metsä board's 1q 2015 interim report presentation
TRANSCRIPT
Metsä Board
Metsä BoardResults 1Q 2015
Metsä Board
Highlights in 1Q 2015
2
‒ Profitability improved from the previous quarter
‒ Paperboard delivery volume increased and price levels were stable
‒ Net debt reduced to EUR 319 million thanks to the successful share offering implemented in March and good cash flow
‒ Exchange rates moved to a favourable direction
‒ Final steps in transformation to a paperboard company proceeded as planned
‒ Public financial targets were updated
‒ Organization and reporting structure were renewed as of 1 Jan 2015
‒ In April, after the reporting period, Gohrsmühle mill was agreed to be divested to mutares AG
Metsä Board
36 35 3730 1926
29 2843
0
10
20
30
40
50
1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15
535 503 502 479 501 494 499514 526
200
300
400
500
600
1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15
419
918 20 27 32
2132
-10
0
10
20
30
40
1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15
Sales Operating result excl. non-rec. items
Result before taxes excl. non-rec. items
Sales increased and operating result improved in 1Q 2015
3
EUR million EUR million
EUR million
1Q result before taxes impacted by increased FX hedging losses
Metsä Board
Main operating result drivers in 1Q 2015 vs. previous quarter
4
+Paperboard delivery volume
Exchange rate changes
Slightly improved linerboard pricing
–Paper delivery volume (as planned)
4Q 2014 was improved by sale of CO2 rights
Accelerated depreciations of Husum paper capacity in 2015
Somewhat higher fixed costs
Metsä Board
169 176 185 185 189 192 197 185 191 197 210 203 204
8085
93 85 94 93 9591
112 110120
111130
0
60
120
180
240
300
360
1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15
Fresh forest fibre linerboardFolding boxboard
Sales volumes growing as planned
5
1000 tonnes +10% vs. 1Q 2014
Metsä Board6
EBIT, excl. non-recurring itemsSales
Paperboard segment’s performance improved clearly in 1Q 2015
EUR millionEUR million
61
44 45 44
51
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15
391364375
356350
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15
Metsä Board7
EBIT, excl. non-recurring itemsSales
Non-core operations continued loss-making in 1Q 2015
EUR millionEUR million
-3-6
-7
-3 -2
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15
128127128127
136
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15
Metsä Board
Net debt reduced to EUR 319 million thanks to the successful share offering and good cash flow
‒ Gross debt EUR 685 million and net debt EUR 319 million at end 1Q (EUR 427 million at end 2014)
‒ Net gearing 34 % (51 %), equity ratio 41 % (39 %) and average interest rate 3.9 % (4.0 %) at the end of 1Q
‒ Net debt to EBITDA dropped to 1.3
‒ Strong liquidity position
‒ S&P raised Metsä Board’s credit rating by two notches to BB
8
Net Debt / EBITDA
Net DebtEUR million
319
827
0
250
500
750
1000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 1Q15
1,3
2,7
0
1
2
3
4
5
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 1Q15
Metsä Board
Share offering was completed successfully
‒ Share offering was oversubscribed: 140 %
‒ Net proceeds EUR 98 million
‒ Total amount of Metsä Board’s shares increased to 355 512 746 of which‒ A-shares: 35 895 651‒ B-shares: 319 617 095
‒ Trading with the new shares commenced on 1 April 2015
9
Metsä Board10
‒ Duration of Metsä Board’s hedges of the main foreign currency flows
has been 4-7 months during the last 12 months
‒ Annual unhedged EBIT sensitivity of 10 % change vs. euro‒ EUR 45 million in USD
‒ EUR 20 million in GBP
‒ Reversed EUR 30 million SEK
‒ Positive EBIT impact after hedges over EUR 10 million in 1Q
compared to previous quarter
‒ Segment numbers reflect exchange rate changes rapidly
but hedge accounting result in Other operations balance the impact
Exchange rates moved to favorable direction in 2H 2014 and early 2015
Metsä Board
Short-term market outlook
11
‒ Paperboard delivery volumes are expected to increase slightly in 2Q
‒ FBB prices expected to continue stable
‒ Metsä Board has announced a 40 EUR/t linerboard price increase in continental Europe as of 11 May 2015
‒ Pulp market balance is forecast to continue good
‒ Market situation of the businesses reported under Non-core operations expected to remain stable in 2Q
‒ Average production costs are forecast to be flat in 2Q
Metsä Board
Short-term profitability outlook
12
‒ Metsä Board’s operating result excluding non-
recurring items is in the second quarter of 2015
expected to be roughly at the same level as in the first
quarter of 2015
Metsä Board
Transformation of Husum mill proceeding as planned
‒ First investment shutdown was in April. BM 2 now ready for 300 000 t/a linerboard production
‒ Slight negative result impact in 2Q
‒ Paper machines 6 and 7 are closed in Oct-Nov 2015
