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VALLEY METRO • 101 N 1ST AVE • STE 1300 • PHOENIX AZ • 602-262-7433 MEETING OF THE Budget and Finance Subcommittee MEETING DATE April 2, 2015 TIME 12:00 p.m. LOCATION Valley Metro 101 N. 1st Ave., 10th Floor Lake Mead Conference Room Phoenix, AZ 85003

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VALLEY METRO • 101 N 1ST AVE • STE 1300 • PHOENIX AZ • 602-262-7433

MEETING OF THE

Budget and Finance Subcommittee

MEETING DATE

April 2, 2015

TIME 12:00 p.m.

LOCATION Valley Metro 101 N. 1st Ave., 10th Floor Lake Mead Conference Room Phoenix, AZ 85003

VALLEY METRO • 101 N 1ST AVE • STE 1300 • PHOENIX AZ • 602-262-7433

March 27, 2015

Budget and Finance Subcommittee Agenda

Thursday, April 2, 2015 10th Floor, Lake Mead Conference Room

101 N. 1st Avenue, 10th Floor 12:00 p.m.

For those participating by telephone, please mute your phone when not speaking. Action Recommended

1. Public Comment

An opportunity for general public comment on issues related to Valley Metro. Up to three (3) minutes will be provided for each speaker.

For information

2. Minutes Minutes from the March 5, 2015 BFS meeting are presented for approval.

For action

3. FY 2016 Preliminary Operating and Capital Budget and Five Year Operating Forecast and Capital Program FY 2016 - 2020

John McCormack will present the FY16 budget and five year plan.

For information

4. FY15 Third Quarter Report John McCormack will provide an update of third quarter activities for FY15.

For information

5. Future BFS Agenda Items

Chair Sherwood will request future BFS agenda items from members.

For information

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6. Next Meeting The next meeting of the BFS is tentatively scheduled for Thursday, May 14, 2015 at 12:00 p.m.

For information

Qualified sign language interpreters are available with 72 hours notice. Materials in alternative formats (large print, audiocassette, or computer diskette) are available upon request. For further information, please call Rosalia Castro, Valley Metro at 602-495-8211 or TTY at 602-251-2039. To attend this meeting via teleconference, contact the receptionist at 602-262-7433 for the dial-in-information. The supporting information for this agenda can be found on our web site at www.valleymetro.org

VALLEY METRO • 101 N 1ST AVE • STE 1300 • PHOENIX AZ • 602-262-7433

DATE AGENDA ITEM 1 March 27, 2015 SUBJECT Public Comment PURPOSE For information BACKGROUND/DISCUSSION/CONSIDERATION An opportunity for general public comment on issues related to Valley Metro. Up to three (3) minutes will be provided to each speaker. COST AND BUDGET None COMMITTEE PROCESS None RECOMMENDATION For information only CONTACT John P. McCormack Chief Financial Officer 602-495-7433 [email protected] ATTACHMENTS None

VALLEY METRO • 101 N 1ST AVE • STE 1300 • PHOENIX AZ • 602-262-7433

DATE AGENDA ITEM 2 March 27, 2015

Summary Minutes of the Budget and Finance Subcommittee

March 5, 2015 Lake Mead Conference Room

Phoenix, AZ 12:00 p.m.

Meeting Participants Councilmember, Gary Sherwood, City of Glendale Councilmember, Jenn Daniels, Town of Gilbert (via phone) Councilmember, Suzanne Klapp, City of Scottsdale Vice Mayor, Joe Pizzillo, City of Goodyear Chair McDonald called the meeting to order at 12:14 p.m.

1. Public Comment

None

2. Summary Minutes IT WAS MOTIONED BY COUNCILMEMBER SHERWOOD, MOVED BY COUNCILMEMBER KLAPP, SECONDED BY VICE MAYOR PIZZILLO, AND UNANIMOUSLY CARRIED TO APPROVE THE OCTOBER 9, 2014 BUDGET AND FINANCE SUBCOMMITTEE (BFS) SUMMARY MEETING MINUTES.

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3. Preliminary FY16 Budget (Budget process and baseline assumptions)

Councilmember Sherwood introduced John McCormack to review the RPTA Preliminary FY16 Budget Overview.

Budget Schedule FY16

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Jan 14th -- Board approves Agency goalsFeb 19th -- Board approves service changes effective April 2015Feb 20th – Preliminary FY16 Budget delivered to Fin. Working GroupFeb 27th – Executive Summary / 5 year Plan posted to website

Mar 20th – 30 day review period….Member City Comments

Mar 25th -- Draft Budget delivered to TMC / BFSApr 1st -- Budget presented for information to TMCApr 2nd -- Budget presented for information to BFSApr 16th -- Budget presented to Board of Directors for information

May 21st -- Board Meeting – Budget Adoption

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Valley Metro RPTAPreliminary FY16Budget Overview

Budget and Finance SubcommitteeMarch 5, 2015

2

Valley Metro RPTAPreliminary FY16Budget Overview

Budget and Finance SubcommitteeMarch 5, 2015

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Revenue Forecast - PTF

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The rail component, 43% of the Public Transportation Funds (PTF), is green and the blue component, 57% of the total PTF, represents bus.

Questions and Answers

Councilmember Sherwood asked to have the policy explained. Mr. McCormack said when the PTF was created by Prop. 400 there was a program of projects (bus and rail - the November 2003 Regional Transportation Plan (RTP)). At that time, the calculation of the relative cost of those projects was 43% for the rail capital and 57% for the bus operating and capital. Vice Mayor Pizzillo asked what percentage of assumptions are we using as a growth model. Mr. McCormack said we rely on the ADOT forecast and the answer is presented on the next slide. Councilmember Sherwood asked if this is revenue and how do we allocate revenue? Is it based on actuals and assumptions? Mr. McCormack said the Public Transportation Fund Revenue. Councilmember Sherwood asked how the actuals been. Mr. McCormack asked in terms of the split. Councilmember Sherwood said yes. Mr. McCormack said they are very close. We have a firewall between the rail and bus side of the funding. When we receive the PTF sales tax money from the State Treasurer we immediately split the money into separate accounts based on 43% and 57%.

