margaret thatcher: poll rating trends

13
Margaret Thatcher Polling Trends 1978 - 2011 Contacts: [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] 020 7347 3000

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Margaret Thatcher was British Prime Minister from May 1979 to November 1990, and in almost every month during that period MORI polled the opinions of the British public about her performance as Prime Minister, the way the government was running the country, how they would vote if there were an election and what they thought about the issues of the day.

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Page 1: Margaret Thatcher: Poll Rating Trends

Margaret Thatcher

Polling Trends

1978 - 2011

Contacts:

[email protected]

[email protected]

[email protected] 020 7347 3000

Page 2: Margaret Thatcher: Poll Rating Trends

2

-70

-60

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Aug-7

9

Nov-7

9

Feb-8

0

May-8

0

Aug-8

0

Nov-8

0

Feb-8

1

May-8

1

Aug-8

1

Nov-8

1

Feb-8

2

May-8

2

Aug-8

2

Nov-8

2

Feb-8

3

May-8

3

Aug-8

3

Nov-8

3

Feb-8

4

May-8

4

Aug-8

4

Nov-8

4

Fe

b-8

5

May-8

5

Aug-8

5

Nov-8

5

Feb-8

6

May-8

6

Aug-8

6

Nov-8

6

Feb-8

7

May-8

7

Aug-8

7

Nov-8

7

Feb-8

8

May-8

8

Aug-8

8

Nov-8

8

Feb-8

9

May-8

9

Aug-8

9

Nov-8

9

Feb-9

0

May-9

0

Aug-9

0

Nov-9

0

Source: Ipsos MORI

Satisfaction with Thatcher and her government

How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way Margaret Thatcher is doing her job as Prime Minister/the government is running the country?

% Satisfied with Thatcher

% Satisfied with government

Net satisfaction - government

Net satisfaction -Thatcher

June 1982: 59%

Falklands

March 1981: -58

Budget – spending cuts

General Election General Election

March 1990: -63

Poll tax

October 1984:

Brighton bomb

Base: c. 1,000 British adults each month

Page 3: Margaret Thatcher: Poll Rating Trends

3

-70

-60

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Aug

-79

Nov-7

9

Feb

-80

May-8

0

Aug

-80

Nov-8

0

Feb

-81

May-8

1

Aug

-81

Nov-8

1

Feb

-82

May-8

2

Aug

-82

Nov-8

2

Feb

-83

May-8

3

Aug

-83

Nov-8

3

Feb

-84

May-8

4

Aug

-84

Nov-8

4

Feb

-85

May-8

5

Aug

-85

Nov-8

5

Feb

-86

May-8

6

Aug

-86

Nov-8

6

Feb

-87

May-8

7

Aug

-87

No

v-8

7

Feb

-88

May-8

8

Au

g-8

8

Nov-8

8

Feb

-89

Ma

y-8

9

Aug

-89

Nov-8

9

Fe

b-9

0

May-9

0

Aug

-90

No

v-9

0

Source: Ipsos MORI

Satisfaction with Thatcher as Prime Minister

How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way Margaret Thatcher is doing her job as Prime Minister?

Base: c. 1,000 British adults each month

% Satisfied with Thatcher

Net satisfaction -Thatcher

June 1982: Falklands

General Election General Election

March 1990:

Poll tax

October 1984:

Brighton bomb

Spending cuts

Page 4: Margaret Thatcher: Poll Rating Trends

4

-70

-60

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

Aug-7

9

Nov-7

9

Feb-8

0

May-8

0

Aug-8

0

Nov-8

0

Feb-8

1

May-8

1

Aug-8

1

Nov-8

1

Feb-8

2

May-8

2

Aug-8

2

Nov-8

2

Feb-8

3

May-8

3

Aug-8

3

Nov-8

3

Feb-8

4

May-8

4

Aug-8

4

Nov-8

4

Fe

b-8

5

May-8

5

Aug-8

5

Nov-8

5

Feb-8

6

May-8

6

Aug-8

6

Nov-8

6

Feb-8

7

May-8

7

Aug-8

7

Nov-8

7

Feb-8

8

May-8

8

Aug-8

8

Nov-8

8

Feb-8

9

May-8

9

Aug-8

9

Nov-8

9

Feb-9

0

May-9

0

Aug-9

0

Nov-9

0

Source: Ipsos MORI

Net satisfaction with Thatcher and her government

How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way Margaret Thatcher is doing her job as Prime Minister/the government is running the country?

Net satisfaction - government

Net satisfaction -Thatcher

June 1982: Falklands

March 1981: -58

Budget – spending cuts

General Election General Election

March 1990: -63

Poll tax

October 1984:

Brighton bomb

Base: c. 1,000 British adults each month

Page 5: Margaret Thatcher: Poll Rating Trends

5

-70

-60

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Aug-7

9

Nov-7

9

Feb-8

0

May-8

0

Aug-8

0

Nov-8

0

Feb-8

1

May-8

1

Aug-8

1

Nov-8

1

Feb-8

2

May-8

2

Aug-8

2

Nov-8

2

Feb-8

3

May-8

3

Aug-8

3

Nov-8

3

Feb-8

4

May-8

4

Aug-8

4

Nov-8

4

Fe

b-8

5

May-8

5

Aug-8

5

Nov-8

5

Feb-8

6

May-8

6

Aug-8

6

Nov-8

6

Feb-8

7

May-8

7

Aug-8

7

Nov-8

7

Feb-8

8

May-8

8

Aug-8

8

Nov-8

8

Feb-8

9

May-8

9

Aug-8

9

Nov-8

9

Feb-9

0

May-9

0

Aug-9

0

Nov-9

0

Source: Ipsos MORI

Satisfaction with Thatcher and her government

How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way Margaret Thatcher is doing her job as Prime Minister/the government is running the country?

