marginal seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · b notes 4 c appendix tables: 2010 general...

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Marginal Seats Standard Note: SN/SG/06549 Last updated: 8 February 2013 Author: David Hough Section Social and General Statistics Section This note lists UK Parliament seats by marginality using results for the 2010 General Election. The results are taken from the Research Paper (RP10/36) General Election 2010 (Table 18.9) Majorities are measured as the difference between the number of votes for the first and second placed candidates. Percentage majorities are these figures as a proportion of votes for all candidates and these are a better guide to relative marginality of different seats. It is likely that the boundaries of parliamentary constituencies used in 2010 will be the same at the next General Election. This information is provided to Members of Parliament in support of their parliamentary duties and is not intended to address the specific circumstances of any particular individual. It should not be relied upon as being up to date; the law or policies may have changed since it was last updated; and it should not be relied upon as legal or professional advice or as a substitute for it. A suitably qualified professional should be consulted if specific advice or information is required. This information is provided subject to our general terms and conditions which are available online or may be provided on request in hard copy. Authors are available to discuss the content of this briefing with Members and their staff, but not with the general public.

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Page 1: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

Marginal Seats Standard Note: SN/SG/06549

Last updated: 8 February 2013

Author: David Hough

Section Social and General Statistics Section

This note lists UK Parliament seats by marginality using results for the 2010 General Election. The results are taken from the Research Paper (RP10/36) General Election 2010 (Table 18.9) Majorities are measured as the difference between the number of votes for the first and second placed candidates. Percentage majorities are these figures as a proportion of votes for all candidates and these are a better guide to relative marginality of different seats. It is likely that the boundaries of parliamentary constituencies used in 2010 will be the same at the next General Election.

This information is provided to Members of Parliament in support of their parliamentary duties and is not intended to address the specific circumstances of any particular individual. It should not be relied upon as being up to date; the law or policies may have changed since it was last updated; and it should not be relied upon as legal or professional advice or as a substitute for it. A suitably qualified professional should be consulted if specific advice or information is required.

This information is provided subject to our general terms and conditions which are available online or may be provided on request in hard copy. Authors are available to discuss the content of this briefing with Members and their staff, but not with the general public.

Page 2: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

Contents

A  Summary 3 

B  Notes 4 

C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results

1. Seats by majority 5

1.1. All seats 5

1.2. Labour 16

1.3. Conservative 21

1.4. Liberal Democrat 27

1.5. Others 29

2. Seats by % majority 30

2.1. All seats 30

2.2. Labour 41

2.3. Conservative 46

2.4. Liberal Democrat 52

2.5 Others 54

2

Page 3: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

A. Summary The table below shows the most and least marginal seats following the 2010 General Election (see Notes below for explanation of By-elections since 2010):

2010 General Election: 10 most and least marginal seatsThe seat ranked 1 has the low est majority or low est % majority

Rank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % vote

Most marginal by majority

1 Fermanagh and South Tyrone Michelle Gildernew SF IND 4 0.0%2 Hampstead and Kilburn Glenda Jackson LAB CON 42 0.1%3 North Warwickshire Daniel Byles CON LAB 54 0.1%4 Camborne and Redruth George Eustice CON LD 66 0.2%5 Bolton West Julie Hilling LAB CON 92 0.2%5 Thurrock Jackie Doyle-Price CON LAB 92 0.2%7 Oldham East and Saddleworth Phil Woolas LAB LD 103 0.2% LAB8 Hendon Matthew Offord CON LAB 106 0.2%9 Sheffield Central Paul Blomfield LAB LD 165 0.4%

10 Solihull Lorely Burt LD CON 175 0.3%

Least marginal by majority

641 Bootle Joe Benton LAB LD 21,181 51.3%642 Beaconsfield Dominic Grieve CON LD 21,782 41.5%643 South Holland and The Deepings John Hayes CON LD 21,880 43.6%644 Rayleigh and Wickford Mark Francois CON LD 22,338 42.7%645 West Ham Lyn Brown LAB CON 22,534 48.0%646 Witney David Cameron CON LD 22,740 39.4%647 Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath Gordon Brown LAB SNP 23,009 50.2%648 Richmond (Yorks) William Hague CON LD 23,336 43.7%649 Knowsley George Howarth LAB LD 25,686 57.5%650 East Ham Stephen Timms LAB CON 27,826 55.2%

Majority

By-election

since 2010

Party

• The most marginal seat in the UK is Fermanagh and South Tyrone, won by Sinn Fein’s Michelle Gildernew from the independent candidate with a majority of 4 votes.

• The least marginal seat is East Ham won by Labour’s Stephen Timms who has the largest majority in the UK, 27,826 over the Conservative Party in East Ham. Steve Rotheram, also Labour, has the largest percentage majority, 57.7% in Liverpool, Walton.

• The smallest majority recorded since 1918 is 2 votes, for A.J. Flint (Labour), in Ilkeston North in 1931 and for Mark Oaten (Liberal Democrat), in Winchester in 19971. The latter result was disputed and declared void due to an irregularity by the

1 There was a tied vote in Ashton-Under-Lyne in 1886; the candidate, J.E.W. Addison, was elected on the

casting vote of the Returning Officer (from F.W.S. Craig British Parliamentary Election Results 1885-1918, PRS,1989)

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Page 4: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

Returning Officer; in the re-run of the election, Mark Oaten had a majority of 21,556 votes. 2

• The largest majority recorded since 1918 is 62,253 for Sir A.C. Rawson (Conservative), in Brighton in 1931. The Conservatives won a 1940 by-election in Middleton and Prestwich by a percentage majority of 97.4% over their only challengers, the British Union of Fascists and National Socialists. The largest General Election majority was 96.0% for Conservative G.B.H. Currie in Down North in 1959.3

The table below summarises the placing of the parties at the General Election. Of the 190 seats where the Conservatives were placed second, they trailed Labour in 77% and the Liberal Democrats in 20%. Of the 159 seats where the Labour candidates were placed second, they trailed the Conservatives in 86% and the Liberal Democrats in 11%. Of the 243 seats where the Liberal Democrats were placed second, they trailed the Conservatives in 69%; this contrasts with the 2005 election, where most of their second-place losses were to Labour (56%).

Party of winner by party of second place candidate

CON LAB LD OTH Total

CON 147 38 5 190LAB 137 17 5 159LD 167 76 0 243OTH 2 35 2 19 58

Total 306 258 57 29

Second

Winne

650

r

B. Notes Data shown in the attached tables are results in the 2010 General Election. They do not take into account by-elections since the General Election. Where there have been by-elections to date, the party that won the by-election is shown on the far right of tables using the information from the Standard Note (No SN/SG/ 05833) on By-Elections since 2010 General Election

4

2 Rallings and Thrasher, British Electoral Facts 1832-2012, Biteback 2012, p301-302 and p260 3 ibid

Page 5: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

Table 1.1

2010 General Election: all seats by majorityThe seat ranked 1 has the lowest majority

Rank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % vote

1 Fermanagh and South Tyrone Michelle Gildernew SF IND 4 0.0%2 Hampstead and Kilburn Glenda Jackson LAB CON 42 0.1%3 North Warwickshire Daniel Byles CON LAB 54 0.1%4 Camborne and Redruth George Eustice CON LD 66 0.2%5 Bolton West Julie Hilling LAB CON 92 0.2%5 Thurrock Jackie Doyle-Price CON LAB 92 0.2%7 Oldham East and Saddleworth Phil Woolas LAB LD 103 0.2% LAB8 Hendon Matthew Offord CON LAB 106 0.2%9 Sheffield Central Paul Blomfield LAB LD 165 0.4%

10 Solihull Lorely Burt LD CON 175 0.3%11 Oxford West and Abingdon Nicola Blackwood CON LD 176 0.3%12 Ashfield Gloria De Piero LAB LD 192 0.4%12 Southampton, Itchen John Denham LAB CON 192 0.4%14 Cardiff North Jonathan Evans CON LAB 194 0.4%15 Sherwood Mark Spencer CON LAB 214 0.4%16 Mid Dorset and North Poole Annette Brooke LD CON 269 0.6%17 Norwich South Simon Wright LD LAB 310 0.7%18 Edinburgh South Ian Murray LAB LD 316 0.7%19 Stockton South James Wharton CON LAB 332 0.7%20 Lancaster and Fleetwood Eric Ollerenshaw CON LAB 333 0.8%21 Bradford East David Ward LD LAB 365 0.9%22 Broxtowe Anna Soubry CON LAB 389 0.7%23 Truro and Falmouth Sarah Newton CON LD 435 0.9%24 Swansea West Geraint Davies LAB LD 504 1.4%25 Newton Abbot Anne Morris CON LD 523 1.1%26 Wirral South Alison McGovern LAB CON 531 1.3%27 Amber Valley Nigel Mills CON LAB 536 1.2%28 Chesterfield Toby Perkins LAB LD 549 1.2%29 Derby North Chris Williamson LAB CON 613 1.4%30 Kingston upon Hull North Diana Johnson LAB LD 641 1.9%31 Dudley North Ian Austin LAB CON 649 1.7%32 Wolverhampton South West Paul Uppal CON LAB 691 1.7%33 Great Grimsby Austin Mitchell LAB CON 714 2.2%34 Waveney Peter Aldous CON LAB 769 1.5%35 Wells Tessa Munt LD CON 800 1.4%36 Carlisle John Stevenson CON LAB 853 2.0%37 Morecambe and Lunesdale David Morris CON LAB 866 2.0%38 Rochdale Simon Danczuk LAB LD 889 1.9%39 Telford David Wright LAB CON 978 2.4%40 Walsall North David Winnick LAB CON 990 2.7%41 Weaver Vale Graham Evans CON LAB 991 2.3%42 Harrogate and Knaresborough Andrew Jones CON LD 1,039 2.0%43 Lincoln Karl McCartney CON LAB 1,058 2.3%44 Morley and Outwood Ed Balls LAB CON 1,101 2.3%45 Plymouth, Sutton and Devonport Oliver Colvile CON LAB 1,149 2.6%46 South Antrim William McCrea DUP UCU 1,183 3.5%47 Montgomeryshire Glyn Davies CON LD 1,184 3.5%48 Brighton, Pavilion Caroline Lucas Green LAB 1,252 2.4%49 Birmingham, Edgbaston Gisela Stuart LAB CON 1,274 3.1%50 Stroud Neil Carmichael CON LAB 1,299 2.2%51 St Austell and Newquay Stephen Gilbert LD CON 1,312 2.8%52 Brighton, Kemptown Simon Kirby CON LAB 1,328 3.1%53 Brent Central Sarah Teather LD LAB 1,345 3.0%54 Bedford Richard Fuller CON LAB 1,353 3.0%55 Watford Richard Harrington CON LD 1,425 2.6%56 Arfon Hywel Williams PC LAB 1,455 5.6%

Majority

By-election

since 2010

Party

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Page 6: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

Rank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % voteMajority

By-election

since 2010

Party

57 Halifax Linda Riordan LAB CON 1,472 3.4%58 Dewsbury Simon Reevell CON LAB 1,526 2.8%59 Belfast East Naomi Long Alliance DUP 1,533 4.4%60 Newcastle-under-Lyme Paul Farrelly LAB CON 1,552 3.6%61 Warrington South David Mowat CON LAB 1,553 2.8%62 Plymouth, Moor View Alison Seabeck LAB CON 1,588 3.8%63 Sutton and Cheam Paul Burstow LD CON 1,608 3.3%64 Wakefield Mary Creagh LAB CON 1,613 3.6%65 Newport East Jessica Morden LAB LD 1,650 4.8%66 Pudsey Stuart Andrew CON LAB 1,659 3.4%67 Eltham Clive Efford LAB CON 1,663 4.0%68 Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland Tom Blenkinsop LAB CON 1,677 3.6%69 Enfield North Nick de Bois CON LAB 1,692 3.8%70 St Ives Andrew George LD CON 1,719 3.7%71 Edinburgh North and Leith Mark Lazarowicz LAB LD 1,724 3.6%72 Walsall South Valerie Vaz LAB CON 1,755 4.3%73 Nottingham South Lilian Greenwood LAB CON 1,772 4.3%74 Somerton and Frome David Heath LD CON 1,817 3.0%75 Burnley Gordon Birtwistle LD LAB 1,818 4.3%76 Dundee East Stewart Hosie SNP LAB 1,821 4.5%77 Blackpool South Gordon Marsden LAB CON 1,852 5.3%78 Gedling Vernon Coaker LAB CON 1,859 3.9%79 Hove Mike Weatherley CON LAB 1,868 3.7%80 Na h-Eileanan an Iar Angus MacNeil SNP LAB 1,885 12.8%81 Manchester, Withington John Leech LD LAB 1,894 4.2%82 Corby Louise Bagshawe CON LAB 1,895 3.5% LAB83 Northampton North Michael Ellis CON LAB 1,936 4.8%84 Brentford and Isleworth Mary MacLeod CON LAB 1,958 3.6%85 Hastings and Rye Amber Rudd CON LAB 1,993 4.0%86 Halesowen and Rowley Regis James Morris CON LAB 2,023 4.6%87 Nuneaton Marcus Jones CON LAB 2,069 4.6%88 Ipswich Benedict Gummer CON LAB 2,079 4.4%89 Westminster North Karen Buck LAB CON 2,126 5.4%90 Blackpool North and Cleveleys Paul Maynard CON LAB 2,150 5.3%91 East Dunbartonshire Jo Swinson LD LAB 2,184 4.6%92 Belfast North Nigel Dodds DUP SF 2,224 6.0%93 Bury North David Nuttall CON LAB 2,243 5.0%94 Bridgend Madeleine Moon LAB CON 2,263 5.9%95 Delyn David Hanson LAB CON 2,272 6.1%96 St Albans Anne Main CON LD 2,305 4.4%97 Luton South Gavin Shuker LAB CON 2,329 5.5%98 Southampton, Test Alan Whitehead LAB CON 2,413 5.5%99 Gloucester Richard Graham CON LAB 2,420 4.8%

100 Wirral West Esther McVey CON LAB 2,436 6.2%101 Kingswood Chris Skidmore CON LAB 2,445 5.1%101 North East Derbyshire Natascha Engel LAB CON 2,445 5.2%103 Ynys Môn Albert Owen LAB PC 2,461 7.1%104 Chippenham Duncan Hames LD CON 2,470 4.7%105 Hereford and South Herefordshire Jesse Norman CON LD 2,481 5.1%106 Wolverhampton North East Emma Reynolds LAB CON 2,484 7.1%107 Erewash Jessica Lee CON LAB 2,501 5.2%108 Vale of Clwyd Chris Ruane LAB CON 2,509 7.1%109 Tooting Sadiq Khan LAB CON 2,524 5.0%110 Scunthorpe Nick Dakin LAB CON 2,549 6.9%111 City of Chester Stephen Mosley CON LAB 2,583 5.5%112 Chorley Lindsay Hoyle LAB CON 2,593 5.2%113 Dagenham and Rainham Jon Cruddas LAB CON 2,630 5.9%114 Wyre Forest Mark Garnier CON ICHC 2,643 5.2%115 Gower Martin Caton LAB CON 2,683 6.4%116 Berwick-upon-Tweed Alan Beith LD CON 2,690 7.0%

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Page 7: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

Rank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % voteMajority

By-election

since 2010

Party

117 Weston-super-Mare John Penrose CON LD 2,691 5.1%118 Exeter Ben Bradshaw LAB CON 2,721 5.2%119 Stalybridge and Hyde Jonathan Reynolds LAB CON 2,744 6.7%120 Birmingham, Northfield Richard Burden LAB CON 2,782 6.7%121 Pontypridd Owen Smith LAB LD 2,785 7.6%122 Clwyd South Susan Jones LAB CON 2,834 8.2%123 Croydon Central Gavin Barwell CON LAB 2,879 5.8%124 Alyn and Deeside Mark Tami LAB CON 2,919 7.3%125 Keighley Kris Hopkins CON LAB 2,940 6.2%126 Torridge and West Devon Geoffrey Cox CON LD 2,957 5.4%127 North Cornwall Dan Rogerson LD CON 2,981 6.4%128 Worcester Robin Walker CON LAB 2,982 6.1%129 Birmingham, Yardley John Hemming LD LAB 3,002 7.3%130 Winchester Steve Brine CON LD 3,048 5.4%131 Penistone and Stocksbridge Angela Smith LAB CON 3,049 6.6%132 City of Durham Roberta Blackman-Woods LAB LD 3,067 6.6%133 Hyndburn Graham Jones LAB CON 3,090 7.2%134 Harrow West Gareth Thomas LAB CON 3,143 6.8%135 Cannock Chase Aidan Burley CON LAB 3,195 7.0%136 South East Cornwall Sheryll Murray CON LD 3,220 6.5%137 Streatham Chuka Umunna LAB LD 3,259 7.0%138 Cheadle Mark Hunter LD CON 3,272 6.2%139 Bristol North West Charlotte Leslie CON LD 3,274 6.5%140 Birmingham, Erdington Jack Dromey LAB CON 3,277 9.2%141 Angus Mike Weir SNP CON 3,282 8.6%142 Bury South Ivan Lewis LAB CON 3,292 6.8%143 Upper Bann David Simpson DUP UCU 3,361 8.1%144 Darlington Jenny Chapman LAB CON 3,388 7.9%145 Aberconwy Guto Bebb CON LAB 3,398 11.3%146 Harrow East Bob Blackman CON LAB 3,403 7.1%147 Newcastle upon Tyne North Catherine McKinnell LAB LD 3,414 7.8%148 Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire Simon Hart CON LAB 3,423 8.5%149 Argyll and Bute Alan Reid LD CON 3,431 7.6%150 Eastbourne Stephen Lloyd LD CON 3,435 6.6%151 Carmarthen East and Dinefwr Jonathan Edwards PC LAB 3,481 9.2%152 Birmingham, Selly Oak Stephen McCabe LAB CON 3,482 7.5%153 Aberdeen South Anne Begg LAB LD 3,506 8.1%154 Warwick and Leamington Chris White CON LAB 3,513 7.2%155 Newport West Paul Flynn LAB CON 3,544 8.9%155 South Swindon Robert Buckland CON LAB 3,544 7.5%157 Hammersmith Andy Slaughter LAB CON 3,549 7.5%158 Islington South and Finsbury Emily Thornberry LAB LD 3,569 8.2%159 Stevenage Stephen McPartland CON LAB 3,578 8.0%160 Pendle Andrew Stephenson CON LAB 3,585 8.0%161 Don Valley Caroline Flint LAB CON 3,595 8.3%162 Wrexham Ian Lucas LAB LD 3,658 11.1%163 West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine Robert Smith LD CON 3,684 8.2%164 York Outer Julian Sturdy CON LD 3,688 6.9%165 Ealing Central and Acton Angie Bray CON LAB 3,716 7.9%166 Bristol East Kerry McCarthy LAB CON 3,722 8.3%167 Loughborough Nicky Morgan CON LAB 3,744 7.1%168 Brecon and Radnorshire Roger Williams LD CON 3,747 9.6%169 Birmingham, Hall Green Roger Godsiff LAB RES 3,799 7.8%170 Edinburgh West Mike Crockart LD LAB 3,803 8.2%171 Copeland Jamie Reed LAB CON 3,833 9.0%172 Coventry South Jim Cunningham LAB CON 3,845 8.4%173 Dudley South Chris Kelly CON LAB 3,856 10.1%174 Sefton Central Bill Esterson LAB CON 3,862 8.0%175 Eastleigh Chris Huhne LD CON 3,864 7.2%176 Glasgow North Ann McKechin LAB LD 3,898 13.2%

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Page 8: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

Rank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % voteMajority

By-election

since 2010

Party

177 Norwich North Chloe Smith CON LAB 3,901 9.2%178 West Dorset Oliver Letwin CON LD 3,923 6.8%179 Taunton Deane Jeremy Browne LD CON 3,993 6.9%180 Leicester West Liz Kendall LAB CON 4,017 11.2%181 Banff and Buchan Eilidh Whiteford SNP CON 4,027 10.5%182 Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney Dai Havard LAB LD 4,056 12.6%183 Torbay Adrian Sanders LD CON 4,078 8.3%184 Bolton North East David Crausby LAB CON 4,084 9.4%185 Richmond Park Zac Goldsmith CON LD 4,091 6.9%186 Stoke-on-Trent South Robert Flello LAB CON 4,130 10.4%187 Romsey and Southampton North Caroline Nokes CON LD 4,156 8.5%188 Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale David Mundell CON LAB 4,194 9.1%189 Great Yarmouth Brandon Lewis CON LAB 4,276 9.9%190 Cleethorpes Martin Vickers CON LAB 4,298 9.6%191 Vale of Glamorgan Alun Cairns CON LAB 4,307 8.8%192 Ellesmere Port and Neston Andrew Miller LAB CON 4,331 9.8%193 Worsley and Eccles South Barbara Keeley LAB CON 4,337 10.4%194 West Lancashire Rosie Cooper LAB CON 4,343 9.0%195 Perth and North Perthshire Pete Wishart SNP CON 4,379 9.1%196 Batley and Spen Mike Wood LAB CON 4,406 8.6%197 Newcastle upon Tyne East Nicholas Brown LAB LD 4,453 11.8%198 Huddersfield Barry Sheerman LAB CON 4,472 11.0%199 Rossendale and Darwen Jake Berry CON LAB 4,493 9.5%200 Elmet and Rothwell Alec Shelbrooke CON LAB 4,521 8.1%201 Leeds North East Fabian Hamilton LAB CON 4,545 9.6%202 Workington Tony Cunningham LAB CON 4,575 11.7%203 Cardiff Central Jenny Willott LD LAB 4,576 12.7%204 Oxford East Andrew Smith LAB LD 4,581 8.9%205 Preseli Pembrokeshire Stephen Crabb CON LAB 4,605 11.6%206 Bradford South Gerry Sutcliffe LAB CON 4,622 12.2%207 Feltham and Heston Alan Keen LAB CON 4,658 9.6% LAB208 High Peak Andrew Bingham CON LAB 4,677 9.3%209 Llanelli Nia Griffith LAB PC 4,701 12.5%210 Cardiff South and Penarth Alun Michael LAB CON 4,709 10.6% LAB211 Bristol South Dawn Primarolo LAB LD 4,734 9.8%212 Cardiff West Kevin Brennan LAB CON 4,751 11.6%213 Foyle Mark Durkan SDLP SF 4,824 12.7%214 Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross John Thurso LD LAB 4,826 16.8%215 Colne Valley Jason McCartney CON LD 4,837 8.7%216 Peterborough Stewart Jackson CON LAB 4,861 10.8%217 North East Somerset Jacob Rees-Mogg CON LAB 4,914 9.6%218 Cheltenham Martin Horwood LD CON 4,920 9.3%219 Harlow Robert Halfon CON LAB 4,925 11.2%220 Totnes Sarah Wollaston CON LD 4,927 10.3%221 Bosworth David Tredinnick CON LD 5,032 9.3%222 Chelmsford Simon Burns CON LD 5,110 9.4%223 Brigg and Goole Andrew Percy CON LAB 5,147 11.7%224 Stourbridge Margot James CON LAB 5,164 10.9%225 Ochil and South Perthshire Gordon Banks LAB SNP 5,187 10.3%226 Portsmouth South Mike Hancock LD CON 5,200 12.6%227 Milton Keynes South Iain Stewart CON LAB 5,201 9.4%228 Barrow and Furness John Woodcock LAB CON 5,208 11.8%229 Redcar Ian Swales LD LAB 5,214 12.4%230 Bishop Auckland Helen Goodman LAB CON 5,218 12.7%231 Carshalton and Wallington Tom Brake LD CON 5,260 11.5%232 Dover Charlie Elphicke CON LAB 5,274 10.5%233 East Londonderry Gregory Campbell DUP SF 5,355 15.3%234 Ilford North Lee Scott CON LAB 5,404 11.5%235 Stafford Jeremy Lefroy CON LAB 5,460 10.9%236 Dunfermline and West Fife Thomas Docherty LAB LD 5,470 11.2%

