measuring conjoint vulnerabilities in italy: an asset based approach
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Measuring conjoint vulnerabilities in Italy: an asset based approach. Adolfo Morrone [email protected]. La multidimensionalità della povertà: come la ricerca può supportare le politiche locali Roma, 22 e 23 maggio 2012. Introduction. Vulnerability is broader than economic insecurity. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Measuring conjoint vulnerabilities in Italy: an asset
based approach
Adolfo Morrone [email protected]
La multidimensionalità della povertà: come la ricerca può supportare le politiche locali
Roma, 22 e 23 maggio 2012
Introduction
• Vulnerability is broader than economic insecurity.
• Refers to exposure to (material, physical, psychological) harm from one or more risks.
• Many definitions, measurement approaches for different risk contexts.
• Aim of project was to explore the usefulness of the “asset-based” approach to provide a common framework for the statistical measurement of vulnerable populations.
The asset based approach
• Focuses on the resources people can draw on to manage diverse risks.
• Ability to minimise well-being losses after a crisis (e.g. job loss, ill health) depends on people’s assets.
“A person (or household) is vulnerable to future loss of well-being below some socially-accepted norms if he
or she lacks (or is strongly disadvantaged in the distribution of) assets which are crucial for resilience
to risks.”
The asset based approach (2)
• Assets considered in a broad sense.• Tangible and intangible stocks of wealth used
by households/individuals to generate well-being:– Economic capital– Human capital– Social capital– Collective assets
The role of asset in reducing vulnerability
• Assets are highly interrelated– High levels of one type are likely to
reinforce other types.– But substitutability of different types of
assets in the asset portfolio is important.• Assets reduce vulnerability through:1. Risk reduction2. Risk mitigation 3. Coping
Seven indicators available in EU-SILC 2009
Economic capital•Proportion of the population who do not own their own home• Proportion of the population which cannot afford an unexpectd
expense (subjective liquid asset poverty)
Human capital• Proportion of the population with less than ISCED 3 attainment in
education • Proportion of adults facing limitations in daily activities due to
health issues
Social capital• People never going out with friends
Collective assets• Proportion of people reporting unmet medical care need• Proportion of people excluded from 2 essential services
Equal weights
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
0 1 2 3 4 5 6-7
North-westNorth-eastCenterSouth
Distribution of vulnerabilitiesDistribution of vulnerabilities by geographical areas. People 25-64 years old. EU-Silc 2009
Number of vulnerabilities
Cutoff (k)=3
Great differences in the percentage of vulnerable peoplePercentage of vulnerable people (k=3) by region. People 25-64 years old. EU-Silc 2009
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Three
Italy
At risk of poverty
The intensity is higly correlated with the proportion of vulnerable people
Distribution of the MVI
Risk of poverty increses with MVI
Equal MVI different distribution of vulnerabilities
MVI=22,1A=53,6H=41,2
18,3 14,6
19,921,2
21,2 22,1
7,7 9,1
16,2 14,7
3,7 6,9
13,0 11,2
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Campania Sicilia
Excluded from twoessential services
Reporting unmet medicalcare need
Never going out withfriends
Limitations in dailyactivities due to healthissues
Less than ISCED 3attainment in education
Subjective liquid assetpoverty
People who do not owntheir own home
MVI=22,3A=54,7H=40,8
Factors influencing vulnerability
1,002,87
1,002,50
4,31
1,001,19
1,001,11
1,711,76
1,001,21
1,752,52
3,734,11
4,85
1,001,33
1,83
1,001,08
1,272,14
0,0 0,5 1,0 1,5 2,0 2,5 3,0 3,5 4,0 4,5 5,0
NoSi
RISCHIO POVERTAItalian
EUOther
CITIZENSHIPFemale
MaleSEX
Never marriedMarriedWidow
Separeted/divorcedMARITAL STATUS
StudentSelf-employed
EmployeeIn retirement
Fulfilling domestic tasksUnemployed
OtherEMPLOYEMENT STATUS
25-2930-4445-64
AGENorth westNorth East
CentreSouth
GEOGRAPHICAL AREA
Logit model on the probability of experiencing 3 or morevulnerabilities (H)
Thank you for the attention