‒ New FBB production line (BM1) will start up on 4 January 2016‒ Investment shutdown has a negative result impact in 4Q 2015‒ Valmet main supplier and Pöyry consulting partner
‒ Related infra improvements are proceeding
13
Metsä Board
Metsä Board has agreed to divest Gohrsmühle mill in Germany to mutares and its partner company
‒ mutares AG is a stock listed German industrial holding company focusing on acquiring companies in special situations
‒ Divestment is subject to German competition authorities approval‒ Closing expected by the end of May 2015
‒ Negative cash flow impact, but clearly less than in the case of a potential closure. Positive non-recurring item of EUR 15 million booked in 2Q 2015 in Non-core operations
‒ Divestment reduces Metsä Board’s annual sales by about EUR 90 million and improve operating result by EUR 20 million compared to 2014
‒ Gohrsmühle’s main products are cast coated and label papers and there are approximately 480 employees
14
Metsä Board
Metsä Board’s associated company Metsä Fibre builds a new bioproduct mill in Äänekoski, Finland
‒ Net capacity increase at the site is approximately 800,000 t/a‒ Investment cost of approximately EUR 1.2 billion‒ Start up in 3Q 2017
‒ Capital invested by Metsä Board will be EUR 24,9 million‒ Metsä Board has no other financial commitments in the project
‒ Metsä Board’s holding in Metsä Fibre remains unchanged at 24.9 per cent
‒ All in all, Metsä Board’s pulp balance is expected to be 500,000-600,000 t/a long from 2018 onwards‒ Majority of the market pulp is softwood chemical pulp‒ Reserve to grow paperboard business further in the future while maintaining self-sufficiency in pulp
15
Metsä Board
Metsä Board has new long-term financial targets
New targets:
Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) minimum 12 per cent from 2017 onwards
Net gearing maximum 70 per cent
‒ Old targets were ROCE minimum 10 per cent and net gearing maximum 100 per cent
‒ Dividend policy remains unchanged. The aim is to pay a dividend of at least 1/3 of the EPS, taking into account the net gearing target
16
Metsä Board
Key priorities in 2015
‒ Grow profitably the paperboard businesses globally
‒ Implement successfully the Husum investment projects
‒ Secure good price levels
‒ Keep high product quality and further improve supply chain
‒ Enter new end use areas
‒ Eliminate the losses from Gohrsmühle mill
‒ Continue productivity improvements and cost savings
‒ Develop competences, especially related to Husum’s new products
11,0
9,1
6,4
4,8
3,4
0
3
6
9
12
15
2011 2012 2013 2014 1Q15
Target min. 12 % from 2017 onwards
ROCE, excl. non-recurring items%
17
Metsä Board
Appendix
Metsä Board
11,0
9,1
6,4
4,8
3,4
0
3
6
9
12
15
2011 2012 2013 2014 1Q15
ROCE % and EBIT, % of sales
19
EBIT % of sales excl. non-recuring items ROCE %, excl. non-recurring items
2,4
3,6
5,2
6,8
8,2
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
2011 2012 2013 2014 1Q15
Target min. 12 % from 2017 onwards
Metsä Board
EBITDA development
20
EBITDA excl. non-recurring items
70
236
208
186179
0
60
120
180
240
300
2011 2012 2013 2014 1Q15
EUR million
Metsä Board
Segment performance – comparison to previous quarter
Sales
1Q 20154Q 2014
21
364
127
391
128
0
100
200
300
400
500
Paperboard Non-coreoperations
Operating result, excluding non-recurring itemsEUR million EUR million
51
-2
61
-3
-20
0
20
40
60
80
Paperboard Non-coreoperations
Metsä Board
Segment performance – comparison to previous year
22
Sales Operating result, excluding non-recurring itemsEUR million EUR million
1Q 20151Q 2014
350
136
391
128
0
100
200
300
400
500
Paperboard Non-coreoperations
44
-6
61
-3
-20
0
20
40
60
80
Paperboard Non-coreoperations
Metsä Board
Balance Sheet Ratios
23
783
625597
427
319
4,4
3,4
2,9
1,8
1,3
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
2011 2012 2013 2014 1Q150
0,5
1
1,5
2
2,5
3
3,5
4
4,5
5
Net Debt and Net Debt/EBITDA* Net Gearing
106
72
70
51
34
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2011 2012 2013 2014 1Q15
Net debt, EUR million
Net debt/EBITDA
*Excluding non-recurring items
%
Metsä Board
EUR / tonne
Folding boxboard market price in Europe2004 – 1Q 2015
24
Source: Pöyry Management Consulting
800
900
1000
1100
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Metsä Board
500
600
700
800
900
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
25
Uncoated white-top kraftliner market price in Europe2009 – 1Q 2015
Source: Foex
EUR / tonne
Metsä Board
EUR / tonne
Paper and pulp market price in Europe1998 – 1Q 2015
Coated fine paper (100 g)Uncoated fine paper (B-copy, 80 g)
Softwood pulp NBSKCoated magazine paper LWC (60g)
Source: Foex, Reuters
EUR/USD
EUR/USD
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
1100
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 20150,8
0,9
1
1,1
1,2
1,3
1,4
1,5
1,6
1,7
26
Metsä Board
Ownership structure 31.3.2015Shares Votes
Source: Euroland27