march 1st, 2011 - colorado state university

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March 1 st , 2011

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March 1st, 2011

-Assessment of current water conditions

- Precipitation Forecast

- Recommendations for Drought Monitor

Upper Colorado Normal PrecipitationUpper Colorado River Basin Normal Monthly Precipitation

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov DecMonth

Prec

ipita

tion

(in)

KREMMLINGGRAND LAKE 6 SSWBERTHOUD SUMMIT

6 Month SPI 9/1/10 – 2/28/11

Upper Colorado River Basin Snow

Green River Basin above Flaming Gorge

Snowpack % of average to date: 108%Percent of average peak: 87%

Duchesne River Basin

Snowpack % of average to date: 150%Percent of average peak: 124%

Upper Colorado above Kremmling

Snowpack % of average to date: 128%Percent of average peak: 98%

San Juan Basin

Snowpack % of average to date: 90%Percent of average peak: 71%

7-day average discharge compared to historical discharge for the day of the year (February 27th)

Upper Colorado River Basin- Comparison of 7-day Average DischargeFebruary 26, 2002-2011

Discharge Category

Perc

enta

ge o

f str

eam

gage

s in

dis

char

ge c

ateg

ory

Colorado River near CO-UT State Line59th Percentile107% of Normal

Green River at Green River, UT61st Percentile114% of Normal

San Juan River near Bluff, UT34th Percentile79% of Normal

108%

125%95%

104%

119%

99%

109%

73%

Reservoir Level Percents of Average – 2/27/2011

Flaming Gorge

Lake GranbyGreen Mt.

Lake Dillon

Blue Mesa

McPhee

NavajoLake Powell

98%

112%94%

94%

98%

108%

109%

96%

Reservoir Level Percents of Last Year – 2/27/2011

Reservoir Level Changes Month-to-Date – 2/27/2011

Temperature Departure from Normal02/01/2011 – 02/28/2011

Soil Moisture Change from Feb 20th, 2011

20 February 2011 27 February 2011

5 Day QPF 1-6 March 2011

Proposed D2 expansion based on 6-month SPI and WY % of averages

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