marine core service my ocean wp 18 urd synthesis - climate and weather forecasting
TRANSCRIPT
MarineCore
Service
MY OCEAN
WP 18URD Synthesis - Climate and Weather Forecasting
Marine Core Service
MyOcean WP18 & User Meeting/ 29-30 September Athens
URD Main Elements/Agenda
Area of Benefit (Capt. 3)– Definition
Users (Capt. 1,4,5)– User description – Missions and improvements of capabilities – Policy driving needs– Tasks description and users short term needs– Evolution and Future of User needs
Products and Services (Capt. 6)– Overview– Product and Service Requirements– Critical issues
Comments/Conclusions
Marine Core Service
MyOcean WP18 & User Meeting/ 29-30 September Athens
Area of Benefit (Chapt. 3)
Two Sub-areas (TBD)– Weather and Seasonal Forecasting
• Short-term for tomorrow and up to the next few days • Medium-range (weekly, monthly, seasonal)
– Climate analysis • long-term analysis• environmental impact assessment (downscaling
products)
Marine Core Service
MyOcean WP18 & User Meeting/ 29-30 September Athens
User Description (Chapt.1, 4)
Number of Users: 13
EU: 1
IG: 3
SP: 9
Marine Core Service
MyOcean WP18 & User Meeting/ 29-30 September Athens
User Description (Chapt.1,4)
[j1]Nach Areas sortieren, 1. Weather and seasonal, 2. climate, 3. both
Climate and Weather Forecasting
User Category
No Name of Organizations Marine Area Area of benefit
European Agencies (EU)
1 • European Environment Agency (EEA); 32 MS
•All • Climate, Weather
Intergovern-mental Body (IG)
3 • Helsinki Commission (HELCOM); 9 Member States (MS)• Black Sea Commission (BSC); 6 MS• European Centre for Medium- Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF); 31 MS
•Baltic Sea
•Black Sea
•All
• Climate
• Climate, Weather
• Weather
Service Provider (SP)
9 Examples• French Research Institut for Exploitation of the Sea (Ifremer)
• University of Latvia (UL)
• Atlantic, Mediterranean Sea• Baltic sea
•Climate, Weather
•Climate, Weather
Marine Core Service
MyOcean WP18 & User Meeting/ 29-30 September Athens
Users missions (Chapt. 4.1)
General
Environmental assessment, monitoring and forecast in terms of climate issues
Answering to social expectations on climate change effects
Policy driving needs
Marine Core Service
MyOcean WP18 & User Meeting/ 29-30 September Athens
Users Improvement of capabilities (Chapt. 4.2)
General
Improvement of existent services
Development of new data services for public/ and private use
Improvement of Web Server services and data centres
Include metadata in existing information systems
Assessment and evaluation of MFC products
Marine Core Service
MyOcean WP18 & User Meeting/ 29-30 September Athens
Users Improvement of capabilities (Chapt. 4.2)
EEA Increase in-house relevant resources and capabilities to
integrate MCS products in information systems (e.g. Shared environmental information system (SEIS))
Intergovernmental Bodies Strengthening of regional and international networks in
cooperation and data exchange Include validated data sets Improvement of advisory working groups, e.g. in fields of
– Monitoring programmes – Development of Environmental Quality Objectives – Technical implementations for internal and external
information and data exchange
Marine Core Service
MyOcean WP18 & User Meeting/ 29-30 September Athens
Users Improvement of capabilities (Chapt. 4.2)
Service Providers Improvement of data assimilation systems and services, to
provide coastal operational services from regional up to global scale. – Implementation of SST and Sea-ice concentration products
to improve the medium range forecast of ocean waves and weather
Obtain scientific knowledge and build up technological Innovations (exploration and observation) for ocean circulation
forecasting
Marine Core Service
MyOcean WP18 & User Meeting/ 29-30 September Athens
Users policy driving needs (Chapt.5.1)
Global/EU Kyoto Protocol, United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) World Meteorological Organization (WMO)
Regional Baltic: HELCOM Convention Atlantic/North Sea: OSPAR Convention Mediterranean: Barcelona Convention Black Sea:Black Sea Environmental Programme (BSEP)
Marine Core Service
MyOcean WP18 & User Meeting/ 29-30 September Athens
Users tasks description and users short term needs (Chapt.5.2)
Policy Sector or Area of benefit:
Climate
Policy Activity Tasks
Climate change Kyoto Protocol Estimation of influence on other environmental issues
Impact assessment of Climate change to environmental goals set by HELCOM and its member states.