% Satisfied with government

Net satisfaction - government

June 1982: Falklands

March 1981: -58

Budget – spending cuts

General Election General Election

March 1990: -63

Poll tax

October 1984:

Brighton bomb

Base: c. 1,000 British adults each month

Page 6: Margaret Thatcher: Poll Rating Trends

6

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Se

p-7

8

Sep

-79

Sep

-80

Sep

-81

Sep

-82

Sep

-83

Sep

-84

Se

p-8

5

Sep

-86

Sep

-87

Sep

-88

Sep

-89

Sep

-90

Margaret Thatcher – personal attributes

General Election General Election

Capable leader

More honest than most

politicians

Out of touch with

ordinary people

General Election

Understands

problems facing

Britain

Source: Ipsos MORI Base: c. 1,000 British adults each month

Page 7: Margaret Thatcher: Poll Rating Trends

7

7

Like her? Like her policies? Compared to Blair and

Cameron

Thatcher

October

1984

Thatcher

November

1990

Blair

December

1997

Blair

May

2007

Cameron

April

2010

% % % % %

I like him/her and I like his/her policies 26 20 47 27 29

I like him/her but I do not like his/her

policies 19 19 22 30 19

I do not like him but I like his policies 15 8 7 6 9

I do not like him & I do not like his policies 35 52 14 31 38

Don't know 5 2 10 5 4

Total like him/her 45 39 69 57 48

Total do not like him/her 50 60 21 37 47

Total like his/her policies 41 28 54 33 38

Total do not like his/her policies 54 71 36 61 57

Source: Ipsos MORI Base: c. 1,000 British adults each month

Page 8: Margaret Thatcher: Poll Rating Trends

8

Source: MORI Political Monitor

Margaret Thatcher – satisfaction ratings

Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Margaret Thatcher is doing her job as Prime Minister?

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Satisfied

Dissatisfied

May 1979-November 1990 Average 1979-90

Satisfied Don’t know

Dissatisfied

40%

54%

6%

Net = -14

Base: c. 1,000-2,000 British adults 18+ each month

First term Second term Third term

Falklands War

Page 9: Margaret Thatcher: Poll Rating Trends

9

Net

sati

sfa

cti

on

How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way … is doing his / her job as Prime Minister?

Satisfaction with Prime Ministers

THATCHER

BLAIR MAJOR

BROWN

CAMERON

Base: c. 1,000 British adults each month Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor

Number of months from becoming Prime Minister

Note: Data collected prior to June 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from June 2008 was via telephone

Page 10: Margaret Thatcher: Poll Rating Trends

10

Net

sati

sfa

cti

on

LABOUR: 1997 - 2010

Base: c. 1,000 British adults each month Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor

Number of months from new

government taking power

Note: Data collected prior to June 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from June 2008 was via telephone

JOHN MAJOR

BECOMES PM

CONSERVATIVES: 1979-1997

COALITION: 2010-2012

How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way the government is running the country?

Satisfaction with governments

GORDON BROWN

BECOMES PM

Page 11: Margaret Thatcher: Poll Rating Trends

11

3

9

10

17

13

26

22

4

6

7

10

11

27

36

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40

Don't know

None

John Major

David Cameron

Gordon Brown

Tony Blair

Margaret Thatcher

Capable

Liked

Base: 508 British adults 18+, 17th - 19th June 2011 Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor

Most capable/liked Prime Minister?

Which one of the following Prime Ministers do you consider the most capable leader/like most as a person?

%

Page 12: Margaret Thatcher: Poll Rating Trends

12

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Jun-8

7

Sep-8

7

Dec-8

7

Mar-8

8

Jun-8

8

Sep-8

8

Dec-8

8

Mar-8

9

Jun-8

9

Sep-8

9

Dec-8

9

Source: Ipsos MORI

Poll tax

Do you support or oppose the government adopting the following policy? ‘Replacing the system of domestic rates with a fixed charge paid by people in each household aged over 18’

% Oppose

% Support

Base: c. 1,000 British adults each month

Page 13: Margaret Thatcher: Poll Rating Trends

13

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

14 A

pr '8

2

21 A

pr '8

2

24 A

pr '8

2

30 A

pr '8

2

03 M

ay '8

2

16 M

ay '8

2

26 M

ay '8

2

23 J

un '8

2

Source: Ipsos MORI

Falklands

Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way the Government are now handling the situation in the Falkland Islands?

% Satisfied

% Dissatisfied

Base: c. 1,000 British adults each time