market update – may 2012 daryl montgomery may 22, 2012 copyright 2012, all rights reserved the...

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Market Update – May 2012 Daryl Montgomery May 22, 2012 Copyright 2012, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

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Page 1: Market Update – May 2012 Daryl Montgomery May 22, 2012 Copyright 2012, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation

Market Update – May 2012

Daryl MontgomeryMay 22, 2012

Copyright 2012, All Rights Reserved

The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

Page 2: Market Update – May 2012 Daryl Montgomery May 22, 2012 Copyright 2012, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation

Background Material for Charts

• Moving Averages – 50-day, 200-day, 325-day or 10-week, 40-week, 65 week

• RSI – relative strength index, 80-overbought, 20 oversold, 50 divides bearish and bullish

• MACD – moving average convergence divergence, zero divide bullish bearish, peak and bottom numbers variable

• DMI – Directional Movement Index, +DI (blue), -DI (red) and trend line (black).

Page 3: Market Update – May 2012 Daryl Montgomery May 22, 2012 Copyright 2012, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation

Market Summary

• Large number of stock markets globally have technically broken down (U.S. exception).

• VIX hits 25 target.

• Gold and silver just tested support.

• U.S. interest rates around all-time lows.

• Dollar heading toward big rally.

• 325-day, 200-day moving average relationship odd.

• Stock/commodity markets should be weak into the summer.

Page 4: Market Update – May 2012 Daryl Montgomery May 22, 2012 Copyright 2012, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation

Major Markets

Page 5: Market Update – May 2012 Daryl Montgomery May 22, 2012 Copyright 2012, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation

VIX 3-Years Weekly

10, 40, 65-Week Moving Average and RSI, DMI, MACD

Page 6: Market Update – May 2012 Daryl Montgomery May 22, 2012 Copyright 2012, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation

VIX 3-Month Daily

50, 200, 325-Day Moving Average and RSI, DMI, MACD

Page 7: Market Update – May 2012 Daryl Montgomery May 22, 2012 Copyright 2012, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation

Dow Jones 3-Years Weekly

10, 40, 65-Week Moving Average and RSI, DMI, MACD

Page 8: Market Update – May 2012 Daryl Montgomery May 22, 2012 Copyright 2012, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation

Dow Jones Transportation 3-Years Weekly

10, 40, 65-Week Moving Average and RSI, DMI, MACD

Page 9: Market Update – May 2012 Daryl Montgomery May 22, 2012 Copyright 2012, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation

S&P 500 3-Years Weekly

10, 40, 65-Week Moving Average and RSI, DMI, MACD

Page 10: Market Update – May 2012 Daryl Montgomery May 22, 2012 Copyright 2012, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation

Nasdaq 3-Years Weekly

10, 40,65-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Page 11: Market Update – May 2012 Daryl Montgomery May 22, 2012 Copyright 2012, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation

Russell 2000 3-Years Weekly

10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD

Page 12: Market Update – May 2012 Daryl Montgomery May 22, 2012 Copyright 2012, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation

UK FTSE 3-Years Weekly

10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Page 13: Market Update – May 2012 Daryl Montgomery May 22, 2012 Copyright 2012, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation

German DAX 3-Years Weekly

10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Page 14: Market Update – May 2012 Daryl Montgomery May 22, 2012 Copyright 2012, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation

France: CAC-40 3-Years Weekly

10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Page 15: Market Update – May 2012 Daryl Montgomery May 22, 2012 Copyright 2012, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation

Japan: Nikkei 3-Years Weekly

10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Page 16: Market Update – May 2012 Daryl Montgomery May 22, 2012 Copyright 2012, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation

Emerging Market Indices

Page 17: Market Update – May 2012 Daryl Montgomery May 22, 2012 Copyright 2012, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation

Hong Kong Hang Seng 3-Years Weekly

10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Page 18: Market Update – May 2012 Daryl Montgomery May 22, 2012 Copyright 2012, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation

Brazil Bovespa 3-Years Weekly

10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD

Page 19: Market Update – May 2012 Daryl Montgomery May 22, 2012 Copyright 2012, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation

India Sensex 3-Years Weekly

10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD

Page 20: Market Update – May 2012 Daryl Montgomery May 22, 2012 Copyright 2012, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation

Shanghai Composite 3-Years Weekly

10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD

Page 21: Market Update – May 2012 Daryl Montgomery May 22, 2012 Copyright 2012, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation

Russia RTS 3-Years Weekly

10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD

Page 22: Market Update – May 2012 Daryl Montgomery May 22, 2012 Copyright 2012, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation

Commodities

Page 23: Market Update – May 2012 Daryl Montgomery May 22, 2012 Copyright 2012, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation

GOLD ETF: GLD 3-Years Weekly

10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Page 24: Market Update – May 2012 Daryl Montgomery May 22, 2012 Copyright 2012, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation

GOLD ETF: GLD 7-Years Monthly

40 Month Moving Average, RSI, DMI, MACD

Page 25: Market Update – May 2012 Daryl Montgomery May 22, 2012 Copyright 2012, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation

Mining ETF GDX 3-Years Weekly

10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD

Page 26: Market Update – May 2012 Daryl Montgomery May 22, 2012 Copyright 2012, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation

Mining ETF GDXJ 3-Years Weekly

10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD

Page 27: Market Update – May 2012 Daryl Montgomery May 22, 2012 Copyright 2012, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation

Silver ETF SLV 3-Years Weekly

10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Page 28: Market Update – May 2012 Daryl Montgomery May 22, 2012 Copyright 2012, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation

WTI Crude Oil 2-Years Weekly

Page 29: Market Update – May 2012 Daryl Montgomery May 22, 2012 Copyright 2012, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation

CA:U (Uranium) 3-Years Weekly

10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Page 30: Market Update – May 2012 Daryl Montgomery May 22, 2012 Copyright 2012, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation

KWT Solar ETF 3-Years Weekly

10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Page 31: Market Update – May 2012 Daryl Montgomery May 22, 2012 Copyright 2012, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation

Copper ETF JJC 3-Years Weekly

10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Page 32: Market Update – May 2012 Daryl Montgomery May 22, 2012 Copyright 2012, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation

Agriculture ETF RJA 3-Years Weekly

10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Page 33: Market Update – May 2012 Daryl Montgomery May 22, 2012 Copyright 2012, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation

Currencies

Page 34: Market Update – May 2012 Daryl Montgomery May 22, 2012 Copyright 2012, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation

U.S. $ DXY 3-Years Weekly

10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD

Page 35: Market Update – May 2012 Daryl Montgomery May 22, 2012 Copyright 2012, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation

Euro FXE 3-Years Weekly

10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD

Page 36: Market Update – May 2012 Daryl Montgomery May 22, 2012 Copyright 2012, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation

Swiss Franc FXF 3-Years Weekly

10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD

Page 37: Market Update – May 2012 Daryl Montgomery May 22, 2012 Copyright 2012, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation

Australian $ FXA 3-Years Weekly

10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD

Page 38: Market Update – May 2012 Daryl Montgomery May 22, 2012 Copyright 2012, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation

Canadian $ FXC 3-Years Weekly

10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD

Page 39: Market Update – May 2012 Daryl Montgomery May 22, 2012 Copyright 2012, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation

Bonds

Page 40: Market Update – May 2012 Daryl Montgomery May 22, 2012 Copyright 2012, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation

30-Year Treasury Yield 3-Years Weekly

10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Page 41: Market Update – May 2012 Daryl Montgomery May 22, 2012 Copyright 2012, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation

10-Year Treasury Yield 3-Years Weekly

10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD