MAP-21/FAST ACT PERFORMANCE MEASURES AND TARGETS

SAFETY 2019 TARGETS Transportation Technical Advisory Committee

January 9, 2019

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Background

• The Moving Ahead for Progress in the 21st Century (MAP-21) surface transportation legislation established a performance-and outcome-based program.

• As part of this program, MAP-21 (and the FAST Act) require that States and Metropolitan Planning Organizations (MPOs) prepare and use a set of federally-established performance measures.

• States and MPOs must also set targets and monitor progress for each of these performance measures.

• HRTPO staff will work in cooperation with the TTAC to produce these targets, and the TTAC formed a performance measures working group at the September 2017 meeting.

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MPO Measures

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Area Measures MPO Target Deadline

Pavement Condition % Interstate System pavement in good condition 11/14/18 (HRTPO Board Approval 10/18/18)

% Interstate System pavement in poor condition

% Non-Interstate System NHS pavement in good condition

% Non-Interstate System NHS pavement in poor condition

Bridge Condition % NHS bridge deck area in good condition Same as above % NHS bridge deck area in poor condition

Roadway Performance

Interstate Travel Time Reliability Same as above Non-Interstate NHS Travel Time Reliability

Freight Truck Travel Time Reliability Index Same as above

CMAQ N/A for Attainment areas N/A

Area Measures MPO Target Deadline

Safety Fatalities 2018 Deadline: 2/27/18 (HRTPO Board Approval 2/15/18) 2019 Deadline: 2/27/19

Fatality Rate

Serious Injuries

Serious Injury Rate

Bike/Pedestrian Fatalities & Serious Injuries

Transit Transit Asset Management 10/1/18 (HRTPO Board Approval 8/29/18)

4-Year Targets

Annual Targets

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MPO Targets

• For target setting, the MPO may:

• Adopt VDOT statewide targets, but report metrics specific to the Metropolitan Planning Area (MPA)

• Select unique, MPO specific targets, and report metrics specific to the MPA

• Use a combination of statewide and unique targets

• There are no “penalties” for MPOs for not meeting their performance targets, although it can be addressed during the quadrennial certification review to ensure adequate performance-based planning.

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2018 HRTPO Safety Targets Measure 2018 HRTPO

Target - % Reduction

2018 HRTPO Target -Number

Basis for 2018 Target

Fatalities -3.6% 102 Vision Zero - Reduce fatalities by an equal

number annually to reach zero by 2045

Fatality Rate (per 100M VMT)

- 0.69 Based on fatality target and 1.5% annual VMT increase

Serious Injuries -5.0% 1,522 Matches statewide target

Serious Injury Rate (per 100M VMT)

- 10.39 Based on injury target and 1.5% annual VMT increase

Bike/Ped Fatalities and Serious Injuries

-4.0% 193 Matches statewide target

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2019 State Targets

• The state revised its method for determining safety targets for 2019:

2018 Statewide Targets 2019 Statewide Targets

Used SHSP targets Accounts for the reality that fatalities are increasing

Based on goal of reducing deaths & serious injuries by 50% by 2030

Accounts for the reality that serious injuries are no longer

decreasing Consistent with FHWA 5-year

rolling average measures Based on an annual trend line

Based on percent reductions Fatalities - 2%

Fatality Rate - 3% Serious Injuries – 5%

Serious Injury Rate – 7% Bike/Ped Fatalities & Serious Injuries – 4%

Did not base targets on percent reduction targets

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2019 State Fatality Target

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• Fatalities

• Fatality Rate

• Serious Injuries

• Serious Injury Rate

• Bike/Pedestrian Fatalities & Serious Injuries

2019 HRTPO Safety Targets

Need to determine regional targets for the 2019 Calendar Year for these five metrics.

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• Troy Eisenberger (CHES) • Mike Hayes (HAM) • Bryan Stilley (NN) • John Stevenson/Rob Brown (NOR) • Carl Jackson (PORT) • LJ Hansen (SUF) • Ric Lowman (VB) • Jamie Jackson/Derrick Snowden (HRT) • Eric Stringfield/Angela Biney (VDOT HR) • Dwight Jenkins (DMV)

Working Group

105

110

115

120

125

130

Fatality 5-YR Averages

Fatalities

FatalityTrendline

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

YEARMPO

FATALITIES

2006 106

2007 127

2008 134

2009 116

2010 102

2011 133

2012 90

2013 122

2014 121

2015 113

2016 115

2017 148

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Fatalities

5-YR ROLLING AVERAGE (Data Trendline)

VISION ZERO (0 fatalities by 2045)

MAINTAIN EXISTING (Equals 2017 Levels)

2019 STATE METHOD (Annual Data Trendline)

121

137

148

154

POSSIBLE 2019 TARGETS

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

YEARMPO

FATALITIES

2006 106

2007 127

2008 134

2009 116

2010 102

2011 133

2012 90

2013 122

2014 121

2015 113

2016 115

2017 148

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Fatalities

5-YR ROLLING AVERAGE (Data Trendline)

VISION ZERO (0 fatalities by 2045)

MAINTAIN EXISTING (Equals 2017 Levels)

2019 STATE METHOD (Annual Data Trendline)

121

137

148

154

POSSIBLE 2019 TARGETS

The working group came to a consensus that HRTPO should use Vision Zero targets.

YEAR

VMT (PER 100

MIL)

2006 138.8

2007 140.3

2008 141.1

2009 140.4

2010 142.6

2011 139.6

2012 138.2

2013 136.8

2014 134.8

2015 148.3

2016 142.2

2017 143.1

2018 145.2

2019 147.4

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Fatality Rate

• Fatality Rate targets (per 100M VMT) should be set by using the fatality target and the anticipated change in regional VMT.

• Statewide targets use a 1.5% increase in VMT

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VISION ZERO (0 fatalities by 2045)

0.93

RECOMMENDED 2019 TARGET

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Serious Injury 5-YR Averages

SeriousInjuries

Serious InjuryTrendline

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

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Serious Injuries

5-YR ROLLING AVERAGE (Data Trendline)

VISION ZERO (0 serious injuries by 2045)

MAINTAIN EXISTING (Equals 2017 Levels)

2019 STATE METHOD (Annual Data Trendline)

1,366

1,522

1,639

1,680

YEARMPO SER. INJURIES

2008 2821

2009 2350

2010 2018

2011 2102

2012 1918

2013 1727

2014 1560

2015 1637

2016 1684

2017 1639

POSSIBLE 2019 TARGETS

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

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Serious Injuries

5-YR ROLLING AVERAGE (Data Trendline)

VISION ZERO (0 serious injuries by 2045)

MAINTAIN EXISTING (Equals 2017 Levels)

2019 STATE METHOD (Annual Data Trendline)

1,366

1,522

1,639

1,680

YEARMPO SER. INJURIES

2008 2821

2009 2350

2010 2018

2011 2102

2012 1918

2013 1727

2014 1560

2015 1637

2016 1684

2017 1639

POSSIBLE 2019 TARGETS

The working group came to a consensus that HRTPO should use Vision Zero targets.

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Serious Injury Rate

YEAR

VMT (PER 100

MIL)

2006 138.8

2007 140.3

2008 141.1

2009 140.4

2010 142.6

2011 139.6

2012 138.2

2013 136.8

2014 134.8

2015 148.3

2016 142.2

2017 143.1

2018 145.2

2019 147.4

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• Serious Injury Rate (per 100M VMT) targets should be set by using the serious injury target and the anticipated change in regional VMT.

• Statewide targets use a 1.5% increase in VMT

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VISION ZERO (0 serious injuries by 2045)

10.32

RECOMMENDED 2019 TARGET

190

195

200

205

210

215

220

225

Bicycle and Pedestrian (Fatality and Serious Injuries) 5-YR Averages

Total KA

Fatality andSerious InjuryTrendline

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

YEARMPO

FAT & SI

2008 238

2009 193

2010 173

2011 238

2012 255

2013 185

2014 218

2015 198

2016 214

2017 209

Bike/Pedestrian F+SI

5-YR ROLLING AVERAGE (Data Trendline)

POSSIBLE 2019 TARGETS

VISION ZERO (0 bike/ped fatalities & serious injuries by 2045)

MAINTAIN EXISTING (Equals 2017 Levels)

2019 STATE METHOD (Annual Data Trendline)

207

194

209

216

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0

50

100

150

200

250

300

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

YEARMPO

FAT & SI

2008 238

2009 193

2010 173

2011 238

2012 255

2013 185

2014 218

2015 198

2016 214

2017 209

Bike/Pedestrian F+SI

5-YR ROLLING AVERAGE (Data Trendline)

POSSIBLE 2019 TARGETS

VISION ZERO (0 bike/ped fatalities & serious injuries by 2045)

MAINTAIN EXISTING (Equals 2017 Levels)

2019 STATE METHOD (Annual Data Trendline)

207

194

209

216

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The working group came to a consensus that HRTPO should use Vision Zero targets.

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WG Recommendations

2019 DRAFT HRTPO Safety Performance Targets

Fatalities 137

Fatality Rate (per 100 Million VMT) 0.93

Serious Injuries 1,522

Serious Injury Rate (per 100 Million VMT)

10.32

Number of Bike/Pedestrian Fatalities and Serious Injuries Combined

194

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System Performance Report

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Website

https://www.hrtpo.org/page/regional-performance-measures-and-targets

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• Recommend TPO Board approval of the following targets:

Recommended Action

2019 DRAFT HRTPO Safety Performance Targets

Fatalities 137

Fatality Rate (per 100 Million VMT) 0.93

Serious Injuries 1,522

Serious Injury Rate (per 100 Million VMT)

10.32

Number of Bike/Pedestrian Fatalities and Serious Injuries Combined

194

MAP-21/FAST ACT PERFORMANCE MEASURES AND TARGETS

SAFETY 2019 TARGETS Transportation Technical Advisory Committee

January 9, 2019