton Keynes JSA claimant count rate of 1.2% is lower than the national (UK) rate of 1.4% but higher than the regional (south east) figure of 0.8%.

The largest proportion of people who have been unemployed for more than one year is in in the older age group (50-64 year olds).

Jobseekers Allowance Claimant Count

The unemployment claimant count measures all people recorded by the Department of Work and Pensions (DWP) receiving Jobseekers Allowance (JSA) each month. Table 1: Milton Keynes Claimant Count 2015-16

Male Female Total

Number Rate Number Rate Number Rate

June-15 1,799 2.2 1,039 1.2 2,838 1.7

May-16 1,333 1.6 807 1.0 2,140 1.3

June-16 1,228 1.5 762 0.9 1,990 1.2

Source: Jobseekers Allowance, Office for National Statistics, via NOMIS

Milton Keynes Employment

June 2016

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Table 2: Milton Keynes, Comparators & SEMLEP Claimant Count, June 2016

Male Female Total


Bedford 1,032 2.0 665 1.3 1,697 1.6

Central Bedfordshire 734 0.9 464 0.5 1,198 0.7

Luton 1,339 1.9 921 1.4 2,260 1.7

Peterborough 823 1.3 596 1.0 1,419 1.2

Milton Keynes 1,228 1.5 762 0.9 1,990 1.2

Reading 755 1.4 490 0.9 1,245 1.1

Slough 596 1.2 466 1.0 1,062 1.1

Corby 328 1.6 225 1.1 553 1.3

Daventry 214 0.9 158 0.6 372 0.8

Northampton 1,303 1.8 903 1.3 2,206 1.5

South Northamptonshire 141 0.5 100 0.4 241 0.4

Wellingborough 415 1.8 278 1.2 693 1.5

Aylesbury Vale 386 0.7 280 0.5 666 0.6

Cherwell 196 0.4 152 0.3 348 0.4

South East Midlands 7,328 1.3 4,911 0.9 12,239 1.1

United Kingdom 360,147 1.8 216,474 1.1 576,621 1.4

South East 28,103 1.0 17,907 0.6 46,010 0.8 Source: Jobseekers Allowance, Office for National Statistics via NOMIS

The claimant count fell in Milton Keynes across 2015. The first three months of 2016 saw slight increases, but the number of individuals claiming JSA has been on a downward trend, falling by 241 individuals between March and June. At 1.2%, the claimant count in Milton Keynes remains below the national figure (1.4%) but is higher than the regional and SEMLEP rates of 0.8% and 1.1% respectively.


June 2016

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Table 3: Unemployment by age as a proportion of total unemployment, June 2016

Milton Keynes UK South East

Number Rate Rate Rate

Aged 17 0 0.1 0.1 0.1

Aged 18-19 50 2.5 3.2 3.2

Aged 20-24 180 9.0 11.5 10.3

Aged 25-29 220 11.1 12.9 11.5

Aged 30-34 250 12.6 11.6 10.6

Aged 35-39 265 13.3 10.4 10.1

Aged 40-44 235 11.8 10.6 10.6

Aged 45-49 245 12.2 11.7 12.5

Aged 50-54 240 12.0 11.7 12.7

Aged 55-59 175 8.9 10.0 11.0

Aged 60 and over 130 6.6 6.2 7.2 Source: Jobseekers Allowance, Office for National Statistics via NOMIS

In June 2016, young people (18-24 years) made up 11.5% of all unemployed claimants in Milton Keynes. This compares to 13.5% in the South East region and 14.6% in the UK. Table 4: Unemployment Claimant Count by Age & Duration in Milton Keynes, June 2016

Total Over six months and up to one year

Over One Year


Aged 16-64 1,990 1.2 305 0.2 505 0.3

Aged 18-24 230 1.2 40 0.2 25 0.1

Aged 25-49 1,215 1.2 190 0.2 285 0.3

Aged 50-64 550 1.2 80 0.2 195 0.4

Source: Jobseekers Allowance, Office for National Statistics via NOMIS

1.2% of all 18-24 year olds were claiming JSA in June 2016. This is equal to the proportion for the working age population (16-64 years) as a whole. The largest proportion of people who have been unemployed for a year or more is in the 50-64 years age group, although this is only marginally higher than the rate across all ages.