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Comparison of 2014 and 2013 Forecasts(millions of dollars)

Annual Annual ForecastFiscal Year 2014 Forecast Growth 2013 Forecast Growth Change2006 $51.1 $51.12007 $130.2 6.06% $130.2 6.06%2008 $126.3 -2.97% $126.3 -2.97%2009 $109.0 -13.70% $109.0 -13.70%2010 $99.4 -8.87% $99.4 -8.87%2011 $102.7 3.36% $102.7 3.36%2012 $107.9 5.06% $107.9 5.06%2013 $113.8 5.46% $113.8 5.46%2014 $121.8 7.03% $120.5 5.95% $1.22015 $126.0 3.48% $127.7 5.91% -$1.72016 $133.9 6.24% $134.9 5.66% -$1.02017 $140.2 4.73% $142.1 5.33% -$1.92018 $147.1 4.94% $149.2 5.03% -$2.12019 $153.2 4.14% $156.3 4.71% -$3.12020 $159.5 4.13% $162.8 4.16% -$3.22021 $165.9 4.01% $170.1 4.47% -$4.12022 $172.9 4.19% $177.7 4.47% -$4.82023 $180.0 4.08% $184.8 4.03% -$4.92024 $187.5 4.18% $192.5 4.15% -$5.02025 $195.3 4.19% $200.5 4.19% -$5.22026 $118.7 4.18% $121.8 4.12% -$3.1Actuals 06-14 $962.2 0.2% $960.9 0.0% $1.2Forecast 15-26 $1,880.3 4.4% $1,920.3 4.7% -$40.020 Year Total $2,842.4 2.7% $2,881.2 2.8% -$38.8

Revenue Forecast - PTF

ADOT provides a long term forecast of PTF revenues based on Maricopa County Transportation Excise Tax. Questions and Answers Councilmember Sherwood asked if they (ADOT) update this annually. Mr. McCormack said yes, they have a team of economists that come together, look at all the inputs, and prepare the forecast. Councilmember Klapp asked if the forecast change is reflected by the negative numbers in the left column. It all adds up to the total change. Mr. McCormack said yes. Councilmember Sherwood asked if it fluctuates from year-to-year. Mr. McCormack said it fluctuates. Councilmember Klapp asked why it is 3% in 2015 and 7% in 2016. Mr. McCormack said ADOT saw slowing in sales tax when compiling forecast. Vice Mayor Pizzillo asked if the 3.4% includes the entire category of sales tax, is it subject or are there specific categories where these pools of monies come from.

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Mr. McCormack said we report the categories or transactions taxed in our CAFR report We will advise the BFS any areas of exclusion. Councilmember Klapp asked if the ADOT forecast was done in December. Mr. McCormack said ADOT prepared this in the fall and gave to Valley Metro in December. Councilmember Klapp asked if we receive interim forecasts. Mr. McCormack said we receive this once a year. Councilmember Sherwood asked about trends in the projections because the projection has dropped by 25% and they have gone up 21% with an overall 4% drop when looking at the 20-year number beginning in 2006. Mr. McCormack said since the original projections that Prop. 400 and the Regional Transportation Plan were funded; there has been a 40% loss of total revenue due to the great recession.

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Revenue Forecast

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This is the five year federal forecast (FY15 – FY 20). The operating revenues are $10 million in FY15 and FY16 and drop and drop in FY20 $6 - $7 million. These federal revenues are programmed in our Regional Transportation Investment Plan with the exception of FY19 and FY20. Risk related to this forecast is with the overall federal revenues made available by Congress. Our expectation is consistent with the MAG forecast approach; which is, we expect overall formula funds to remain flat. Questions and Answers Vice Mayor Pizzillo asked when does federal money run out. Ms. McLaren said in May of 2015, the current federal continuing resolution runs out.

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FY16 Revenues $285.7M

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In FY16, total revenues for RPTA are $286 million. These numbers are compared to last year’s budget.

FY16 Expenditures $285.7M

8

Mr. McCormack reviewed the expenditures and reason for increase or decrease.

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Baseline: Fixed Route Bus

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FY15 FY16 ChangePassenger Boardings 17,552,346 17,727,822 1%Vehicle Revenue miles delivered 11,780,473 11,876,349 1%

Number of Routes operated 49 49 Number of Fleet (VOMS) 268 268

Boardings per Revenue Mile 1.49 1.49 0%Operating cost per passenger $4.04 $4.08 1%

Operating Costs $70,829,656 $72,307,153 2%Fare Revenues $13,666,247 $14,275,542 4%Fare Recovery 19.3% 19.7%

Mr. McCormack reviewed baseline assumptions for fixed route bus. Questions and Answers Vice Mayor Pizzillo asked if the 25% fare recovery target includes paying fares. Mr. McCormack said yes. Vice Mayor Pizzillo asked what is the percentage now if you remove the costs for non – paying circulator routes. Mr. McCormack said 23.5 – 24% Councilmember Klapp asked how many cities have non – fare paying circulators. Ms. McLaren said a few communities have them in their downtown systems. John McCormack said Tempe, Phoenix, maybe a half dozen. (Verified later Phoenix, Mesa, Scottsdale, and Tempe) Councilmember Klapp asked how they get them. Mr. McCormack said they are funded by the member cities. The cities choose to put the service in place and fund locally. Valley Metro operates the circulator service in Tempe.

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Fixed Route Bus – Fuel Cost FY16 East Valley (Tempe Facility)

1010

Tempe Facility Fuel Mileage Gallons Cost/Gal. Total

LNG to CNG* 7,412,151 1,906,410 $ 1.58 $ 3,014,034

Diesel 821,735 271,188 $ 2.50 $ 677,970

LNG* 466,236 367,498 $ 0.93 $ 341,773

Unleaded 174,175 76,853 $ 2.10 $ 161,391

Subtotal 8,874,297 2,621,949 $ 4,195,168

Contingency $ 315,376

Total $ 4,510,544

*LbD is converted to CbD in Tempe. Budget combines both as LbD. This slide shows how we build our fuel projection.

Paratransit Demand Service

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FY15 FY16 ChangePassenger Boardings 476,315 521,844 10%Trips delivered 435,316 477,358 10%

Operating cost per Trip $28.13 $29.09 3%

Operating Costs (Gross Project Costs) $12,244,122 $13,888,290 13%Fare Revenues $1,540,711 $1,749,604 14%Fare Recovery 12.6% 12.6% 0%

Paratransit includes a number of different programs. We operate in the West and East Valley and have a Ride-Choice program.

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Vanpool Program

12* Fuel costs are paid by passengers directly and not a part of operating costs shown

FY15 FY16 ChangePassenger Boardings 1,166,424 1,239,326 6%Vehicle Revenue miles delivered 6,104,716 6,486,261 6%

Number of Vanpools operated 400 425 6%Number of Fleet 432 457 6%

Boardings per Revenue Mile 0.19 0.19 0%Operating cost per passenger $0.87 $0.84 -3%

Operating Costs * $1,012,104 $1,045,338 3%Fare Revenues $1,045,388 $1,087,152 4%Fare Recovery 103% 104% 1%

Regional Services

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Questions and Answers Councilmember Sherwood asked what the cost driver was for Service and Capital Planning in FY15. Mr. McCormack said the Origins and Destinations Survey was the major project in FY15 that will be completed.

