michael barlage mukul tewari , fei chen, kevin manning (ncar)

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North American Regional Climate Simulations with WRF/Noah-MP: Validation and the effect of groundwater interaction Michael Barlage Mukul Tewari, Fei Chen, Kevin Manning (NCAR) Gonzalo Miguez-Macho (U. Santiago) Noah Telecon, 18 July 2013

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North American Regional Climate Simulations with WRF/Noah-MP: Validation and the effect of groundwater interaction. Michael Barlage Mukul Tewari , Fei Chen, Kevin Manning (NCAR) Gonzalo Miguez -Macho (U. Santiago) Noah Telecon , 18 July 2013. Domain and Setup. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Michael Barlage  Mukul Tewari ,  Fei  Chen, Kevin Manning (NCAR)

North American Regional Climate Simulations with WRF/Noah-MP:

Validation and the effect of groundwater interaction

Michael Barlage Mukul Tewari, Fei Chen, Kevin Manning (NCAR)

Gonzalo Miguez-Macho (U. Santiago)

Noah Telecon, 18 July 2013

Page 2: Michael Barlage  Mukul Tewari ,  Fei  Chen, Kevin Manning (NCAR)

Domain and Setup

• Two six-month 30km simulations starting Feb 25

• 2002 and 2010• Spin-up soil for one

year using offline HRLDAS

• IC/BC from NARR• CAM radiation; YSU;

Thompson

Page 3: Michael Barlage  Mukul Tewari ,  Fei  Chen, Kevin Manning (NCAR)

LSM Setup• Default Noah LSM• Noah-MP with OPT_RUN=3: free drainage

comparable to Noah runoff scheme• Noah-MP with OPT_RUN=5: Miguez-Macho & Fan

groundwater with equilibrium water table• Noah-MP with OPT_BTR=1(Noah) and 2 (CLM)

0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 0.4 0.450

0.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.9

1

NoahCLM

Soil Saturation

Tran

spira

tion

Effici

ency

Page 4: Michael Barlage  Mukul Tewari ,  Fei  Chen, Kevin Manning (NCAR)

Equations:Mass balance in groundwater storage:

Darcy’s Law for groundwater – river exchange:

Darcy’s Law for lateral groundwater flow:

shhwQ nwtdwtd n dzKdzKn

n 2

width of flow cross section

TransmisivityHead difference divided by distance (water table slope)

conductivity

wi,j i, j

Q1Q2 Q3

Q4

Q5Q6Q7

Q8Plan view

h i,j

Mean sea level

Sg

Q8Q4

R Qr

Cell ij

Cross section view

Miguez-Macho & Fan water table dynamics in NOAH-MP

rQQyRxdtdS

ng

8

1

Water table depth (wtd)

Fan et al, JGR 2007Miguez-Macho et al., JGR 2007

Page 5: Michael Barlage  Mukul Tewari ,  Fei  Chen, Kevin Manning (NCAR)

Climate: 2002 and 2010 MAM

Page 6: Michael Barlage  Mukul Tewari ,  Fei  Chen, Kevin Manning (NCAR)

Climate: 2002 and 2010 JJA

Page 7: Michael Barlage  Mukul Tewari ,  Fei  Chen, Kevin Manning (NCAR)

Analysis Regions

• Based on NCDC Regional Climate Zones

• Observations: METAR/SYNOP stations, NCDC daily gridded precip

Page 8: Michael Barlage  Mukul Tewari ,  Fei  Chen, Kevin Manning (NCAR)

Depth to Water Table – MMF input

Looks similar to terrain

Focus of this presentation are locations with shallow water table

Page 9: Michael Barlage  Mukul Tewari ,  Fei  Chen, Kevin Manning (NCAR)

Regional Groundwater Recharge: 2010

Noah Noah-MP R3 Noah-MP R5

Page 10: Michael Barlage  Mukul Tewari ,  Fei  Chen, Kevin Manning (NCAR)

