manila standard today feb 21 to 26 survey

8/14/2019 Manila Standard Today Feb 21 to 26 Survey

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LOCATION SAMPLE SIZE MARGIN OF ERROR

Total Philippines 2,500 +/- 2%

NCR 300 +/- 6%

North Luzon 550 +/- 4%South Luzon 540 +/- 4%

Visayas 510 +/- 4%

Mindanao 600 +/- 4%


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FEBRUARY 20-26, 2010NATIONAL SURVEY OF REGISTERED VOTERS

CONFIDENTIAL

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VOTER PREFERENCE FOR PRESIDENT BY MAJOR AREAS - RPNational Pre-Election Surveys (In %)

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VOTER PREFERENCE FOR PRESIDENT BY MAJOR AREAS NORTHLUZONNational Pre-Election Surveys (In %)

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VOTER PREFERENCE FOR PRESIDENT BY MAJOR AREAS SOUTHLUZONNational Pre-Election Surveys (In %)

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VOTER PREFERENCE FOR PRESIDENT BY MAJOR AREAS -VISAYASNational Pre-Election Surveys (In %)

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VOTER PREFERENCE FOR PRESIDENT BY MAJOR AREAS -MINDANAONational Pre-Election Surveys (In %)

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VOTER PREFERENCE FOR PRESIDENT BY LOCALE - URBANNational Pre-Election Surveys (In %)

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VOTER PREFERENCE FOR PRESIDENT BY LOCALE - RURALNational Pre-Election Surveys (In %)

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VOTER PREFERENCE FOR PRESIDENT BY GENDER - MALENational Pre-Election Surveys (In %)

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VOTER PREFERENCE FOR PRESIDENT BY GENDER - FEMALENational Pre-Election Surveys (In %)

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VOTER PREFERENCE FOR PRESIDENT BY ECONOMIC CLASS -ABCNational Pre-Election Surveys (In %)

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VOTER PREFERENCE FOR PRESIDENT BY ECONOMIC CLASS - DNational Pre-Election Surveys (In %)

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VOTER PREFERENCE FOR PRESIDENT BY ECONOMIC CLASS - ENational Pre-Election Surveys (In %)

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VOTER PREFERENCE FOR PRESIDENT BY AGE GROUP 18-24National Pre-Election Surveys (In %)

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VOTER PREFERENCE FOR PRESIDENT BY AGE GROUP 45+National Pre-Election Surveys (In %)

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VOTER PREFERENCE FOR PRESIDENT BY RELIGION - CATHOLICNational Pre-Election Surveys (In %)

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VOTER PREFERENCE FOR PRESIDENT BY RELIGION - INCNational Pre-Election Surveys (In %)

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VOTER PREFERENCE FOR PRESIDENT BY RELIGION - AGLIPAYANNational Pre-Election Surveys (In %)

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CONFIDENTIALVOTER PREFERENCE FOR PRESIDENT BY RELIGION -PROTESTANTNational Pre-Election Surveys (In %)

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VOTER PREFERENCE FOR PRESIDENT BY RELIGION MUSLIMSNational Pre-Election Surveys (In %)

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CONFIDENTIALVOTER PREFERENCE FOR PRESIDENT BY RELIGION BORNAGAINNational Pre-Election Surveys (In %)

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VOTER PREFERENCE FOR PRESIDENT BY RELIGION - OTHERSNational Pre-Election Surveys (In %)

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RPDEC09

RPJAN10

RPFEB10

MAJOR AREAS

NCR NORTHLUZ

SOUTHLUZ

VIS MIN

Benigno Simeon NinoyAquino III

[46%] [36%] [34%]

Will definitely still change 13 19 16 26 20 17 13 8

Possibly still change 34 33 35 34 27 36 34 40

Possibly no longer change 16 12 15 15 15 18 13 12

Will definitely no longer

change

37 36 35 25 38 30 39 39

Manuel Manny Villar Jr. [27%] [34%] [32%]




Will definitely no longerchange

35 37 31 27 37 19 29 39

Joseph Erap Estrada [17%] [13%] [16%]





38 35 36 28 43 21 41 46

Gilbert Gibo Teodoro Jr. [5%] [5%] [6%]





34 42 30 17 57 19 22 2727

VOTE COMMITMENT FOR PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATENational Pre-Election Surveys (In Col%)Base: Total who voted for particular candidate

Regarding your choice for President of the Philippines, in your opinion, from now until 2010, what is the possibility that you willstill change your mind?