8

Page 9: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

Rank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % voteMajority

By-election

since 2010

Party

237 Hartlepool Iain Wright LAB CON 5,509 14.4%238 Slough Fiona Mactaggart LAB CON 5,523 11.6%239 South Ribble Lorraine Fullbrook CON LAB 5,554 10.8%240 Stoke-on-Trent Central Tristram Hunt LAB LD 5,566 17.1%241 Bournemouth West Conor Burns CON LD 5,583 13.4%242 Aldershot Gerald Howarth CON LD 5,586 12.3%243 Moray Angus Robertson SNP CON 5,590 13.6%244 West Bromwich West Adrian Bailey LAB CON 5,651 15.6%245 Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk Michael Moore LD CON 5,675 11.6%246 Erith and Thamesmead Teresa Pearce LAB CON 5,703 13.4%247 Salford and Eccles Hazel Blears LAB LD 5,725 13.8%248 Tynemouth Alan Campbell LAB CON 5,739 10.9%249 Kingston upon Hull West and Hessle Alan Johnson LAB LD 5,742 18.2%250 Bradford West Marsha Singh LAB CON 5,763 14.2% RES251 South Basildon and East Thurrock Stephen Metcalfe CON LAB 5,772 12.9%252 Hexham Guy Opperman CON LD 5,788 13.3%253 Sheffield, Heeley Meg Munn LAB LD 5,807 14.2%254 Finchley and Golders Green Mike Freer CON LAB 5,809 12.3%255 North Devon Nick Harvey LD CON 5,821 11.3%255 Redditch Karen Lumley CON LAB 5,821 13.2%257 Lewisham West and Penge Jim Dowd LAB LD 5,828 12.9%258 Rother Valley Kevin Barron LAB CON 5,866 12.5%259 Strangford Jim Shannon DUP UCU 5,876 18.1%260 Maidstone and The Weald Helen Grant CON LD 5,889 12.0%261 Belfast South Alasdair McDonnell SDLP DUP 5,926 17.3%262 Crawley Henry Smith CON LAB 5,928 12.5%263 South East Cambridgeshire James Paice CON LD 5,946 10.3%264 Salisbury John Glen CON LD 5,966 12.3%265 Heywood and Middleton Jim Dobbin LAB CON 5,971 12.9%266 Battersea Jane Ellison CON LAB 5,977 12.2%267 Rugby Mark Pawsey CON LAB 6,000 12.6%268 Northampton South Brian Binley CON LAB 6,004 15.4%268 Reading West Alok Sharma CON LAB 6,004 12.6%270 Mansfield Alan Meale LAB CON 6,012 12.4%271 Southport John Pugh LD CON 6,024 13.8%272 Poplar and Limehouse Jim Fitzpatrick LAB CON 6,030 12.9%273 Crewe and Nantwich Edward Timpson CON LAB 6,046 11.8%274 Canterbury Julian Brazier CON LD 6,048 12.3%275 Chatham and Aylesford Tracey Crouch CON LAB 6,069 13.9%276 Tamworth Chris Pincher CON LAB 6,090 13.1%277 Derby South Margaret Beckett LAB CON 6,122 14.9%278 Lewisham East Heidi Alexander LAB LD 6,216 14.9%279 Doncaster Central Rosie Winterton LAB CON 6,229 14.9%280 Coventry North West Geoffrey Robinson LAB CON 6,288 13.5%281 Burton Andrew Griffiths CON LAB 6,304 12.7%282 Tewkesbury Laurence Robertson CON LD 6,310 11.7%283 Dwyfor Meirionnydd Elfyn Llwyd PC CON 6,367 22.0%284 Hazel Grove Andrew Stunell LD CON 6,371 15.2%285 Leyton and Wanstead John Cryer LAB LD 6,416 16.0%286 Clwyd West David Jones CON LAB 6,419 16.8%287 Calder Valley Craig Whittaker CON LAB 6,431 12.4%288 York Central Hugh Bayley LAB CON 6,451 13.9%289 Wolverhampton South East Pat McFadden LAB CON 6,593 19.0%290 Blyth Valley Ronnie Campbell LAB LD 6,668 17.3%291 Stockton North Alex Cunningham LAB CON 6,676 16.9%292 Staffordshire Moorlands Karen Bradley CON LAB 6,689 15.3%293 West Bromwich East Tom Watson LAB CON 6,696 17.6%294 Manchester, Gorton Gerald Kaufman LAB LD 6,703 17.5%295 Sunderland Central Julie Elliott LAB CON 6,725 15.8%296 Gordon Malcolm Bruce LD SNP 6,748 13.8%

9

Page 10: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

Rank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % voteMajority

By-election

since 2010

Party

297 West Worcestershire Harriett Baldwin CON LD 6,754 12.5%298 East Antrim Sammy Wilson DUP UCU 6,770 22.2%299 Warrington North Helen Jones LAB CON 6,771 15.3%300 Stockport Ann Coffey LAB CON 6,784 17.3%301 Cambridge Julian Huppert LD CON 6,792 13.5%302 Woking Jonathan Lord CON LD 6,807 12.9%303 Hornsey and Wood Green Lynne Featherstone LD LAB 6,875 12.5%304 Filton and Bradley Stoke Jack Lopresti CON LAB 6,914 14.3%305 Nottingham East Christopher Leslie LAB LD 6,969 21.0%306 Colchester Bob Russell LD CON 6,982 15.1%307 Leeds West Rachel Reeves LAB LD 7,016 18.1%308 Wansbeck Ian Lavery LAB LD 7,031 18.4%309 North Swindon Justin Tomlinson CON LAB 7,060 14.0%310 Congleton Fiona Bruce CON LD 7,063 13.9%311 Thornbury and Yate Steve Webb LD CON 7,116 14.8%312 South Derbyshire Heather Wheeler CON LAB 7,128 14.1%313 Liverpool, Wavertree Luciana Berger LAB LD 7,167 18.9%314 Southend West David Amess CON LD 7,270 16.7%315 Dundee West Jim McGovern LAB SNP 7,278 19.6%316 Portsmouth North Penny Mordaunt CON LAB 7,289 16.5%317 Broadland Keith Simpson CON LD 7,292 13.8%318 Mid Sussex Nicholas Soames CON LD 7,402 13.3%319 South Dorset Richard Drax CON LAB 7,443 14.8%320 Dumfries and Galloway Russell Brown LAB CON 7,449 14.3%321 Newcastle upon Tyne Central Chinyelu Onwurah LAB LD 7,466 21.9%322 North Wiltshire James Gray CON LD 7,483 15.4%323 North West Leicestershire Andrew Bridgen CON LAB 7,511 14.5%324 Luton North Kelvin Hopkins LAB CON 7,520 17.5%325 Poole Robert Syms CON LD 7,541 15.9%326 Kingston and Surbiton Edward Davey LD CON 7,560 13.2%327 Wythenshawe and Sale East Paul Goggins LAB CON 7,575 18.6%328 Reading East Rob Wilson CON LD 7,605 15.2%329 North West Durham Pat Glass LAB LD 7,612 17.4%330 South Thanet Laura Sandys CON LAB 7,617 16.6%331 North Dorset Robert Walter CON LD 7,625 14.1%332 Enfield, Southgate David Burrowes CON LAB 7,626 17.2%333 Castle Point Rebecca Harris CON IND 7,632 17.0%334 Lewes Norman Baker LD CON 7,647 15.3%335 Bournemouth East Tobias Ellwood CON LD 7,728 17.6%336 Preston Mark Hendrick LAB LD 7,733 23.8%337 Guildford Anne Milton CON LD 7,782 14.0%338 South Cambridgeshire Andrew Lansley CON LD 7,838 13.3%339 Falkirk Eric Joyce LAB SNP 7,843 15.4%340 North Somerset Liam Fox CON LD 7,862 13.6%341 Shrewsbury and Atcham Daniel Kawczynski CON LD 7,944 15.0%342 Brent North Barry Gardiner LAB CON 8,028 15.4%343 Scarborough and Whitby Robert Goodwill CON LAB 8,130 16.5%344 Nottingham North Graham Allen LAB CON 8,138 23.7%345 Bassetlaw John Mann LAB CON 8,215 16.6%346 Stoke-on-Trent North Joan Walley LAB CON 8,235 20.5%347 Stirling Anne McGuire LAB CON 8,304 17.7%348 Ceredigion Mark Williams LD PC 8,324 21.8%349 Newry and Armagh Conor Murphy SF SDLP 8,331 18.6%350 Aberdeen North Frank Doran LAB SNP 8,361 22.2%351 South Down Margaret Ritchie SDLP SF 8,412 19.8%352 Edinburgh South West Alistair Darling LAB CON 8,447 18.6%353 Wallasey Angela Eagle LAB CON 8,507 20.4%354 Bermondsey and Old Southwark Simon Hughes LD LAB 8,530 19.1%355 Kingston upon Hull East Karl Turner LAB LD 8,597 25.1%356 Kensington Malcolm Rifkind CON LAB 8,616 24.5%

10

Page 11: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

Rank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % voteMajority

By-election

since 2010

Party

357 Bolton South East Yasmin Qureshi LAB CON 8,634 21.8%358 Gillingham and Rainham Rehman Chishti CON LAB 8,680 18.6%359 Middlesbrough Stuart Bell LAB LD 8,689 26.0% LAB359 South Suffolk Tim Yeo CON LD 8,689 16.9%361 Sedgefield Phil Wilson LAB CON 8,696 21.6%362 Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and Strathspey Danny Alexander LD LAB 8,765 18.6%363 Leicester South Peter Soulsby LAB LD 8,808 18.7% LAB364 Stretford and Urmston Kate Green LAB CON 8,935 19.9%365 Milton Keynes North Mark Lancaster CON LAB 8,961 16.6%366 North East Fife Menzies Campbell LD CON 9,048 22.6%367 Ashton-Under-Lyne David Heyes LAB CON 9,094 23.7%367 Kettering Philip Hollobone CON LAB 9,094 19.2%369 Leeds North West Greg Mulholland LD CON 9,103 20.9%370 East Devon Hugo Swire CON LD 9,114 17.2%371 Blaydon David Anderson LAB LD 9,117 20.3%372 Suffolk Coastal Therese Coffey CON LD 9,128 16.6%373 Edinburgh East Sheila Gilmore LAB SNP 9,181 23.0%374 Central Devon Mel Stride CON LD 9,230 17.1%375 Bridgwater and West Somerset Ian Liddell-Grainger CON LD 9,249 17.0%376 Ealing, Southall Virendra Sharma LAB CON 9,291 21.7%377 Ealing North Stephen Pound LAB CON 9,301 19.5%378 Torfaen Paul Murphy LAB CON 9,306 24.7%379 Gravesham Adam Holloway CON LAB 9,312 19.7%380 Tiverton and Honiton Neil Parish CON LD 9,320 17.0%381 Oldham West and Royton Michael Meacher LAB CON 9,352 21.8%382 Dulwich and West Norwood Tessa Jowell LAB LD 9,365 19.4%383 The Wrekin Mark Pritchard CON LAB 9,450 20.6%384 Walthamstow Stella Creasy LAB LD 9,478 23.1%385 Wycombe Steve Baker CON LD 9,560 19.9%386 Edmonton Andy Love LAB CON 9,613 23.8%387 Cynon Valley Ann Clwyd LAB PC 9,617 32.2%388 Ludlow Philip Dunne CON LD 9,749 20.0%389 Neath Peter Hain LAB PC 9,775 26.3%390 Harborough Edward Garnier CON LD 9,797 17.8%391 Denton and Reddish Andrew Gwynne LAB CON 9,831 26.1%392 Hemsworth Jon Trickett LAB CON 9,844 22.5%393 Blackburn Jack Straw LAB CON 9,856 21.7%394 North Herefordshire Bill Wiggin CON LD 9,887 20.8%395 North Ayrshire and Arran Katy Clark LAB SNP 9,895 21.5%396 Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock Sandra Osborne LAB CON 9,911 21.6%397 Orkney and Shetland Alistair Carmichael LD LAB 9,928 51.3%398 Holborn and St Pancras Frank Dobson LAB LD 9,942 18.2%399 Shipley Philip Davies CON LAB 9,944 20.1%400 Skipton and Ripon Julian Smith CON LD 9,950 18.2%401 Rochester and Strood Mark Reckless CON LAB 9,953 20.7%402 Spelthorne Kwasi Kwarteng CON LD 10,019 21.2%403 Putney Justine Greening CON LAB 10,053 24.6%404 Birmingham, Ladywood Shabana Mahmood LAB LD 10,105 28.2%405 Folkestone and Hythe Damian Collins CON LD 10,122 19.2%406 Greenwich and Woolwich Nick Raynsford LAB CON 10,153 24.7%407 Leeds East George Mudie LAB CON 10,293 27.2%408 Birmingham, Hodge Hill Liam Byrne LAB LD 10,302 24.3%409 Bexleyheath and Crayford David Evennett CON LAB 10,344 24.0%410 Midlothian David Hamilton LAB SNP 10,349 26.4%411 South West Wiltshire Andrew Murrison CON LD 10,367 21.1%412 East Renfrewshire Jim Murphy LAB CON 10,420 20.4%413 Monmouth David Davies CON LAB 10,425 22.4%414 Manchester Central Tony Lloyd LAB LD 10,439 26.1% LAB415 Rotherham Denis MacShane LAB CON 10,462 27.9% LAB416 Lagan Valley Jeffrey Donaldson DUP UCU 10,486 28.7%

11

Page 12: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

Rank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % voteMajority

By-election

since 2010

Party

417 Wigan Lisa Nandy LAB CON 10,487 23.8%418 Sheffield South East Clive Betts LAB LD 10,505 25.4%419 Blaenau Gwent Nick Smith LAB IND 10,516 32.5%420 Isle of Wight Andrew Turner CON LD 10,527 15.0%421 Glasgow Central Anas Sarwar LAB SNP 10,551 34.5%422 Gainsborough Edward Leigh CON LD 10,559 21.4%423 Dartford Gareth Johnson CON LAB 10,628 21.2%424 Leeds Central Hilary Benn LAB LD 10,645 28.5%425 Vauxhall Kate Hoey LAB LD 10,651 24.7%426 West Tyrone Pat Doherty SF DUP 10,685 28.7%427 Caerphilly Wayne David LAB CON 10,755 27.8%428 Warley John Spellar LAB CON 10,756 28.1%429 Livingston Graeme Morrice LAB SNP 10,791 22.5%430 Huntingdon Jonathan Djanogly CON LD 10,819 19.9%431 Hayes and Harlington John McDonnell LAB CON 10,824 25.4%432 Swansea East Siân James LAB LD 10,838 33.2%433 Doncaster North Edward Miliband LAB CON 10,909 26.3%434 South Norfolk Richard Bacon CON LD 10,940 19.9%435 Normanton, Pontefract and Castleford Yvette Cooper LAB CON 10,979 23.7%436 Houghton and Sunderland South Bridget Phillipson LAB CON 10,990 28.9%437 Aberavon Hywel Francis LAB LD 11,039 35.7%438 Rochford and Southend East James Duddridge CON LAB 11,050 26.5%439 Forest of Dean Mark Harper CON LAB 11,064 22.7%440 Cities of London and Westminster Mark Field CON LAB 11,076 30.0%441 Barnsley East Michael Dugher LAB LD 11,090 28.9%442 Barnsley Central Eric Illsley LAB LD 11,093 30.0% LAB443 East Worthing and Shoreham Tim Loughton CON LD 11,105 22.9%444 South Shields David Miliband LAB CON 11,109 30.4%445 Bolsover Dennis Skinner LAB CON 11,182 25.4%446 Uxbridge and South Ruislip John Randall CON LAB 11,216 24.9%447 Penrith and The Border Rory Stewart CON LD 11,241 24.9%448 Thirsk and Malton Anne McIntosh CON LD 11,281 29.6%449 Ilford South Mike Gapes LAB CON 11,287 22.0%450 Mid Derbyshire Pauline Latham CON LAB 11,292 23.9%451 New Forest East Julian Lewis CON LD 11,307 22.6%452 Bromsgrove Sajid Javid CON LAB 11,308 21.9%453 Stratford-on-Avon Nadhim Zahawi CON LD 11,346 22.4%454 Bristol West Stephen Williams LD LAB 11,366 20.5%455 Wimbledon Stephen Hammond CON LD 11,408 24.1%456 Harwich and North Essex Bernard Jenkin CON LD 11,447 23.4%457 Washington and Sunderland West Sharon Hodgson LAB CON 11,458 30.7%458 Horsham Francis Maude CON LD 11,460 20.5%459 Rhondda Chris Bryant LAB PC 11,553 37.2%460 Bethnal Green and Bow Rushanara Ali LAB LD 11,574 22.8%461 Altrincham and Sale West Graham Brady CON LD 11,595 23.5%462 Haltemprice and Howden David Davis CON LD 11,602 23.8%463 North Norfolk Norman Lamb LD CON 11,626 23.4%464 Worthing West Peter Bottomley CON LD 11,729 23.9%465 Coventry North East Bob Ainsworth LAB CON 11,775 27.1%466 Wellingborough Peter Bone CON LAB 11,787 22.8%467 Glasgow East Margaret Curran LAB SNP 11,840 36.8%468 Bath Don Foster LD CON 11,883 25.2%469 Birmingham, Perry Barr Khalid Mahmood LAB LD 11,908 28.3%470 Chipping Barnet Theresa Villiers CON LAB 11,927 23.6%471 Macclesfield David Rutley CON LD 11,959 23.9%472 Central Ayrshire Brian Donohoe LAB CON 12,007 27.3%473 Leigh Andy Burnham LAB CON 12,011 27.1%474 Clacton Douglas Carswell CON LAB 12,068 28.0%475 North Durham Kevan Jones LAB CON 12,076 29.5%476 Meon Valley George Hollingbery CON LD 12,125 23.7%

12

Page 13: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

Rank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % voteMajority

By-election

since 2010

Party

477 Twickenham Vincent Cable LD CON 12,140 20.3%478 Havant David Willetts CON LD 12,160 27.7%479 Islwyn Chris Evans LAB CON 12,215 35.2%480 Newbury Richard Benyon CON LD 12,248 20.9%481 East Lothian Fiona O'Donnell LAB CON 12,258 24.9%482 Westmorland and Lonsdale Tim Farron LD CON 12,264 23.8%483 Selby and Ainsty Nigel Adams CON LAB 12,265 23.7%484 Blackley and Broughton Graham Stringer LAB CON 12,303 36.0%485 Basildon and Billericay John Baron CON LAB 12,338 29.7%486 Kilmarnock and Loudoun Cathie Jamieson LAB SNP 12,378 26.6%487 Bury St Edmunds David Ruffley CON LD 12,380 21.1%488 Sittingbourne and Sheppey Gordon Henderson CON LAB 12,383 25.5%489 Islington North Jeremy Corbyn LAB LD 12,401 27.8%490 Airdrie and Shotts Pamela Nash LAB SNP 12,408 34.6%491 Boston and Skegness Mark Simmonds CON LAB 12,426 28.8%492 Makerfield Yvonne Fovargue LAB CON 12,490 28.5%493 Lewisham, Deptford Joan Ruddock LAB LD 12,499 30.3%494 Buckingham John Bercow SPK IND 12,529 25.9%495 Gateshead Ian Mearns LAB LD 12,549 32.8%496 Kenilworth and Southam Jeremy Wright CON LD 12,552 25.9%497 Linlithgow and East Falkirk Michael Connarty LAB SNP 12,553 24.4%498 North Antrim Ian Paisley Junior DUP TUV 12,558 29.6%499 Aylesbury David Lidington CON LD 12,618 23.7%500 Glasgow South Tom Harris LAB SNP 12,658 31.6%501 The Cotswolds Geoffrey Clifton-Brown CON LD 12,864 23.5%502 Bexhill and Battle Gregory Barker CON LD 12,880 23.6%503 North Tyneside Mary Glindon LAB LD 12,884 27.8%504 Jarrow Stephen Hepburn LAB CON 12,908 33.3%505 Chingford and Woodford Green Iain Duncan Smith CON LAB 12,963 30.1%506 Beverley and Holderness Graham Stuart CON LD 12,987 24.4%507 Devizes Claire Perry CON LD 13,005 28.1%508 Yeovil David Laws LD CON 13,036 22.8%509 West Suffolk Matthew Hancock CON LD 13,050 27.1%510 Bognor Regis and Littlehampton Nick Gibb CON LD 13,063 27.9%511 Ross, Skye and Lochaber Charles Kennedy LD LAB 13,070 37.5%512 St Helens North Dave Watts LAB CON 13,101 29.4%513 South West Norfolk Elizabeth Truss CON LD 13,140 26.7%514 Basingstoke Maria Miller CON LD 13,176 26.0%515 Fylde Mark Menzies CON LD 13,185 30.2%516 Ogmore Huw Irranca-Davies LAB CON 13,246 38.2%517 Eddisbury Stephen O'Brien CON LD 13,255 29.2%518 Stone Bill Cash CON LD 13,292 28.1%519 Hemel Hempstead Mike Penning CON LD 13,406 27.1%520 Lanark and Hamilton East Jim Hood LAB SNP 13,478 29.0%521 East Yorkshire Greg Knight CON LD 13,486 26.3%522 Wokingham John Redwood CON LD 13,492 24.7%523 East Hampshire Damian Hinds CON LD 13,497 26.3%524 North Thanet Roger Gale CON LAB 13,528 31.2%525 Wantage Edward Vaizey CON LD 13,547 24.0%526 Reigate Crispin Blunt CON LD 13,591 27.2%527 Glasgow North West John Robertson LAB LD 13,611 38.3%528 Sheffield, Brightside and Hillsborough David Blunkett LAB LD 13,632 35.0%529 Mitcham and Morden Siobhain McDonagh LAB CON 13,666 31.2%530 Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East Gregg McClymont LAB SNP 13,755 33.4%531 Central Suffolk and North Ipswich Daniel Poulter CON LD 13,786 25.8%532 Mid Norfolk George Freeman CON LD 13,856 27.3%533 Derbyshire Dales Patrick McLoughlin CON LD 13,866 29.6%534 Louth and Horncastle Peter Tapsell CON LD 13,871 27.5%535 Bromley and Chislehurst Bob Neill CON LD 13,900 31.6%536 Wentworth and Dearne John Healey LAB CON 13,920 33.1%

13

Page 14: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

Rank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % voteMajority

By-election

since 2010

Party

537 Rutland and Melton Alan Duncan CON LD 14,000 25.4%538 Leicester East Keith Vaz LAB CON 14,082 29.3%539 St Helens South and Whiston Shaun Woodward LAB LD 14,122 30.6%540 Liverpool, Riverside Louise Ellman LAB LD 14,173 36.5%541 Hackney South and Shoreditch Meg Hillier LAB LD 14,288 33.3%542 North Down Sylvia Hermon IND UCU 14,364 42.9%543 Gosport Caroline Dinenage CON LD 14,413 30.7%544 Inverclyde David Cairns LAB SNP 14,416 38.4% LAB545 Hackney North and Stoke Newington Diane Abbott LAB LD 14,461 31.1%546 Tatton George Osborne CON LD 14,487 32.0%547 East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow Michael McCann LAB SNP 14,503 28.5%548 Glasgow South West Ian Davidson LAB SNP 14,671 46.2%549 Ribble Valley Nigel Evans CON LAB 14,769 28.2%550 North West Norfolk Henry Bellingham CON LD 14,810 31.0%551 Grantham and Stamford Nick Boles CON LD 14,826 28.1%552 South West Hertfordshire David Gauke CON LD 14,920 26.3%553 Easington Grahame Morris LAB LD 14,982 42.9%554 Charnwood Stephen Dorrell CON LD 15,029 28.1%555 Epping Forest Eleanor Laing CON LD 15,131 32.5%556 Mid Bedfordshire Nadine Dorries CON LD 15,152 27.6%557 North East Hertfordshire Oliver Heald CON LD 15,194 30.1%558 Witham Priti Patel CON LD 15,196 32.4%559 Saffron Walden Alan Haselhurst CON LD 15,242 28.0%560 Aldridge-Brownhills Richard Shepherd CON LAB 15,266 39.5%561 Hitchin and Harpenden Peter Lilley CON LD 15,271 27.9%562 Paisley and Renfrewshire North Jim Sheridan LAB SNP 15,280 35.0%563 Sheffield, Hallam Nick Clegg LD CON 15,284 29.9%564 Mid Ulster Martin McGuinness SF DUP 15,363 37.6%565 Birkenhead Frank Field LAB CON 15,395 43.6%566 Christchurch Christopher Chope CON LD 15,410 31.2%567 Hertford and Stortford Mark Prisk CON LD 15,437 27.9%568 Halton Derek Twigg LAB CON 15,504 37.5%569 South Leicestershire Andrew Robathan CON LD 15,524 28.4%570 Tunbridge Wells Greg Clark CON LD 15,576 31.0%571 Mole Valley Paul Beresford CON LD 15,653 28.8%572 Bracknell Philip Lee CON LD 15,704 30.1%573 Rushcliffe Ken Clarke CON LD 15,811 29.5%574 Croydon South Richard Ottaway CON LD 15,818 28.1%575 North Shropshire Owen Paterson CON LD 15,828 30.5%576 Wyre and Preston North Ben Wallace CON LD 15,844 30.9%577 Old Bexley and Sidcup James Brokenshire CON LAB 15,857 34.9%578 Mid Worcestershire Peter Luff CON LD 15,864 31.1%579 South West Devon Gary Streeter CON LD 15,874 31.8%580 Chichester Andrew Tyrie CON LD 15,877 28.0%581 Glasgow North East Wille Bain LAB SNP 15,942 54.2%582 Braintree Brooks Newmark CON LAB 16,121 32.8%583 Epsom and Ewell Chris Grayling CON LD 16,134 29.4%584 Newark Patrick Mercer CON LAB 16,152 31.5%585 Meriden Caroline Spelman CON LAB 16,253 31.2%586 South West Surrey Jeremy Hunt CON LD 16,318 28.5%587 Hornchurch and Upminster Angela Watkinson CON LAB 16,371 30.7%588 North East Cambridgeshire Stephen Barclay CON LD 16,425 31.5%589 Glenrothes Lindsay Roy LAB SNP 16,448 40.6%590 Croydon North Malcolm Wicks LAB CON 16,481 31.9% LAB591 Runnymede and Weybridge Philip Hammond CON LD 16,509 34.3%592 Barking Margaret Hodge LAB CON 16,555 36.5%593 Henley John Howell CON LD 16,588 31.0%594 South Staffordshire Gavin Williamson CON LAB 16,590 32.9%595 Paisley and Renfrewshire South Douglas Alexander LAB SNP 16,614 41.5%596 South West Bedfordshire Andrew Selous CON LD 16,649 32.8%