Climate analysis Atmospheric and Ocean re-analysis
Historical reconstructions of SST and sea-ice with consistent quality are required to improve the quality of atmospheric reanalysis.
Seasonal Forecast Regional Convention
Ecosystem modellingCoastal activity
Ecosystem modelling to forecast eutrophication or harmful algae blooms.
Seasonal Forecast Global Improvement of Medium-range weather forecasting
High temporal and horizontal resolution/good quality SST and ocean currents have the potential to improve the skill of the medium range weather and wave forecasts.
Marine Core Service
MyOcean WP18 & User Meeting/ 29-30 September Athens
Evolution and Future of User needs (Chapt. 5.3)
General/EEA needs: Development of downstream services and implementation of
new services and products Implementation of general agreements and policies for service
and product distribution Evolution of modelling systems
Intergovernmental Bodies Implementation and improvement of state-of-the-art techniques
for service delivery, like web applications
Service Provider New thematic fields, like ice extension/thickness, ocean
currents and mean dynamic topography
Marine Core Service
MyOcean WP18 & User Meeting/ 29-30 September Athens
Requirements overview (Chapt. 6.1)
General Availability of MyOcean, MCS products is expected to improve state-of-art and operationality of services at all time scales
Marine Core Service
MyOcean WP18 & User Meeting/ 29-30 September Athens
Product and Service requirements (Chapt. 6.2)
Use Case Requested Products
Coverage Depth Level
Spatial &
Temp. Res.
Temp. Extent
Update Frequency
Avail. & Time-liness
Format Delivery Mechanisms
Climate
Calibration and Validation ofhydrodynamic and ecosystem models
O-S-1, 1.a, 1.b, 1c,1f, O-S-2,2b, O-S 3a,3b, O-S 4a,4b, OS 5a,5b, O-S-10, 10a,10bO-S- 15.a, 15.b
Mediterran
-ean
surface to bottom
Max. available Daily
Max. available
Max. available
-
NetCDF
FTP connection
Weather Forecast
Local Forecast
Temperature, Salinity, Currents, Sea Level
Baltic Seasurface
to bottomvariable 5 days Daily -
GRID,NetCDF, ASCII
FTP connection
Marine Core Service
MyOcean WP18 & User Meeting/ 29-30 September Athens
Criticality of requirements and services (Chapt. 6.3)
Data delivery Availability without gaps and delay Best available products is mandatory
Service sustainability Long-term sustainability of provided services, web service in particular, is strongly required
Data quality and validation SST, Sea level, Sea ice variables, and Ocean colour (chl-a trends) are named as critical products Forecast of sea level, as well as near-real time and historical analysis are named as critical services Quality assessment before delivery High data resolution for modelling at regional and coastal scale Historical records of sea ice should be consistent with the SST re-analysis.
Marine Core Service
MyOcean WP18 & User Meeting/ 29-30 September Athens
Questions and Comments
Different input from users Interests balanced? Definitions of User categories, new groups needed?
– National Agencies– Universities– Combine?
Definition of the key area Climate and weather forecast Extend FTSS List of products and services? Use FTSS table as template for user requirements? Extension of catalogue possible? User requirements vs. MyOcean Services What can/will be
offered?
Marine Core Service
MyOcean WP18 & User Meeting/ 29-30 September Athens
Questions and Comments
Marine Core Service
MyOcean WP18 & User Meeting/ 29-30 September Athens
Conclusions
Valuable Base for Iteration
Synthesis of heterogeneous User group and represent all their relevant interests
Agreement on understanding – MyOcean Services – Template for documents– Definitions in common language
A lot of input for V1
Marine Core Service
MyOcean WP18 & User Meeting/ 29-30 September Athens
Conclusions
Marine Core Service
MyOcean WP18 & User Meeting/ 29-30 September Athens
Thank you for your attention and [email protected]