TRUST RATINGS OF SPECIFIC PRESIDENTIABLES

CONFIDENTIAL


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TRUST RATINGS OF SPECIFIC PRESIDENTIABLESFebruary 16-20, 2010 National Pre-Election Survey[Base: Intend to Vote ] (In Col%)

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RPFEB10

Major Areas Economic Class

NCR NLUZ SLUZ VIS MIN ABC D E

Benigno Noynoy Aquino, III

Much 65 61 60 67 71 64 58 66 64

Undecided 23 26 24 22 19 25 25 22 25

Little 11 13 15 10 9 10 17 11 10

NET +54 +48 +45 +57 +62 +53 +41 +54 +54

Manuel Manny Villar

Much 65 63 65 59 70 68 61 64 71

Undecided 21 20 19 26 20 20 22 23 16

Little 12 16 13 14 10 10 15 12 12

NET +53 +47 +53 +45 +60 +58 +46 +51 +59

Joseph Erap Estrada

Much 36 38 39 37 21 46 26 36 42

Undecided 31 27 31 32 31 32 29 32 28

Little 31 34 29 29 46 21 44 31 29

NET +5 +4 +10 +9 -25 +25 -18 +5 +13

Gilbert Gibo Teodoro

Much 31 34 37 27 36 24 41 31 29

Undecided 34 32 31 39 31 37 25 36 33

Little 30 33 26 29 30 34 32 29 32

NET +1 +1 +11 -2 +5 -10 +9 +2 -3

Net Trust = Very much+ Much Trust minus Little+ Very Little/No Trust

CONFIDENTIAL


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29What do you primarily like about(name of Presidentiable)?

AMONG AQUINO VOTERS[34%]

Not corrupt/will not be corrupt 20

Comes from a good family 17

Being pro-poor/helps the poor 11

Has untainted reputation 8

Trustworthy 8

A good person 6

God-fearing/Religious 5

To continue the legacy of his parents 4

Smart/capable 3

Approachable 3

Has many accomplishments for the country 2

To try his leadership skills 2

Brave/fights for principles 1Has good platforms 1

Hardworking 1

Provides basic social services 1

Shuns politicking 1

Popular/well-known 1

CONFIDENTIAL


30/41

30What do you primarily dislike about(name of Presidentiable)?

AMONG VOTE

INTENDERS [100%]

Lack of experience/ability 9

Can be dictated upon by others 4

Has few accomplishments for the country 3

Can't stand on his own 3

I don't know him 2

Not yet ready for the presidency 2

Tainted reputation/Involved in anomalies 1

Does not fullfill his promises 1

Not trustworthy 1

Braggart/Arrogant 1

Hacienda Luisita issue 1

Does not like his leadership style 1

His platform is not clear 1

Not pro-poor/Elitist 1

Corrupt 1

Traditional politician 1

None 65

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AMONG VILLAR VOTERS[32%]


Provides assistance to OFWs 13

Trustworthy 6


Used to poverty/being poor 5

Provides housing 4A good person 4

Smart/capable 4


Approachable 3


Hardworking 2


Has good platforms 1Can increase number of jobs/livelihood 1

Brave/fights for principles 1


Comes from the same area/province/region/ethnicity 1

Has/can lower the prices of commodities 1


CONFIDENTIAL


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AMONG VOTE

INTENDERS [100%]


Corrupt 7

Has too much publicity/advertisements 6

I don't know him 2

Does not fullfill his promises 2Not trustworthy 2

Braggart/Arrogant 2

Already rich 1


Businessman 1

A lackey of the current administration 1Lack of experience/ability 1




None 58

CONFIDENTIAL


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AMONG ESTRADA VOTERS[16%]