14

Page 15: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

Rank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % voteMajority

By-election

since 2010

Party

597 North West Cambridgeshire Shailesh Vara CON LD 16,677 28.6%598 Arundel and South Downs Nick Herbert CON LD 16,691 29.8%599 Chesham and Amersham Cheryl Gillan CON LD 16,710 31.9%600 Chelsea and Fulham Greg Hands CON LAB 16,722 42.0%601 Maidenhead Theresa May CON LD 16,769 31.2%602 Motherwell and Wishaw Frank Roy LAB SNP 16,806 43.0%603 East Surrey Sam Gyimah CON LD 16,874 30.9%604 Garston and Halewood Maria Eagle LAB LD 16,877 39.4%605 New Forest West Desmond Swayne CON LD 16,896 35.5%606 Brentwood and Ongar Eric Pickles CON LD 16,921 33.4%607 Tottenham David Lammy LAB LD 16,931 41.6%608 Romford Andrew Rosindell CON LAB 16,954 36.5%609 Sutton Coldfield Andrew Mitchell CON LAB 17,005 33.6%610 Faversham and Mid Kent Hugh Robertson CON LD 17,088 36.6%611 Fareham Mark Hoban CON LD 17,092 31.5%612 Wealden Charles Hendry CON LD 17,179 31.3%613 Camberwell and Peckham Harriet Harman LAB LD 17,187 36.8%614 Orpington Jo Johnson CON LD 17,200 35.2%615 Surrey Heath Michael Gove CON LD 17,289 31.8%616 Ashford Damian Green CON LD 17,297 31.3%617 West Dunbartonshire Gemma Doyle LAB SNP 17,408 41.2%618 Welwyn Hatfield Grant Shapps CON LAB 17,423 35.6%619 Sevenoaks Michael Fallon CON LD 17,515 35.4%620 Belfast West Gerry Adams SF SDLP 17,579 54.7% SF621 Hertsmere James Clappison CON LAB 17,605 37.2%622 Lichfield Michael Fabricant CON LD 17,683 34.3%623 Beckenham Bob Stewart CON LD 17,784 37.3%624 Tonbridge and Malling John Stanley CON LD 18,178 35.4%625 Banbury Tony Baldry CON LD 18,227 32.4%626 Liverpool, West Derby Stephen Twigg LAB LD 18,467 51.6%627 North West Hampshire George Young CON LD 18,583 34.9%628 Esher and Walton Dominic Raab CON LD 18,593 34.1%629 North East Hampshire James Arbuthnot CON LD 18,597 35.1%630 Broxbourne Charles Walker CON LAB 18,804 41.2%631 North East Bedfordshire Alastair Burt CON LD 18,942 34.1%632 Windsor Adam Afriyie CON LD 19,054 38.4%633 Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner Nick Hurd CON LAB 19,060 38.0%634 Daventry Chris Heaton-Harris CON LD 19,188 37.1%635 Maldon John Whittingdale CON LD 19,407 40.5%636 Liverpool, Walton Steve Rotheram LAB LD 19,818 57.7%637 Sleaford and North Hykeham Stephen Phillips CON LD 19,905 33.4%638 South Northamptonshire Andrea Leadsom CON LD 20,478 34.2%639 Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill Tom Clarke LAB SNP 20,714 49.8%640 Rutherglen and Hamilton West Tom Greatrex LAB SNP 21,002 44.7%641 Bootle Joe Benton LAB LD 21,181 51.3%642 Beaconsfield Dominic Grieve CON LD 21,782 41.5%643 South Holland and The Deepings John Hayes CON LD 21,880 43.6%644 Rayleigh and Wickford Mark Francois CON LD 22,338 42.7%645 West Ham Lyn Brown LAB CON 22,534 48.0%646 Witney David Cameron CON LD 22,740 39.4%647 Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath Gordon Brown LAB SNP 23,009 50.2%648 Richmond (Yorks) William Hague CON LD 23,336 43.7%649 Knowsley George Howarth LAB LD 25,686 57.5%650 East Ham Stephen Timms LAB CON 27,826 55.2%

15

Page 16: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

Table 1.2

2010 General Election: Labour seats by majorityThe seat ranked 1 has the lowest majority

Rank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % vote

1 Hampstead and Kilburn Glenda Jackson LAB CON 42 0.1%2 Bolton West Julie Hilling LAB CON 92 0.2%3 Oldham East and Saddleworth Phil Woolas LAB LD 103 0.2% LAB 4 Sheffield Central Paul Blomfield LAB LD 165 0.4%5 Ashfield Gloria De Piero LAB LD 192 0.4%5 Southampton, Itchen John Denham LAB CON 192 0.4%7 Edinburgh South Ian Murray LAB LD 316 0.7%8 Swansea West Geraint Davies LAB LD 504 1.4%9 Wirral South Alison McGovern LAB CON 531 1.3%

10 Chesterfield Toby Perkins LAB LD 549 1.2%11 Derby North Chris Williamson LAB CON 613 1.4%12 Kingston upon Hull North Diana Johnson LAB LD 641 1.9%13 Dudley North Ian Austin LAB CON 649 1.7%14 Great Grimsby Austin Mitchell LAB CON 714 2.2%15 Rochdale Simon Danczuk LAB LD 889 1.9%16 Telford David Wright LAB CON 978 2.4%17 Walsall North David Winnick LAB CON 990 2.7%18 Morley and Outwood Ed Balls LAB CON 1,101 2.3%19 Birmingham, Edgbaston Gisela Stuart LAB CON 1,274 3.1%20 Halifax Linda Riordan LAB CON 1,472 3.4%21 Newcastle-under-Lyme Paul Farrelly LAB CON 1,552 3.6%22 Plymouth, Moor View Alison Seabeck LAB CON 1,588 3.8%23 Wakefield Mary Creagh LAB CON 1,613 3.6%24 Newport East Jessica Morden LAB LD 1,650 4.8%25 Eltham Clive Efford LAB CON 1,663 4.0%26 Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland Tom Blenkinsop LAB CON 1,677 3.6%

Majority

By-election

since 2010

Party

26 Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland Tom Blenkinsop LAB CON 1,677 3.6%27 Edinburgh North and Leith Mark Lazarowicz LAB LD 1,724 3.6%28 Walsall South Valerie Vaz LAB CON 1,755 4.3%29 Nottingham South Lilian Greenwood LAB CON 1,772 4.3%30 Blackpool South Gordon Marsden LAB CON 1,852 5.3%31 Gedling Vernon Coaker LAB CON 1,859 3.9%32 Westminster North Karen Buck LAB CON 2,126 5.4%33 Bridgend Madeleine Moon LAB CON 2,263 5.9%34 Delyn David Hanson LAB CON 2,272 6.1%35 Luton South Gavin Shuker LAB CON 2,329 5.5%36 Southampton, Test Alan Whitehead LAB CON 2,413 5.5%37 North East Derbyshire Natascha Engel LAB CON 2,445 5.2%38 Ynys Môn Albert Owen LAB PC 2,461 7.1%39 Wolverhampton North East Emma Reynolds LAB CON 2,484 7.1%40 Vale of Clwyd Chris Ruane LAB CON 2,509 7.1%41 Tooting Sadiq Khan LAB CON 2,524 5.0%42 Scunthorpe Nick Dakin LAB CON 2,549 6.9%43 Chorley Lindsay Hoyle LAB CON 2,593 5.2%44 Dagenham and Rainham Jon Cruddas LAB CON 2,630 5.9%45 Gower Martin Caton LAB CON 2,683 6.4%46 Exeter Ben Bradshaw LAB CON 2,721 5.2%47 Stalybridge and Hyde Jonathan Reynolds LAB CON 2,744 6.7%48 Birmingham, Northfield Richard Burden LAB CON 2,782 6.7%49 Pontypridd Owen Smith LAB LD 2,785 7.6%50 Clwyd South Susan Jones LAB CON 2,834 8.2%51 Alyn and Deeside Mark Tami LAB CON 2,919 7.3%52 Penistone and Stocksbridge Angela Smith LAB CON 3,049 6.6%53 City of Durham Roberta Blackman-Woods LAB LD 3,067 6.6%54 Hyndburn Graham Jones LAB CON 3,090 7.2%55 Harrow West Gareth Thomas LAB CON 3,143 6.8%56 Streatham Chuka Umunna LAB LD 3,259 7.0%

16

Page 17: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

Rank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % voteMajority

By-election

since 2010

Party

57 Birmingham, Erdington Jack Dromey LAB CON 3,277 9.2%58 Bury South Ivan Lewis LAB CON 3,292 6.8%59 Darlington Jenny Chapman LAB CON 3,388 7.9%60 Newcastle upon Tyne North Catherine McKinnell LAB LD 3,414 7.8%61 Birmingham, Selly Oak Stephen McCabe LAB CON 3,482 7.5%62 Aberdeen South Anne Begg LAB LD 3,506 8.1%63 Newport West Paul Flynn LAB CON 3,544 8.9%64 Hammersmith Andy Slaughter LAB CON 3,549 7.5%65 Islington South and Finsbury Emily Thornberry LAB LD 3,569 8.2%66 Don Valley Caroline Flint LAB CON 3,595 8.3%67 Wrexham Ian Lucas LAB LD 3,658 11.1%68 Bristol East Kerry McCarthy LAB CON 3,722 8.3%69 Birmingham, Hall Green Roger Godsiff LAB RES 3,799 7.8%70 Copeland Jamie Reed LAB CON 3,833 9.0%71 Coventry South Jim Cunningham LAB CON 3,845 8.4%72 Sefton Central Bill Esterson LAB CON 3,862 8.0%73 Glasgow North Ann McKechin LAB LD 3,898 13.2%74 Leicester West Liz Kendall LAB CON 4,017 11.2%75 Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney Dai Havard LAB LD 4,056 12.6%76 Bolton North East David Crausby LAB CON 4,084 9.4%77 Stoke-on-Trent South Robert Flello LAB CON 4,130 10.4%78 Ellesmere Port and Neston Andrew Miller LAB CON 4,331 9.8%79 Worsley and Eccles South Barbara Keeley LAB CON 4,337 10.4%80 West Lancashire Rosie Cooper LAB CON 4,343 9.0%81 Batley and Spen Mike Wood LAB CON 4,406 8.6%82 Newcastle upon Tyne East Nicholas Brown LAB LD 4,453 11.8%83 Huddersfield Barry Sheerman LAB CON 4,472 11.0%84 Leeds North East Fabian Hamilton LAB CON 4,545 9.6%85 Workington Tony Cunningham LAB CON 4,575 11.7%86 Oxford East Andrew Smith LAB LD 4,581 8.9%87 Bradford South Gerry Sutcliffe LAB CON 4,622 12.2%88 Feltham and Heston Alan Keen LAB CON 4,658 9.6% LAB89 Llanelli Nia Griffith LAB PC 4,701 12.5%90 Cardiff South and Penarth Alun Michael LAB CON 4,709 10.6% LAB91 Bristol South Dawn Primarolo LAB LD 4,734 9.8%92 Cardiff West Kevin Brennan LAB CON 4,751 11.6%93 Ochil and South Perthshire Gordon Banks LAB SNP 5,187 10.3%94 Barrow and Furness John Woodcock LAB CON 5,208 11.8%95 Bishop Auckland Helen Goodman LAB CON 5,218 12.7%96 Dunfermline and West Fife Thomas Docherty LAB LD 5,470 11.2%97 Hartlepool Iain Wright LAB CON 5,509 14.4%98 Slough Fiona Mactaggart LAB CON 5,523 11.6%99 Stoke-on-Trent Central Tristram Hunt LAB LD 5,566 17.1%

100 West Bromwich West Adrian Bailey LAB CON 5,651 15.6%101 Erith and Thamesmead Teresa Pearce LAB CON 5,703 13.4%102 Salford and Eccles Hazel Blears LAB LD 5,725 13.8%103 Tynemouth Alan Campbell LAB CON 5,739 10.9%104 Kingston upon Hull West and Hessle Alan Johnson LAB LD 5,742 18.2%105 Bradford West Marsha Singh LAB CON 5,763 14.2% RES106 Sheffield, Heeley Meg Munn LAB LD 5,807 14.2%107 Lewisham West and Penge Jim Dowd LAB LD 5,828 12.9%108 Rother Valley Kevin Barron LAB CON 5,866 12.5%109 Heywood and Middleton Jim Dobbin LAB CON 5,971 12.9%110 Mansfield Alan Meale LAB CON 6,012 12.4%111 Poplar and Limehouse Jim Fitzpatrick LAB CON 6,030 12.9%112 Derby South Margaret Beckett LAB CON 6,122 14.9%113 Lewisham East Heidi Alexander LAB LD 6,216 14.9%114 Doncaster Central Rosie Winterton LAB CON 6,229 14.9%115 Coventry North West Geoffrey Robinson LAB CON 6,288 13.5%116 Leyton and Wanstead John Cryer LAB LD 6,416 16.0%

17

Page 18: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

Rank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % voteMajority

By-election

since 2010

Party

117 York Central Hugh Bayley LAB CON 6,451 13.9%118 Wolverhampton South East Pat McFadden LAB CON 6,593 19.0%119 Blyth Valley Ronnie Campbell LAB LD 6,668 17.3%120 Stockton North Alex Cunningham LAB CON 6,676 16.9%121 West Bromwich East Tom Watson LAB CON 6,696 17.6%122 Manchester, Gorton Gerald Kaufman LAB LD 6,703 17.5%123 Sunderland Central Julie Elliott LAB CON 6,725 15.8%124 Warrington North Helen Jones LAB CON 6,771 15.3%125 Stockport Ann Coffey LAB CON 6,784 17.3%126 Nottingham East Christopher Leslie LAB LD 6,969 21.0%127 Leeds West Rachel Reeves LAB LD 7,016 18.1%128 Wansbeck Ian Lavery LAB LD 7,031 18.4%129 Liverpool, Wavertree Luciana Berger LAB LD 7,167 18.9%130 Dundee West Jim McGovern LAB SNP 7,278 19.6%131 Dumfries and Galloway Russell Brown LAB CON 7,449 14.3%132 Newcastle upon Tyne Central Chinyelu Onwurah LAB LD 7,466 21.9%133 Luton North Kelvin Hopkins LAB CON 7,520 17.5%134 Wythenshawe and Sale East Paul Goggins LAB CON 7,575 18.6%135 North West Durham Pat Glass LAB LD 7,612 17.4%136 Preston Mark Hendrick LAB LD 7,733 23.8%137 Falkirk Eric Joyce LAB SNP 7,843 15.4%138 Brent North Barry Gardiner LAB CON 8,028 15.4%139 Nottingham North Graham Allen LAB CON 8,138 23.7%140 Bassetlaw John Mann LAB CON 8,215 16.6%141 Stoke-on-Trent North Joan Walley LAB CON 8,235 20.5%142 Stirling Anne McGuire LAB CON 8,304 17.7%143 Aberdeen North Frank Doran LAB SNP 8,361 22.2%144 Edinburgh South West Alistair Darling LAB CON 8,447 18.6%145 Wallasey Angela Eagle LAB CON 8,507 20.4%146 Kingston upon Hull East Karl Turner LAB LD 8,597 25.1%147 Bolton South East Yasmin Qureshi LAB CON 8,634 21.8%148 Middlesbrough Stuart Bell LAB LD 8,689 26.0% LAB149 Sedgefield Phil Wilson LAB CON 8,696 21.6%150 Leicester South Peter Soulsby LAB LD 8,808 18.7% LAB151 Stretford and Urmston Kate Green LAB CON 8,935 19.9%152 Ashton-Under-Lyne David Heyes LAB CON 9,094 23.7%153 Blaydon David Anderson LAB LD 9,117 20.3%154 Edinburgh East Sheila Gilmore LAB SNP 9,181 23.0%155 Ealing, Southall Virendra Sharma LAB CON 9,291 21.7%156 Ealing North Stephen Pound LAB CON 9,301 19.5%157 Torfaen Paul Murphy LAB CON 9,306 24.7%158 Oldham West and Royton Michael Meacher LAB CON 9,352 21.8%159 Dulwich and West Norwood Tessa Jowell LAB LD 9,365 19.4%160 Walthamstow Stella Creasy LAB LD 9,478 23.1%161 Edmonton Andy Love LAB CON 9,613 23.8%162 Cynon Valley Ann Clwyd LAB PC 9,617 32.2%163 Neath Peter Hain LAB PC 9,775 26.3%164 Denton and Reddish Andrew Gwynne LAB CON 9,831 26.1%165 Hemsworth Jon Trickett LAB CON 9,844 22.5%166 Blackburn Jack Straw LAB CON 9,856 21.7%167 North Ayrshire and Arran Katy Clark LAB SNP 9,895 21.5%168 Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock Sandra Osborne LAB CON 9,911 21.6%169 Holborn and St Pancras Frank Dobson LAB LD 9,942 18.2%170 Birmingham, Ladywood Shabana Mahmood LAB LD 10,105 28.2%171 Greenwich and Woolwich Nick Raynsford LAB CON 10,153 24.7%172 Leeds East George Mudie LAB CON 10,293 27.2%173 Birmingham, Hodge Hill Liam Byrne LAB LD 10,302 24.3%174 Midlothian David Hamilton LAB SNP 10,349 26.4%175 East Renfrewshire Jim Murphy LAB CON 10,420 20.4%176 Manchester Central Tony Lloyd LAB LD 10,439 26.1% LAB

18

Page 19: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

Rank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % voteMajority

By-election

since 2010

Party

177 Rotherham Denis MacShane LAB CON 10,462 27.9% LAB178 Wigan Lisa Nandy LAB CON 10,487 23.8%179 Sheffield South East Clive Betts LAB LD 10,505 25.4%180 Blaenau Gwent Nick Smith LAB IND 10,516 32.5%181 Glasgow Central Anas Sarwar LAB SNP 10,551 34.5%182 Leeds Central Hilary Benn LAB LD 10,645 28.5%183 Vauxhall Kate Hoey LAB LD 10,651 24.7%184 Caerphilly Wayne David LAB CON 10,755 27.8%185 Warley John Spellar LAB CON 10,756 28.1%186 Livingston Graeme Morrice LAB SNP 10,791 22.5%187 Hayes and Harlington John McDonnell LAB CON 10,824 25.4%188 Swansea East Siân James LAB LD 10,838 33.2%189 Doncaster North Edward Miliband LAB CON 10,909 26.3%190 Normanton, Pontefract and Castleford Yvette Cooper LAB CON 10,979 23.7%191 Houghton and Sunderland South Bridget Phillipson LAB CON 10,990 28.9%192 Aberavon Hywel Francis LAB LD 11,039 35.7%193 Barnsley East Michael Dugher LAB LD 11,090 28.9%194 Barnsley Central Eric Illsley LAB LD 11,093 30.0% LAB195 South Shields David Miliband LAB CON 11,109 30.4%196 Bolsover Dennis Skinner LAB CON 11,182 25.4%197 Ilford South Mike Gapes LAB CON 11,287 22.0%198 Washington and Sunderland West Sharon Hodgson LAB CON 11,458 30.7%199 Rhondda Chris Bryant LAB PC 11,553 37.2%200 Bethnal Green and Bow Rushanara Ali LAB LD 11,574 22.8%201 Coventry North East Bob Ainsworth LAB CON 11,775 27.1%202 Glasgow East Margaret Curran LAB SNP 11,840 36.8%203 Birmingham, Perry Barr Khalid Mahmood LAB LD 11,908 28.3%204 Central Ayrshire Brian Donohoe LAB CON 12,007 27.3%205 Leigh Andy Burnham LAB CON 12,011 27.1%206 North Durham Kevan Jones LAB CON 12,076 29.5%207 Islwyn Chris Evans LAB CON 12,215 35.2%208 East Lothian Fiona O'Donnell LAB CON 12,258 24.9%209 Blackley and Broughton Graham Stringer LAB CON 12,303 36.0%210 Kilmarnock and Loudoun Cathie Jamieson LAB SNP 12,378 26.6%211 Islington North Jeremy Corbyn LAB LD 12,401 27.8%212 Airdrie and Shotts Pamela Nash LAB SNP 12,408 34.6%213 Makerfield Yvonne Fovargue LAB CON 12,490 28.5%214 Lewisham, Deptford Joan Ruddock LAB LD 12,499 30.3%215 Gateshead Ian Mearns LAB LD 12,549 32.8%216 Linlithgow and East Falkirk Michael Connarty LAB SNP 12,553 24.4%217 Glasgow South Tom Harris LAB SNP 12,658 31.6%218 North Tyneside Mary Glindon LAB LD 12,884 27.8%219 Jarrow Stephen Hepburn LAB CON 12,908 33.3%220 St Helens North Dave Watts LAB CON 13,101 29.4%221 Ogmore Huw Irranca-Davies LAB CON 13,246 38.2%222 Lanark and Hamilton East Jim Hood LAB SNP 13,478 29.0%223 Glasgow North West John Robertson LAB LD 13,611 38.3%224 Sheffield, Brightside and Hillsborough David Blunkett LAB LD 13,632 35.0%225 Mitcham and Morden Siobhain McDonagh LAB CON 13,666 31.2%226 Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East Gregg McClymont LAB SNP 13,755 33.4%227 Wentworth and Dearne John Healey LAB CON 13,920 33.1%228 Leicester East Keith Vaz LAB CON 14,082 29.3%229 St Helens South and Whiston Shaun Woodward LAB LD 14,122 30.6%230 Liverpool, Riverside Louise Ellman LAB LD 14,173 36.5%231 Hackney South and Shoreditch Meg Hillier LAB LD 14,288 33.3%232 Inverclyde David Cairns LAB SNP 14,416 38.4% LAB233 Hackney North and Stoke Newington Diane Abbott LAB LD 14,461 31.1%234 East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow Michael McCann LAB SNP 14,503 28.5%235 Glasgow South West Ian Davidson LAB SNP 14,671 46.2%236 Easington Grahame Morris LAB LD 14,982 42.9%

19

Page 20: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

Rank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % voteMajority

By-election

since 2010

Party

237 Paisley and Renfrewshire North Jim Sheridan LAB SNP 15,280 35.0%238 Birkenhead Frank Field LAB CON 15,395 43.6%239 Halton Derek Twigg LAB CON 15,504 37.5%240 Glasgow North East Wille Bain LAB SNP 15,942 54.2%241 Glenrothes Lindsay Roy LAB SNP 16,448 40.6%242 Croydon North Malcolm Wicks LAB CON 16,481 31.9% LAB243 Barking Margaret Hodge LAB CON 16,555 36.5%244 Paisley and Renfrewshire South Douglas Alexander LAB SNP 16,614 41.5%245 Motherwell and Wishaw Frank Roy LAB SNP 16,806 43.0%246 Garston and Halewood Maria Eagle LAB LD 16,877 39.4%247 Tottenham David Lammy LAB LD 16,931 41.6%248 Camberwell and Peckham Harriet Harman LAB LD 17,187 36.8%249 West Dunbartonshire Gemma Doyle LAB SNP 17,408 41.2%250 Liverpool, West Derby Stephen Twigg LAB LD 18,467 51.6%251 Liverpool, Walton Steve Rotheram LAB LD 19,818 57.7%252 Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill Tom Clarke LAB SNP 20,714 49.8%253 Rutherglen and Hamilton West Tom Greatrex LAB SNP 21,002 44.7%254 Bootle Joe Benton LAB LD 21,181 51.3%255 West Ham Lyn Brown LAB CON 22,534 48.0%256 Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath Gordon Brown LAB SNP 23,009 50.2%257 Knowsley George Howarth LAB LD 25,686 57.5%258 East Ham Stephen Timms LAB CON 27,826 55.2%

20

Page 21: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

Table 1.3

2010 General Election: Conservative seats by majorityThe seat ranked 1 has the lowest majority

Rank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % vote

1 North Warwickshire Daniel Byles CON LAB 54 0.1%2 Camborne and Redruth George Eustice CON LD 66 0.2%3 Thurrock Jackie Doyle-Price CON LAB 92 0.2%4 Hendon Matthew Offord CON LAB 106 0.2%5 Oxford West and Abingdon Nicola Blackwood CON LD 176 0.3%6 Cardiff North Jonathan Evans CON LAB 194 0.4%7 Sherwood Mark Spencer CON LAB 214 0.4%8 Stockton South James Wharton CON LAB 332 0.7%9 Lancaster and Fleetwood Eric Ollerenshaw CON LAB 333 0.8%

