metropolitan council water supply regional model – first test case metropolitan council...

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Metropolitan Council Water Supply Regional Model – First Test Case Metropolitan Council Environment Committee: June 10, 2008 Keith Buttleman, Assistant General Manager Lanya Ross, Senior Environmental Scientist

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Page 1: Metropolitan Council Water Supply Regional Model – First Test Case Metropolitan Council Environment Committee: June 10, 2008 Keith Buttleman, Assistant

Metropolitan Council

Water Supply Regional Model –

First Test Case

Metropolitan Council

Environment Committee:

June 10, 2008

Keith Buttleman, Assistant General Manager

Lanya Ross, Senior Environmental Scientist

Page 2: Metropolitan Council Water Supply Regional Model – First Test Case Metropolitan Council Environment Committee: June 10, 2008 Keith Buttleman, Assistant

2

Overview

Problem Summary— Water supply issues— Availability assessment process

Modeling approach— Projecting demand— Refining the regional model— Interpreting model results

Summary

Benefits of Regional Planning Assistance

Page 3: Metropolitan Council Water Supply Regional Model – First Test Case Metropolitan Council Environment Committee: June 10, 2008 Keith Buttleman, Assistant

3

Large growth planned— Investment in transportation, wastewater, parks

Perceived groundwater resource limitations— Low aquifer productivity— Surface water impacts of groundwater withdrawals

Preliminary engineering for surface water supply— High cost for treatment plant— Opportunities & challenges for cooperation

Water Supply Issues: Ramsey

Page 4: Metropolitan Council Water Supply Regional Model – First Test Case Metropolitan Council Environment Committee: June 10, 2008 Keith Buttleman, Assistant

4

Ramsey began exploring potential partnerships

Application of metro groundwater flow model

Incorporation of model results into DNR water appropriation permit application review process

— Groundwater resources are adequate…for now

— Ramsey must monitor for surface water impacts

Availability Assessment Process

Page 5: Metropolitan Council Water Supply Regional Model – First Test Case Metropolitan Council Environment Committee: June 10, 2008 Keith Buttleman, Assistant

5

Projected Demand: Ramsey

3 additional FIG Wells by 2007 (installed)*

11 additional FIG Wells by 2020*

* Source: Ramsey Comprehensive Water Plan Update – 2004

YearProjected Municipal

Average Day(gal/day)

Projected Municipal Maximum Day

(gal/day)

2010 3,300,454 15,600,514

2030 4,932,351 17,221,000

2050 7,319,032 20,443,162

Page 6: Metropolitan Council Water Supply Regional Model – First Test Case Metropolitan Council Environment Committee: June 10, 2008 Keith Buttleman, Assistant

Refining the Regional Groundwater Flow Model

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Burns

Big Lake

Orrock

Elk River

Livonia

Stanford Athens

Otsego

Andover

Corcoran

Ramsey

DaytonHassan

Oak Grove

Rogers

Brooklyn Center New Brighton

Albertville

Mounds View

Zimmerman

Bethel

OsseoMaple Grove Brooklyn Park

Coon Rapids

Saint Francis

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Municipalities I6

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Page 7: Metropolitan Council Water Supply Regional Model – First Test Case Metropolitan Council Environment Committee: June 10, 2008 Keith Buttleman, Assistant

2030 Drawdown, Franconia-Ironton-Galesville (FIG), based on average daily demand

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Page 8: Metropolitan Council Water Supply Regional Model – First Test Case Metropolitan Council Environment Committee: June 10, 2008 Keith Buttleman, Assistant

2030 Drawdown, FIG, based on summer peak

demand occurring for 2 weeks

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Page 9: Metropolitan Council Water Supply Regional Model – First Test Case Metropolitan Council Environment Committee: June 10, 2008 Keith Buttleman, Assistant

2030 Drawdown, Water Table, based on average daily demand

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Page 10: Metropolitan Council Water Supply Regional Model – First Test Case Metropolitan Council Environment Committee: June 10, 2008 Keith Buttleman, Assistant

2030 Drawdown, Water Table, based on summer peak demand occurring for 2 weeks

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Page 11: Metropolitan Council Water Supply Regional Model – First Test Case Metropolitan Council Environment Committee: June 10, 2008 Keith Buttleman, Assistant

11

Static Water Level

FIG Aquifer

Glacial Drift

Average Pumping Water Level

Peak Pumping Water Level

Note: Not to scale

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Water Table

Semi-Confining Layer

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Page 12: Metropolitan Council Water Supply Regional Model – First Test Case Metropolitan Council Environment Committee: June 10, 2008 Keith Buttleman, Assistant

Monitoring Well Locationsvs. 2050 Drawdown in the Water Table

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Page 13: Metropolitan Council Water Supply Regional Model – First Test Case Metropolitan Council Environment Committee: June 10, 2008 Keith Buttleman, Assistant

13

Interpreting Model Results

The FIG aquifer can sustain projected 2030 demand with appropriate well spacing

Surface water features may be impacted by demand

Additional field data will constrain impacts to surface water features, refine model

Page 14: Metropolitan Council Water Supply Regional Model – First Test Case Metropolitan Council Environment Committee: June 10, 2008 Keith Buttleman, Assistant

14

Summary

Ramsey issues are not unique in the northwestern metropolitan area

Regional assistance clarified water supply options—FIG aquifer, with monitoring —Mississippi River

Ramsey and neighbors buy time to plan for 2050+ demand

Page 15: Metropolitan Council Water Supply Regional Model – First Test Case Metropolitan Council Environment Committee: June 10, 2008 Keith Buttleman, Assistant

15

Benefits of Regional Planning Assistance

Better data, better analysis

Issues and options identified early in water supply planning process

Simplified permitting and approval process

Effective conservation strategies