merged document 11 - dan berliner, associate professor ...€¦ · ce cy 0 0 10 20 0 4000 8000 ce...
TRANSCRIPT
Leg.
Maj
ority
Dis
tanc
e
Frequency
-10
010
20
040008000
Gov
. Win
Dis
tanc
e
Frequency
-15
-50
510
04000
Leg.
Mar
gin
of V
icto
ry
Frequency
020
4060
04000
Gov
. Mar
gin
of V
icto
ry
Frequency
05
1020
30
030006000
Effe
ctiv
e N
umbe
r of P
artie
s
Frequency
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
040008000
Lam
e D
uck
Per
iod
Frequency
0.00.20.40.60.81.0
01500035000
Log
GD
P
Frequency
1819
2021
030006000
Log
Pop
ulat
ion
Frequency
1314
1516
030006000
GD
P G
row
th
Frequency
02
46
8
010000
Avg
. Yea
rs E
duca
tion
Frequency
6.5
7.5
8.5
9.5
020005000
Cor
rupt
ion
(Inte
rpol
ated
)
Frequency
510
1520
04000
Nei
ghbo
ring
Sta
tes
Ado
ptio
n
Frequency
0.00.20.40.60.81.0
010000
Log
Num
ber o
f Uni
vers
ities
Frequency
23
45
030007000
Log
Num
ber o
f CS
Os
Frequency
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
030007000
Log
Num
ber o
f New
spap
ers
Frequency
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
030006000
Year
HIDTABCHPOAXCHHGROBCNCAMBCSSONTAMTLAPUEZACNAYVERYUCROOMEXCOAMORGUADIFSLPCOLDURNLEQUEMICAGUSINJAL
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
●
●
●
●
●
●
●
●
●
●
●
●
●
●
●
●
●
●
●
●
●
●
●
●
●
●
●
●
●
●
●
●
0 500 1000 1500 2000
Days
Survival
0
.25
.5
.75
1
2005
2007
2009
1500
2000
2500
3000
Agu
asca
lient
es
Year
Requests
2005
2007
2009
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
Baj
a C
alifo
rnia
Year
Requests
2005
2007
2009
2000
3000
4000
5000
Coa
huila
Year
Requests
2005
2007
2009
5000
10000
15000
Col
ima
Year
Requests
2005
2007
2009
20000
40000
60000
80000
Dis
trito
Fed
eral
Year
Requests
2005
2007
2009
800
1000
1200
1400
Dur
ango
Year
Requests
2005
2007
2009
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
Esta
do d
e M
exic
o
Year
Requests
2005
2007
2009
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
Gue
rrer
o
Year
Requests
2005
2007
2009
02000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
Jalis
co
YearRequests
2005
2007
2009
1000
1500
2000
2500
Mic
hoac
an
Year
Requests
2005
2007
2009
1000
2000
3000
4000
Mor
elos
Year
Requests
2005
2007
2009
1500
2000
2500
3000
Pueb
la
Year
Requests
2005
2007
2009
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
Que
reta
ro
Year
Requests
2005
2007
2009
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
Qui
ntan
a R
oo
Year
Requests
2005
2007
2009
3000
4000
5000
6000
Sina
loa
Year
Requests
2005
2007
2009
2500
3000
3500
4000
Sono
ra
Year
Requests
2005
2007
2009
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
Yuca
tan
Year
Requests
2005
2007
2009
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
Zaca
teca
s
Year
Requests
0.34∗∗∗ 0.46∗∗∗ 0.60 0.55 3.14∗ 2.56(0.09) (0.09) (0.51) (0.40) (1.39) (1.50)
−0.02 −0.01(0.04) (0.04)
0.11 0.03 −1.69(0.24) (0.28) (3.92)
−0.26 −0.23 0.24(0.25) (0.28) (4.07)
2
p < 0.001 p < 0.01 p < 0.05
0.34∗∗∗ 0.45∗∗∗ 0.56 0.53 3.05∗ 2.37(0.08) (0.09) (0.51) (0.40) (1.39) (1.49)
−0.02 −0.01(0.04) (0.04)
0.11 0.04 −1.69(0.24) (0.28) (3.92)
−0.26 −0.23 0.56(0.25) (0.28) (4.05)
p < 0.001 p < 0.01 p < 0.05
0.32∗∗∗ 0.43∗∗∗ 0.38 0.42 2.79∗ 1.81(0.09) (0.09) (0.43) (0.33) (1.34) (1.36)
−0.01 0.00(0.04) (0.03)
0.11 0.09 −1.69(0.19) (0.23) (1.88)
−0.21 −0.21 1.49(0.20) (0.22) (1.94)
p < 0.001 p < 0.01 p < 0.05
Met
rica:
Leg
al F
ram
ewor
k
Frequency
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
02468
FUN
DA
R: I
DA
IM
Frequency
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
02468
Met
rica:
Inst
itutio
nal C
apac
ities
Frequency
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
02468
−0.86
−2.08
∗∗∗
−2.07
∗∗
(0.62)
(0.48)
(0.90)
9.36
19.31∗
∗29
.39∗
∗
(9.04)
(8.24)
(12.77)
−15.20
−4.03
−44.83∗
∗∗−16
.29
−63
.34∗
∗−39
.72∗
(19.06
)(16.19
)(14.67
)(14.75
)(27.37
)(22.88)
10.04
13.91
5.35
13.63
−40
.74
−29
.21
(18.14
)(18.66
)(13.96
)(17.01
)(26.05
)(26.38)
−1.57
3.07
−7.81
1.86
1.61
15.98
(14.57
)(15.39
)(11.21
)(14.03
)(20.92
)(21.76)
−0.67
0.10
−12
.90∗
−10
.84
14.52
15.93
(8.89)
(9.00)
(6.84)
(8.20)
(12.76
)(12.71)
4.11
5.92
2.11
6.31
−16
.74∗
∗−12
.01
(5.46)
(5.49)
(4.20)
(5.00)
(7.84)
(7.76)
−0.53
−1.69
2.40
−0.32
20.90∗
∗∗17
.96∗
∗
(5.14)
(5.19)
(3.96)
(4.73)
(7.38)
(7.33)
2 p<
0.01
p<
0.05
p<
0.1