Has become a president 6



Brought peace to Mindanao 6


A good person 3


Trustworthy 3Smart/capable 3


Approachable 2

Provides disaster assistance 1

Provides housing 1


Can increase number of jobs/livelihood 1

Fights crimes/illegal activities 1Comes from a good family 1


To continue the programs of the past administration 1


Hardworking 1


To clean his name 1

CONFIDENTIAL


34/41


AMONG VOTEINTENDERS [100%]

Corrupt 12

Too old for the presidency 11


An ex-convict 10

Has too many vices 4


Not trustworthy 2

Has a mistress/mistresses 1


Does not fullfill his promises 1

Can't stand on his own 1

He legalized jueteng/gambling 1


Can be dictated upon by others 1




None 36

CONFIDENTIAL


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AMONG GIBO VOTERS [6%]

Smart/capable 35

Being pro-poor/helps the poor 17Not corrupt/will not be corrupt 6


Trustworthy 5



To continue the programs of the past administration 2



Might develop the country 1

Hardworking 1Provides housing 1

Has good platforms 1

A partymate 1

A good person 1

Loyal to parents 1

Shuns politicking 1

Approachable 1


There won't be communists in the country 1

His youth 1Not a trapo 1


Fights crimes/illegal activities 1

Provides disaster assistance 1


Brought peace to Mindanao 1

Can increase number of jobs/livelihood 1


Strict 1

CONFIDENTIAL


36/41


AMONG VOTE INTENDERS[100%]

I don't know him 17

A lackey of the current administration 14


Braggart/Arrogant 3

Can be dictated upon by others 2Corrupt 2

Not trustworthy 2




Anti-Muslim 1

Not pro-poor/Elitist 1I don't like him 1



None 42

CONFIDENTIAL


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VOTER PREFERENCE FOR PRESIDENT: PAST WEEKAWARENESS, FAVORABILITY AND AD EXPOSUREFebruary 20-26, 2010 National Pre-Election Survey (In %)

Base: Intend to Vote%Vote % Awarein pastweek

%MuchTrust

%Saw TV

Ad

% LikedTV Ad[Base:Saw

TV Ad]

% HeardRadio Ads

%ReadNews

paper Ads

% SawPosters/

Billboards

%Personal

visit

AQUINO 34 81 65 79 82 16 11 25 1

VILLAR 32 84 65 81 83 18 12 35 2

ESTRADA 16 71 36 67 61 10 8 17 2

TEODORO 6 60 31 57 63 8 6 19 1

GORDON 3 45 22 41 60 5 4 8 0.3

VILLANUEVA 2 31 16 29 57 3 3 4 0.3

ACOSTA 1 5 10 3 54 1 1 1 0.1

PERLAS 0.5 4 6 2 48 1 1 0.4 0.1

MADRIGAL 0.3 29 15 25 43 3 3 4 0

DELOS REYES 0.2 4 7 2 54 1 1 1 0

CONFIDENTIAL


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VOTER PREFERENCE FOR PRESIDENT: AWARENESS,FAVORABILITY AND AD EXPOSURE VOTE CONVERSION RATES(Total RP)Feb 20-26, 2010 National Pre-Election Survey [Base: Intend to Vote] (In%)

VoteShare

VOTE CONVERSION RATES AMONG THOSE

Aware ofCandidate

WithMuchTrust

WhoWatchedTV ad

WhoLiked

TV ad

WhoHeard

Radio ads

WhoRead

Newspaperads

Who SawPosters/

billboards

Who visitedtheir place

AQUINO 34 36 47 36 41 39 48 43 38

VILLAR 32 33 43 32 37 35 30 36 42

ESTRADA 16 18 39 18 26 21 17 20 30

TEODORO 6 8 17 8 11 11 15 10 11

GORDON 3 4 9 4 7 12 7 0

VILLANUEVA 2 5 12 5 11 8 8 14

ACOSTA 1 2 3 2 0 0 4 0

PERLAS 0.5 4 1 2 0 0 9 0

MADRIGAL 0.3 0.3 1 0.3 1 0 0 0

DELOS REYES 0.2 1 4 2 0 0 0 0

CAMPAIGN SLOGANS OF PRESIDENTIALCONFIDENTIAL


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CAMPAIGN SLOGANS OF PRESIDENTIALCANDIDATESFebruary 20-26, 2010 National Pre-Election Survey (InCol%)Base: Intend to Vote

39

I will show you various campaign slogans of candidates running for President of the Philippines in the coming May 2010 elections.