Regional Groundwater Recharge: 2002

Noah Noah-MP R3 Noah-MP R5

Page 11: Michael Barlage  Mukul Tewari ,  Fei  Chen, Kevin Manning (NCAR)

Temperature – 2 meter: MAM 2010 day

Page 12: Michael Barlage  Mukul Tewari ,  Fei  Chen, Kevin Manning (NCAR)

Temperature – 2 meter: MAM 2010 night

All MAM 2010Day Day Nit NitBias RMSE Bias RMSE

NOAH -2.79 3.18 -1.95 2.17MPR3B1 0.46 1.04 0.21 0.82MPR5B1 0.30 0.96 0.09 0.78MPR3B2 0.35 0.96 0.17 0.79MPR5B2 0.19 0.92 0.04 0.78

ECCanada MAM 2010Day Day Nit NitBias RMSE Bias RMSE

NOAH -3.92 5.06 -2.43 3.29MPR3B1 -0.08 2.00 -0.15 1.88MPR5B1 -0.38 1.98 -0.33 1.88MPR3B2 -0.17 1.92 -0.18 1.86MPR5B2 -0.47 1.96 -0.31 1.89

WCCanada MAM 2010Day Day Nit NitBias RMSE Bias RMSE

NOAH -0.48 2.75 0.81 1.77MPR3B1 1.91 2.77 1.79 2.15MPR5B1 1.56 2.57 1.59 1.94MPR3B2 1.81 2.72 1.74 2.08MPR5B2 1.46 2.62 1.55 1.94

UpMidWest MAM 2010Day Day Nit NitBias RMSE Bias RMSE

NOAH -2.69 4.40 -1.76 2.90MPR3B1 1.77 2.76 1.27 2.29MPR5B1 1.41 2.44 1.02 2.13MPR3B2 1.62 2.56 1.26 2.24MPR5B2 1.14 2.27 0.89 2.06

NoRockPln MAM 2010Day Day Nit NitBias RMSE Bias RMSE

NOAH -1.54 2.79 -0.83 1.80MPR3B1 2.34 3.01 1.51 2.16MPR5B1 2.19 2.85 1.41 2.05MPR3B2 2.25 2.95 1.49 2.13MPR5B2 2.06 2.75 1.36 2.01

South MAM 2010Day Day Nit NitBias RMSE Bias RMSE

NOAH -2.09 3.18 -2.26 2.89MPR3B1 1.87 2.86 1.10 2.13MPR5B1 1.58 2.57 0.96 1.99MPR3B2 1.71 2.72 1.03 2.05MPR5B2 1.48 2.56 0.94 2.00

Page 13: Michael Barlage  Mukul Tewari ,  Fei  Chen, Kevin Manning (NCAR)

Temperature – 2 meter: JJA 2010 day

Page 14: Michael Barlage  Mukul Tewari ,  Fei  Chen, Kevin Manning (NCAR)

Temperature – 2 meter: JJA 2010 night

South JJA 2010Day Day Nit NitBias RMSE Bias RMSE

NOAH 1.81 2.75 -0.99 1.60MPR3B1 4.20 4.84 1.55 2.24MPR5B1 3.22 3.88 1.07 1.82MPR3B2 4.50 5.21 1.77 2.53MPR5B2 3.87 4.67 1.28 2.13

NoRockPln JJA 2010Day Day Nit NitBias RMSE Bias RMSE

NOAH 1.04 2.14 0.03 1.72MPR3B1 3.03 3.46 2.44 2.83MPR5B1 3.13 3.52 2.58 2.92MPR3B2 3.08 3.55 2.41 2.92MPR5B2 2.99 3.48 2.42 2.89

UpMidWest JJA 2010Day Day Nit NitBias RMSE Bias RMSE

NOAH 1.77 2.72 -0.30 2.24MPR3B1 4.24 4.91 2.04 3.08MPR5B1 3.61 4.23 1.79 2.77MPR3B2 3.34 4.18 1.54 2.85MPR5B2 2.76 3.54 1.18 2.48