10 Broxtowe Anna Soubry CON LAB 389 0.7%11 Truro and Falmouth Sarah Newton CON LD 435 0.9%12 Newton Abbot Anne Morris CON LD 523 1.1%13 Amber Valley Nigel Mills CON LAB 536 1.2%14 Wolverhampton South West Paul Uppal CON LAB 691 1.7%15 Waveney Peter Aldous CON LAB 769 1.5%16 Carlisle John Stevenson CON LAB 853 2.0%17 Morecambe and Lunesdale David Morris CON LAB 866 2.0%18 Weaver Vale Graham Evans CON LAB 991 2.3%19 Harrogate and Knaresborough Andrew Jones CON LD 1,039 2.0%20 Lincoln Karl McCartney CON LAB 1,058 2.3%21 Plymouth, Sutton and Devonport Oliver Colvile CON LAB 1,149 2.6%22 Montgomeryshire Glyn Davies CON LD 1,184 3.5%23 Stroud Neil Carmichael CON LAB 1,299 2.2%24 Brighton, Kemptown Simon Kirby CON LAB 1,328 3.1%25 Bedford Richard Fuller CON LAB 1,353 3.0%26 Watford Richard Harrington CON LD 1,425 2.6%27 Dewsbury Simon Reevell CON LAB 1,526 2.8%28 Warrington South David Mowat CON LAB 1,553 2.8%29 Pudsey Stuart Andrew CON LAB 1,659 3.4%30 Enfield North Nick de Bois CON LAB 1,692 3.8%31 Hove Mike Weatherley CON LAB 1,868 3.7%32 Corby Louise Bagshawe CON LAB 1,895 3.5% LAB33 Northampton North Michael Ellis CON LAB 1,936 4.8%34 Brentford and Isleworth Mary MacLeod CON LAB 1,958 3.6%35 Hastings and Rye Amber Rudd CON LAB 1,993 4.0%36 Halesowen and Rowley Regis James Morris CON LAB 2,023 4.6%37 Nuneaton Marcus Jones CON LAB 2,069 4.6%38 Ipswich Benedict Gummer CON LAB 2,079 4.4%39 Blackpool North and Cleveleys Paul Maynard CON LAB 2,150 5.3%40 Bury North David Nuttall CON LAB 2,243 5.0%41 St Albans Anne Main CON LD 2,305 4.4%42 Gloucester Richard Graham CON LAB 2,420 4.8%43 Wirral West Esther McVey CON LAB 2,436 6.2%44 Kingswood Chris Skidmore CON LAB 2,445 5.1%45 Hereford and South Herefordshire Jesse Norman CON LD 2,481 5.1%46 Erewash Jessica Lee CON LAB 2,501 5.2%47 City of Chester Stephen Mosley CON LAB 2,583 5.5%48 Wyre Forest Mark Garnier CON ICHC 2,643 5.2%49 Weston-super-Mare John Penrose CON LD 2,691 5.1%50 Croydon Central Gavin Barwell CON LAB 2,879 5.8%51 Keighley Kris Hopkins CON LAB 2,940 6.2%52 Torridge and West Devon Geoffrey Cox CON LD 2,957 5.4%53 Worcester Robin Walker CON LAB 2,982 6.1%54 Winchester Steve Brine CON LD 3,048 5.4%55 Cannock Chase Aidan Burley CON LAB 3,195 7.0%56 South East Cornwall Sheryll Murray CON LD 3,220 6.5%

Majority

By-election

since 2010

Party

21

Page 22: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

Rank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % voteMajority

By-election

since 2010

Party

57 Bristol North West Charlotte Leslie CON LD 3,274 6.5%58 Aberconwy Guto Bebb CON LAB 3,398 11.3%59 Harrow East Bob Blackman CON LAB 3,403 7.1%60 Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire Simon Hart CON LAB 3,423 8.5%61 Warwick and Leamington Chris White CON LAB 3,513 7.2%62 South Swindon Robert Buckland CON LAB 3,544 7.5%63 Stevenage Stephen McPartland CON LAB 3,578 8.0%64 Pendle Andrew Stephenson CON LAB 3,585 8.0%65 York Outer Julian Sturdy CON LD 3,688 6.9%66 Ealing Central and Acton Angie Bray CON LAB 3,716 7.9%67 Loughborough Nicky Morgan CON LAB 3,744 7.1%68 Dudley South Chris Kelly CON LAB 3,856 10.1%69 Norwich North Chloe Smith CON LAB 3,901 9.2%70 West Dorset Oliver Letwin CON LD 3,923 6.8%71 Richmond Park Zac Goldsmith CON LD 4,091 6.9%72 Romsey and Southampton North Caroline Nokes CON LD 4,156 8.5%73 Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale David Mundell CON LAB 4,194 9.1%74 Great Yarmouth Brandon Lewis CON LAB 4,276 9.9%75 Cleethorpes Martin Vickers CON LAB 4,298 9.6%76 Vale of Glamorgan Alun Cairns CON LAB 4,307 8.8%77 Rossendale and Darwen Jake Berry CON LAB 4,493 9.5%78 Elmet and Rothwell Alec Shelbrooke CON LAB 4,521 8.1%79 Preseli Pembrokeshire Stephen Crabb CON LAB 4,605 11.6%80 High Peak Andrew Bingham CON LAB 4,677 9.3%81 Colne Valley Jason McCartney CON LD 4,837 8.7%82 Peterborough Stewart Jackson CON LAB 4,861 10.8%83 North East Somerset Jacob Rees-Mogg CON LAB 4,914 9.6%84 Harlow Robert Halfon CON LAB 4,925 11.2%85 Totnes Sarah Wollaston CON LD 4,927 10.3%86 Bosworth David Tredinnick CON LD 5,032 9.3%87 Chelmsford Simon Burns CON LD 5,110 9.4%88 Brigg and Goole Andrew Percy CON LAB 5,147 11.7%89 Stourbridge Margot James CON LAB 5,164 10.9%90 Milton Keynes South Iain Stewart CON LAB 5,201 9.4%91 Dover Charlie Elphicke CON LAB 5,274 10.5%92 Ilford North Lee Scott CON LAB 5,404 11.5%93 Stafford Jeremy Lefroy CON LAB 5,460 10.9%94 South Ribble Lorraine Fullbrook CON LAB 5,554 10.8%95 Bournemouth West Conor Burns CON LD 5,583 13.4%96 Aldershot Gerald Howarth CON LD 5,586 12.3%97 South Basildon and East Thurrock Stephen Metcalfe CON LAB 5,772 12.9%98 Hexham Guy Opperman CON LD 5,788 13.3%99 Finchley and Golders Green Mike Freer CON LAB 5,809 12.3%

100 Redditch Karen Lumley CON LAB 5,821 13.2%101 Maidstone and The Weald Helen Grant CON LD 5,889 12.0%102 Crawley Henry Smith CON LAB 5,928 12.5%103 South East Cambridgeshire James Paice CON LD 5,946 10.3%104 Salisbury John Glen CON LD 5,966 12.3%105 Battersea Jane Ellison CON LAB 5,977 12.2%106 Rugby Mark Pawsey CON LAB 6,000 12.6%107 Northampton South Brian Binley CON LAB 6,004 15.4%107 Reading West Alok Sharma CON LAB 6,004 12.6%109 Crewe and Nantwich Edward Timpson CON LAB 6,046 11.8%110 Canterbury Julian Brazier CON LD 6,048 12.3%111 Chatham and Aylesford Tracey Crouch CON LAB 6,069 13.9%112 Tamworth Chris Pincher CON LAB 6,090 13.1%113 Burton Andrew Griffiths CON LAB 6,304 12.7%114 Tewkesbury Laurence Robertson CON LD 6,310 11.7%115 Clwyd West David Jones CON LAB 6,419 16.8%116 Calder Valley Craig Whittaker CON LAB 6,431 12.4%

22

Page 23: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

Rank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % voteMajority

By-election

since 2010

Party

117 Staffordshire Moorlands Karen Bradley CON LAB 6,689 15.3%118 West Worcestershire Harriett Baldwin CON LD 6,754 12.5%119 Woking Jonathan Lord CON LD 6,807 12.9%120 Filton and Bradley Stoke Jack Lopresti CON LAB 6,914 14.3%121 North Swindon Justin Tomlinson CON LAB 7,060 14.0%122 Congleton Fiona Bruce CON LD 7,063 13.9%123 South Derbyshire Heather Wheeler CON LAB 7,128 14.1%124 Southend West David Amess CON LD 7,270 16.7%125 Portsmouth North Penny Mordaunt CON LAB 7,289 16.5%126 Broadland Keith Simpson CON LD 7,292 13.8%127 Mid Sussex Nicholas Soames CON LD 7,402 13.3%128 South Dorset Richard Drax CON LAB 7,443 14.8%129 North Wiltshire James Gray CON LD 7,483 15.4%130 North West Leicestershire Andrew Bridgen CON LAB 7,511 14.5%131 Poole Robert Syms CON LD 7,541 15.9%132 Reading East Rob Wilson CON LD 7,605 15.2%133 South Thanet Laura Sandys CON LAB 7,617 16.6%134 North Dorset Robert Walter CON LD 7,625 14.1%135 Enfield, Southgate David Burrowes CON LAB 7,626 17.2%136 Castle Point Rebecca Harris CON IND 7,632 17.0%137 Bournemouth East Tobias Ellwood CON LD 7,728 17.6%138 Guildford Anne Milton CON LD 7,782 14.0%139 South Cambridgeshire Andrew Lansley CON LD 7,838 13.3%140 North Somerset Liam Fox CON LD 7,862 13.6%141 Shrewsbury and Atcham Daniel Kawczynski CON LD 7,944 15.0%142 Scarborough and Whitby Robert Goodwill CON LAB 8,130 16.5%143 Kensington Malcolm Rifkind CON LAB 8,616 24.5%144 Gillingham and Rainham Rehman Chishti CON LAB 8,680 18.6%145 South Suffolk Tim Yeo CON LD 8,689 16.9%146 Milton Keynes North Mark Lancaster CON LAB 8,961 16.6%147 Kettering Philip Hollobone CON LAB 9,094 19.2%148 East Devon Hugo Swire CON LD 9,114 17.2%149 Suffolk Coastal Therese Coffey CON LD 9,128 16.6%150 Central Devon Mel Stride CON LD 9,230 17.1%151 Bridgwater and West Somerset Ian Liddell-Grainger CON LD 9,249 17.0%152 Gravesham Adam Holloway CON LAB 9,312 19.7%153 Tiverton and Honiton Neil Parish CON LD 9,320 17.0%154 The Wrekin Mark Pritchard CON LAB 9,450 20.6%155 Wycombe Steve Baker CON LD 9,560 19.9%156 Ludlow Philip Dunne CON LD 9,749 20.0%157 Harborough Edward Garnier CON LD 9,797 17.8%158 North Herefordshire Bill Wiggin CON LD 9,887 20.8%159 Shipley Philip Davies CON LAB 9,944 20.1%160 Skipton and Ripon Julian Smith CON LD 9,950 18.2%161 Rochester and Strood Mark Reckless CON LAB 9,953 20.7%162 Spelthorne Kwasi Kwarteng CON LD 10,019 21.2%163 Putney Justine Greening CON LAB 10,053 24.6%164 Folkestone and Hythe Damian Collins CON LD 10,122 19.2%165 Bexleyheath and Crayford David Evennett CON LAB 10,344 24.0%166 South West Wiltshire Andrew Murrison CON LD 10,367 21.1%167 Monmouth David Davies CON LAB 10,425 22.4%168 Isle of Wight Andrew Turner CON LD 10,527 15.0%169 Gainsborough Edward Leigh CON LD 10,559 21.4%170 Dartford Gareth Johnson CON LAB 10,628 21.2%171 Huntingdon Jonathan Djanogly CON LD 10,819 19.9%172 South Norfolk Richard Bacon CON LD 10,940 19.9%173 Rochford and Southend East James Duddridge CON LAB 11,050 26.5%174 Forest of Dean Mark Harper CON LAB 11,064 22.7%175 Cities of London and Westminster Mark Field CON LAB 11,076 30.0%176 East Worthing and Shoreham Tim Loughton CON LD 11,105 22.9%

23

Page 24: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

Rank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % voteMajority

By-election

since 2010

Party

177 Uxbridge and South Ruislip John Randall CON LAB 11,216 24.9%178 Penrith and The Border Rory Stewart CON LD 11,241 24.9%179 Thirsk and Malton Anne McIntosh CON LD 11,281 29.6%180 Mid Derbyshire Pauline Latham CON LAB 11,292 23.9%181 New Forest East Julian Lewis CON LD 11,307 22.6%182 Bromsgrove Sajid Javid CON LAB 11,308 21.9%183 Stratford-on-Avon Nadhim Zahawi CON LD 11,346 22.4%184 Wimbledon Stephen Hammond CON LD 11,408 24.1%185 Harwich and North Essex Bernard Jenkin CON LD 11,447 23.4%186 Horsham Francis Maude CON LD 11,460 20.5%187 Altrincham and Sale West Graham Brady CON LD 11,595 23.5%188 Haltemprice and Howden David Davis CON LD 11,602 23.8%189 Worthing West Peter Bottomley CON LD 11,729 23.9%190 Wellingborough Peter Bone CON LAB 11,787 22.8%191 Chipping Barnet Theresa Villiers CON LAB 11,927 23.6%192 Macclesfield David Rutley CON LD 11,959 23.9%193 Clacton Douglas Carswell CON LAB 12,068 28.0%194 Meon Valley George Hollingbery CON LD 12,125 23.7%195 Havant David Willetts CON LD 12,160 27.7%196 Newbury Richard Benyon CON LD 12,248 20.9%197 Selby and Ainsty Nigel Adams CON LAB 12,265 23.7%198 Basildon and Billericay John Baron CON LAB 12,338 29.7%199 Bury St Edmunds David Ruffley CON LD 12,380 21.1%200 Sittingbourne and Sheppey Gordon Henderson CON LAB 12,383 25.5%201 Boston and Skegness Mark Simmonds CON LAB 12,426 28.8%202 Kenilworth and Southam Jeremy Wright CON LD 12,552 25.9%203 Aylesbury David Lidington CON LD 12,618 23.7%204 The Cotswolds Geoffrey Clifton-Brown CON LD 12,864 23.5%205 Bexhill and Battle Gregory Barker CON LD 12,880 23.6%206 Chingford and Woodford Green Iain Duncan Smith CON LAB 12,963 30.1%207 Beverley and Holderness Graham Stuart CON LD 12,987 24.4%208 Devizes Claire Perry CON LD 13,005 28.1%209 West Suffolk Matthew Hancock CON LD 13,050 27.1%210 Bognor Regis and Littlehampton Nick Gibb CON LD 13,063 27.9%211 South West Norfolk Elizabeth Truss CON LD 13,140 26.7%212 Basingstoke Maria Miller CON LD 13,176 26.0%213 Fylde Mark Menzies CON LD 13,185 30.2%214 Eddisbury Stephen O'Brien CON LD 13,255 29.2%215 Stone Bill Cash CON LD 13,292 28.1%216 Hemel Hempstead Mike Penning CON LD 13,406 27.1%217 East Yorkshire Greg Knight CON LD 13,486 26.3%218 Wokingham John Redwood CON LD 13,492 24.7%219 East Hampshire Damian Hinds CON LD 13,497 26.3%220 North Thanet Roger Gale CON LAB 13,528 31.2%221 Wantage Edward Vaizey CON LD 13,547 24.0%222 Reigate Crispin Blunt CON LD 13,591 27.2%223 Central Suffolk and North Ipswich Daniel Poulter CON LD 13,786 25.8%224 Mid Norfolk George Freeman CON LD 13,856 27.3%225 Derbyshire Dales Patrick McLoughlin CON LD 13,866 29.6%226 Louth and Horncastle Peter Tapsell CON LD 13,871 27.5%227 Bromley and Chislehurst Bob Neill CON LD 13,900 31.6%228 Rutland and Melton Alan Duncan CON LD 14,000 25.4%229 Gosport Caroline Dinenage CON LD 14,413 30.7%230 Tatton George Osborne CON LD 14,487 32.0%231 Ribble Valley Nigel Evans CON LAB 14,769 28.2%232 North West Norfolk Henry Bellingham CON LD 14,810 31.0%233 Grantham and Stamford Nick Boles CON LD 14,826 28.1%234 South West Hertfordshire David Gauke CON LD 14,920 26.3%235 Charnwood Stephen Dorrell CON LD 15,029 28.1%236 Epping Forest Eleanor Laing CON LD 15,131 32.5%

24

Page 25: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

Rank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % voteMajority

By-election

since 2010

Party

237 Mid Bedfordshire Nadine Dorries CON LD 15,152 27.6%238 North East Hertfordshire Oliver Heald CON LD 15,194 30.1%239 Witham Priti Patel CON LD 15,196 32.4%240 Saffron Walden Alan Haselhurst CON LD 15,242 28.0%241 Aldridge-Brownhills Richard Shepherd CON LAB 15,266 39.5%242 Hitchin and Harpenden Peter Lilley CON LD 15,271 27.9%243 Christchurch Christopher Chope CON LD 15,410 31.2%244 Hertford and Stortford Mark Prisk CON LD 15,437 27.9%245 South Leicestershire Andrew Robathan CON LD 15,524 28.4%246 Tunbridge Wells Greg Clark CON LD 15,576 31.0%247 Mole Valley Paul Beresford CON LD 15,653 28.8%248 Bracknell Philip Lee CON LD 15,704 30.1%249 Rushcliffe Ken Clarke CON LD 15,811 29.5%250 Croydon South Richard Ottaway CON LD 15,818 28.1%251 North Shropshire Owen Paterson CON LD 15,828 30.5%252 Wyre and Preston North Ben Wallace CON LD 15,844 30.9%253 Old Bexley and Sidcup James Brokenshire CON LAB 15,857 34.9%254 Mid Worcestershire Peter Luff CON LD 15,864 31.1%255 South West Devon Gary Streeter CON LD 15,874 31.8%256 Chichester Andrew Tyrie CON LD 15,877 28.0%257 Braintree Brooks Newmark CON LAB 16,121 32.8%258 Epsom and Ewell Chris Grayling CON LD 16,134 29.4%259 Newark Patrick Mercer CON LAB 16,152 31.5%260 Meriden Caroline Spelman CON LAB 16,253 31.2%261 South West Surrey Jeremy Hunt CON LD 16,318 28.5%262 Hornchurch and Upminster Angela Watkinson CON LAB 16,371 30.7%263 North East Cambridgeshire Stephen Barclay CON LD 16,425 31.5%264 Runnymede and Weybridge Philip Hammond CON LD 16,509 34.3%265 Henley John Howell CON LD 16,588 31.0%266 South Staffordshire Gavin Williamson CON LAB 16,590 32.9%267 South West Bedfordshire Andrew Selous CON LD 16,649 32.8%268 North West Cambridgeshire Shailesh Vara CON LD 16,677 28.6%269 Arundel and South Downs Nick Herbert CON LD 16,691 29.8%270 Chesham and Amersham Cheryl Gillan CON LD 16,710 31.9%271 Chelsea and Fulham Greg Hands CON LAB 16,722 42.0%272 Maidenhead Theresa May CON LD 16,769 31.2%273 East Surrey Sam Gyimah CON LD 16,874 30.9%274 New Forest West Desmond Swayne CON LD 16,896 35.5%275 Brentwood and Ongar Eric Pickles CON LD 16,921 33.4%276 Romford Andrew Rosindell CON LAB 16,954 36.5%277 Sutton Coldfield Andrew Mitchell CON LAB 17,005 33.6%278 Faversham and Mid Kent Hugh Robertson CON LD 17,088 36.6%279 Fareham Mark Hoban CON LD 17,092 31.5%280 Wealden Charles Hendry CON LD 17,179 31.3%281 Orpington Jo Johnson CON LD 17,200 35.2%282 Surrey Heath Michael Gove CON LD 17,289 31.8%283 Ashford Damian Green CON LD 17,297 31.3%284 Welwyn Hatfield Grant Shapps CON LAB 17,423 35.6%285 Sevenoaks Michael Fallon CON LD 17,515 35.4%286 Hertsmere James Clappison CON LAB 17,605 37.2%287 Lichfield Michael Fabricant CON LD 17,683 34.3%288 Beckenham Bob Stewart CON LD 17,784 37.3%289 Tonbridge and Malling John Stanley CON LD 18,178 35.4%290 Banbury Tony Baldry CON LD 18,227 32.4%291 North West Hampshire George Young CON LD 18,583 34.9%292 Esher and Walton Dominic Raab CON LD 18,593 34.1%293 North East Hampshire James Arbuthnot CON LD 18,597 35.1%294 Broxbourne Charles Walker CON LAB 18,804 41.2%295 North East Bedfordshire Alastair Burt CON LD 18,942 34.1%296 Windsor Adam Afriyie CON LD 19,054 38.4%

25

Page 26: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

Rank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % voteMajority

By-election

since 2010

Party

297 Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner Nick Hurd CON LAB 19,060 38.0%298 Daventry Chris Heaton-Harris CON LD 19,188 37.1%299 Maldon John Whittingdale CON LD 19,407 40.5%300 Sleaford and North Hykeham Stephen Phillips CON LD 19,905 33.4%301 South Northamptonshire Andrea Leadsom CON LD 20,478 34.2%302 Beaconsfield Dominic Grieve CON LD 21,782 41.5%303 South Holland and The Deepings John Hayes CON LD 21,880 43.6%304 Rayleigh and Wickford Mark Francois CON LD 22,338 42.7%305 Witney David Cameron CON LD 22,740 39.4%306 Richmond (Yorks) William Hague CON LD 23,336 43.7%

26

Page 27: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

Table 1.4

2010 General Election: Liberal Democrat seats by majorityThe seat ranked 1 has the lowest majority

Rank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % vote

1 Solihull Lorely Burt LD CON 175 0.3%2 Mid Dorset and North Poole Annette Brooke LD CON 269 0.6%3 Norwich South Simon Wright LD LAB 310 0.7%4 Bradford East David Ward LD LAB 365 0.9%5 Wells Tessa Munt LD CON 800 1.4%6 St Austell and Newquay Stephen Gilbert LD CON 1,312 2.8%7 Brent Central Sarah Teather LD LAB 1,345 3.0%8 Sutton and Cheam Paul Burstow LD CON 1,608 3.3%9 St Ives Andrew George LD CON 1,719 3.7%

10 Somerton and Frome David Heath LD CON 1,817 3.0%11 Burnley Gordon Birtwistle LD LAB 1,818 4.3%12 Manchester, Withington John Leech LD LAB 1,894 4.2%13 East Dunbartonshire Jo Swinson LD LAB 2,184 4.6%14 Chippenham Duncan Hames LD CON 2,470 4.7%15 Berwick-upon-Tweed Alan Beith LD CON 2,690 7.0%16 North Cornwall Dan Rogerson LD CON 2,981 6.4%17 Birmingham, Yardley John Hemming LD LAB 3,002 7.3%18 Cheadle Mark Hunter LD CON 3,272 6.2%19 Argyll and Bute Alan Reid LD CON 3,431 7.6%20 Eastbourne Stephen Lloyd LD CON 3,435 6.6%21 West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine Robert Smith LD CON 3,684 8.2%22 Brecon and Radnorshire Roger Williams LD CON 3,747 9.6%23 Edinburgh West Mike Crockart LD LAB 3,803 8.2%24 Eastleigh Chris Huhne LD CON 3,864 7.2%25 Taunton Deane Jeremy Browne LD CON 3,993 6.9%26 Torbay Adrian Sanders LD CON 4,078 8.3%27 Cardiff Central Jenny Willott LD LAB 4,576 12.7%28 Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross John Thurso LD LAB 4,826 16.8%29 Cheltenham Martin Horwood LD CON 4,920 9.3%30 Portsmouth South Mike Hancock LD CON 5,200 12.6%31 Redcar Ian Swales LD LAB 5,214 12.4%32 Carshalton and Wallington Tom Brake LD CON 5,260 11.5%33 Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk Michael Moore LD CON 5,675 11.6%34 North Devon Nick Harvey LD CON 5,821 11.3%35 Southport John Pugh LD CON 6,024 13.8%36 Hazel Grove Andrew Stunell LD CON 6,371 15.2%37 Gordon Malcolm Bruce LD SNP 6,748 13.8%38 Cambridge Julian Huppert LD CON 6,792 13.5%39 Hornsey and Wood Green Lynne Featherstone LD LAB 6,875 12.5%40 Colchester Bob Russell LD CON 6,982 15.1%41 Thornbury and Yate Steve Webb LD CON 7,116 14.8%42 Kingston and Surbiton Edward Davey LD CON 7,560 13.2%43 Lewes Norman Baker LD CON 7,647 15.3%44 Ceredigion Mark Williams LD PC 8,324 21.8%45 Bermondsey and Old Southwark Simon Hughes LD LAB 8,530 19.1%46 Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and Strathspey Danny Alexander LD LAB 8,765 18.6%47 North East Fife Menzies Campbell LD CON 9,048 22.6%48 Leeds North West Greg Mulholland LD CON 9,103 20.9%49 Orkney and Shetland Alistair Carmichael LD LAB 9,928 51.3%50 Bristol West Stephen Williams LD LAB 11,366 20.5%51 North Norfolk Norman Lamb LD CON 11,626 23.4%52 Bath Don Foster LD CON 11,883 25.2%