June 2016

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Table 5: Ward Unemployment in Milton Keynes, June 2016

Total Claimants

Number Rate

Bletchley East 165 2.0

Bletchley Park 123 1.4

Bletchley West 122 1.3

Bradwell 122 1.4

Broughton 43 0.5

Campbell Park & Old Woughton 85 1.0

Central Milton Keynes 235 2.0

Danesborough & Walton 64 0.8

Loughton & Shenley 68 0.7

Monkston 68 0.7

Newport Pagnell North & Hanslope 29 0.4

Newport Pagnell South 58 0.8

Olney 35 0.5

Shenley Brook End 83 0.9

Stantonbury 147 1.4

Stony Stratford 69 1.1

Tattenhoe 48 0.6

Wolverton 139 1.4

Woughton & Fishermead 287 2.5

Source: Jobseekers Allowance, Office for National Statistics via NOMIS

In June 2016, there were eight wards within Milton Keynes with JSA claimant unemployment levels above the borough average of 1.2%. Levels of claimant unemployment were particularly high in the wards of Woughton and Fishermead (2.5%), Central Milton Keynes (2.0%) and Bletchley East (2.0%). It should be noted that ward boundary changes occurred in Milton Keynes in May 2014. Claimant count information for the new wards has only been published since November 2015.


June 2016

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Chart 1: Unemployment Claimant Rate Milton Keynes, South East & UK 2007-2016

Source: Jobseekers Allowance, Office for National Statistics via NOMIS. NB: Claimant count data is taken from June of each year.

Chart 1 demonstrates that the JSA claimant count in Milton Keynes was below the national average in 2007 but increased above it during the recession and fell below it in 2013. Unemployment continues to follow a downward trend (allowing for seasonal variations), with the rate in the south east region consistently below the national and Milton Keynes rates.

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2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

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UK

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Keynes UK

South East

2007 1.9 2.1 1.3

2008 2.2 2.1 1.3

2009 4.4 3.8 2.8

2010 3.9 3.6 2.4

2011 3.7 3.6 2.4

2012 3.8 3.8 2.5

2013 3.1 3.5 2.2

2014 2.2 2.5 1.4

2015 1.7 1.8 1.0

2016 1.2 1.4 0.8


June 2016

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Universal Credit Since November 2015, individuals of working age looking for work or on low incomes in Milton Keynes are eligible to claim Universal Credit. Universal Credit is a single monthly payment which is replacing six existing benefits, including Jobseekers Allowance. Universal Credit is being introduced in stages and, over the coming years, all those on low incomes or seeking work will move from their existing benefits to Universal Credit. In Milton Keynes, individuals who have recently become unemployed may be required to claim Universal Credit rather than JSA. Experimental statistics are now available for a claimant count that consists of both JSA claimants (published by Nomis) and those who are claiming Universal Credit and are out of work (published by the Department for Work and Pensions). Table 6: Jobseekers Allowance and Universal Credit (those out of work) claimants, 2013- 2016

Date Number of Claimants MK

Claimant Count MK (As a proportion of all residents 16-64 MK)

Claimant Count UK (As a proportion of all residents 16-64 UK)

2013 5,195 3.1 3.5

2014 3,775 2.2 2.5

2015 2,840 1.7 1.9

May 2016 2,520 1.5 1.9

June 2016 2,350 1.4 1.8 Source: Claimant Count, Office for National Statistics via NOMIS. NB: Claimant count data is taken from June of each

year, unless otherwise stated. As the table above shows, the claimant count increases to 2,350 when those who are out of work and claiming Universal Credit are included. This equates to a claimant rate of 1.4%. This is below the claimant rate for the UK (1.8%) but above the rate for the south east (1.0%).


June 2016

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Job Postings

Labour Insight is a tool which monitors the jobs posted by employers on job search websites. According to this, there were 5,139 job postings across the Milton Keynes local authority area in June 2016. This compares to 4,522 job postings in May 2016. The most commonly advertised occupations were programmers and software development professionals (319 postings), business sales executives (186 postings) and other administrative occupations (170 postings). This is a similar pattern to previous months, with programmers and software developments the most common job posting for the past three months. Web design and development professionals was the third most common job posting in May, but in June this had slipped to 12th. Chart 2: Top occupations in Milton Keynes, based on job postings, June 2016

Source: Labour Insight

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186

170

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129

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0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350

Programmers and software development professionals (2136)

Business sales executives (3542)

Other administrative occupations n.e.c. (4159)

IT business analysts, architects and systems designers (2135)

Customer service occupations n.e.c. (7219)

Management consultants and business analysts (2423)

Nurses (2231)

Sales accounts and business development managers (3545)

Electrical and electronic trades n.e.c. (5249)

Managers and proprietors in other services n.e.c. (1259)

IT user support technicians (3132)

Web design and development professionals (2137)

Sales and retail assistants (7111)

Sales related occupations n.e.c. (7129)

Marketing and sales directors (1132)

Marketing associate professionals (3543)

Human resources and industrial relations officers (3562)

Managers and directors in retail and wholesale (1190)

Chartered and certified accountants (2421)

Information technology and telecommunications…

Book-keepers, payroll managers and wages clerks (4122)

Elementary storage occupations (9260)

Business and related associate professionals n.e.c. (3539)

Chefs (5434)

Engineering technicians (3113)

Top Occupations


June 2016

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Comparing Milton Keynes with other areas within SEMLEP and comparator areas shows that Milton Keynes had the second highest number of job postings in June 2016, behind Reading with 5,197 job postings.