Please tell me if you

RPJAN10

MAJOR AREAS

NCR NORTH LUZ SOUTHLUZ

VIS MIN

Sipag at Tiyaga

Like 83 82 82 86 82 83

Undecided 11 8 11 8 13 12

Dislike 6 10 7 5 5 5

NET +77 +72 +76 +81 +77 +77

Kung Walang Corrupt, Walang Mahirap

Like 77 75 74 79 74 80

Undecided 15 13 16 11 19 14

Dislike 9 12 10 10 7 6

NET +68 +62 +63 +69 +67 +74

Para sa Mabilis na Pag-ahon Kailangan ng Galing at Talino

Like 70 67 73 68 71 71Undecided 20 17 16 22 21 21

Dislike 10 16 11 10 7 8

NET +61 +51 +62 +59 +64 +63

NET= Like very much/Somewhat like minus Somewhat dislike/Very much dislike

CONFIDENTIAL


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CAMPAIGN SLOGANS OF PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATESFebruary 20-26, 2010 National Pre-Election Survey (In Col%)Base: Intend to Vote

40

I will show you various campaign slogans of candidates running for President of the Philippines in the coming May 2010 elections.

Please tell me if you

RPFEB10

MAJOR AREAS

NCR NORTH LUZ SOUTHLUZ

VIS MIN

Pagbabagong Kailangan sa ating Bagumbayan / Stand for Change

Like 60 57 63 59 59 60

Undecided 27 24 23 28 29 27

Dislike 14 19 14 13 12 13NET +46 +38 +49 +45 +46 +47

Bagong Pilipinas, Bagong Pilipino

Like 56 43 58 50 58 63

Undecided 26 30 20 30 28 25

Dislike 18 27 22 20 14 13

NET +37 +16 +36 +30 +45 +50

Kung May ERAP, May Ginhawa!

Like 52 54 54 52 36 63Undecided 25 20 23 27 32 22

Dislike 23 26 23 21 32 15

NET +29 +28 +31 +30 +4 +48

NET= Like very much/Somewhat like minus Somewhat dislike/Very much dislike

CONFIDENTIAL


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SECOND CHOICE FOR PRESIDENTFebruary 20-26, 2010 National Pre-Election Survey (In Col%)Base: Intend to Vote

If ld till h i d h t t f P id t f th Phili i i th i M 2010 l ti

SECONDCHOICE IS... AMONG THOSE WHOSE FIRST CHOICE FOR PRESIDENT IS

AQUINO VILLAR ESTRADA

TEO-DORO

GOR-DON

VILLA-NUEVA

ACOS-TA

PER-LAS MAD-RIGAL

DELOSREYES

UNDE-CIDED

AQUINO 22 34 25 23 25 29 18 16 0 0 5

VILLAR 34 26 25 31 17 19 6 33 25 33 10

ESTRADA 10 10 17 5 5 9 23 0 0 33 9

TEODORO 8 9 7 15 9 7 24 0 37 17 2

GORDON 5 3 1 7 11 5 6 17 0 0 1

VILLANUEVA 2 2 2 0 2 13 0 0 0 0 0

ACOSTA 0.5 0.1 0 0 0 2 6 9 0 0 0

PERLAS 0 0.1 0.2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

MADRIGAL 2 1 1 1 2 2 0 0 13 0 0

DELOS REYES 0.4 0.2 0 0 2 3 0 8 0 17 1

UNDECIDED 16 16 20 18 28 12 17 17 25 0 73

manila standard today feb 21 to 26 survey

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