Majority

By-election

since 2010

Party

27

Page 28: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

Rank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % voteMajority

By-election

since 2010

Party

53 Twickenham Vincent Cable LD CON 12,140 20.3%54 Westmorland and Lonsdale Tim Farron LD CON 12,264 23.8%55 Yeovil David Laws LD CON 13,036 22.8%56 Ross, Skye and Lochaber Charles Kennedy LD LAB 13,070 37.5%57 Sheffield, Hallam Nick Clegg LD CON 15,284 29.9%

28

Page 29: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

Table 1.5

2010 General Election: Other Parties seats by majorityThe seat ranked 1 has the lowest majority

Rank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % vote

Alliance Party1 Belfast East Naomi Long Alliance DUP 1,533 4.4%

Democratic Unionist Party1 South Antrim William McCrea DUP UCU 1,183 3.5%2 Belfast North Nigel Dodds DUP SF 2,224 6.0%3 Upper Bann David Simpson DUP UCU 3,361 8.1%4 East Londonderry Gregory Campbell DUP SF 5,355 15.3%5 Strangford Jim Shannon DUP UCU 5,876 18.1%6 East Antrim Sammy Wilson DUP UCU 6,770 22.2%7 Lagan Valley Jeffrey Donaldson DUP UCU 10,486 28.7%8 North Antrim Ian Paisley Junior DUP TUV 12,558 29.6%

Green Party1 Brighton, Pavilion Caroline Lucas Green LAB 1,252 2.4%

Independent1 North Down Sylvia Hermon IND UCU 14,364 42.9%

Plaid Cymru1 Arfon Hywel Williams PC LAB 1,455 5.6%2 Carmarthen East and Dinefwr Jonathan Edwards PC LAB 3,481 9.2%3 Dwyfor Meirionnydd Elfyn Llwyd PC CON 6,367 22.0%

Social Democratic Labour Party1 Foyle Mark Durkan SDLP SF 4,824 12.7%2 Belfast South Alasdair McDonnell SDLP DUP 5,926 17.3%3 South Down Margaret Ritchie SDLP SF 8,412 19.8%

Sinn Fein1 Fermanagh and South Tyrone Michelle Gildernew SF IND 4 0.0%2 Newry and Armagh Conor Murphy SF SDLP 8,331 18.6%3 West Tyrone Pat Doherty SF DUP 10,685 28.7%4 Mid Ulster Martin McGuinness SF DUP 15,363 37.6%5 Belfast West Gerry Adams SF SDLP 17,579 54.7% SF

Scottish National Party1 Dundee East Stewart Hosie SNP LAB 1,821 4.5%2 Na h-Eileanan an Iar Angus MacNeil SNP LAB 1,885 12.8%3 Angus Mike Weir SNP CON 3,282 8.6%4 Banff and Buchan Eilidh Whiteford SNP CON 4,027 10.5%5 Perth and North Perthshire Pete Wishart SNP CON 4,379 9.1%6 Moray Angus Robertson SNP CON 5,590 13.6%

Speaker1 Buckingham John Bercow SPK IND 12,529 25.9%

Majority

By-election

since 2010

Party

29

Page 30: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

Table 2.1

2010 General Election: all seats by % majorityThe seat ranked 1 has the lowest % majority

Rank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % vote

1 Fermanagh and South Tyrone Michelle Gildernew SF IND 4 0.0%2 Hampstead and Kilburn Glenda Jackson LAB CON 42 0.1%3 North Warwickshire Daniel Byles CON LAB 54 0.1%4 Camborne and Redruth George Eustice CON LD 66 0.2%5 Bolton West Julie Hilling LAB CON 92 0.2%6 Thurrock Jackie Doyle-Price CON LAB 92 0.2%7 Hendon Matthew Offord CON LAB 106 0.2%8 Oldham East and Saddleworth Phil Woolas LAB LD 103 0.2% LAB9 Oxford West and Abingdon Nicola Blackwood CON LD 176 0.3%

10 Solihull Lorely Burt LD CON 175 0.3%11 Sheffield Central Paul Blomfield LAB LD 165 0.4%12 Ashfield Gloria De Piero LAB LD 192 0.4%13 Cardiff North Jonathan Evans CON LAB 194 0.4%14 Southampton, Itchen John Denham LAB CON 192 0.4%15 Sherwood Mark Spencer CON LAB 214 0.4%16 Mid Dorset and North Poole Annette Brooke LD CON 269 0.6%17 Norwich South Simon Wright LD LAB 310 0.7%18 Stockton South James Wharton CON LAB 332 0.7%19 Edinburgh South Ian Murray LAB LD 316 0.7%20 Broxtowe Anna Soubry CON LAB 389 0.7%21 Lancaster and Fleetwood Eric Ollerenshaw CON LAB 333 0.8%22 Truro and Falmouth Sarah Newton CON LD 435 0.9%23 Bradford East David Ward LD LAB 365 0.9%24 Newton Abbot Anne Morris CON LD 523 1.1%25 Amber Valley Nigel Mills CON LAB 536 1.2%26 Chesterfield Toby Perkins LAB LD 549 1.2%27 Wirral South Alison McGovern LAB CON 531 1.3%28 Derby North Chris Williamson LAB CON 613 1.4%29 Swansea West Geraint Davies LAB LD 504 1.4%30 Wells Tessa Munt LD CON 800 1.4%31 Waveney Peter Aldous CON LAB 769 1.5%32 Dudley North Ian Austin LAB CON 649 1.7%33 Wolverhampton South West Paul Uppal CON LAB 691 1.7%34 Kingston upon Hull North Diana Johnson LAB LD 641 1.9%35 Rochdale Simon Danczuk LAB LD 889 1.9%36 Harrogate and Knaresborough Andrew Jones CON LD 1,039 2.0%37 Morecambe and Lunesdale David Morris CON LAB 866 2.0%38 Carlisle John Stevenson CON LAB 853 2.0%39 Great Grimsby Austin Mitchell LAB CON 714 2.2%40 Stroud Neil Carmichael CON LAB 1,299 2.2%41 Weaver Vale Graham Evans CON LAB 991 2.3%42 Morley and Outwood Ed Balls LAB CON 1,101 2.3%43 Lincoln Karl McCartney CON LAB 1,058 2.3%44 Telford David Wright LAB CON 978 2.4%45 Brighton, Pavilion Caroline Lucas Green LAB 1,252 2.4%46 Watford Richard Harrington CON LD 1,425 2.6%47 Plymouth, Sutton and Devonport Oliver Colvile CON LAB 1,149 2.6%48 Walsall North David Winnick LAB CON 990 2.7%49 St Austell and Newquay Stephen Gilbert LD CON 1,312 2.8%50 Dewsbury Simon Reevell CON LAB 1,526 2.8%51 Warrington South David Mowat CON LAB 1,553 2.8%52 Brent Central Sarah Teather LD LAB 1,345 3.0%53 Somerton and Frome David Heath LD CON 1,817 3.0%54 Bedford Richard Fuller CON LAB 1,353 3.0%55 Birmingham, Edgbaston Gisela Stuart LAB CON 1,274 3.1%56 Brighton, Kemptown Simon Kirby CON LAB 1,328 3.1%57 Sutton and Cheam Paul Burstow LD CON 1,608 3.3%

Majority By-election since 2010

Party

30

Page 31: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

Rank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % voteMajority By-election

since 2010Party

58 Halifax Linda Riordan LAB CON 1,472 3.4%59 Pudsey Stuart Andrew CON LAB 1,659 3.4%60 South Antrim William McCrea DUP UCU 1,183 3.5%61 Corby Louise Bagshawe CON LAB 1,895 3.5% LAB62 Montgomeryshire Glyn Davies CON LD 1,184 3.5%63 Newcastle-under-Lyme Paul Farrelly LAB CON 1,552 3.6%64 Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland Tom Blenkinsop LAB CON 1,677 3.6%65 Wakefield Mary Creagh LAB CON 1,613 3.6%66 Edinburgh North and Leith Mark Lazarowicz LAB LD 1,724 3.6%67 Brentford and Isleworth Mary MacLeod CON LAB 1,958 3.6%68 St Ives Andrew George LD CON 1,719 3.7%69 Hove Mike Weatherley CON LAB 1,868 3.7%70 Enfield North Nick de Bois CON LAB 1,692 3.8%71 Plymouth, Moor View Alison Seabeck LAB CON 1,588 3.8%72 Gedling Vernon Coaker LAB CON 1,859 3.9%73 Eltham Clive Efford LAB CON 1,663 4.0%74 Hastings and Rye Amber Rudd CON LAB 1,993 4.0%75 Manchester, Withington John Leech LD LAB 1,894 4.2%76 Walsall South Valerie Vaz LAB CON 1,755 4.3%77 Nottingham South Lilian Greenwood LAB CON 1,772 4.3%78 Burnley Gordon Birtwistle LD LAB 1,818 4.3%79 St Albans Anne Main CON LD 2,305 4.4%80 Ipswich Benedict Gummer CON LAB 2,079 4.4%81 Belfast East Naomi Long Alliance DUP 1,533 4.4%82 Dundee East Stewart Hosie SNP LAB 1,821 4.5%83 East Dunbartonshire Jo Swinson LD LAB 2,184 4.6%84 Halesowen and Rowley Regis James Morris CON LAB 2,023 4.6%85 Nuneaton Marcus Jones CON LAB 2,069 4.6%86 Chippenham Duncan Hames LD CON 2,470 4.7%87 Gloucester Richard Graham CON LAB 2,420 4.8%88 Newport East Jessica Morden LAB LD 1,650 4.8%89 Northampton North Michael Ellis CON LAB 1,936 4.8%90 Tooting Sadiq Khan LAB CON 2,524 5.0%91 Bury North David Nuttall CON LAB 2,243 5.0%92 Kingswood Chris Skidmore CON LAB 2,445 5.1%93 Weston-super-Mare John Penrose CON LD 2,691 5.1%94 Hereford and South Herefordshire Jesse Norman CON LD 2,481 5.1%95 Wyre Forest Mark Garnier CON ICHC 2,643 5.2%96 North East Derbyshire Natascha Engel LAB CON 2,445 5.2%97 Exeter Ben Bradshaw LAB CON 2,721 5.2%98 Chorley Lindsay Hoyle LAB CON 2,593 5.2%99 Erewash Jessica Lee CON LAB 2,501 5.2%

100 Blackpool South Gordon Marsden LAB CON 1,852 5.3%101 Blackpool North and Cleveleys Paul Maynard CON LAB 2,150 5.3%102 Torridge and West Devon Geoffrey Cox CON LD 2,957 5.4%103 Westminster North Karen Buck LAB CON 2,126 5.4%104 Winchester Steve Brine CON LD 3,048 5.4%105 Southampton, Test Alan Whitehead LAB CON 2,413 5.5%106 Luton South Gavin Shuker LAB CON 2,329 5.5%107 City of Chester Stephen Mosley CON LAB 2,583 5.5%108 Arfon Hywel Williams PC LAB 1,455 5.6%109 Croydon Central Gavin Barwell CON LAB 2,879 5.8%110 Bridgend Madeleine Moon LAB CON 2,263 5.9%111 Dagenham and Rainham Jon Cruddas LAB CON 2,630 5.9%112 Belfast North Nigel Dodds DUP SF 2,224 6.0%113 Worcester Robin Walker CON LAB 2,982 6.1%114 Delyn David Hanson LAB CON 2,272 6.1%115 Keighley Kris Hopkins CON LAB 2,940 6.2%116 Wirral West Esther McVey CON LAB 2,436 6.2%117 Cheadle Mark Hunter LD CON 3,272 6.2%

31

Page 32: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

Rank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % voteMajority By-election

since 2010Party

118 North Cornwall Dan Rogerson LD CON 2,981 6.4%119 Gower Martin Caton LAB CON 2,683 6.4%120 South East Cornwall Sheryll Murray CON LD 3,220 6.5%121 Bristol North West Charlotte Leslie CON LD 3,274 6.5%122 Penistone and Stocksbridge Angela Smith LAB CON 3,049 6.6%123 Eastbourne Stephen Lloyd LD CON 3,435 6.6%124 City of Durham Roberta Blackman-Woods LAB LD 3,067 6.6%125 Birmingham, Northfield Richard Burden LAB CON 2,782 6.7%126 Stalybridge and Hyde Jonathan Reynolds LAB CON 2,744 6.7%127 Harrow West Gareth Thomas LAB CON 3,143 6.8%128 Bury South Ivan Lewis LAB CON 3,292 6.8%129 West Dorset Oliver Letwin CON LD 3,923 6.8%130 Taunton Deane Jeremy Browne LD CON 3,993 6.9%131 Scunthorpe Nick Dakin LAB CON 2,549 6.9%132 Richmond Park Zac Goldsmith CON LD 4,091 6.9%133 York Outer Julian Sturdy CON LD 3,688 6.9%134 Streatham Chuka Umunna LAB LD 3,259 7.0%135 Berwick-upon-Tweed Alan Beith LD CON 2,690 7.0%136 Cannock Chase Aidan Burley CON LAB 3,195 7.0%137 Vale of Clwyd Chris Ruane LAB CON 2,509 7.1%138 Loughborough Nicky Morgan CON LAB 3,744 7.1%139 Harrow East Bob Blackman CON LAB 3,403 7.1%140 Wolverhampton North East Emma Reynolds LAB CON 2,484 7.1%141 Ynys Môn Albert Owen LAB PC 2,461 7.1%142 Warwick and Leamington Chris White CON LAB 3,513 7.2%143 Eastleigh Chris Huhne LD CON 3,864 7.2%144 Hyndburn Graham Jones LAB CON 3,090 7.2%145 Alyn and Deeside Mark Tami LAB CON 2,919 7.3%146 Birmingham, Yardley John Hemming LD LAB 3,002 7.3%147 Birmingham, Selly Oak Stephen McCabe LAB CON 3,482 7.5%148 Hammersmith Andy Slaughter LAB CON 3,549 7.5%149 South Swindon Robert Buckland CON LAB 3,544 7.5%150 Argyll and Bute Alan Reid LD CON 3,431 7.6%151 Pontypridd Owen Smith LAB LD 2,785 7.6%152 Newcastle upon Tyne North Catherine McKinnell LAB LD 3,414 7.8%153 Birmingham, Hall Green Roger Godsiff LAB RES 3,799 7.8%154 Ealing Central and Acton Angie Bray CON LAB 3,716 7.9%155 Darlington Jenny Chapman LAB CON 3,388 7.9%156 Pendle Andrew Stephenson CON LAB 3,585 8.0%157 Sefton Central Bill Esterson LAB CON 3,862 8.0%158 Stevenage Stephen McPartland CON LAB 3,578 8.0%159 Elmet and Rothwell Alec Shelbrooke CON LAB 4,521 8.1%160 Upper Bann David Simpson DUP UCU 3,361 8.1%161 Aberdeen South Anne Begg LAB LD 3,506 8.1%162 West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine Robert Smith LD CON 3,684 8.2%163 Clwyd South Susan Jones LAB CON 2,834 8.2%164 Edinburgh West Mike Crockart LD LAB 3,803 8.2%165 Islington South and Finsbury Emily Thornberry LAB LD 3,569 8.2%166 Bristol East Kerry McCarthy LAB CON 3,722 8.3%167 Don Valley Caroline Flint LAB CON 3,595 8.3%168 Torbay Adrian Sanders LD CON 4,078 8.3%169 Coventry South Jim Cunningham LAB CON 3,845 8.4%170 Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire Simon Hart CON LAB 3,423 8.5%171 Romsey and Southampton North Caroline Nokes CON LD 4,156 8.5%172 Batley and Spen Mike Wood LAB CON 4,406 8.6%173 Angus Mike Weir SNP CON 3,282 8.6%174 Colne Valley Jason McCartney CON LD 4,837 8.7%175 Vale of Glamorgan Alun Cairns CON LAB 4,307 8.8%176 Oxford East Andrew Smith LAB LD 4,581 8.9%177 Newport West Paul Flynn LAB CON 3,544 8.9%

32

Page 33: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

Rank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % voteMajority By-election

since 2010Party

178 Copeland Jamie Reed LAB CON 3,833 9.0%179 West Lancashire Rosie Cooper LAB CON 4,343 9.0%180 Perth and North Perthshire Pete Wishart SNP CON 4,379 9.1%181 Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale David Mundell CON LAB 4,194 9.1%182 Carmarthen East and Dinefwr Jonathan Edwards PC LAB 3,481 9.2%183 Norwich North Chloe Smith CON LAB 3,901 9.2%184 Birmingham, Erdington Jack Dromey LAB CON 3,277 9.2%185 Bosworth David Tredinnick CON LD 5,032 9.3%186 High Peak Andrew Bingham CON LAB 4,677 9.3%187 Cheltenham Martin Horwood LD CON 4,920 9.3%188 Chelmsford Simon Burns CON LD 5,110 9.4%189 Milton Keynes South Iain Stewart CON LAB 5,201 9.4%190 Bolton North East David Crausby LAB CON 4,084 9.4%191 Rossendale and Darwen Jake Berry CON LAB 4,493 9.5%192 Cleethorpes Martin Vickers CON LAB 4,298 9.6%193 Leeds North East Fabian Hamilton LAB CON 4,545 9.6%194 Feltham and Heston Alan Keen LAB CON 4,658 9.6% LAB195 North East Somerset Jacob Rees-Mogg CON LAB 4,914 9.6%196 Brecon and Radnorshire Roger Williams LD CON 3,747 9.6%197 Bristol South Dawn Primarolo LAB LD 4,734 9.8%198 Ellesmere Port and Neston Andrew Miller LAB CON 4,331 9.8%199 Great Yarmouth Brandon Lewis CON LAB 4,276 9.9%200 Dudley South Chris Kelly CON LAB 3,856 10.1%201 Ochil and South Perthshire Gordon Banks LAB SNP 5,187 10.3%202 Totnes Sarah Wollaston CON LD 4,927 10.3%203 South East Cambridgeshire James Paice CON LD 5,946 10.3%204 Stoke-on-Trent South Robert Flello LAB CON 4,130 10.4%205 Worsley and Eccles South Barbara Keeley LAB CON 4,337 10.4%206 Dover Charlie Elphicke CON LAB 5,274 10.5%207 Banff and Buchan Eilidh Whiteford SNP CON 4,027 10.5%208 Cardiff South and Penarth Alun Michael LAB CON 4,709 10.6% LAB209 South Ribble Lorraine Fullbrook CON LAB 5,554 10.8%210 Peterborough Stewart Jackson CON LAB 4,861 10.8%211 Stafford Jeremy Lefroy CON LAB 5,460 10.9%212 Tynemouth Alan Campbell LAB CON 5,739 10.9%213 Stourbridge Margot James CON LAB 5,164 10.9%214 Huddersfield Barry Sheerman LAB CON 4,472 11.0%215 Wrexham Ian Lucas LAB LD 3,658 11.1%216 Dunfermline and West Fife Thomas Docherty LAB LD 5,470 11.2%217 Leicester West Liz Kendall LAB CON 4,017 11.2%218 Harlow Robert Halfon CON LAB 4,925 11.2%219 Aberconwy Guto Bebb CON LAB 3,398 11.3%220 North Devon Nick Harvey LD CON 5,821 11.3%221 Carshalton and Wallington Tom Brake LD CON 5,260 11.5%222 Ilford North Lee Scott CON LAB 5,404 11.5%223 Slough Fiona Mactaggart LAB CON 5,523 11.6%224 Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk Michael Moore LD CON 5,675 11.6%225 Cardiff West Kevin Brennan LAB CON 4,751 11.6%226 Preseli Pembrokeshire Stephen Crabb CON LAB 4,605 11.6%227 Workington Tony Cunningham LAB CON 4,575 11.7%228 Tewkesbury Laurence Robertson CON LD 6,310 11.7%229 Brigg and Goole Andrew Percy CON LAB 5,147 11.7%230 Newcastle upon Tyne East Nicholas Brown LAB LD 4,453 11.8%231 Barrow and Furness John Woodcock LAB CON 5,208 11.8%232 Crewe and Nantwich Edward Timpson CON LAB 6,046 11.8%233 Maidstone and The Weald Helen Grant CON LD 5,889 12.0%234 Bradford South Gerry Sutcliffe LAB CON 4,622 12.2%235 Battersea Jane Ellison CON LAB 5,977 12.2%236 Canterbury Julian Brazier CON LD 6,048 12.3%237 Salisbury John Glen CON LD 5,966 12.3%

33

Page 34: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

Rank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % voteMajority By-election

since 2010Party

238 Aldershot Gerald Howarth CON LD 5,586 12.3%239 Finchley and Golders Green Mike Freer CON LAB 5,809 12.3%240 Calder Valley Craig Whittaker CON LAB 6,431 12.4%241 Mansfield Alan Meale LAB CON 6,012 12.4%242 Redcar Ian Swales LD LAB 5,214 12.4%243 Crawley Henry Smith CON LAB 5,928 12.5%244 West Worcestershire Harriett Baldwin CON LD 6,754 12.5%245 Hornsey and Wood Green Lynne Featherstone LD LAB 6,875 12.5%246 Rother Valley Kevin Barron LAB CON 5,866 12.5%247 Llanelli Nia Griffith LAB PC 4,701 12.5%248 Portsmouth South Mike Hancock LD CON 5,200 12.6%249 Reading West Alok Sharma CON LAB 6,004 12.6%250 Rugby Mark Pawsey CON LAB 6,000 12.6%251 Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney Dai Havard LAB LD 4,056 12.6%252 Burton Andrew Griffiths CON LAB 6,304 12.7%253 Cardiff Central Jenny Willott LD LAB 4,576 12.7%254 Bishop Auckland Helen Goodman LAB CON 5,218 12.7%255 Foyle Mark Durkan SDLP SF 4,824 12.7%256 Na h-Eileanan an Iar Angus MacNeil SNP LAB 1,885 12.8%257 Woking Jonathan Lord CON LD 6,807 12.9%258 South Basildon and East Thurrock Stephen Metcalfe CON LAB 5,772 12.9%259 Poplar and Limehouse Jim Fitzpatrick LAB CON 6,030 12.9%260 Lewisham West and Penge Jim Dowd LAB LD 5,828 12.9%261 Heywood and Middleton Jim Dobbin LAB CON 5,971 12.9%262 Tamworth Chris Pincher CON LAB 6,090 13.1%263 Glasgow North Ann McKechin LAB LD 3,898 13.2%264 Redditch Karen Lumley CON LAB 5,821 13.2%265 Kingston and Surbiton Edward Davey LD CON 7,560 13.2%266 Mid Sussex Nicholas Soames CON LD 7,402 13.3%267 South Cambridgeshire Andrew Lansley CON LD 7,838 13.3%268 Hexham Guy Opperman CON LD 5,788 13.3%269 Bournemouth West Conor Burns CON LD 5,583 13.4%270 Erith and Thamesmead Teresa Pearce LAB CON 5,703 13.4%271 Coventry North West Geoffrey Robinson LAB CON 6,288 13.5%272 Cambridge Julian Huppert LD CON 6,792 13.5%273 North Somerset Liam Fox CON LD 7,862 13.6%274 Moray Angus Robertson SNP CON 5,590 13.6%275 Southport John Pugh LD CON 6,024 13.8%276 Salford and Eccles Hazel Blears LAB LD 5,725 13.8%277 Gordon Malcolm Bruce LD SNP 6,748 13.8%278 Broadland Keith Simpson CON LD 7,292 13.8%279 Chatham and Aylesford Tracey Crouch CON LAB 6,069 13.9%280 York Central Hugh Bayley LAB CON 6,451 13.9%281 Congleton Fiona Bruce CON LD 7,063 13.9%282 Guildford Anne Milton CON LD 7,782 14.0%283 North Swindon Justin Tomlinson CON LAB 7,060 14.0%284 North Dorset Robert Walter CON LD 7,625 14.1%285 South Derbyshire Heather Wheeler CON LAB 7,128 14.1%286 Bradford West Marsha Singh LAB CON 5,763 14.2% RES287 Sheffield, Heeley Meg Munn LAB LD 5,807 14.2%288 Dumfries and Galloway Russell Brown LAB CON 7,449 14.3%289 Filton and Bradley Stoke Jack Lopresti CON LAB 6,914 14.3%290 Hartlepool Iain Wright LAB CON 5,509 14.4%291 North West Leicestershire Andrew Bridgen CON LAB 7,511 14.5%292 Thornbury and Yate Steve Webb LD CON 7,116 14.8%293 South Dorset Richard Drax CON LAB 7,443 14.8%294 Derby South Margaret Beckett LAB CON 6,122 14.9%295 Lewisham East Heidi Alexander LAB LD 6,216 14.9%296 Doncaster Central Rosie Winterton LAB CON 6,229 14.9%297 Shrewsbury and Atcham Daniel Kawczynski CON LD 7,944 15.0%