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FIVE YEAR PLAN OVERVIEWFY 2016 THROUGH FY 2020

Valley Metro RPTA

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Five Year Operating Assumptions

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• The Public Transportation Fund grows by approximately 4.5% annually

• Fares grow by 2% annually; with a fare increase assumed in FY17

• Paratransit ridership drives an 8.6% increase in number of trips delivered

• Operating Contracts three percent (3%) general• Fixed Route bus contract rates will rise• Evaluating impacts of recent ATU settlements• Years FY17 and beyond will be updated

• Planning, Administration, and Regional Services costs annual inflated two percent (2%)

Mr. McCormack reviewed the operating assumptions. Questions and Answers Councilmember Sherwood asked if a portion of the growth of paratransit ridership will be offset by non-ADA fare increases. Mr. McCormack said the cities who have adopted the higher fares have shown reduction in rate of growth. Councilmember Klapp said we are showing a 10% growth in FY16, but 8.6% in the assumptions. Mr. McCormack said the assumption is a five – year and growth is anticipated to smooth out.

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Five Year Operating AssumptionsProposed Fixed Route Service Changes

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FY 2016:Enhance service on Route 72, Scottsdale/Rural Road Reduced service on the Main Street and Arizona LINKs due to the LRT extension

FY 2017:No service changes

FY 2018:Begin Route 104 Saturday service in Chandler

FY 2019:Begin PTF funding of Route 50 in Scottsdale

For FY 2020:Begin PTF funding of the Avondale portion of Routes 562 and 563

Mr. McCormack reviewed the operating assumptions for fixed route service changes.

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0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20

Bus Fleet Purchases by Member CityFive Year Plan FY16-FY20

Glendale Phoenix RPTA Scottsdale Tempe

There are a total of 465 bus units that are planned for replacement and 18 for expansion over the five year period. The color coding shows which member cities will be the capital owner of the vehicles.

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18

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20

Vanpool Purchases by TypeFive Year Plan FY16-FY20

Replacement Expansion

The blue are the 312 replacement units. The red are 112 expansion units over the next five years.

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$0.0

$1.0

$2.0

$3.0

$4.0

$5.0

$6.0

$7.0

$8.0

$9.0

FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20

$ m

illio

ns

Facilities and EquipmentFive Year Plan FY16-FY20

Facilities Equipment

FY16 Facilities and Equipment:

Scottsdale/ Rural Road bus stop improvements and traffic signal priority

Peoria Transit Center & PNR59th Avenue and Laveen PNRNorth Glendale PNR

51 Bus APC installationsRegional Communications UpgradeFare Collection System Development

State of Good Repair34 Bus engine rebubilds/ 5 transmissions

Over the next three years we will have facilities expenditures related to the Scottsdale Rural Road bus stop improvements and three park and rides under construction. Equipment expenditures will include Automatic Passenger Counters (APC) installation in 51 buses, a regional communication upgrade, and development of fare collection system to include mobile ticketing and smart card options. Questions and Answers Councilmember Sherwood asked how many buses we currently have APC’s on. Ms. McLaren said they are currently on all our light rail vehicles and 20 or 30 buses. Councilmember Sherwood asked if we intend to install on all buses. Mr. McCormack and Ms. McLaren said yes.

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Fund Balance Projection

This chart shows 2006 to 2026 with bus in green and rail in purple. Questions and Answers Vice Mayor Pizzillo asked if we drop below policy minimum in 2018. Mr. McCormack said the policy minimum relates to the bus program – operating. Rail does not yet have a policy minimum other than year over year we must have a positive fund balance and the 20 year program must be fiscally balanced. Vice Mayor Pizzillo asked if we will be implementing a rail capital minimum fund balance policy. Mr. McCormack said we have not spent a lot of time on it at present due to the availability of bond funding to construct the projects. Councilmember Sherwood asked what Mr. McCormack’s opinion is on establishing a policy. Mr. McCormack said it is not necessary at this point in time. A policy minimum will need to be set in the last five years as our ability to bond will be diminished. Other sources of financing will be reviewed. Councilmember Sherwood asked how Prop. 400 will be affected at the end of the decade. Mr. McCormack said any debt we incur must be paid back by the end of this tax. There is no carryover of debt. The sales tax fully secures the debt and there are no collateral liabilities RPTA or the member cities.

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Fund Balance Projection

Budget Schedule FY16

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Jan 14th -- Board approves Agency goalsFeb 19th -- Board approves service changes effective April 2015Feb 20th – Preliminary FY16 Budget delivered to Fin. Working GroupFeb 27th – Executive Summary / 5 year Plan posted to website

Mar 20th – 30 day review period….Member City Comments

Mar 25th -- Draft Budget delivered to TMC / BFSApr 1st -- Budget presented for information to TMCApr 2nd -- Budget presented for information to BFSApr 16th -- Budget presented to Board of Directors for information

May 21st -- Board Meeting – Budget Adoption

Questions and Answers Councilmember Klapp asked if member city comments are shared with board members. Mr. McCormack said we receive comments on the budget through the Financial Working Groups and also provide responses to the Regional Transit Advisory Group (RTAG).

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4. Renewal and Restatement of the LRT Program Agreement

Valley Metro RPTA Budget and Finance Subcommittee

March 5, 2015LRT Program Agreement

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PURPOSETo inform the subcommittee about the upcoming extension and restatement of the interagency LRT Program Agreement designating VMR as the Lead Agency to manage the light rail portion of the TLCP.

The restated agreement establishes a security interest for bond disbursements which RPTA advances to VMR to advance light rail projects.

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LRT Program AgreementRenewal and Restatement

Councilmember Sherwood introduced John McCormack to present the program agreement.

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General Terms of the Agreement:

1. First executed, June 2006

2. RPTA designates VMR as Lead Agency to plan, designand construct the LRT component of the RTP.

3. 43.24% of total PTF is allocated for LRT; RPTAreimburses VMR for eligible expenses incurred.

4. VMR becomes owner of record of capital assetsconstructed with RPTA funding; participating citiesbecome the owner of real estate purchased and occupiedby LRT assets.

5. VMR Annual Budget and Five Year Plan demonstratesfiscally-constrained plan of projected project expenses.

6. Five Year term; Last renewed March 2010

LRT Program AgreementRenewal and Restatement

Mr. McCormack reviewed the general terms of the agreement.

Outline of Changes Proposed:

1. Extends the term of the agreement to June 30, 2020

2. The requirement for the security interest is to ensure theequitable treatment of each agency’s balance sheet netposition with respect to the bond-related proceeds anddebt.

3. Commencing July 1, 2014, ownership in Light Rail ProjectAssets funded by Lead Agency Bond Disbursements willtransfer from RPTA to VMR on a schedule commensuratewith collection of sales taxes which secure the bonds andwith the payment of scheduled debt service for the bondfunds utilized.

4. The security interest will be recorded as inter-agencyreceivable and payable and will not impact agencyoperational budgets or funding.

LRT Program AgreementRenewal and Restatement

John McCormack reviewed the LRT Program Agreement. The purpose for the security interest is to preserve the RPTA bond ratings by maintaining positive net position in the annual Comprehensive Annual Financial Report (CAFR). RPTA borrows and passes bond funds to advance light rail projects. This results in a negative net position as RPTA has not collected sales tax to pay the bond service. The security interest will allow RPTA to hold an intra-agency receivable until the debt service is paid. See next slide.