WCCanada JJA 2010Day Day Nit NitBias RMSE Bias RMSE

NOAH 1.12 1.81 0.50 1.23MPR3B1 1.67 2.17 1.68 2.01MPR5B1 1.40 2.01 1.50 1.87MPR3B2 1.69 2.30 1.66 2.03MPR5B2 1.20 1.85 1.35 1.71

ECCanada JJA 2010Day Day Nit NitBias RMSE Bias RMSE

NOAH -0.08 1.68 -0.59 1.93MPR3B1 1.16 2.37 -0.15 1.85MPR5B1 1.00 2.24 -0.23 1.66MPR3B2 0.42 2.05 -0.48 1.89MPR5B2 0.35 1.99 -0.55 1.79

All JJA 2010Day Day Nit NitBias RMSE Bias RMSE

NOAH -0.04 0.75 -1.04 1.37MPR3B1 1.67 1.93 0.52 0.98MPR5B1 1.43 1.69 0.44 0.95MPR3B2 1.26 1.65 0.31 0.99MPR5B2 1.14 1.45 0.19 0.84

Page 15: Michael Barlage  Mukul Tewari ,  Fei  Chen, Kevin Manning (NCAR)

Temperature – 2 meter: MAM 2002 day

Page 16: Michael Barlage  Mukul Tewari ,  Fei  Chen, Kevin Manning (NCAR)

Temperature – 2 meter: MAM 2002 night

South MAM 2002Day Day Nit NitBias RMSE Bias RMSE

NOAH -1.42 2.79 -2.01 2.77MPR3B1 0.53 2.29 0.17 1.96MPR5B1 0.40 2.29 0.17 1.98MPR3B2 0.25 2.11 0.05 1.96MPR5B2 0.06 2.02 -0.02 1.92

NoRockPln MAM 2002Day Day Nit NitBias RMSE Bias RMSE

NOAH -1.83 2.85 -1.15 2.14MPR3B1 0.33 1.96 0.36 1.96MPR5B1 0.21 1.97 0.28 1.90MPR3B2 0.15 1.92 0.26 1.92MPR5B2 -0.02 1.99 0.11 1.88

UpMidWest MAM 2002Day Day Nit NitBias RMSE Bias RMSE

NOAH -3.97 5.02 -3.65 4.50MPR3B1 -1.25 3.01 -1.62 3.36MPR5B1 -1.15 3.00 -1.61 3.34MPR3B2 -1.44 3.00 -1.72 3.38MPR5B2 -1.44 3.03 -1.79 3.40

WCCanada MAM 2002Day Day Nit NitBias RMSE Bias RMSE

NOAH -2.00 2.83 -0.93 2.13MPR3B1 0.11 1.69 -0.19 2.00MPR5B1 -0.15 1.80 -0.26 1.95MPR3B2 0.02 1.69 -0.22 1.99MPR5B2 -0.26 1.83 -0.33 1.93

ECCanada MAM 2002Day Day Nit NitBias RMSE Bias RMSE

NOAH -5.46 6.23 -4.35 5.06MPR3B1 -1.56 2.80 -2.02 3.23MPR5B1 -1.55 2.80 -2.03 3.24MPR3B2 -1.62 2.81 -2.04 3.23MPR5B2 -1.70 2.84 -2.13 3.28

All MAM 2002Day Day Nit NitBias RMSE Bias RMSE

NOAH -3.64 3.91 -3.14 3.39MPR3B1 -1.21 1.73 -1.37 1.88MPR5B1 -1.16 1.71 -1.35 1.86MPR3B2 -1.36 1.79 -1.44 1.91MPR5B2 -1.37 1.81 -1.48 1.94

Page 17: Michael Barlage  Mukul Tewari ,  Fei  Chen, Kevin Manning (NCAR)