34

Page 35: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

Rank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % voteMajority By-election

since 2010Party

298 Isle of Wight Andrew Turner CON LD 10,527 15.0%299 Colchester Bob Russell LD CON 6,982 15.1%300 Hazel Grove Andrew Stunell LD CON 6,371 15.2%301 Reading East Rob Wilson CON LD 7,605 15.2%302 Staffordshire Moorlands Karen Bradley CON LAB 6,689 15.3%303 Lewes Norman Baker LD CON 7,647 15.3%304 Warrington North Helen Jones LAB CON 6,771 15.3%305 East Londonderry Gregory Campbell DUP SF 5,355 15.3%306 Brent North Barry Gardiner LAB CON 8,028 15.4%307 North Wiltshire James Gray CON LD 7,483 15.4%308 Northampton South Brian Binley CON LAB 6,004 15.4%309 Falkirk Eric Joyce LAB SNP 7,843 15.4%310 West Bromwich West Adrian Bailey LAB CON 5,651 15.6%311 Sunderland Central Julie Elliott LAB CON 6,725 15.8%312 Poole Robert Syms CON LD 7,541 15.9%313 Leyton and Wanstead John Cryer LAB LD 6,416 16.0%314 Scarborough and Whitby Robert Goodwill CON LAB 8,130 16.5%315 Portsmouth North Penny Mordaunt CON LAB 7,289 16.5%316 Bassetlaw John Mann LAB CON 8,215 16.6%317 South Thanet Laura Sandys CON LAB 7,617 16.6%318 Suffolk Coastal Therese Coffey CON LD 9,128 16.6%319 Milton Keynes North Mark Lancaster CON LAB 8,961 16.6%320 Southend West David Amess CON LD 7,270 16.7%321 Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross John Thurso LD LAB 4,826 16.8%322 Clwyd West David Jones CON LAB 6,419 16.8%323 South Suffolk Tim Yeo CON LD 8,689 16.9%324 Stockton North Alex Cunningham LAB CON 6,676 16.9%325 Castle Point Rebecca Harris CON IND 7,632 17.0%326 Bridgwater and West Somerset Ian Liddell-Grainger CON LD 9,249 17.0%327 Tiverton and Honiton Neil Parish CON LD 9,320 17.0%328 Central Devon Mel Stride CON LD 9,230 17.1%329 Stoke-on-Trent Central Tristram Hunt LAB LD 5,566 17.1%330 East Devon Hugo Swire CON LD 9,114 17.2%331 Enfield, Southgate David Burrowes CON LAB 7,626 17.2%332 Blyth Valley Ronnie Campbell LAB LD 6,668 17.3%333 Belfast South Alasdair McDonnell SDLP DUP 5,926 17.3%334 Stockport Ann Coffey LAB CON 6,784 17.3%335 North West Durham Pat Glass LAB LD 7,612 17.4%336 Luton North Kelvin Hopkins LAB CON 7,520 17.5%337 Manchester, Gorton Gerald Kaufman LAB LD 6,703 17.5%338 Bournemouth East Tobias Ellwood CON LD 7,728 17.6%339 West Bromwich East Tom Watson LAB CON 6,696 17.6%340 Stirling Anne McGuire LAB CON 8,304 17.7%341 Harborough Edward Garnier CON LD 9,797 17.8%342 Strangford Jim Shannon DUP UCU 5,876 18.1%343 Leeds West Rachel Reeves LAB LD 7,016 18.1%344 Skipton and Ripon Julian Smith CON LD 9,950 18.2%345 Holborn and St Pancras Frank Dobson LAB LD 9,942 18.2%346 Kingston upon Hull West and Hessle Alan Johnson LAB LD 5,742 18.2%347 Wansbeck Ian Lavery LAB LD 7,031 18.4%348 Newry and Armagh Conor Murphy SF SDLP 8,331 18.6%349 Gillingham and Rainham Rehman Chishti CON LAB 8,680 18.6%350 Edinburgh South West Alistair Darling LAB CON 8,447 18.6%351 Wythenshawe and Sale East Paul Goggins LAB CON 7,575 18.6%352 Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and Strathspey Danny Alexander LD LAB 8,765 18.6%353 Leicester South Peter Soulsby LAB LD 8,808 18.7% LAB354 Liverpool, Wavertree Luciana Berger LAB LD 7,167 18.9%355 Wolverhampton South East Pat McFadden LAB CON 6,593 19.0%356 Bermondsey and Old Southwark Simon Hughes LD LAB 8,530 19.1%357 Folkestone and Hythe Damian Collins CON LD 10,122 19.2%

35

Page 36: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

Rank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % voteMajority By-election

since 2010Party

358 Kettering Philip Hollobone CON LAB 9,094 19.2%359 Dulwich and West Norwood Tessa Jowell LAB LD 9,365 19.4%360 Ealing North Stephen Pound LAB CON 9,301 19.5%361 Dundee West Jim McGovern LAB SNP 7,278 19.6%362 Gravesham Adam Holloway CON LAB 9,312 19.7%363 South Down Margaret Ritchie SDLP SF 8,412 19.8%364 Wycombe Steve Baker CON LD 9,560 19.9%365 South Norfolk Richard Bacon CON LD 10,940 19.9%366 Stretford and Urmston Kate Green LAB CON 8,935 19.9%367 Huntingdon Jonathan Djanogly CON LD 10,819 19.9%368 Ludlow Philip Dunne CON LD 9,749 20.0%369 Shipley Philip Davies CON LAB 9,944 20.1%370 Blaydon David Anderson LAB LD 9,117 20.3%371 Twickenham Vincent Cable LD CON 12,140 20.3%372 East Renfrewshire Jim Murphy LAB CON 10,420 20.4%373 Wallasey Angela Eagle LAB CON 8,507 20.4%374 Stoke-on-Trent North Joan Walley LAB CON 8,235 20.5%375 Horsham Francis Maude CON LD 11,460 20.5%376 Bristol West Stephen Williams LD LAB 11,366 20.5%377 The Wrekin Mark Pritchard CON LAB 9,450 20.6%378 Rochester and Strood Mark Reckless CON LAB 9,953 20.7%379 North Herefordshire Bill Wiggin CON LD 9,887 20.8%380 Newbury Richard Benyon CON LD 12,248 20.9%381 Leeds North West Greg Mulholland LD CON 9,103 20.9%382 Nottingham East Christopher Leslie LAB LD 6,969 21.0%383 Bury St Edmunds David Ruffley CON LD 12,380 21.1%384 South West Wiltshire Andrew Murrison CON LD 10,367 21.1%385 Spelthorne Kwasi Kwarteng CON LD 10,019 21.2%386 Dartford Gareth Johnson CON LAB 10,628 21.2%387 Gainsborough Edward Leigh CON LD 10,559 21.4%388 North Ayrshire and Arran Katy Clark LAB SNP 9,895 21.5%389 Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock Sandra Osborne LAB CON 9,911 21.6%390 Sedgefield Phil Wilson LAB CON 8,696 21.6%391 Blackburn Jack Straw LAB CON 9,856 21.7%392 Ealing, Southall Virendra Sharma LAB CON 9,291 21.7%393 Ceredigion Mark Williams LD PC 8,324 21.8%394 Oldham West and Royton Michael Meacher LAB CON 9,352 21.8%395 Bolton South East Yasmin Qureshi LAB CON 8,634 21.8%396 Newcastle upon Tyne Central Chinyelu Onwurah LAB LD 7,466 21.9%397 Bromsgrove Sajid Javid CON LAB 11,308 21.9%398 Dwyfor Meirionnydd Elfyn Llwyd PC CON 6,367 22.0%399 Ilford South Mike Gapes LAB CON 11,287 22.0%400 Aberdeen North Frank Doran LAB SNP 8,361 22.2%401 East Antrim Sammy Wilson DUP UCU 6,770 22.2%402 Monmouth David Davies CON LAB 10,425 22.4%403 Stratford-on-Avon Nadhim Zahawi CON LD 11,346 22.4%404 Hemsworth Jon Trickett LAB CON 9,844 22.5%405 Livingston Graeme Morrice LAB SNP 10,791 22.5%406 North East Fife Menzies Campbell LD CON 9,048 22.6%407 New Forest East Julian Lewis CON LD 11,307 22.6%408 Forest of Dean Mark Harper CON LAB 11,064 22.7%409 Yeovil David Laws LD CON 13,036 22.8%410 Bethnal Green and Bow Rushanara Ali LAB LD 11,574 22.8%411 Wellingborough Peter Bone CON LAB 11,787 22.8%412 East Worthing and Shoreham Tim Loughton CON LD 11,105 22.9%413 Edinburgh East Sheila Gilmore LAB SNP 9,181 23.0%414 Walthamstow Stella Creasy LAB LD 9,478 23.1%415 Harwich and North Essex Bernard Jenkin CON LD 11,447 23.4%416 North Norfolk Norman Lamb LD CON 11,626 23.4%417 The Cotswolds Geoffrey Clifton-Brown CON LD 12,864 23.5%

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Page 37: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

Rank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % voteMajority By-election

since 2010Party

418 Altrincham and Sale West Graham Brady CON LD 11,595 23.5%419 Chipping Barnet Theresa Villiers CON LAB 11,927 23.6%420 Bexhill and Battle Gregory Barker CON LD 12,880 23.6%421 Ashton-Under-Lyne David Heyes LAB CON 9,094 23.7%422 Meon Valley George Hollingbery CON LD 12,125 23.7%423 Selby and Ainsty Nigel Adams CON LAB 12,265 23.7%424 Aylesbury David Lidington CON LD 12,618 23.7%425 Nottingham North Graham Allen LAB CON 8,138 23.7%426 Normanton, Pontefract and Castleford Yvette Cooper LAB CON 10,979 23.7%427 Wigan Lisa Nandy LAB CON 10,487 23.8%428 Preston Mark Hendrick LAB LD 7,733 23.8%429 Haltemprice and Howden David Davis CON LD 11,602 23.8%430 Edmonton Andy Love LAB CON 9,613 23.8%431 Westmorland and Lonsdale Tim Farron LD CON 12,264 23.8%432 Mid Derbyshire Pauline Latham CON LAB 11,292 23.9%433 Worthing West Peter Bottomley CON LD 11,729 23.9%434 Macclesfield David Rutley CON LD 11,959 23.9%435 Bexleyheath and Crayford David Evennett CON LAB 10,344 24.0%436 Wantage Edward Vaizey CON LD 13,547 24.0%437 Wimbledon Stephen Hammond CON LD 11,408 24.1%438 Birmingham, Hodge Hill Liam Byrne LAB LD 10,302 24.3%439 Linlithgow and East Falkirk Michael Connarty LAB SNP 12,553 24.4%440 Beverley and Holderness Graham Stuart CON LD 12,987 24.4%441 Kensington Malcolm Rifkind CON LAB 8,616 24.5%442 Putney Justine Greening CON LAB 10,053 24.6%443 Greenwich and Woolwich Nick Raynsford LAB CON 10,153 24.7%444 Vauxhall Kate Hoey LAB LD 10,651 24.7%445 Torfaen Paul Murphy LAB CON 9,306 24.7%446 Wokingham John Redwood CON LD 13,492 24.7%447 Uxbridge and South Ruislip John Randall CON LAB 11,216 24.9%448 Penrith and The Border Rory Stewart CON LD 11,241 24.9%449 East Lothian Fiona O'Donnell LAB CON 12,258 24.9%450 Kingston upon Hull East Karl Turner LAB LD 8,597 25.1%451 Bath Don Foster LD CON 11,883 25.2%452 Rutland and Melton Alan Duncan CON LD 14,000 25.4%453 Sheffield South East Clive Betts LAB LD 10,505 25.4%454 Hayes and Harlington John McDonnell LAB CON 10,824 25.4%455 Bolsover Dennis Skinner LAB CON 11,182 25.4%456 Sittingbourne and Sheppey Gordon Henderson CON LAB 12,383 25.5%457 Central Suffolk and North Ipswich Daniel Poulter CON LD 13,786 25.8%458 Kenilworth and Southam Jeremy Wright CON LD 12,552 25.9%459 Buckingham John Bercow SPK IND 12,529 25.9%460 Middlesbrough Stuart Bell LAB LD 8,689 26.0% LAB461 Basingstoke Maria Miller CON LD 13,176 26.0%462 Denton and Reddish Andrew Gwynne LAB CON 9,831 26.1%463 Manchester Central Tony Lloyd LAB LD 10,439 26.1% LAB464 South West Hertfordshire David Gauke CON LD 14,920 26.3%465 Doncaster North Edward Miliband LAB CON 10,909 26.3%466 East Hampshire Damian Hinds CON LD 13,497 26.3%467 East Yorkshire Greg Knight CON LD 13,486 26.3%468 Neath Peter Hain LAB PC 9,775 26.3%469 Midlothian David Hamilton LAB SNP 10,349 26.4%470 Rochford and Southend East James Duddridge CON LAB 11,050 26.5%471 Kilmarnock and Loudoun Cathie Jamieson LAB SNP 12,378 26.6%472 South West Norfolk Elizabeth Truss CON LD 13,140 26.7%473 Leigh Andy Burnham LAB CON 12,011 27.1%474 Hemel Hempstead Mike Penning CON LD 13,406 27.1%475 West Suffolk Matthew Hancock CON LD 13,050 27.1%476 Coventry North East Bob Ainsworth LAB CON 11,775 27.1%477 Reigate Crispin Blunt CON LD 13,591 27.2%

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Page 38: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

Rank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % voteMajority By-election

since 2010Party

478 Leeds East George Mudie LAB CON 10,293 27.2%479 Mid Norfolk George Freeman CON LD 13,856 27.3%480 Central Ayrshire Brian Donohoe LAB CON 12,007 27.3%481 Louth and Horncastle Peter Tapsell CON LD 13,871 27.5%482 Mid Bedfordshire Nadine Dorries CON LD 15,152 27.6%483 Havant David Willetts CON LD 12,160 27.7%484 North Tyneside Mary Glindon LAB LD 12,884 27.8%485 Caerphilly Wayne David LAB CON 10,755 27.8%486 Islington North Jeremy Corbyn LAB LD 12,401 27.8%487 Hertford and Stortford Mark Prisk CON LD 15,437 27.9%488 Bognor Regis and Littlehampton Nick Gibb CON LD 13,063 27.9%489 Rotherham Denis MacShane LAB CON 10,462 27.9% LAB490 Hitchin and Harpenden Peter Lilley CON LD 15,271 27.9%491 Chichester Andrew Tyrie CON LD 15,877 28.0%492 Clacton Douglas Carswell CON LAB 12,068 28.0%493 Saffron Walden Alan Haselhurst CON LD 15,242 28.0%494 Devizes Claire Perry CON LD 13,005 28.1%495 Charnwood Stephen Dorrell CON LD 15,029 28.1%496 Grantham and Stamford Nick Boles CON LD 14,826 28.1%497 Croydon South Richard Ottaway CON LD 15,818 28.1%498 Warley John Spellar LAB CON 10,756 28.1%499 Stone Bill Cash CON LD 13,292 28.1%500 Birmingham, Ladywood Shabana Mahmood LAB LD 10,105 28.2%501 Ribble Valley Nigel Evans CON LAB 14,769 28.2%502 Birmingham, Perry Barr Khalid Mahmood LAB LD 11,908 28.3%503 South Leicestershire Andrew Robathan CON LD 15,524 28.4%504 Leeds Central Hilary Benn LAB LD 10,645 28.5%505 East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow Michael McCann LAB SNP 14,503 28.5%506 South West Surrey Jeremy Hunt CON LD 16,318 28.5%507 Makerfield Yvonne Fovargue LAB CON 12,490 28.5%508 North West Cambridgeshire Shailesh Vara CON LD 16,677 28.6%509 West Tyrone Pat Doherty SF DUP 10,685 28.7%510 Lagan Valley Jeffrey Donaldson DUP UCU 10,486 28.7%511 Boston and Skegness Mark Simmonds CON LAB 12,426 28.8%512 Mole Valley Paul Beresford CON LD 15,653 28.8%513 Barnsley East Michael Dugher LAB LD 11,090 28.9%514 Houghton and Sunderland South Bridget Phillipson LAB CON 10,990 28.9%515 Lanark and Hamilton East Jim Hood LAB SNP 13,478 29.0%516 Eddisbury Stephen O'Brien CON LD 13,255 29.2%517 Leicester East Keith Vaz LAB CON 14,082 29.3%518 Epsom and Ewell Chris Grayling CON LD 16,134 29.4%519 St Helens North Dave Watts LAB CON 13,101 29.4%520 Rushcliffe Ken Clarke CON LD 15,811 29.5%521 North Durham Kevan Jones LAB CON 12,076 29.5%522 Thirsk and Malton Anne McIntosh CON LD 11,281 29.6%523 North Antrim Ian Paisley Junior DUP TUV 12,558 29.6%524 Derbyshire Dales Patrick McLoughlin CON LD 13,866 29.6%525 Basildon and Billericay John Baron CON LAB 12,338 29.7%526 Arundel and South Downs Nick Herbert CON LD 16,691 29.8%527 Sheffield, Hallam Nick Clegg LD CON 15,284 29.9%528 Barnsley Central Eric Illsley LAB LD 11,093 30.0% LAB529 Cities of London and Westminster Mark Field CON LAB 11,076 30.0%530 Chingford and Woodford Green Iain Duncan Smith CON LAB 12,963 30.1%531 Bracknell Philip Lee CON LD 15,704 30.1%532 North East Hertfordshire Oliver Heald CON LD 15,194 30.1%533 Fylde Mark Menzies CON LD 13,185 30.2%534 Lewisham, Deptford Joan Ruddock LAB LD 12,499 30.3%535 South Shields David Miliband LAB CON 11,109 30.4%536 North Shropshire Owen Paterson CON LD 15,828 30.5%537 St Helens South and Whiston Shaun Woodward LAB LD 14,122 30.6%

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Page 39: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

Rank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % voteMajority By-election

since 2010Party

538 Hornchurch and Upminster Angela Watkinson CON LAB 16,371 30.7%539 Washington and Sunderland West Sharon Hodgson LAB CON 11,458 30.7%540 Gosport Caroline Dinenage CON LD 14,413 30.7%541 Wyre and Preston North Ben Wallace CON LD 15,844 30.9%542 East Surrey Sam Gyimah CON LD 16,874 30.9%543 Tunbridge Wells Greg Clark CON LD 15,576 31.0%544 North West Norfolk Henry Bellingham CON LD 14,810 31.0%545 Henley John Howell CON LD 16,588 31.0%546 Hackney North and Stoke Newington Diane Abbott LAB LD 14,461 31.1%547 Mid Worcestershire Peter Luff CON LD 15,864 31.1%548 Meriden Caroline Spelman CON LAB 16,253 31.2%549 Christchurch Christopher Chope CON LD 15,410 31.2%550 Mitcham and Morden Siobhain McDonagh LAB CON 13,666 31.2%551 North Thanet Roger Gale CON LAB 13,528 31.2%552 Maidenhead Theresa May CON LD 16,769 31.2%553 Wealden Charles Hendry CON LD 17,179 31.3%554 Ashford Damian Green CON LD 17,297 31.3%555 Fareham Mark Hoban CON LD 17,092 31.5%556 Newark Patrick Mercer CON LAB 16,152 31.5%557 North East Cambridgeshire Stephen Barclay CON LD 16,425 31.5%558 Bromley and Chislehurst Bob Neill CON LD 13,900 31.6%559 Glasgow South Tom Harris LAB SNP 12,658 31.6%560 Surrey Heath Michael Gove CON LD 17,289 31.8%561 South West Devon Gary Streeter CON LD 15,874 31.8%562 Chesham and Amersham Cheryl Gillan CON LD 16,710 31.9%563 Croydon North Malcolm Wicks LAB CON 16,481 31.9% LAB564 Tatton George Osborne CON LD 14,487 32.0%565 Cynon Valley Ann Clwyd LAB PC 9,617 32.2%566 Banbury Tony Baldry CON LD 18,227 32.4%567 Witham Priti Patel CON LD 15,196 32.4%568 Blaenau Gwent Nick Smith LAB IND 10,516 32.5%569 Epping Forest Eleanor Laing CON LD 15,131 32.5%570 Braintree Brooks Newmark CON LAB 16,121 32.8%571 South West Bedfordshire Andrew Selous CON LD 16,649 32.8%572 Gateshead Ian Mearns LAB LD 12,549 32.8%573 South Staffordshire Gavin Williamson CON LAB 16,590 32.9%574 Wentworth and Dearne John Healey LAB CON 13,920 33.1%575 Swansea East Siân James LAB LD 10,838 33.2%576 Jarrow Stephen Hepburn LAB CON 12,908 33.3%577 Hackney South and Shoreditch Meg Hillier LAB LD 14,288 33.3%578 Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East Gregg McClymont LAB SNP 13,755 33.4%579 Sleaford and North Hykeham Stephen Phillips CON LD 19,905 33.4%580 Brentwood and Ongar Eric Pickles CON LD 16,921 33.4%581 Sutton Coldfield Andrew Mitchell CON LAB 17,005 33.6%582 Esher and Walton Dominic Raab CON LD 18,593 34.1%583 North East Bedfordshire Alastair Burt CON LD 18,942 34.1%584 South Northamptonshire Andrea Leadsom CON LD 20,478 34.2%585 Runnymede and Weybridge Philip Hammond CON LD 16,509 34.3%586 Lichfield Michael Fabricant CON LD 17,683 34.3%587 Glasgow Central Anas Sarwar LAB SNP 10,551 34.5%588 Airdrie and Shotts Pamela Nash LAB SNP 12,408 34.6%589 Old Bexley and Sidcup James Brokenshire CON LAB 15,857 34.9%590 North West Hampshire George Young CON LD 18,583 34.9%591 Paisley and Renfrewshire North Jim Sheridan LAB SNP 15,280 35.0%592 Sheffield, Brightside and Hillsborough David Blunkett LAB LD 13,632 35.0%593 North East Hampshire James Arbuthnot CON LD 18,597 35.1%594 Orpington Jo Johnson CON LD 17,200 35.2%595 Islwyn Chris Evans LAB CON 12,215 35.2%596 Tonbridge and Malling John Stanley CON LD 18,178 35.4%597 Sevenoaks Michael Fallon CON LD 17,515 35.4%

39

Page 40: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

Rank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % voteMajority By-election

since 2010Party

598 New Forest West Desmond Swayne CON LD 16,896 35.5%599 Welwyn Hatfield Grant Shapps CON LAB 17,423 35.6%600 Aberavon Hywel Francis LAB LD 11,039 35.7%601 Blackley and Broughton Graham Stringer LAB CON 12,303 36.0%602 Romford Andrew Rosindell CON LAB 16,954 36.5%603 Barking Margaret Hodge LAB CON 16,555 36.5%604 Liverpool, Riverside Louise Ellman LAB LD 14,173 36.5%605 Faversham and Mid Kent Hugh Robertson CON LD 17,088 36.6%606 Glasgow East Margaret Curran LAB SNP 11,840 36.8%607 Camberwell and Peckham Harriet Harman LAB LD 17,187 36.8%608 Daventry Chris Heaton-Harris CON LD 19,188 37.1%609 Rhondda Chris Bryant LAB PC 11,553 37.2%610 Hertsmere James Clappison CON LAB 17,605 37.2%611 Beckenham Bob Stewart CON LD 17,784 37.3%612 Halton Derek Twigg LAB CON 15,504 37.5%613 Ross, Skye and Lochaber Charles Kennedy LD LAB 13,070 37.5%614 Mid Ulster Martin McGuinness SF DUP 15,363 37.6%615 Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner Nick Hurd CON LAB 19,060 38.0%616 Ogmore Huw Irranca-Davies LAB CON 13,246 38.2%617 Glasgow North West John Robertson LAB LD 13,611 38.3%618 Windsor Adam Afriyie CON LD 19,054 38.4%619 Inverclyde David Cairns LAB SNP 14,416 38.4% LAB620 Witney David Cameron CON LD 22,740 39.4%621 Garston and Halewood Maria Eagle LAB LD 16,877 39.4%622 Aldridge-Brownhills Richard Shepherd CON LAB 15,266 39.5%623 Maldon John Whittingdale CON LD 19,407 40.5%624 Glenrothes Lindsay Roy LAB SNP 16,448 40.6%625 Broxbourne Charles Walker CON LAB 18,804 41.2%626 West Dunbartonshire Gemma Doyle LAB SNP 17,408 41.2%627 Beaconsfield Dominic Grieve CON LD 21,782 41.5%628 Paisley and Renfrewshire South Douglas Alexander LAB SNP 16,614 41.5%629 Tottenham David Lammy LAB LD 16,931 41.6%630 Chelsea and Fulham Greg Hands CON LAB 16,722 42.0%631 Rayleigh and Wickford Mark Francois CON LD 22,338 42.7%632 North Down Sylvia Hermon IND UCU 14,364 42.9%633 Easington Grahame Morris LAB LD 14,982 42.9%634 Motherwell and Wishaw Frank Roy LAB SNP 16,806 43.0%635 Birkenhead Frank Field LAB CON 15,395 43.6%636 South Holland and The Deepings John Hayes CON LD 21,880 43.6%637 Richmond (Yorks) William Hague CON LD 23,336 43.7%638 Rutherglen and Hamilton West Tom Greatrex LAB SNP 21,002 44.7%639 Glasgow South West Ian Davidson LAB SNP 14,671 46.2%640 West Ham Lyn Brown LAB CON 22,534 48.0%641 Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill Tom Clarke LAB SNP 20,714 49.8%642 Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath Gordon Brown LAB SNP 23,009 50.2%643 Bootle Joe Benton LAB LD 21,181 51.3%644 Orkney and Shetland Alistair Carmichael LD LAB 9,928 51.3%645 Liverpool, West Derby Stephen Twigg LAB LD 18,467 51.6%646 Glasgow North East Wille Bain LAB SNP 15,942 54.2%647 Belfast West Gerry Adams SF SDLP 17,579 54.7% SF648 East Ham Stephen Timms LAB CON 27,826 55.2%649 Knowsley George Howarth LAB LD 25,686 57.5%650 Liverpool, Walton Steve Rotheram LAB LD 19,818 57.7%