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2929

LRT Program AgreementRenewal and Restatement

Restated agreement establishes a security interest for bond disbursements which RPTA advances to Valley Metro Rail to advance light rail projects. The advance bond proceeds indicate the projected amount of the inter-agency receivable.

Questions and Answers Councilmember Klapp asked if rail shows an asset on the balance sheet. Mr. McCormack said yes. The Valley Metro Rail balance sheet records the assets funded by the bonds as construction proceeds. Valley Metro Rail will show an offsetting inter-agency payable to RPTA for the advance bond proceeds.

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5. Cash Investment Management Services Update

Councilmember Sherwood introduced John McCormack.

April Board Request

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Goal:Maximize return on cash and investments in accordance with the RPTA Investment Policy and ARS Title 35 policies

Request for proposals for the delivery of Investment Management Services (IMS) to be funded by a portion of the investment earnings to be generated by the RPTA investment pool.

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Valley Metro RPTACash Investment Management

ServicesBudget and Finance Subcommittee

March 5, 2015

31

Valley Metro RPTACash Investment Management

ServicesBudget and Finance Subcommittee

March 5, 2015

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Cash and InvestmentsDecember 31, 2014

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The major changes were revenue bond proceeds were at $98 million as of June 30. We have spent down $50 million due to construction. The annual yield was .08% basis points last year. We have since made changes in the investment structure to raise the yield to .24% basis points.

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Cash and InvestmentsInterest Earnings

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Description

Interest EarningsFirst Six Months

Interest Earnings

For 2/28/15Total- YTD

ActualTotal- FY15

Fcst RPTA Market Rate Savings - old account 1 24,106$ -$ 24,106$ 24,106$ RPTA Market Rate Savings - new account 2 9,246.77 24,608.64 33,855.41 50,783 Metro Market Rate Savings 3 54,173.35 9,017.23 63,190.58 94,786 WF Securities - Certificate on Deposit 4 15,106.34 2,958.66 18,065.00 27,098 2014 Revenue Bonds Debt Service 5 108.45 22.45 130.90 196 2014 Revenue Bonds Proceeds 6 33,733.89 (8,268.46) 25,465.43 60,357 2014 Revenue Bonds COI 7 0.44 0.06 0.50 1 Senior Debt Service Tax Exempt 09 Rail LGIP 7 8 429.41 122.83 552.24 828 Senior Debt Service Tax Exempt 09 Bus LGIP 7 9 390.37 111.66 502.03 753 Senior Debt Service Taxable 09 Rail LGIP 7 10 82.33 13.22 95.55 143 Senior Debt Service Taxable 09 Bus LGIP 7 11 92.88 15.17 108.05 162 PTF-RARF -State of AZ Pool 5 LGIP 12 11,638.95 2,634.03 14,272.98 21,409 PTF-Bus -State of AZ Pool 5 LGIP 13 112.32 21.74 134.06 201 PTF-LRT -State of AZ Pool 5 LGIP 14 181.63 35.15 216.78 325

149,403$ 31,292$ 180,696$ 281,150$

Mr. McCormack reviewed interest earnings. Questions and Answers Vice Mayor Pizzillo asked how we will pay the portfolio manager and if we will do better than depositing in the state fund. Mr. McCormack said we would pay the portfolio manager out of the anticipated increased yields and will be analyzing if we will do better versus depositing in the state fund.

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35

Cash and InvestmentsForecast FY15 thru FY17

This slide shows a forecast of cash and investment balances each quarter.

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Investment Management Service

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Optimize investment returns by extending maturity dates for investments which are permitted by RPTA policy.

Make recommendations for new investment instruments.

RPTA Board must approve any changes to Investment Policy prior to adding new investment instruments.

Mr. McCormack outlined the goals of the investment program and responsibilities of the contractor. Councilmember Daniels voiced strong support based on the experience of the Town of Gilbert. Investing, with consideration to the risk involved, is the most responsible approach to ensure good stewardship of taxpayer dollars. Policies are key to providing protection for the organization and taxpayer dollars.

6. Future BFS Agenda Items

Councilmember Sherwood called for any future agenda items. There were none.

7. Next Meeting The next meeting is scheduled for Thursday, April 2, 2015 at 12:00 p.m. CHAIR SHERWOOD ADJOURNED THE MEETING. The meeting concluded at 1:25 p.m.

VALLEY METRO • 101 N 1ST AVE • STE 1300 • PHOENIX AZ • 85003 • 602-262-7433

DATE AGENDA ITEM 3 March 27, 2015 SUBJECT Valley Metro Fiscal Year 2016 (FY16) Operating and Capital Budget and Five-Year Operating Forecast and Capital Program (FY16 thru FY20) PURPOSE To provide information to the Board of Directors regarding the FY16 Budget and Five-Year Operating Forecast and Capital Program (FY16 thru FY20). BACKGROUND/DISCUSSION/CONSIDERATION The Valley Metro Regional Public Transportation Authority (RPTA) FY16 combined operating and capital budget (the budget) is $284.7 million (M) and includes $133.9M in projects funded with Proposition 400 Public Transportation Fund (PTF) revenues. Of the $133.9M PTF revenues, $76.0M is for bus operating and bus capital and $57.9M is for light rail/high capacity transit capital. The preliminary FY16 operating and capital budget has been prepared with the goal of delivering a fiscally prudent, balanced budget using carry forwards, reserves and bond proceeds. The budget was developed in compliance with Board of Directors’ adopted budget, financial and Transit Life Cycle Program (TLCP) policies. The annual budget is prepared on an accrual basis and adopted by the Board of Directors each fiscal year. The legal level of budgetary control is the total annual appropriated budget. With respect to Capital Budgets, project contingency accounting is used to control expenditures within available project funding limits. With respect to Operating Budgets, encumbrance accounting is not used and all appropriations lapse at the end of the year. Prior to final adoption, a proposed budget is presented to the Board of Directors for review and public comment is received. Final adoption of the budget must be on or before June 30 of each year. The total operating budget of $158.7M represents a $5.1M (3.3%) increase from the previous year’s operating budget of $153.6M. The total capital budget of $126.0M represents a $45.1M (26.4%) decrease from the previous year’s capital budget of $171.1M. The major factor causing the decrease in the capital budget is a reduced level of LRT construction. Details and explanations of the major budget changes are discussed in the attached Budget Analysis and Overview document. With the agency integration, the RPTA and Valley Metro Rail (VMR) budgets are developed with a unified staff plan, with department managers planning the level of effort required to meet the bus and rail activities. Salary and overhead charges to bus and rail projects are based on actual time worked on each project. For FY16 there are 312 employees budgeted in the integrated agency, with 129 FTE’s budgeted to RPTA activities and 183 budgeted to VMR activities. Compensation budget based on 3%