Temperature – 2 meter: JJA 2002 day

Page 18: Michael Barlage  Mukul Tewari ,  Fei  Chen, Kevin Manning (NCAR)

Temperature – 2 meter: JJA 2002 night

South JJA 2002Day Day Nit NitBias RMSE Bias RMSE

NOAH 2.20 3.03 -0.63 1.44MPR3B1 2.38 3.33 0.39 1.90MPR5B1 2.14 3.07 0.24 1.75MPR3B2 1.60 2.88 -0.13 1.82MPR5B2 1.71 2.89 -0.05 1.75

NoRockPln JJA 2002Day Day Nit NitBias RMSE Bias RMSE

NOAH 1.20 2.59 0.39 1.68MPR3B1 1.03 2.25 1.44 2.22MPR5B1 0.71 2.07 1.20 2.04MPR3B2 0.49 2.14 1.07 2.05MPR5B2 0.40 1.92 0.92 1.81

UpMidWest JJA 2002Day Day Nit NitBias RMSE Bias RMSE

NOAH 1.11 2.36 -1.15 2.36MPR3B1 1.70 3.22 0.27 2.39MPR5B1 1.49 2.98 0.20 2.21MPR3B2 0.84 2.54 -0.27 2.41MPR5B2 0.69 2.27 -0.46 2.13

WCCanada JJA 2002Day Day Nit NitBias RMSE Bias RMSE

NOAH 1.86 2.44 0.74 1.31MPR3B1 0.95 1.90 1.07 1.53MPR5B1 0.21 1.57 0.62 1.21MPR3B2 0.52 1.74 0.85 1.41MPR5B2 0.06 1.56 0.51 1.14

ECCanada JJA 2002Day Day Nit NitBias RMSE Bias RMSE

NOAH -1.64 2.53 -2.14 2.84MPR3B1 -0.92 2.06 -1.47 2.26MPR5B1 -0.83 2.03 -1.57 2.31MPR3B2 -1.28 2.21 -1.75 2.44MPR5B2 -1.54 2.38 -2.02 2.64

All JJA 2002Day Day Nit NitBias RMSE Bias RMSE

NOAH -0.60 0.97 -1.47 1.70MPR3B1 0.11 1.07 -0.48 0.99MPR5B1 0.06 0.98 -0.53 0.97MPR3B2 -0.51 1.08 -0.84 1.27MPR5B2 -0.44 0.92 -0.89 1.12

Page 19: Michael Barlage  Mukul Tewari ,  Fei  Chen, Kevin Manning (NCAR)

Dewpoint – 2 meter: MAM 2002 day

Page 20: Michael Barlage  Mukul Tewari ,  Fei  Chen, Kevin Manning (NCAR)

Dewpoint – 2 meter: MAM 2002 night

Page 21: Michael Barlage  Mukul Tewari ,  Fei  Chen, Kevin Manning (NCAR)

Temperature – 2 meter: August 2010Offline simulation driven with NARR

Page 22: Michael Barlage  Mukul Tewari ,  Fei  Chen, Kevin Manning (NCAR)

Temperature – 2 meter: August 2010Offline simulation driven with NARR

Page 23: Michael Barlage  Mukul Tewari ,  Fei  Chen, Kevin Manning (NCAR)

Temperature – 2 meter: August 2010Offline simulation driven with NARR

Page 24: Michael Barlage  Mukul Tewari ,  Fei  Chen, Kevin Manning (NCAR)

Summary• Tested a new groundwater option to Noah-MP that

accounts for aquifer interaction with lateral flow• Noah-MP performs better than Noah for near surface

temperature (with exceptions), though more optimization is likely required

• Noah-MP performs the same (2002) or regionally worse (2010) for precipitation

• In regions with low water table depth, upward transport of water:– Increases late summer latent heat flux– Has little effect on precipitation– Improves surface temperature simulation