40

Page 41: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

Table 2.2

2010 General Election: Labour seats by % majorityThe seat ranked 1 has the lowest % majority

Rank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % vote

1 Hampstead and Kilburn Glenda Jackson LAB CON 42 0.1%2 Bolton West Julie Hilling LAB CON 92 0.2%3 Oldham East and Saddleworth Phil Woolas LAB LD 103 0.2% LAB4 Sheffield Central Paul Blomfield LAB LD 165 0.4%5 Ashfield Gloria De Piero LAB LD 192 0.4%6 Southampton, Itchen John Denham LAB CON 192 0.4%7 Edinburgh South Ian Murray LAB LD 316 0.7%8 Chesterfield Toby Perkins LAB LD 549 1.2%9 Wirral South Alison McGovern LAB CON 531 1.3%

10 Derby North Chris Williamson LAB CON 613 1.4%11 Swansea West Geraint Davies LAB LD 504 1.4%12 Dudley North Ian Austin LAB CON 649 1.7%13 Kingston upon Hull North Diana Johnson LAB LD 641 1.9%14 Rochdale Simon Danczuk LAB LD 889 1.9%15 Great Grimsby Austin Mitchell LAB CON 714 2.2%16 Morley and Outwood Ed Balls LAB CON 1,101 2.3%17 Telford David Wright LAB CON 978 2.4%18 Walsall North David Winnick LAB CON 990 2.7%19 Birmingham, Edgbaston Gisela Stuart LAB CON 1,274 3.1%20 Halifax Linda Riordan LAB CON 1,472 3.4%21 Newcastle-under-Lyme Paul Farrelly LAB CON 1,552 3.6%22 Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland Tom Blenkinsop LAB CON 1,677 3.6%23 Wakefield Mary Creagh LAB CON 1,613 3.6%24 Edinburgh North and Leith Mark Lazarowicz LAB LD 1,724 3.6%25 Plymouth, Moor View Alison Seabeck LAB CON 1,588 3.8%26 Gedling Vernon Coaker LAB CON 1,859 3.9%27 Eltham Clive Efford LAB CON 1,663 4.0%28 Walsall South Valerie Vaz LAB CON 1,755 4.3%29 Nottingham South Lilian Greenwood LAB CON 1,772 4.3%30 Newport East Jessica Morden LAB LD 1,650 4.8%31 Tooting Sadiq Khan LAB CON 2,524 5.0%32 North East Derbyshire Natascha Engel LAB CON 2,445 5.2%33 Exeter Ben Bradshaw LAB CON 2,721 5.2%34 Chorley Lindsay Hoyle LAB CON 2,593 5.2%35 Blackpool South Gordon Marsden LAB CON 1,852 5.3%36 Westminster North Karen Buck LAB CON 2,126 5.4%37 Southampton, Test Alan Whitehead LAB CON 2,413 5.5%38 Luton South Gavin Shuker LAB CON 2,329 5.5%39 Bridgend Madeleine Moon LAB CON 2,263 5.9%40 Dagenham and Rainham Jon Cruddas LAB CON 2,630 5.9%41 Delyn David Hanson LAB CON 2,272 6.1%42 Gower Martin Caton LAB CON 2,683 6.4%43 Penistone and Stocksbridge Angela Smith LAB CON 3,049 6.6%44 City of Durham Roberta Blackman-Woods LAB LD 3,067 6.6%45 Birmingham, Northfield Richard Burden LAB CON 2,782 6.7%46 Stalybridge and Hyde Jonathan Reynolds LAB CON 2,744 6.7%47 Harrow West Gareth Thomas LAB CON 3,143 6.8%48 Bury South Ivan Lewis LAB CON 3,292 6.8%49 Scunthorpe Nick Dakin LAB CON 2,549 6.9%50 Streatham Chuka Umunna LAB LD 3,259 7.0%51 Vale of Clwyd Chris Ruane LAB CON 2,509 7.1%52 Wolverhampton North East Emma Reynolds LAB CON 2,484 7.1%53 Ynys Môn Albert Owen LAB PC 2,461 7.1%54 Hyndburn Graham Jones LAB CON 3,090 7.2%55 Alyn and Deeside Mark Tami LAB CON 2,919 7.3%56 Birmingham, Selly Oak Stephen McCabe LAB CON 3,482 7.5%

Majority

By-elections

since 2010

Party

41

Page 42: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

Rank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % voteMajority

By-elections

since 2010

Party

57 Hammersmith Andy Slaughter LAB CON 3,549 7.5%58 Pontypridd Owen Smith LAB LD 2,785 7.6%59 Newcastle upon Tyne North Catherine McKinnell LAB LD 3,414 7.8%60 Birmingham, Hall Green Roger Godsiff LAB RES 3,799 7.8%61 Darlington Jenny Chapman LAB CON 3,388 7.9%62 Sefton Central Bill Esterson LAB CON 3,862 8.0%63 Aberdeen South Anne Begg LAB LD 3,506 8.1%64 Clwyd South Susan Jones LAB CON 2,834 8.2%65 Islington South and Finsbury Emily Thornberry LAB LD 3,569 8.2%66 Bristol East Kerry McCarthy LAB CON 3,722 8.3%67 Don Valley Caroline Flint LAB CON 3,595 8.3%68 Coventry South Jim Cunningham LAB CON 3,845 8.4%69 Batley and Spen Mike Wood LAB CON 4,406 8.6%70 Oxford East Andrew Smith LAB LD 4,581 8.9%71 Newport West Paul Flynn LAB CON 3,544 8.9%72 Copeland Jamie Reed LAB CON 3,833 9.0%73 West Lancashire Rosie Cooper LAB CON 4,343 9.0%74 Birmingham, Erdington Jack Dromey LAB CON 3,277 9.2%75 Bolton North East David Crausby LAB CON 4,084 9.4%76 Leeds North East Fabian Hamilton LAB CON 4,545 9.6%77 Feltham and Heston Alan Keen LAB CON 4,658 9.6% LAB78 Bristol South Dawn Primarolo LAB LD 4,734 9.8%79 Ellesmere Port and Neston Andrew Miller LAB CON 4,331 9.8%80 Ochil and South Perthshire Gordon Banks LAB SNP 5,187 10.3%81 Stoke-on-Trent South Robert Flello LAB CON 4,130 10.4%82 Worsley and Eccles South Barbara Keeley LAB CON 4,337 10.4%83 Cardiff South and Penarth Alun Michael LAB CON 4,709 10.6% LAB84 Tynemouth Alan Campbell LAB CON 5,739 10.9%85 Huddersfield Barry Sheerman LAB CON 4,472 11.0%86 Wrexham Ian Lucas LAB LD 3,658 11.1%87 Dunfermline and West Fife Thomas Docherty LAB LD 5,470 11.2%88 Leicester West Liz Kendall LAB CON 4,017 11.2%89 Slough Fiona Mactaggart LAB CON 5,523 11.6%90 Cardiff West Kevin Brennan LAB CON 4,751 11.6%91 Workington Tony Cunningham LAB CON 4,575 11.7%92 Newcastle upon Tyne East Nicholas Brown LAB LD 4,453 11.8%93 Barrow and Furness John Woodcock LAB CON 5,208 11.8%94 Bradford South Gerry Sutcliffe LAB CON 4,622 12.2%95 Mansfield Alan Meale LAB CON 6,012 12.4%96 Rother Valley Kevin Barron LAB CON 5,866 12.5%97 Llanelli Nia Griffith LAB PC 4,701 12.5%98 Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney Dai Havard LAB LD 4,056 12.6%99 Bishop Auckland Helen Goodman LAB CON 5,218 12.7%

100 Poplar and Limehouse Jim Fitzpatrick LAB CON 6,030 12.9%101 Lewisham West and Penge Jim Dowd LAB LD 5,828 12.9%102 Heywood and Middleton Jim Dobbin LAB CON 5,971 12.9%103 Glasgow North Ann McKechin LAB LD 3,898 13.2%104 Erith and Thamesmead Teresa Pearce LAB CON 5,703 13.4%105 Coventry North West Geoffrey Robinson LAB CON 6,288 13.5%106 Salford and Eccles Hazel Blears LAB LD 5,725 13.8%107 York Central Hugh Bayley LAB CON 6,451 13.9%108 Bradford West Marsha Singh LAB CON 5,763 14.2% RES109 Sheffield, Heeley Meg Munn LAB LD 5,807 14.2%110 Dumfries and Galloway Russell Brown LAB CON 7,449 14.3%111 Hartlepool Iain Wright LAB CON 5,509 14.4%112 Derby South Margaret Beckett LAB CON 6,122 14.9%113 Lewisham East Heidi Alexander LAB LD 6,216 14.9%114 Doncaster Central Rosie Winterton LAB CON 6,229 14.9%115 Warrington North Helen Jones LAB CON 6,771 15.3%

42

Page 43: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

Rank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % voteMajority

By-elections

since 2010

Party

116 Brent North Barry Gardiner LAB CON 8,028 15.4%117 Falkirk Eric Joyce LAB SNP 7,843 15.4%118 West Bromwich West Adrian Bailey LAB CON 5,651 15.6%119 Sunderland Central Julie Elliott LAB CON 6,725 15.8%120 Leyton and Wanstead John Cryer LAB LD 6,416 16.0%121 Bassetlaw John Mann LAB CON 8,215 16.6%122 Stockton North Alex Cunningham LAB CON 6,676 16.9%123 Stoke-on-Trent Central Tristram Hunt LAB LD 5,566 17.1%124 Blyth Valley Ronnie Campbell LAB LD 6,668 17.3%125 Stockport Ann Coffey LAB CON 6,784 17.3%126 North West Durham Pat Glass LAB LD 7,612 17.4%127 Luton North Kelvin Hopkins LAB CON 7,520 17.5%128 Manchester, Gorton Gerald Kaufman LAB LD 6,703 17.5%129 West Bromwich East Tom Watson LAB CON 6,696 17.6%130 Stirling Anne McGuire LAB CON 8,304 17.7%131 Leeds West Rachel Reeves LAB LD 7,016 18.1%132 Holborn and St Pancras Frank Dobson LAB LD 9,942 18.2%133 Kingston upon Hull West and Hessle Alan Johnson LAB LD 5,742 18.2%134 Wansbeck Ian Lavery LAB LD 7,031 18.4%135 Edinburgh South West Alistair Darling LAB CON 8,447 18.6%136 Wythenshawe and Sale East Paul Goggins LAB CON 7,575 18.6%137 Leicester South Peter Soulsby LAB LD 8,808 18.7% LAB138 Liverpool, Wavertree Luciana Berger LAB LD 7,167 18.9%139 Wolverhampton South East Pat McFadden LAB CON 6,593 19.0%140 Dulwich and West Norwood Tessa Jowell LAB LD 9,365 19.4%141 Ealing North Stephen Pound LAB CON 9,301 19.5%142 Dundee West Jim McGovern LAB SNP 7,278 19.6%143 Stretford and Urmston Kate Green LAB CON 8,935 19.9%144 Blaydon David Anderson LAB LD 9,117 20.3%145 East Renfrewshire Jim Murphy LAB CON 10,420 20.4%146 Wallasey Angela Eagle LAB CON 8,507 20.4%147 Stoke-on-Trent North Joan Walley LAB CON 8,235 20.5%148 Nottingham East Christopher Leslie LAB LD 6,969 21.0%149 North Ayrshire and Arran Katy Clark LAB SNP 9,895 21.5%150 Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock Sandra Osborne LAB CON 9,911 21.6%151 Sedgefield Phil Wilson LAB CON 8,696 21.6%152 Blackburn Jack Straw LAB CON 9,856 21.7%153 Ealing, Southall Virendra Sharma LAB CON 9,291 21.7%154 Oldham West and Royton Michael Meacher LAB CON 9,352 21.8%155 Bolton South East Yasmin Qureshi LAB CON 8,634 21.8%156 Newcastle upon Tyne Central Chinyelu Onwurah LAB LD 7,466 21.9%157 Ilford South Mike Gapes LAB CON 11,287 22.0%158 Aberdeen North Frank Doran LAB SNP 8,361 22.2%159 Hemsworth Jon Trickett LAB CON 9,844 22.5%160 Livingston Graeme Morrice LAB SNP 10,791 22.5%161 Bethnal Green and Bow Rushanara Ali LAB LD 11,574 22.8%162 Edinburgh East Sheila Gilmore LAB SNP 9,181 23.0%163 Walthamstow Stella Creasy LAB LD 9,478 23.1%164 Ashton-Under-Lyne David Heyes LAB CON 9,094 23.7%165 Nottingham North Graham Allen LAB CON 8,138 23.7%166 Normanton, Pontefract and Castleford Yvette Cooper LAB CON 10,979 23.7%167 Wigan Lisa Nandy LAB CON 10,487 23.8%168 Preston Mark Hendrick LAB LD 7,733 23.8%169 Edmonton Andy Love LAB CON 9,613 23.8%170 Birmingham, Hodge Hill Liam Byrne LAB LD 10,302 24.3%171 Linlithgow and East Falkirk Michael Connarty LAB SNP 12,553 24.4%172 Greenwich and Woolwich Nick Raynsford LAB CON 10,153 24.7%173 Vauxhall Kate Hoey LAB LD 10,651 24.7%174 Torfaen Paul Murphy LAB CON 9,306 24.7%

43

Page 44: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

Rank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % voteMajority

By-elections

since 2010

Party

175 East Lothian Fiona O'Donnell LAB CON 12,258 24.9%176 Kingston upon Hull East Karl Turner LAB LD 8,597 25.1%177 Sheffield South East Clive Betts LAB LD 10,505 25.4%178 Hayes and Harlington John McDonnell LAB CON 10,824 25.4%179 Bolsover Dennis Skinner LAB CON 11,182 25.4%180 Middlesbrough Stuart Bell LAB LD 8,689 26.0% LAB181 Denton and Reddish Andrew Gwynne LAB CON 9,831 26.1%182 Manchester Central Tony Lloyd LAB LD 10,439 26.1% LAB183 Doncaster North Edward Miliband LAB CON 10,909 26.3%184 Neath Peter Hain LAB PC 9,775 26.3%185 Midlothian David Hamilton LAB SNP 10,349 26.4%186 Kilmarnock and Loudoun Cathie Jamieson LAB SNP 12,378 26.6%187 Leigh Andy Burnham LAB CON 12,011 27.1%188 Coventry North East Bob Ainsworth LAB CON 11,775 27.1%189 Leeds East George Mudie LAB CON 10,293 27.2%190 Central Ayrshire Brian Donohoe LAB CON 12,007 27.3%191 North Tyneside Mary Glindon LAB LD 12,884 27.8%192 Caerphilly Wayne David LAB CON 10,755 27.8%193 Islington North Jeremy Corbyn LAB LD 12,401 27.8%194 Rotherham Denis MacShane LAB CON 10,462 27.9% LAB195 Warley John Spellar LAB CON 10,756 28.1%196 Birmingham, Ladywood Shabana Mahmood LAB LD 10,105 28.2%197 Birmingham, Perry Barr Khalid Mahmood LAB LD 11,908 28.3%198 Leeds Central Hilary Benn LAB LD 10,645 28.5%199 East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow Michael McCann LAB SNP 14,503 28.5%200 Makerfield Yvonne Fovargue LAB CON 12,490 28.5%201 Barnsley East Michael Dugher LAB LD 11,090 28.9%202 Houghton and Sunderland South Bridget Phillipson LAB CON 10,990 28.9%203 Lanark and Hamilton East Jim Hood LAB SNP 13,478 29.0%204 Leicester East Keith Vaz LAB CON 14,082 29.3%205 St Helens North Dave Watts LAB CON 13,101 29.4%206 North Durham Kevan Jones LAB CON 12,076 29.5%207 Barnsley Central Eric Illsley LAB LD 11,093 30.0% LAB208 Lewisham, Deptford Joan Ruddock LAB LD 12,499 30.3%209 South Shields David Miliband LAB CON 11,109 30.4%210 St Helens South and Whiston Shaun Woodward LAB LD 14,122 30.6%211 Washington and Sunderland West Sharon Hodgson LAB CON 11,458 30.7%212 Hackney North and Stoke Newington Diane Abbott LAB LD 14,461 31.1%213 Mitcham and Morden Siobhain McDonagh LAB CON 13,666 31.2%214 Glasgow South Tom Harris LAB SNP 12,658 31.6%215 Croydon North Malcolm Wicks LAB CON 16,481 31.9% LAB216 Cynon Valley Ann Clwyd LAB PC 9,617 32.2%217 Blaenau Gwent Nick Smith LAB IND 10,516 32.5%218 Gateshead Ian Mearns LAB LD 12,549 32.8%219 Wentworth and Dearne John Healey LAB CON 13,920 33.1%220 Swansea East Siân James LAB LD 10,838 33.2%221 Jarrow Stephen Hepburn LAB CON 12,908 33.3%222 Hackney South and Shoreditch Meg Hillier LAB LD 14,288 33.3%223 Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East Gregg McClymont LAB SNP 13,755 33.4%224 Glasgow Central Anas Sarwar LAB SNP 10,551 34.5%225 Airdrie and Shotts Pamela Nash LAB SNP 12,408 34.6%226 Paisley and Renfrewshire North Jim Sheridan LAB SNP 15,280 35.0%227 Sheffield, Brightside and Hillsborough David Blunkett LAB LD 13,632 35.0%228 Islwyn Chris Evans LAB CON 12,215 35.2%229 Aberavon Hywel Francis LAB LD 11,039 35.7%230 Blackley and Broughton Graham Stringer LAB CON 12,303 36.0%231 Barking Margaret Hodge LAB CON 16,555 36.5%232 Liverpool, Riverside Louise Ellman LAB LD 14,173 36.5%233 Glasgow East Margaret Curran LAB SNP 11,840 36.8%

44

Page 45: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

Rank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % voteMajority

By-elections

since 2010

Party

234 Camberwell and Peckham Harriet Harman LAB LD 17,187 36.8%235 Rhondda Chris Bryant LAB PC 11,553 37.2%236 Halton Derek Twigg LAB CON 15,504 37.5%237 Ogmore Huw Irranca-Davies LAB CON 13,246 38.2%238 Glasgow North West John Robertson LAB LD 13,611 38.3%239 Inverclyde David Cairns LAB SNP 14,416 38.4% LAB240 Garston and Halewood Maria Eagle LAB LD 16,877 39.4%241 Glenrothes Lindsay Roy LAB SNP 16,448 40.6%242 West Dunbartonshire Gemma Doyle LAB SNP 17,408 41.2%243 Paisley and Renfrewshire South Douglas Alexander LAB SNP 16,614 41.5%244 Tottenham David Lammy LAB LD 16,931 41.6%245 Easington Grahame Morris LAB LD 14,982 42.9%246 Motherwell and Wishaw Frank Roy LAB SNP 16,806 43.0%247 Birkenhead Frank Field LAB CON 15,395 43.6%248 Rutherglen and Hamilton West Tom Greatrex LAB SNP 21,002 44.7%249 Glasgow South West Ian Davidson LAB SNP 14,671 46.2%250 West Ham Lyn Brown LAB CON 22,534 48.0%251 Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill Tom Clarke LAB SNP 20,714 49.8%252 Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath Gordon Brown LAB SNP 23,009 50.2%253 Bootle Joe Benton LAB LD 21,181 51.3%254 Liverpool, West Derby Stephen Twigg LAB LD 18,467 51.6%255 Glasgow North East Wille Bain LAB SNP 15,942 54.2%256 East Ham Stephen Timms LAB CON 27,826 55.2%257 Knowsley George Howarth LAB LD 25,686 57.5%258 Liverpool, Walton Steve Rotheram LAB LD 19,818 57.7%

45

Page 46: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

Table 2.3

2010 General Election: Conservative seats by % majorityThe seat ranked 1 has the lowest % majority

MajorityRank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % vote

1 North Warwickshire Daniel Byles CON LAB 54 0.1%2 Camborne and Redruth George Eustice CON LD 66 0.2%3 Thurrock Jackie Doyle-Price CON LAB 92 0.2%4 Hendon Matthew Offord CON LAB 106 0.2%5 Oxford West and Abingdon Nicola Blackwood CON LD 176 0.3%6 Cardiff North Jonathan Evans CON LAB 194 0.4%7 Sherwood Mark Spencer CON LAB 214 0.4%8 Stockton South James Wharton CON LAB 332 0.7%9 Broxtowe Anna Soubry CON LAB 389 0.7%

10 Lancaster and Fleetwood Eric Ollerenshaw CON LAB 333 0.8%11 Truro and Falmouth Sarah Newton CON LD 435 0.9%12 Newton Abbot Anne Morris CON LD 523 1.1%13 Amber Valley Nigel Mills CON LAB 536 1.2%14 Waveney Peter Aldous CON LAB 769 1.5%15 Wolverhampton South West Paul Uppal CON LAB 691 1.7%16 Harrogate and Knaresborough Andrew Jones CON LD 1,039 2.0%17 Morecambe and Lunesdale David Morris CON LAB 866 2.0%18 Carlisle John Stevenson CON LAB 853 2.0%19 Stroud Neil Carmichael CON LAB 1,299 2.2%20 Weaver Vale Graham Evans CON LAB 991 2.3%21 Lincoln Karl McCartney CON LAB 1,058 2.3%22 Watford Richard Harrington CON LD 1,425 2.6%23 Plymouth, Sutton and Devonport Oliver Colvile CON LAB 1,149 2.6%24 Dewsbury Simon Reevell CON LAB 1,526 2.8%25 Warrington South David Mowat CON LAB 1,553 2.8%26 Bedford Richard Fuller CON LAB 1,353 3.0%27 Brighton, Kemptown Simon Kirby CON LAB 1,328 3.1%28 Pudsey Stuart Andrew CON LAB 1,659 3.4%29 Corby Louise Bagshawe CON LAB 1,895 3.5% LAB30 Montgomeryshire Glyn Davies CON LD 1,184 3.5%31 Brentford and Isleworth Mary MacLeod CON LAB 1,958 3.6%32 Hove Mike Weatherley CON LAB 1,868 3.7%33 Enfield North Nick de Bois CON LAB 1,692 3.8%34 Hastings and Rye Amber Rudd CON LAB 1,993 4.0%35 St Albans Anne Main CON LD 2,305 4.4%36 Ipswich Benedict Gummer CON LAB 2,079 4.4%37 Halesowen and Rowley Regis James Morris CON LAB 2,023 4.6%38 Nuneaton Marcus Jones CON LAB 2,069 4.6%39 Gloucester Richard Graham CON LAB 2,420 4.8%40 Northampton North Michael Ellis CON LAB 1,936 4.8%41 Bury North David Nuttall CON LAB 2,243 5.0%42 Kingswood Chris Skidmore CON LAB 2,445 5.1%43 Weston-super-Mare John Penrose CON LD 2,691 5.1%44 Hereford and South Herefordshire Jesse Norman CON LD 2,481 5.1%45 Wyre Forest Mark Garnier CON ICHC 2,643 5.2%46 Erewash Jessica Lee CON LAB 2,501 5.2%47 Blackpool North and Cleveleys Paul Maynard CON LAB 2,150 5.3%48 Torridge and West Devon Geoffrey Cox CON LD 2,957 5.4%49 Winchester Steve Brine CON LD 3,048 5.4%50 City of Chester Stephen Mosley CON LAB 2,583 5.5%51 Croydon Central Gavin Barwell CON LAB 2,879 5.8%52 Worcester Robin Walker CON LAB 2,982 6.1%53 Keighley Kris Hopkins CON LAB 2,940 6.2%54 Wirral West Esther McVey CON LAB 2,436 6.2%55 South East Cornwall Sheryll Murray CON LD 3,220 6.5%