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increase. For staff salary changes, merit increases are evaluated based on employee performance; division level control to manage total costs within budget. Valley Metro completed a comprehensive survey of positions and pay grades with regional governmental agencies as well as transit peer cities located in the Western US. Pay grades are increasing by 2% in response to inflation trends which have occurred since last changes to agency-wide pay grades in July 2007. COMMITTEE PROCESS Preliminary Budget Review: Financial Working Group: February 24, 2015 for information RTAG: March 17, 2015 for information TMC: April 1, 2015 for information Budget and Finance Subcommittee: April 2, 2015 for information Board of Directors: April 16, 2015 for information Proposed Budget Adoption: TMC: May 6, 2015 for action Budget and Finance Subcommittee: May 14, 2015 for action Board of Directors: May 21, 2015 for action RECOMMENDATION This item is being presented for information only. CONTACT John P. McCormack Chief Financial Officer 602-495-7433 [email protected] ATTACHMENT Valley Metro Fiscal Year 2016 (FY16) Operating and Capital Budget and Five-Year Operating Forecast and Capital Program (FY16 thru FY20) Executive Summary A full copy of the Valley Metro Rail, Inc. Fiscal Year 2016 (FY16) Operating and Capital Budget and Five-Year Operating Forecast and Capital Program (FY 2016 thru 2020) can be found on our website.

Executive Summary - Fiscal Year 2016 Valley Metro Preliminary Annual Operating and Capital Budget

Valley Metro provides public transportation services for Maricopa County located in the Phoenix,

Arizona metropolitan area. The FY16 Preliminary Budget covers the 12 month period ending June 30,

2016. Services include fixed-route bus, paratransit, dial-a-ride, vanpool, regional planning, marketing,

customer service, alternative transportation, trip reduction, and fiscal management of Regional Public

Transportation Funds.

FY16 Sources of Funds

Total Sources of Funds for FY16 are $284.7M, a decrease of $40.0M or 12% from FY15. For FY16, PTF

sales tax revenues are increasing by $6.2M or 5% above last year. Federal Grant revenues are

decreasing by $4.7M (12%) primarily a reduction of CMAQ capital funding due to restructuring of the

Scottsdale/Rural Road corridor. For budget purposes, funding sources include bond proceeds in the

year of issuance. Consumption of those bond funds and cash reserves are down in FY16 to $35.9M due

to construction level decreases for light rail capital projects which are nearing completion.

$0.0 $20.0 $40.0 $60.0 $80.0 $100.0 $120.0 $140.0

Public Transportation Funds

Transit Service Agreements

Federal Grants

METRO Rail Reimbursement

Fixed Route Fare Revenues

AZ Lottery Proceeds

Regional Area Road Funds

Other Revenues

Carry forwards and Reserves

FY16 FY15 Valley Metro RPTA Sources of Funds FY16 vs FY15

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FY16 Uses of Funds

Total Uses of Funds for FY16 are $284.7M, a decrease of $40.0M or 12% from FY15. Lead Agency

Disbursements are decreasing by $9.3M due to decrease in construction activity for light rail projects,

offset by increases in ADA disbursement and lead agency disbursements for regional bus fleet. Transit

service contracts and fuel are increasing by $4.5M or 5% primarily due to programmed contract rate

increases for bus services and paratransit ridership demand increases. Capital Expenditures are down

$4.6M primarily due to reductions in land acquisition and improvements of $14.0M related to

Scottsdale/Rural Road LINK project offset by increases in regional fleet and equipment purchases of

$9.4M. Lead Agency Bond disbursements are decreasing by $31.0M due to decreased LRT capital

construction activity on the Northwest Extension in Phoenix and Central Mesa Extension. In FY16, Carry

forwards to Reserves include $0.3M in capital reserve increases.

$0.0 $20.0 $40.0 $60.0 $80.0 $100.0

Lead agency disbursements

Transit service contracts & fuel

Capital

RPTA & METRO Personnel Costs

Bond Principal & Interest

Contractual Agreements

AZ Lottery Disbursements

Lead Agency Bond Disbursements

Other Costs

Carry forwards to Reserves

FY16 FY15 Valley Metro RPTA Uses of Funds FY16 vs FY15

3

Valley Metro FY16 Budget Baseline Service Assumptions:

Fixed Route Bus Services

East and West Valley routes operated by Valley Metro will continue FY15 service levels;

Fleet of 268 units to deliver 11.9 million vehicle revenue miles serving 17.7 million

passenger trips in the coming year.

Combination of local bus, regional express and circulators.

Dial-a-Ride and Paratransit Services

East and West Valley demand response ADA and Non-ADA services operated by Valley

Metro will continue to serve portions of Maricopa County and the cities of El Mirage,

Peoria, Sun City, Surprise and Youngtown in the West Valley and Chandler, Gilbert,

Mesa, Scottsdale and Tempe in the East Valley.

For eligible ADA passengers, level of service is based on passenger reservation demand

within service areas and hours of operation covered by fixed route bus routes.

For Non-ADA passengers, service levels are set by member cities.

Services are provided by taxi-cab; estimated at 477,000 annual passenger trips.

Vanpool Services

Service levels are anticipated to increase over FY15 with 425 vehicles delivering 1.2

million passenger trips

Regional Call Center and ADA Compliance Center

Customer Service levels anticipated to remain similar to FY15 for fixed route bus and

rail.

ADA Certification and travel training levels anticipated to increase to 4,850 with aging

population and greater emphasis of moving passengers to fully utilize fixed route

services to complement dial a ride services.

Capital Procurement

96 standard bus replacements (86 lead agency units Phoenix, 8 units Scottsdale, 2 units

Glendale)

15 expansion buses for RPTA, 3 for Scottsdale

30 lead agency paratransit fleet units for Phoenix

106 Vanpool units (81 replacement and 25 expansion vehicles)

$5.3M in Park & Rides, bus stop amenities, and facilities

$1.4M in vehicle communication systems, signal priority for Scottsdale/Rural Roads

4

Valley Metro FY16 Initiatives:

Improving Passenger Services

Year 3 East Valley Bus Services Unification

In FY14, Valley Metro combined Tempe and Mesa based fixed route operations resulting in greater efficiency

Savings to Region enables stretching our sales tax revenues to provide more service

Year 4 East Valley Dial-a-Ride

In FY13, Valley Metro instituted a taxi-based Dial-a-Ride System

Passengers receive direct route trips getting to destination faster

Savings enables passengers to receive more trips versus traditional Dial-a-Ride

Regional Services Marketing Initiatives

Improve passenger information systems o Upgrade the Valley Metro website providing simpler navigation, greater

accessibility and further integration of fare purchasing tools and use by mobile

devices.

o Begin implementation of an improved rider alerts system to notify customers of

service delays on multiple platforms including the website, trip planner, text

message and mobile devices.

o Evolve the Transit Book to better integrate new technologies and reduce waste.

o Continue the roll-out of the new Ridekick™ mobile application, which provides

riders with trip planning services, interactive maps and the ability to bookmark

their favorite routes.

o Continue wayfinding program improvements by implementing new signage at

regional park-and-rides.