Chart 3: Highest Number of Job Postings in SEMLEP local authorities and comparator areas, June 2016

Source: Labour Insight. NB: The figure in the graph above relates to postings that state Milton Keynes. A number of postings stated Newport Pagnell (73) and Olney (27). The figures for Newport Pagnell and Olney are included in the occupational figures in chart 2.

Comparing the types of jobs being posted shows that the most common postings in Milton Keynes match those of comparator and SEMLEP areas as well as national patterns. Looking at England as a whole, as well as Northampton and Reading (as the two SEMLEP/comparator areas closest to Milton Keynes in terms of number of job postings) similar occupations are being advertised across the four areas. Programmers and software development professionals, other administrative occupations; business sales executives; nurses; sales accounts and business development

5,197

5,038

4,548

3,949

3,615

2,496

2,105

1,172

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409

316

202

117

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73

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39

27

25

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21

17

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0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000

READING, ENG

MILTON KEYNES, ENG

NORTHAMPTON, ENG

PETERBOROUGH, ENG

SLOUGH, ENG

LUTON, ENG

BEDFORD, ENG

AYLESBURY, ENG

CORBY, ENG

WELLINGBOROUGH, ENG

DUNSTABLE, ENG

LEIGHTON BUZZARD, ENG

BUCKINGHAM, ENG

BIGGLESWADE, ENG

SANDY, ENG

WHITCHURCH, ENG

NEWPORT PAGNELL, ENG

SHEFFORD, ENG

CRANFIELD, ENG

OLNEY, ENG

KEMPSTON, ENG

TWYFORD, ENG

AMPTHILL, ENG

HENLOW, ENG

WENDOVER, ENG

Top Cities


June 2016

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managers; and IT business analysts, architects and systems designers featured in the top ten most common job postings across each of the four areas. Table 7: Top 10 Occupations by Job Postings, June 2016

Source: Labour Insight

Milton Keynes Reading Northampton England

Programmers & software development professionals

319 Programmers & software development professionals

356 Other administrative occupations n.e.c.


27,668

Business sales executives

186 IT business analysts, architects & systems designers


160 Nurses 19,595

Other administrative occupations n.e.c.

170 Business sales executives

195 Business sales executives

133 Other administrative occupations n.e.c.

18,243

IT business analysts, architects & systems designers

155 Information technology & telecommunications professionals n.e.c.

185 Nurses 128 Business sales executives

14,766

Customer service occupations n.e.c.

129 Nurses 182 Customer service occupations n.e.c.

127 Sales accounts & business development managers

12,275

Management consultants & business analysts




11,390

Nurses 111 Other administrative occupations n.e.c.

129 Book-keepers, payroll managers and wages clerks

117 Managers & proprietors in other services n.e.c.

10,100

Sales accounts & business development managers

110 Human resources & industrial relations officers

105 Large goods vehicle drivers

97 Web design & development professionals

9,695

Electrical & electronic trades n.e.c

100 Management consultants & business analysts

101 Human resources & industrial relations officers

91 Customer service occupations n.e.c.

8,974

Managers & proprietors in other services n.e.c.

100 Managers & proprietors in other services n.e.c.


80 Chefs 8,601


June 2016

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Based on the requirements contained within job postings, Labour Insight is also able to collate information on the skills that are being sought by recruiting employers. Unsurprisingly given the nature of current job vacancies, skills relating to business management, sales and programming are most in demand. Chart 4: Skills most sought by recruiting employers in Milton Keynes, June 2016

Source: Labour Insight. NB: 41% of records have been excluded because they do not include a skill in the posting. As a result, the chart above may not be representative of the full sample.