By-election

since 2010

Party

46

Page 47: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

MajorityRank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % vote

By-election

since 2010

Party

56 Bristol North West Charlotte Leslie CON LD 3,274 6.5%57 West Dorset Oliver Letwin CON LD 3,923 6.8%58 Richmond Park Zac Goldsmith CON LD 4,091 6.9%59 York Outer Julian Sturdy CON LD 3,688 6.9%60 Cannock Chase Aidan Burley CON LAB 3,195 7.0%61 Loughborough Nicky Morgan CON LAB 3,744 7.1%62 Harrow East Bob Blackman CON LAB 3,403 7.1%63 Warwick and Leamington Chris White CON LAB 3,513 7.2%64 South Swindon Robert Buckland CON LAB 3,544 7.5%65 Ealing Central and Acton Angie Bray CON LAB 3,716 7.9%66 Pendle Andrew Stephenson CON LAB 3,585 8.0%67 Stevenage Stephen McPartland CON LAB 3,578 8.0%68 Elmet and Rothwell Alec Shelbrooke CON LAB 4,521 8.1%69 Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire Simon Hart CON LAB 3,423 8.5%70 Romsey and Southampton North Caroline Nokes CON LD 4,156 8.5%71 Colne Valley Jason McCartney CON LD 4,837 8.7%72 Vale of Glamorgan Alun Cairns CON LAB 4,307 8.8%73 Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale David Mundell CON LAB 4,194 9.1%74 Norwich North Chloe Smith CON LAB 3,901 9.2%75 Bosworth David Tredinnick CON LD 5,032 9.3%76 High Peak Andrew Bingham CON LAB 4,677 9.3%77 Chelmsford Simon Burns CON LD 5,110 9.4%78 Milton Keynes South Iain Stewart CON LAB 5,201 9.4%79 Rossendale and Darwen Jake Berry CON LAB 4,493 9.5%80 Cleethorpes Martin Vickers CON LAB 4,298 9.6%81 North East Somerset Jacob Rees-Mogg CON LAB 4,914 9.6%82 Great Yarmouth Brandon Lewis CON LAB 4,276 9.9%83 Dudley South Chris Kelly CON LAB 3,856 10.1%84 Totnes Sarah Wollaston CON LD 4,927 10.3%85 South East Cambridgeshire James Paice CON LD 5,946 10.3%86 Dover Charlie Elphicke CON LAB 5,274 10.5%87 South Ribble Lorraine Fullbrook CON LAB 5,554 10.8%88 Peterborough Stewart Jackson CON LAB 4,861 10.8%89 Stafford Jeremy Lefroy CON LAB 5,460 10.9%90 Stourbridge Margot James CON LAB 5,164 10.9%91 Harlow Robert Halfon CON LAB 4,925 11.2%92 Aberconwy Guto Bebb CON LAB 3,398 11.3%93 Ilford North Lee Scott CON LAB 5,404 11.5%94 Preseli Pembrokeshire Stephen Crabb CON LAB 4,605 11.6%95 Tewkesbury Laurence Robertson CON LD 6,310 11.7%96 Brigg and Goole Andrew Percy CON LAB 5,147 11.7%97 Crewe and Nantwich Edward Timpson CON LAB 6,046 11.8%98 Maidstone and The Weald Helen Grant CON LD 5,889 12.0%99 Battersea Jane Ellison CON LAB 5,977 12.2%

100 Canterbury Julian Brazier CON LD 6,048 12.3%101 Salisbury John Glen CON LD 5,966 12.3%102 Aldershot Gerald Howarth CON LD 5,586 12.3%103 Finchley and Golders Green Mike Freer CON LAB 5,809 12.3%104 Calder Valley Craig Whittaker CON LAB 6,431 12.4%105 Crawley Henry Smith CON LAB 5,928 12.5%106 West Worcestershire Harriett Baldwin CON LD 6,754 12.5%107 Reading West Alok Sharma CON LAB 6,004 12.6%108 Rugby Mark Pawsey CON LAB 6,000 12.6%109 Burton Andrew Griffiths CON LAB 6,304 12.7%110 Woking Jonathan Lord CON LD 6,807 12.9%111 South Basildon and East Thurrock Stephen Metcalfe CON LAB 5,772 12.9%112 Tamworth Chris Pincher CON LAB 6,090 13.1%113 Redditch Karen Lumley CON LAB 5,821 13.2%114 Mid Sussex Nicholas Soames CON LD 7,402 13.3%

47

Page 48: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

MajorityRank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % vote

By-election

since 2010

Party

115 South Cambridgeshire Andrew Lansley CON LD 7,838 13.3%116 Hexham Guy Opperman CON LD 5,788 13.3%117 Bournemouth West Conor Burns CON LD 5,583 13.4%118 North Somerset Liam Fox CON LD 7,862 13.6%119 Broadland Keith Simpson CON LD 7,292 13.8%120 Chatham and Aylesford Tracey Crouch CON LAB 6,069 13.9%121 Congleton Fiona Bruce CON LD 7,063 13.9%122 Guildford Anne Milton CON LD 7,782 14.0%123 North Swindon Justin Tomlinson CON LAB 7,060 14.0%124 North Dorset Robert Walter CON LD 7,625 14.1%125 South Derbyshire Heather Wheeler CON LAB 7,128 14.1%126 Filton and Bradley Stoke Jack Lopresti CON LAB 6,914 14.3%127 North West Leicestershire Andrew Bridgen CON LAB 7,511 14.5%128 South Dorset Richard Drax CON LAB 7,443 14.8%129 Shrewsbury and Atcham Daniel Kawczynski CON LD 7,944 15.0%130 Isle of Wight Andrew Turner CON LD 10,527 15.0%131 Reading East Rob Wilson CON LD 7,605 15.2%132 Staffordshire Moorlands Karen Bradley CON LAB 6,689 15.3%133 North Wiltshire James Gray CON LD 7,483 15.4%134 Northampton South Brian Binley CON LAB 6,004 15.4%135 Poole Robert Syms CON LD 7,541 15.9%136 Scarborough and Whitby Robert Goodwill CON LAB 8,130 16.5%137 Portsmouth North Penny Mordaunt CON LAB 7,289 16.5%138 South Thanet Laura Sandys CON LAB 7,617 16.6%139 Suffolk Coastal Therese Coffey CON LD 9,128 16.6%140 Milton Keynes North Mark Lancaster CON LAB 8,961 16.6%141 Southend West David Amess CON LD 7,270 16.7%142 Clwyd West David Jones CON LAB 6,419 16.8%143 South Suffolk Tim Yeo CON LD 8,689 16.9%144 Castle Point Rebecca Harris CON IND 7,632 17.0%145 Bridgwater and West Somerset Ian Liddell-Grainger CON LD 9,249 17.0%146 Tiverton and Honiton Neil Parish CON LD 9,320 17.0%147 Central Devon Mel Stride CON LD 9,230 17.1%148 East Devon Hugo Swire CON LD 9,114 17.2%149 Enfield, Southgate David Burrowes CON LAB 7,626 17.2%150 Bournemouth East Tobias Ellwood CON LD 7,728 17.6%151 Harborough Edward Garnier CON LD 9,797 17.8%152 Skipton and Ripon Julian Smith CON LD 9,950 18.2%153 Gillingham and Rainham Rehman Chishti CON LAB 8,680 18.6%154 Folkestone and Hythe Damian Collins CON LD 10,122 19.2%155 Kettering Philip Hollobone CON LAB 9,094 19.2%156 Gravesham Adam Holloway CON LAB 9,312 19.7%157 Wycombe Steve Baker CON LD 9,560 19.9%158 South Norfolk Richard Bacon CON LD 10,940 19.9%159 Huntingdon Jonathan Djanogly CON LD 10,819 19.9%160 Ludlow Philip Dunne CON LD 9,749 20.0%161 Shipley Philip Davies CON LAB 9,944 20.1%162 Horsham Francis Maude CON LD 11,460 20.5%163 The Wrekin Mark Pritchard CON LAB 9,450 20.6%164 Rochester and Strood Mark Reckless CON LAB 9,953 20.7%165 North Herefordshire Bill Wiggin CON LD 9,887 20.8%166 Newbury Richard Benyon CON LD 12,248 20.9%167 Bury St Edmunds David Ruffley CON LD 12,380 21.1%168 South West Wiltshire Andrew Murrison CON LD 10,367 21.1%169 Spelthorne Kwasi Kwarteng CON LD 10,019 21.2%170 Dartford Gareth Johnson CON LAB 10,628 21.2%171 Gainsborough Edward Leigh CON LD 10,559 21.4%172 Bromsgrove Sajid Javid CON LAB 11,308 21.9%173 Monmouth David Davies CON LAB 10,425 22.4%

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MajorityRank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % vote

By-election

since 2010

Party

174 Stratford-on-Avon Nadhim Zahawi CON LD 11,346 22.4%175 New Forest East Julian Lewis CON LD 11,307 22.6%176 Forest of Dean Mark Harper CON LAB 11,064 22.7%177 Wellingborough Peter Bone CON LAB 11,787 22.8%178 East Worthing and Shoreham Tim Loughton CON LD 11,105 22.9%179 Harwich and North Essex Bernard Jenkin CON LD 11,447 23.4%180 The Cotswolds Geoffrey Clifton-Brown CON LD 12,864 23.5%181 Altrincham and Sale West Graham Brady CON LD 11,595 23.5%182 Chipping Barnet Theresa Villiers CON LAB 11,927 23.6%183 Bexhill and Battle Gregory Barker CON LD 12,880 23.6%184 Meon Valley George Hollingbery CON LD 12,125 23.7%185 Selby and Ainsty Nigel Adams CON LAB 12,265 23.7%186 Aylesbury David Lidington CON LD 12,618 23.7%187 Haltemprice and Howden David Davis CON LD 11,602 23.8%188 Mid Derbyshire Pauline Latham CON LAB 11,292 23.9%189 Worthing West Peter Bottomley CON LD 11,729 23.9%190 Macclesfield David Rutley CON LD 11,959 23.9%191 Bexleyheath and Crayford David Evennett CON LAB 10,344 24.0%192 Wantage Edward Vaizey CON LD 13,547 24.0%193 Wimbledon Stephen Hammond CON LD 11,408 24.1%194 Beverley and Holderness Graham Stuart CON LD 12,987 24.4%195 Kensington Malcolm Rifkind CON LAB 8,616 24.5%196 Putney Justine Greening CON LAB 10,053 24.6%197 Wokingham John Redwood CON LD 13,492 24.7%198 Uxbridge and South Ruislip John Randall CON LAB 11,216 24.9%199 Penrith and The Border Rory Stewart CON LD 11,241 24.9%200 Rutland and Melton Alan Duncan CON LD 14,000 25.4%201 Sittingbourne and Sheppey Gordon Henderson CON LAB 12,383 25.5%202 Central Suffolk and North Ipswich Daniel Poulter CON LD 13,786 25.8%203 Kenilworth and Southam Jeremy Wright CON LD 12,552 25.9%204 Basingstoke Maria Miller CON LD 13,176 26.0%205 South West Hertfordshire David Gauke CON LD 14,920 26.3%206 East Hampshire Damian Hinds CON LD 13,497 26.3%207 East Yorkshire Greg Knight CON LD 13,486 26.3%208 Rochford and Southend East James Duddridge CON LAB 11,050 26.5%209 South West Norfolk Elizabeth Truss CON LD 13,140 26.7%210 Hemel Hempstead Mike Penning CON LD 13,406 27.1%211 West Suffolk Matthew Hancock CON LD 13,050 27.1%212 Reigate Crispin Blunt CON LD 13,591 27.2%213 Mid Norfolk George Freeman CON LD 13,856 27.3%214 Louth and Horncastle Peter Tapsell CON LD 13,871 27.5%215 Mid Bedfordshire Nadine Dorries CON LD 15,152 27.6%216 Havant David Willetts CON LD 12,160 27.7%217 Hertford and Stortford Mark Prisk CON LD 15,437 27.9%218 Bognor Regis and Littlehampton Nick Gibb CON LD 13,063 27.9%219 Hitchin and Harpenden Peter Lilley CON LD 15,271 27.9%220 Chichester Andrew Tyrie CON LD 15,877 28.0%221 Clacton Douglas Carswell CON LAB 12,068 28.0%222 Saffron Walden Alan Haselhurst CON LD 15,242 28.0%223 Devizes Claire Perry CON LD 13,005 28.1%224 Charnwood Stephen Dorrell CON LD 15,029 28.1%225 Grantham and Stamford Nick Boles CON LD 14,826 28.1%226 Croydon South Richard Ottaway CON LD 15,818 28.1%227 Stone Bill Cash CON LD 13,292 28.1%228 Ribble Valley Nigel Evans CON LAB 14,769 28.2%229 South Leicestershire Andrew Robathan CON LD 15,524 28.4%230 South West Surrey Jeremy Hunt CON LD 16,318 28.5%231 North West Cambridgeshire Shailesh Vara CON LD 16,677 28.6%232 Boston and Skegness Mark Simmonds CON LAB 12,426 28.8%

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MajorityRank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % vote

By-election

since 2010

Party

233 Mole Valley Paul Beresford CON LD 15,653 28.8%234 Eddisbury Stephen O'Brien CON LD 13,255 29.2%235 Epsom and Ewell Chris Grayling CON LD 16,134 29.4%236 Rushcliffe Ken Clarke CON LD 15,811 29.5%237 Thirsk and Malton Anne McIntosh CON LD 11,281 29.6%238 Derbyshire Dales Patrick McLoughlin CON LD 13,866 29.6%239 Basildon and Billericay John Baron CON LAB 12,338 29.7%240 Arundel and South Downs Nick Herbert CON LD 16,691 29.8%241 Cities of London and Westminster Mark Field CON LAB 11,076 30.0%242 Chingford and Woodford Green Iain Duncan Smith CON LAB 12,963 30.1%243 Bracknell Philip Lee CON LD 15,704 30.1%244 North East Hertfordshire Oliver Heald CON LD 15,194 30.1%245 Fylde Mark Menzies CON LD 13,185 30.2%246 North Shropshire Owen Paterson CON LD 15,828 30.5%247 Hornchurch and Upminster Angela Watkinson CON LAB 16,371 30.7%248 Gosport Caroline Dinenage CON LD 14,413 30.7%249 Wyre and Preston North Ben Wallace CON LD 15,844 30.9%250 East Surrey Sam Gyimah CON LD 16,874 30.9%251 Tunbridge Wells Greg Clark CON LD 15,576 31.0%252 North West Norfolk Henry Bellingham CON LD 14,810 31.0%253 Henley John Howell CON LD 16,588 31.0%254 Mid Worcestershire Peter Luff CON LD 15,864 31.1%255 Meriden Caroline Spelman CON LAB 16,253 31.2%256 Christchurch Christopher Chope CON LD 15,410 31.2%257 North Thanet Roger Gale CON LAB 13,528 31.2%258 Maidenhead Theresa May CON LD 16,769 31.2%259 Wealden Charles Hendry CON LD 17,179 31.3%260 Ashford Damian Green CON LD 17,297 31.3%261 Fareham Mark Hoban CON LD 17,092 31.5%262 Newark Patrick Mercer CON LAB 16,152 31.5%263 North East Cambridgeshire Stephen Barclay CON LD 16,425 31.5%264 Bromley and Chislehurst Bob Neill CON LD 13,900 31.6%265 Surrey Heath Michael Gove CON LD 17,289 31.8%266 South West Devon Gary Streeter CON LD 15,874 31.8%267 Chesham and Amersham Cheryl Gillan CON LD 16,710 31.9%268 Tatton George Osborne CON LD 14,487 32.0%269 Banbury Tony Baldry CON LD 18,227 32.4%270 Witham Priti Patel CON LD 15,196 32.4%271 Epping Forest Eleanor Laing CON LD 15,131 32.5%272 Braintree Brooks Newmark CON LAB 16,121 32.8%273 South West Bedfordshire Andrew Selous CON LD 16,649 32.8%274 South Staffordshire Gavin Williamson CON LAB 16,590 32.9%275 Sleaford and North Hykeham Stephen Phillips CON LD 19,905 33.4%276 Brentwood and Ongar Eric Pickles CON LD 16,921 33.4%277 Sutton Coldfield Andrew Mitchell CON LAB 17,005 33.6%278 Esher and Walton Dominic Raab CON LD 18,593 34.1%279 North East Bedfordshire Alastair Burt CON LD 18,942 34.1%280 South Northamptonshire Andrea Leadsom CON LD 20,478 34.2%281 Runnymede and Weybridge Philip Hammond CON LD 16,509 34.3%282 Lichfield Michael Fabricant CON LD 17,683 34.3%283 Old Bexley and Sidcup James Brokenshire CON LAB 15,857 34.9%284 North West Hampshire George Young CON LD 18,583 34.9%285 North East Hampshire James Arbuthnot CON LD 18,597 35.1%286 Orpington Jo Johnson CON LD 17,200 35.2%287 Tonbridge and Malling John Stanley CON LD 18,178 35.4%288 Sevenoaks Michael Fallon CON LD 17,515 35.4%289 New Forest West Desmond Swayne CON LD 16,896 35.5%290 Welwyn Hatfield Grant Shapps CON LAB 17,423 35.6%291 Romford Andrew Rosindell CON LAB 16,954 36.5%

50

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MajorityRank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % vote

By-election

since 2010

Party

292 Faversham and Mid Kent Hugh Robertson CON LD 17,088 36.6%293 Daventry Chris Heaton-Harris CON LD 19,188 37.1%294 Hertsmere James Clappison CON LAB 17,605 37.2%295 Beckenham Bob Stewart CON LD 17,784 37.3%296 Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner Nick Hurd CON LAB 19,060 38.0%297 Windsor Adam Afriyie CON LD 19,054 38.4%298 Witney David Cameron CON LD 22,740 39.4%299 Aldridge-Brownhills Richard Shepherd CON LAB 15,266 39.5%300 Maldon John Whittingdale CON LD 19,407 40.5%301 Broxbourne Charles Walker CON LAB 18,804 41.2%302 Beaconsfield Dominic Grieve CON LD 21,782 41.5%303 Chelsea and Fulham Greg Hands CON LAB 16,722 42.0%304 Rayleigh and Wickford Mark Francois CON LD 22,338 42.7%305 South Holland and The Deepings John Hayes CON LD 21,880 43.6%306 Richmond (Yorks) William Hague CON LD 23,336 43.7%

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Page 52: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

Table 2.4

2010 General Election: Liberal Democrat seats by % majorityThe seat ranked 1 has the lowest % majority

MajorityRank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % vote

1 Solihull Lorely Burt LD CON 175 0.3%2 Mid Dorset and North Poole Annette Brooke LD CON 269 0.6%3 Norwich South Simon Wright LD LAB 310 0.7%4 Bradford East David Ward LD LAB 365 0.9%5 Wells Tessa Munt LD CON 800 1.4%6 St Austell and Newquay Stephen Gilbert LD CON 1,312 2.8%7 Brent Central Sarah Teather LD LAB 1,345 3.0%8 Somerton and Frome David Heath LD CON 1,817 3.0%9 Sutton and Cheam Paul Burstow LD CON 1,608 3.3%

10 St Ives Andrew George LD CON 1,719 3.7%11 Manchester, Withington John Leech LD LAB 1,894 4.2%12 Burnley Gordon Birtwistle LD LAB 1,818 4.3%13 East Dunbartonshire Jo Swinson LD LAB 2,184 4.6%14 Chippenham Duncan Hames LD CON 2,470 4.7%15 Cheadle Mark Hunter LD CON 3,272 6.2%16 North Cornwall Dan Rogerson LD CON 2,981 6.4%17 Eastbourne Stephen Lloyd LD CON 3,435 6.6%18 Taunton Deane Jeremy Browne LD CON 3,993 6.9%19 Berwick-upon-Tweed Alan Beith LD CON 2,690 7.0%20 Eastleigh Chris Huhne LD CON 3,864 7.2%21 Birmingham, Yardley John Hemming LD LAB 3,002 7.3%22 Argyll and Bute Alan Reid LD CON 3,431 7.6%23 West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine Robert Smith LD CON 3,684 8.2%24 Edinburgh West Mike Crockart LD LAB 3,803 8.2%25 Torbay Adrian Sanders LD CON 4,078 8.3%26 Cheltenham Martin Horwood LD CON 4,920 9.3%27 Brecon and Radnorshire Roger Williams LD CON 3,747 9.6%28 North Devon Nick Harvey LD CON 5,821 11.3%29 Carshalton and Wallington Tom Brake LD CON 5,260 11.5%30 Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk Michael Moore LD CON 5,675 11.6%31 Redcar Ian Swales LD LAB 5,214 12.4%32 Hornsey and Wood Green Lynne Featherstone LD LAB 6,875 12.5%33 Portsmouth South Mike Hancock LD CON 5,200 12.6%34 Cardiff Central Jenny Willott LD LAB 4,576 12.7%35 Kingston and Surbiton Edward Davey LD CON 7,560 13.2%36 Cambridge Julian Huppert LD CON 6,792 13.5%37 Southport John Pugh LD CON 6,024 13.8%38 Gordon Malcolm Bruce LD SNP 6,748 13.8%39 Thornbury and Yate Steve Webb LD CON 7,116 14.8%40 Colchester Bob Russell LD CON 6,982 15.1%41 Hazel Grove Andrew Stunell LD CON 6,371 15.2%42 Lewes Norman Baker LD CON 7,647 15.3%43 Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross John Thurso LD LAB 4,826 16.8%44 Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and Strathspey Danny Alexander LD LAB 8,765 18.6%45 Bermondsey and Old Southwark Simon Hughes LD LAB 8,530 19.1%46 Twickenham Vincent Cable LD CON 12,140 20.3%47 Bristol West Stephen Williams LD LAB 11,366 20.5%48 Leeds North West Greg Mulholland LD CON 9,103 20.9%49 Ceredigion Mark Williams LD PC 8,324 21.8%50 North East Fife Menzies Campbell LD CON 9,048 22.6%51 Yeovil David Laws LD CON 13,036 22.8%52 North Norfolk Norman Lamb LD CON 11,626 23.4%53 Westmorland and Lonsdale Tim Farron LD CON 12,264 23.8%

By-election

since 2010

Party

52

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MajorityRank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % vote

By-election

since 2010

Party

54 Bath Don Foster LD CON 11,883 25.2%55 Sheffield, Hallam Nick Clegg LD CON 15,284 29.9%56 Ross, Skye and Lochaber Charles Kennedy LD LAB 13,070 37.5%57 Orkney and Shetland Alistair Carmichael LD LAB 9,928 51.3%

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Page 54: Marginal Seats - researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk · B Notes 4 C Appendix tables: 2010 General Election results 1. Seats by majority 5 1.1. All seats 5 1.2. Labour 16 1.3. Conservative

Table 2.5

2010 General Election: Other Parties seats by % majorityThe seat ranked 1 has the lowest majority

Rank Constituency MP Elected 1st 2nd Votes % vote

Alliance Party1 Belfast East Naomi Long Alliance DUP 1,533 4.4%

Democratic Unionist Party1 South Antrim William McCrea DUP UCU 1,183 3.5%2 Belfast North Nigel Dodds DUP SF 2,224 6.0%3 Upper Bann David Simpson DUP UCU 3,361 8.1%4 East Londonderry Gregory Campbell DUP SF 5,355 15.3%5 Strangford Jim Shannon DUP UCU 5,876 18.1%6 East Antrim Sammy Wilson DUP UCU 6,770 22.2%7 Lagan Valley Jeffrey Donaldson DUP UCU 10,486 28.7%8 North Antrim Ian Paisley Junior DUP TUV 12,558 29.6%

Green Party1 Brighton, Pavilion Caroline Lucas Green LAB 1,252 2.4%

Independent1 North Down Sylvia Hermon IND UCU 14,364 42.9%

Plaid Cymru1 Arfon Hywel Williams PC LAB 1,455 5.6%2 Carmarthen East and Dinefwr Jonathan Edwards PC LAB 3,481 9.2%3 Dwyfor Meirionnydd Elfyn Llwyd PC CON 6,367 22.0%

Social Democratic Labour Party1 Foyle Mark Durkan SDLP SF 4,824 12.7%2 Belfast South Alasdair McDonnell SDLP DUP 5,926 17.3%3 South Down Margaret Ritchie SDLP SF 8,412 19.8%

Sinn Fein1 Fermanagh and South Tyrone Michelle Gildernew SF IND 4 0.0%2 Newry and Armagh Conor Murphy SF SDLP 8,331 18.6%3 West Tyrone Pat Doherty SF DUP 10,685 28.7%4 Mid Ulster Martin McGuinness SF DUP 15,363 37.6%5 Belfast West Gerry Adams SF SDLP 17,579 54.7% SF

Scottish National Party1 Dundee East Stewart Hosie SNP LAB 1,821 4.5%2 Angus Mike Weir SNP CON 3,282 8.6%3 Perth and North Perthshire Pete Wishart SNP CON 4,379 9.1%4 Banff and Buchan Eilidh Whiteford SNP CON 4,027 10.5%5 Na h-Eileanan an Iar Angus MacNeil SNP LAB 1,885 12.8%6 Moray Angus Robertson SNP CON 5,590 13.6%

The Speaker1 Buckingham John Bercow SPK IND 12,529 25.9%

Majority

By-election

since 2010

Party

54