Projection of Costs

$ millions

East Valley Fixed Route Bus Service FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16

Costs before Unification $67.3 $69.3 $71.4 $73.5

(assumes 3% per year inflation)

Costs after Unification N/A $60.6 $65.8 $67.1

Estimated cost savings $8.7 $5.5 $6.4

12% 8% 9%

East Valley Dial-a-Ride Service FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 Fcst FY16 Fcst

Trips Delivered 203,000 252,000 283,000 305,000 325,000

Net Program Cost after Fares $M 8.822$ 6.798$ 7.667$ 7.634$ 8.568$

Net Cost per Trip 43.46$ 27.00$ 27.05$ 25.01$ 26.34$

5

Implement three advertising campaigns targeting public/driver safety, attracting new

riders and communicating the value of transit.

Planning Initiatives

Origins and Destinations Study – Every three to four years Valley Metro undertakes an

Origins and Destinations (O&D) Survey and involves an on-board and intercept survey of

light rail and bus passengers on the region-wide transit system. The output of the

survey is used to calibrate the regional travel model maintained by MAG as well as

providing valuable passenger information to the agency as it undertakes optimization of

service and capital planning. The O&D Survey results will be published in FY16.

Transit Standards and Performance Measures – The development of Transit Service

Standards and Performance Measures allows Valley Metro to work collaboratively with

member agencies to refine regional service and capital facilities and fleet standards and

relevant performance measures. These standards and performance measures will serve

as the basis for Valley Metro’s evolution to an improved performance-based transit

network. Developing Regional Standards for Facilities and fleet will be the focal point in

FY16.

Overall Agency Administration

Information Systems Improvements

Implementation of I.T. long range plan to ensure systems reliably meet growing data

volume and security challenges.

Continuation of network equipment life cycle updates and upgrades to achieve 24-7

operations with zero down time.

Advancing staff development to meet rapid rate of technology change in both network

and business applications.

Continuing vigilance to meet PCI data security standards including active penetration

testing and ongoing remediation for technology hardware, software and user interface.

Agency Staff Overview

Valley Metro RPTA and VMR budgets are developed with a unified staff plan; with department managers

planning the level of effort required to meet the bus and rail activities. For FY16, there are 312

employees budgeted in the integrated agency; with 129 FTE’s budgeted to RPTA activities and 183

budgeted to VMR activities. Staffing levels are reviewed on an annual basis with zero-base analysis of

level of effort requirements to fulfill work requirements in the five year period commencing with the

beginning of the new fiscal year (July 1). Salary and Fringe Benefit compensation levels are measured

against comparable regional agencies, member cities and peer transit agencies located in the Western

USA.

6

Compensation and fringe benefit assumptions for FY 16 include:

• Total compensation budget based on 3% increase. For staff salary changes, merit

increases are based on employee performance; division level control to manage total

salary and fringe costs within budget.

• Agency health care costs will increase. Program design adjustments to hold total agency

fringe benefit cost increases to within 3% of FY 15 levels.

• Sixteen new agency positions are planned to address increased operations maintenance

activities and IT network security administration. (See table below)

Staffing cost analysis

FY 16 FY 15 change pct change

$ million

FTE 312 296 16 5%

Salaries 18.9$ 17.8$ 1.1$ 6%

Fringe Benefits 7.5$ 7.1$ 0.4$ 6%

Total Salary and Fringe Benefits 26.4$ 24.9$ 1.5$ 6%

Analysis of changes Salary Fringe Total

Base Compensation FY15 17.8$ 7.1$ 24.9$

Base increase 0.6$ 0.2$ 0.8$

New Positions 0.5$ 0.2$ 0.7$

New Base Compensation FY16 18.9$ 7.5$ 26.4$

FY16 Preliminary Budget vs. FY15 Adopted Budget 1.5$

Title Division Scope of Work

Sr. Network Engineer Administration

Sr. IT - Systems Engineer Administration

LRV Maintenance Technician I (4) Operations - Rail

LRV Maintenance Technician II Operations - Rail

LRV Inspector (3) Operations - Rail

Sig/Comm Maintainer (2) Operations - Rail

Traction Power (2) Operations - Rail

Track Maintainer (2) Operations - Rail

IT-Positions required to support planned IT expansion and additional responsibilities

Additonal positions to support the opening of six miles additional Rail Service

The Central Mesa and Northwest Extensions commence operations in October 2015

and July 2016 respectively

State of good repair schedule increases number of rebuilds of major components for

Light Rail Vehicles and Systems Components

7

Overall Financial Summary FY16 Preliminary Budget

In the table below detailed Revenues and Expenses are shown with comparisons to the prior year

Adopted Budget and Revised Budget. Amounts of Increase or (Decrease) are shown from the Adopted

Budget. The Note column on the far right side indicates reference to explanations which are provided

on pages following the tables.

Valley Metro

Regional Public Transportation Authority

FY16 Prelim Operating & Capital Budget

Comparison to FY15 Adopted Budget

(In thousands)

FY16 FY15 FY15 Amount Percent***

Prelim Adopted Revised Increase/ Increase/ **

Budget Budget Decrease (Decrease) Note

Sources of funds

Revenues:

Public transportation funds (PTF) $ 133,866 $ 127,672 $ 125,539 $ 6,194 5% (1)

Transit service agreements 30,107 29,358 29,579 749 3% (2)

Federal grants 33,658 38,377 13,954 (4,719) -12% (3)

VMR staff & administration reimbursement 16,889 15,274 15,274 1,615 11% (4)

Regional area road funds (RARF) 4,782 4,711 4,711 71 2%

Interest & other revenues 1,377 852 852 525 62% (5)

Local participation 199 222 222 (23) -10%

State & local grants 449 569 569 (120) -21%

Fixed Route Fare Revenues 16,141 16,139 16,139 2 0%

AZ Lottery Proceeds 11,250 11,475 11,475 (225) -2%

Total revenues 248,718 244,649 218,314 4,069 2%

Bond proceeds - - - - 0%

Carryforwards & reserves 35,932 79,993 73,681 (44,061) -55% (6)

Total revenues & other sources of funds $ 284,650 $ 324,642 $ 291,995 $ (39,992) -12%

Uses of funds by category

Expenses:

Lead agency PTF disbursements $ 67,685 $ 77,031 $ 70,088 $ (9,346) -12% (7)

Transit service contracts 88,759 84,257 84,830 4,502 5% (8)

Capital outlay 25,882 30,476 5,892 (4,594) -15% (9)

Salary & fringe benefits 26,392 24,873 24,799 1,519 6% (10)

Bond principal & interest expense 24,235 24,239 24,239 (4) 0%

Consultants & Maintenance contracts 3,992 5,631 4,631 (1,639) -29% (11)