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0 50 100 150 200 250

Business Management

Sales

SQL

Microsoft C#

.NET Programming

Repair

Business Development

Information Technology Industry Experience

Mathematics

C++

JavaScript

Java

SAP

Accountancy

Business Analysis

Sales Management

Procurement

Oracle

SQL Server

Account Management

Technical Support

Business Process

It Support

ITIL

Social Media

Top Skills


June 2016

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Annual Population Survey & Not in Education, Employment or Training Data

The Annual Population Survey (APS) unemployment statistic is a broader measure than the JSA claimant count. The claimant count is an administrative measure of those claiming Jobseekers Allowance. The APS is a survey based measure, over three month periods, which uses the internationally agreed definition of unemployment as recommended by the International Labour Organisation (ILO). The ILO counts the following as unemployed:

- Those without a job who want a job, have actively sought work in the last four weeks and are available to start work in the next two weeks

- Those who are out of work, have found a job and are waiting to start it in the next two weeks.

APS data is released every three months and is based on an average of the previous twelve months’ data. As such, it is not statistically valid to compare APS estimates for periods under twelve months apart. APS data for January 2015 to December 2015 was published on 20 April 2016 and this information is included in the report below. To avoid making comparisons with earlier quarters which would not be statistically valid and which may paint an inaccurate picture of patterns of employment in Milton Keynes, APS figures will only be updated annually, in the April Employment Reports. APS data for other quarterly periods is available on the Nomis website, www.nomisweb.co.uk. Table 8: APS Unemployment, Milton Keynes, 2015

Unemployment Rate

Milton Keynes

numerator denominator Percent confidence

Aged 16+ 6,800 138,500 4.9 1.5

Aged 16-64 6,800 135,500 5.0 1.5

Aged 16-19 1,100 5,800 19.0 *

Aged 20-24 1,700 11,500 14.8 *

Aged 25-34 1,600 30,700 5.2 *

Aged 35-49 1,900 52,800 3.5 *

Aged 50+ ~ 37,700 1.3 *

Aged 50-64 ~ 34,700 1.4 *

Aged 65+ ! 3,000 ! !

Aged 16-24 2,800 17,300 16.2 8.1

Aged 25-49 3,500 83,500 4.2 1.8 Source: Annual Population Survey, Office for National Statistics, via NOMIS ! Estimate and confidence interval not available since the group sample size is zero or disclosive (0-2). ~ Estimate is less than 500. * indicates that confidence interval is unreliable

http://www.nomisweb.co.uk/


June 2016

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Table 9: APS Unemployment, UK and South East 2015

Unemployment Rate

UK South East

numerator percent conf numerator percent Conf

Aged 16+ 1,723,800 5.3 0.1 192,400 4.2 0.3

Aged 16-64 1,704,700 5.4 0.1 190,200 4.3 0.3

Aged 16-19 296,000 22.0 1.1 36,500 18.3 2.8

Aged 20-24 355,200 11.1 0.6 40,400 9.9 1.7

Aged 25-34 363,800 4.9 0.3 36,300 3.8 0.7

Aged 35-49 391,800 3.5 0.2 42,000 2.6 0.4

Aged 50+ 317,000 3.3 0.2 37,200 2.6 0.4

Aged 50-64 297,900 3.5 0.2 35,000 2.8 0.4

Aged 65+ 19,100 1.6 0.3 2,200 1.1 0.7

Aged 16-24 651,200 14.4 0.5 77,000 12.6 1.5

Aged 25-49 755,600 4.1 0.1 78,300 3.1 0.3

Source: Annual Population Survey, Office for National Statistics, via NOMIS The APS unemployment rate is 5.0% of the working age population (16-64 years) in Milton Keynes. This is below the UK rate of 5.4% and higher than the regional rate of 4.3%. Youth unemployment (16-24 year olds) is 16.2% in Milton Keynes; this is higher than the national and regional averages of 14.4% and 12.6% respectively. These figures do need to be treated with caution however. The figures are derived from survey data and as such, confidence intervals in Milton Keynes are higher than those regionally and nationally. In the case of youth unemployment, the confidence interval for Milton Keynes is 8.1. This means that the actual percentage of unemployed 16-24 year olds could be up to 8.1% higher, or up to 8.1% lower. Chart 5: APS Unemployment Rate (16-64 years) Milton Keynes, UK & South East 2007-2015


June 2016

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2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Milton Keynes

3.7 4.0 8.3 9.6 6.4 8.9 7.5 7.5 5.0

UK 5.2 5.8 7.8 7.8 8.2 8.0 7.7 6.4 5.4

South East 4.2 4.5 6.0 6.1 6.1 6.1 5.8 4.9 4.3 Source: Annual Population Survey, Office for National Statistics via NOMIS

The APS measure of unemployment for Milton Keynes fluctuated above and below the national rate between 2007-2015 and is currently slightly lower than the national rate and higher than the regional figure. It must be noted that because these figures are from survey data, confidence intervals are higher for Milton Keynes than for the national and regional figures and there is more fluctuation in the data. Chart 6: Unemployment Rate age 16 and above by Ethnicity 2015

Source: Annual Population Survey, Office for National Statistics

The unemployment rate for Milton Keynes, the UK and the South East is higher for ethnic minorities than for the population as a whole.