Page 25: Michael Barlage  Mukul Tewari ,  Fei  Chen, Kevin Manning (NCAR)

Regional Deep Soil Moisture: 2002

Noah Noah-MP R3 Noah-MP R5

Page 26: Michael Barlage  Mukul Tewari ,  Fei  Chen, Kevin Manning (NCAR)

Regional Deep Soil Moisture: 2010

Noah Noah-MP R3 Noah-MP R5

Page 27: Michael Barlage  Mukul Tewari ,  Fei  Chen, Kevin Manning (NCAR)

Regional Root Soil Moisture: 2002

Noah Noah-MP R3 Noah-MP R5

Page 28: Michael Barlage  Mukul Tewari ,  Fei  Chen, Kevin Manning (NCAR)

Regional Root Soil Moisture: 2010

Noah Noah-MP R3 Noah-MP R5

Page 29: Michael Barlage  Mukul Tewari ,  Fei  Chen, Kevin Manning (NCAR)

Regional Latent Heat Flux: 2002

Noah Noah-MP R3 Noah-MP R5

Increase LH especially in JJA

Page 30: Michael Barlage  Mukul Tewari ,  Fei  Chen, Kevin Manning (NCAR)

Regional Latent Heat Flux: 2002

Noah Noah-MP R3 Noah-MP R5

Difference from Noah

Page 31: Michael Barlage  Mukul Tewari ,  Fei  Chen, Kevin Manning (NCAR)

Regional Latent Heat Flux: 2010

Noah Noah-MP R3 Noah-MP R5

Page 32: Michael Barlage  Mukul Tewari ,  Fei  Chen, Kevin Manning (NCAR)

Regional Latent Heat Flux: 2010

Noah Noah-MP R3 Noah-MP R5

Difference from Noah

Page 33: Michael Barlage  Mukul Tewari ,  Fei  Chen, Kevin Manning (NCAR)

Regional Precipitation: 2002

Noah Noah-MP R3 Noah-MP R5Black: NCDC climatology Thick Black: NCDC observations

Page 34: Michael Barlage  Mukul Tewari ,  Fei  Chen, Kevin Manning (NCAR)

Regional Precipitation: 2002

Noah Noah-MP R3 Noah-MP R5Black: NCDC climatology Thick Black: NCDC observations

Difference from Obs

Page 35: Michael Barlage  Mukul Tewari ,  Fei  Chen, Kevin Manning (NCAR)

Regional Precipitation: 2010

Noah Noah-MP R3 Noah-MP R5Black: NCDC climatology Thick Black: NCDC observations

Hurricane Alex

Page 36: Michael Barlage  Mukul Tewari ,  Fei  Chen, Kevin Manning (NCAR)

Regional Precipitation: 2010

Noah Noah-MP R3 Noah-MP R5Black: NCDC climatology Thick Black: NCDC observations

Hurricane Alex

Difference from Obs

Page 37: Michael Barlage  Mukul Tewari ,  Fei  Chen, Kevin Manning (NCAR)

Dewpoint – 2 meter: JJA 2002 day

Page 38: Michael Barlage  Mukul Tewari ,  Fei  Chen, Kevin Manning (NCAR)

Dewpoint – 2 meter: JJA 2002 night

Page 39: Michael Barlage  Mukul Tewari ,  Fei  Chen, Kevin Manning (NCAR)

Dewpoint – 2 meter: MAM 2010 day

Page 40: Michael Barlage  Mukul Tewari ,  Fei  Chen, Kevin Manning (NCAR)

Dewpoint – 2 meter: MAM 2010 night

Page 41: Michael Barlage  Mukul Tewari ,  Fei  Chen, Kevin Manning (NCAR)

Dewpoint – 2 meter: JJA 2010 day

Page 42: Michael Barlage  Mukul Tewari ,  Fei  Chen, Kevin Manning (NCAR)

Dewpoint – 2 meter: JJA 2010 night