Contingency 1,668 1,601 1,430 67 4%

Rent & facility costs 5,063 4,854 4,854 209 4%

Advertising 530 704 704 (174) -25%

Transit book, outreach mat. & online serv. 746 802 802 (56) -7%

Insurance & risk management 266 239 239 27 11%

Safety & security - 19 19 (19) -100%

Lead agency RARF disbursements 500 500 500 - 0%Other administrative costs 2,432 2,088 2,058 344 16% (12)AZ lottery Disbursements 11,200 11,200 11,200 - 0%

Lead agency bond disbursement 25,000 56,016 55,598 (31,016) -55% (13)

Total expenses 284,350 324,530 291,883 (40,180) -12%

Carryforwards & contributions to reserves 300 112 112 188 168%

Total expenses & other uses of funds $ 284,650 $ 324,642 $ 291,995 $ (39,992) -12%

Budget

8

Valley Metro

Regional Public Transportation Authority (RPTA)

FY16 Prelim Operating & Capital Budget Overview

Sources of Funds

Note

1

2

3

4

5

6

Revenues from vehicle disposals result in an increase by $0.3M in FY16. Vanpool farebox revenue is

anticipated to increase by $0.2M in FY16.

Carryforwards & reserves are down by $44.1M due to decreased amount of bond fund balance

spending needed in FY16 for LRT capital construction activity for Northwest Extension and Central

Mesa Extension.

Explanation

Public Transportation Funds from the Maricopa County Transportation Excise Tax are forecasted to

grow by 5%. Forecast is provided by ADOT. Adequate reserves are in place should collections fall

short of ADOT forecast projections.

Service levels operated by Valley Metro have remained stable since the unification of fixed route bus

services in the east valley commencing operation July 1, 2013. Transit service agreements primarily

reflect contractual rate increases from service providers.

Federal Grants overall are down by $4.7M from $38.4M to $33.7M. Primary cause for change is

reduction to CMAQ capital funding due to restructuring of Scottsdale/Rural Road corridor.

Contributions from Valley Metro Rail for staff are higher in FY 15 due to new positions to support an

additional 3.1 miles of service (Central Mesa Extension) beginning in October 2015.

9

Valley Metro

Regional Public Transportation Authority (RPTA)

FY16 Prelim Operating & Capital Budget Overview

Uses of Funds by Category

Note

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

Overall staff cost in FY16 $26.4M is 9% of total budget. Salary and Fringe increase $1.5M, broken

down as follows: base salary and fringe increase $0.8M, new positions $0.7M.

Reductions to consulting contracts are primarily due to decreasing services resulting from the wrap up

of the passenger Origins and Destination study conducted in 2015.

Lead Agency Bond Disbursements are down by $31.0M from $56.0 to $25.0M due to decreased LRT

capital construction activity on the Northwest Extension in Phoenix and Central Mesa Extension.

Other administrative cost increases include employee development and training expenditures to

improve agency performance and increasing data and telecommunication costs.

Decrease in PTF Lead Agency Disbursements is primarily due to a major decrease in construction

activity for light rail projects, offset by increases in ADA disbursements and lead agency

disbursements for regional bus fleet.

Fixed route bus service levels operated by Valley Metro have remained stable since the unification in

the East Valley commencing operation July 1, 2013. Transit service contracts primarily reflect

contractual rate increases from fixed route service providers. Paratransit service levels are forecasted

to increase by 10% and contract rates are scheduled to increase by 3%.

Capital Outlay was reduced by $4.6M due to reductions in land acquisition and improvements of

$14.0M related to the Scottsdale/Rural Road Link project offset by increases in regional fleet and

equipment purchases of $9.4M.

Explanation

10

Valley Metro

Regional Public Transportation Authority

FY16 Prelim Operating & Capital Budget

Comparison to FY15 Adopted Budget

(In thousands)

FY16 FY15 FY15 Amount Percent***

Prelim Adopted Revised Increase/ Increase/ **

Budget Budget Decrease (Decrease) Note

Uses of funds by Division

Operating:

Operations $ 120,318 $ 115,622 $ 116,195 $ 4,695 4% (14)

Communications & Marketing 5,020 4,831 4,831 189 4%

Finance, Administration & Org. Dev. 1,312 1,366 1,366 (54) -4%

Planning & Development 2,184 3,654 3,654 (1,470) -40% (15)

Chief Executive Officer's Division 1,230 1,120 1,120 110 10%

Non-Departmental 28,589 26,974 26,974 1,615 6% (16)

Total Operating Budget 158,653 153,568 154,141 5,085 3.3%

Capital:

Design & Construction 125 101 101 24 24%

Valley Metro Rail 64,044 109,206 108,788 (45,162) -41% (17)

Bus and other transit 61,828 61,767 28,965 61 0%

Total Capital Budget 125,997 171,074 137,854 (45,077) -26%

Total Operating & Capital Budget $ 284,650 $ 324,642 $ 291,995 $ (39,992) -12%

Budget

Valley Metro

Regional Public Transportation Authority (RPTA)

FY16 Prelim Operating & Capital Budget Overview

Uses of Funds by Division

Note

14

15

16

17 Valley Metro Rail capital activities down $45.2M due to decreased lead agency disbursements to

support LRT capital construction.

Explanation

Non-Departmental expenses are up by $1.6M primarily due to Valley Metro Rail staffing to support the

additional 3 miles of rail operations commencing in October 2015. All Valley Metro Rail staff are

employees of the RPTA whose costs are fully funded by Valley Metro Rail Inc. revenue sources.

Operations Division up $4.7M primarily due to programmed contractual increases for Fixed Route bus

service of $1.5M (see project 2015 and 2017), increases in contract payments to City of Phoenix of

$.8M (see Project 2010 ) and increases for paratransit services of $1.2M (see projects 2030, 2047,

2048). ADA lead agency disbursements increase by $0.7M and regional vanpool, customer service,

and contingency up by $0.5M.

Reductions to Planning and Development are primarily due to decreasing consulting services related to

the wrap up of the passenger Origins and Destination study.

11

Summary of the Preliminary Five Year Operating Forecast and Capital Program FY 2016 - FY 2020

The Regional Public Transportation Authority (RPTA) has the primary responsibility of implementing the

operating and capital components of the transit element identified in the 20-year Regional Transportation

Plan (RTP). The operating component includes the expansion of regional fixed route services, high-capacity

transit alternatives, vanpools and paratransit services throughout the region. The capital component of

the transit element of the RTP includes fleet replacement and expansion as well as the development of

new park-and-rides, transit centers, passenger facilities, and maintenance and operations facilities over

the life of the plan. Construction of the light rail RTP components has been designated to VMR by the

RPTA and expenditures are shown as Rail Capital Funding in the Operating Forecast.