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Total unemployment rate 16+ All %

Total unemployment rate 16+Ethnic Minority %


June 2016

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Chart 7: Employment Rates by Gender

Employment Rate (% 16-64 years) 2012 2013 2014 2015

Milton Keynes Total 73.7 73.5 73.8 77.2

Milton Keynes Males 78.1 78.1 77.5 80.7

Milton Keynes Females 69.3 69.0 70.0 73.7

South East Total 74.7 75.4 75.8 76.9

UK Total 70.5 71.2 72.2 73.5 Source: Annual Population Survey, Office for National Statistics, via NOMIS

The employment rate in Milton Keynes has been increasing over the past couple of years. Following an increase of 3.4% between 2014 and 2015, the employment rate in Milton Keynes is now above both the national and regional averages. Whilst the male employment rate has fluctuated, it remains consistently higher than the female rate but there has been some narrowing of the difference in employment rates by gender.

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2012 2013 2014 2015

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June 2016

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Chart 8: Percentage in Employment by Occupation in Milton Keynes, 2015

Source: Annual Population Survey, Office for National Statistics, via NOMIS

Chart 9: Percentage in Employment by Occupation in UK, 2015

Source: Annual Population Survey, Office for National Statistics, via NOMIS

9.2

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15.7

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Milton Keynes Managers, directors and seniorofficials

Professional occupations

Associate prof & tech occupations

Administrative and secretarialoccupations

Skilled trades occupations

Caring, leisure and other serviceoccupations

Sales and customer serviceoccupations

Process, plant and machineoperatives

Elementary occupations

10.3

19.7

14.0

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10.7

9.2

7.7

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10.8

UK Managers, directors and seniorofficials

Professional occupations

Associate prof & tech occupations

Administrative and secretarialoccupations

Skilled trades occupations

Caring, leisure and other serviceoccupations

Sales and customer serviceoccupations

Process, plant and machineoperatives

Elementary occupations


June 2016

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The largest proportion of people in Milton Keynes are employed in professional occupations, at 18.7%. A further 15.7% are employed in associate professional and technical occupations. The proportion of people working in sales and customer service is higher in Milton Keynes than nationally, reflecting the significant retail sector locally. Conversely, the proportions working in skilled trades; caring, leisure and other service occupations; and elementary occupations are below the national averages.

Chart 10: Proportion of Working Age Population by Qualifications, 2015

% with NVQ4+ - aged 16-64




% with other qualifications (NVQ) - aged 16-64

% with no qualifications (NVQ) - aged 16-64

Milton Keynes 35.6 51.6 71.3 84.7 6.3 9.0

UK 36.9 57.2 73.4 84.8 6.5 8.8

South East 39.8 60.5 76.8 88.5 5.2 6.3 Source: Annual Population Survey, Office for National Statistics, via NOMIS

In Milton Keynes, 35.6% of the working age population are qualified to NVQ level 4 or above. This is below the averages for both the UK (36.9%) and the south east (39.8%). The proportion qualified to level 4 or above has increased since 2014, but at a slower rate than that experienced nationally and regionally, with a 0.5% increase in Milton Keynes compared to 1.1% in the UK and 0.7% in the south east. At 9.0%, the proportion of individuals with no qualifications is above the average for the UK (8.8%) and the south east (6.3%). However, this proportion is lower than in 2014 when it stood at 9.5%.

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June 2016

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Table 10: Number of people Not in Education, Employment or Training (NEET), age 16-19 in Milton Keynes

Year Number %

2010 410 5.1

2011 520 5.8

2012 460 5.1

2013 430 4.7

2014 360 3.9

2015 326 3.8 Source: Department for Education

The number of NEETs has been falling in Milton Keynes since 2013 and averaged 3.8% in 2015. This report was prepared by the Economic Development and Inward Investment Team at Milton Keynes Council. For further information, please contact Donna Wilkinson, Economic Development Manager, [email protected] For previous employment reports, or to find out more about what is happening in the MK economy, visit http://www.milton-keynes.gov.uk/business/research-statistics

mailto:[email protected]

http://www.milton-keynes.gov.uk/business/research-statistics

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