For the Five-Year Operating Forecast, the Operations revenues and expenditures are based on current

costs, as used for the development of the preliminary FY16 Operating budget, with an annual inflation

escalation of three percent (3%) for the remaining four years. Other assumptions in the Five-Year

Operating Forecast are as follows:

The Public Transportation Fund grows by approximately 4.5% annually

Fares grow by 2% annually; with a fare increase assumed in FY17

Paratransit ridership drives an 8.6% increase in number of trips delivered

Planning, Administration, and Regional Services costs have been inflated two percent (2%) for the

last four (4) years of the forecast

The proposed service changes within the five-year time period that have been incorporated into the

plan as proposed by the Transit Life Cycle Program are as follows:

FY 2016:

Enhance service on Route 72, Scottsdale/Rural Road

Reduced service on the Main Street and Arizona LINKs due to the LRT extension

FY 2017:

No service changes

FY 2018:

Begin Route 104 Saturday service in Chandler

FY 2019:

Begin PTF funding of Route 50 in Scottsdale

For FY 2020:

Begin PTF funding of the Avondale portion of Routes 562 and 563

12

Summary of the Preliminary Five Year Operating Forecast and Capital Program FY 2016 - FY 2020

Five-Year Operating Forecast FY16-FY20

(thousands)

5-Year

Total

Revenues

Public Transportation Fund (ADOT) 733,932$

PTF Bond Proceeds 61,257

Less: Debt Service Bus & Rail (149,124)

Less: Rail Capital Funding (current) (253,861)

Net PTF for Operations 392,204$

Other Regional Funds 25,749$

Federal Funds 41,119

Transit service reimbursements 165,486

Fare Revenues 96,527

Interest and other revenue 160

Total revenues 721,246$

(thousands)

5-Year

Expenditures Total

Operations

Fixed Route 447,265$

Paratransit - EVDAR 51,398

Alternative Trans. Ridechoice, NWDAR, MS 20,217

Vanpool Service 5,545

ADA 100,992

Total operations expenditures 625,417$

Transportation Demand Management 7,140$

Planning & Administration 24,594

Regional Services 41,731

Safety & Security 1,835

Operations Contingency 1,150

Total expenditures 701,867$

Excess/(deficiency) of revenues

over expenditures - operations 19,379$

Less: Bus Capital Funding (61,699)$

Undesignated fund balance, July 1, 2015 77,512$

Excess/(deficiency) (42,320)

Undesignated fund balance, June 30, 2020 35,192$

The Revenue Operating Forecast

begins with the PTF sales tax

funds, which are estimated by

ADOT team of economists.

Debt Service and Rail Capital

Funding requirements are

deducted to derive PTF available

for operations.

Operations expenditures for the

Five Year period are impacted by

service contract increases and

paratransit demand ridership.

Due to aging population,

paratransit ridership is

forecasted to grow significantly.

Regional Services, Planning and

Admin. costs are forecasted to

grow about 2% per year.

A $19.4M operating surplus is

projected, which will be used to

fund bus capital purchases along

with existing fund balance which

has been built to accommodate

the cyclical bus capital

drawdown.

13

Five-Year Capital Program FY16-FY20

(thousands)

5-Year

Total

Revenues

Public transportation funds 45,158$

FTA - Section 5307 101,542

FTA - Section 5311 1,347

FTA - Section 5337 5,681

FTA - Section 5339 8,245

FHWA - CMAQ 1,741

FHWA - STP 18,322

Vehicle/parts proceeds 1,884

Capital assets reserve applied 570

Vanpool reserve applied 695

Undesig. Fund Balance Applied (PTF) 16,542

Total Revenues 201,726$

(thousands)

5-Year

Total

Expenditures by Project

IT Infrastructure 1,548$

Standard Bus - Replacement 132,399

Standard Bus - Expansion 9,715

Express/BRT - Replacement 7,408

Rural Fleet - Replacement 1,584

Paratransit Fleet - Replacement 1,843

Vanpool Fleet - Replacement 13,707

Vanpool Fleet - Expansion 5,310

Fleet - Other 1,934

Bus/Paratransit O/M Facilities 285

Transit Centers (4-Bay) 2,471

Bus Stop Passenger Amenities 1,073

Park & Rides 9,732

Vehicle Management/Communications Systems 7,702

Fare Collection Systems 2,166

State of Good Repair - Fleet Rebuild 2,850

Total Expenditures 201,726$

Capital Program Funding Sources

include new PTF sales tax and PTF

fund balance that has been

accumulated for cyclical bus fleet

replacement. Total PTF funding

over the five years is $61.7M or

31% of capital revenue.

Federal Funding will provide

$136.9M or 68% of capital

revenue.

Capital Program expenditures for

the upcoming five years are

primarily for fleet replacement and

expansion.

A total of 465 bus units are planned

for replacement and 18 bus units

are planned for expansion.

Vanpool fleet replacements total

323 units, with 125 expansion units

planned.

New Transit Center and Park and

Ride facilities are planned in the

West Valley, upgrades to Vehicle

Communications Systems and Fare

Collection Systems are planned.

VALLEY METRO • 101 N 1ST AVE • STE 1300 • PHOENIX AZ • 85003 • 602-262-7433

DATE AGENDA ITEM 4 March 27, 2015 SUBJECT Fiscal Year 2015 (FY15) Third Quarter Report PURPOSE To provide a quarterly update of activities at Valley Metro.

BACKGROUND/DISCUSSION/CONSIDERATION John McCormack will provide an informational update on the previous quarter ongoing activity at Valley Metro for the Finance Division COST AND BUDGET None COMMITTEE PROCESS RTAG: March 12, 2015 for information TMC: April 1, 2015 for information Budget and Finance Subcommittee: April 2, 2015 for information Board of Directors: April 16, 2015 for information RECOMMENDATION This item is presented for information only. CONTACT John P. McCormack Chief Financial Officer

602-262-7433 [email protected] ATTACHMENT None

VALLEY METRO • 101 N 1ST AVE • STE 1300 • PHOENIX AZ • 602-262-7433

DATE AGENDA ITEM 5 March 27, 2015 SUBJECT Future BFS Agenda Item Requests PURPOSE For information BACKGROUND/DISCUSSION/CONSIDERATION Chair Sherwood will request future BFS agenda items from members.

May 2015 Tentative Agenda

• FY16 Budget & FY 16 – 20 Five Year Plan for approval • Draft Transit Life Cycle Program – 2015 Update for information

COST AND BUDGET None COMMITTEE PROCESS None RECOMMENDATION For information only CONTACT John P. McCormack Chief Financial Officer 602-495-7433 [email protected] ATTACHMENTS None

VALLEY METRO • 101 N 1ST AVE • STE 1300 • PHOENIX AZ • 602-262-7433

DATE AGENDA ITEM 6 March 27, 2015 SUBJECT Next Meeting PURPOSE For information and discussion BACKGROUND/DISCUSSION/CONSIDERATION The next meeting of the BFS is tentatively scheduled for Thursday, May 14, 2015 at 12:00 p.m.

COST AND BUDGET None COMMITTEE PROCESS None RECOMMENDATION For information only CONTACT John P. McCormack Chief Financial Officer 602-495-7433 [email protected] ATTACHMENTS None