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  • 7/23/2019 Managing Exposures BG n

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    T.Tzanov, Ph.D, UNWE

    .. - ,

  • 7/23/2019 Managing Exposures BG n

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    T.Tzanov, Ph.D, UNWE

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    T.Tzanov, Ph.D, UNWE

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    , , ..

    , .. (Madura, J.;

    Shapiro, A.).

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    T.Tzanov, Ph.D, UNWE

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    T.Tzanov, Ph.D, UNWE

    vs. : /

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    : Fiat 421 55 , - () .

    , (. ) ().

    : Eastman Kodak Co.

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  • 7/23/2019 Managing Exposures BG n

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    .

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    (. International Monetary MarketCME).

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    (

    ).

    http://www.cmegroup.com/-

    /

    .

    (2)

    http://www.cmegroup.com/http://www.cmegroup.com/
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    Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME)

    -

    .

    .

    : London Financial FuturesExchange (LIFFE), New York Mercantile Exchange

    (NYMEX), Philadelphia Stock Exchange (PHLX),

    Singapore International Monetary Exchange

    (SIMEX), Hong Kong Futures Exchange (HKFE),Deutsche Termin Borse (DTB),March

    Termes des Instruments Financiers (MATIF) -

    , Tokyo International Financial Futures

    Exchange (TIFFE).

    -

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    ,

    ,

    (- ).

    .

    : DuPont Co.

    $300 $500 .

    .

    (3)

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    10/42 T.Tzanov, Ph.D, UNWE

    ,

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    2 .: ,

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    (4)

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    (5)

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    .

    .

    : (IRP)

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    .

    .

  • 7/23/2019 Managing Exposures BG n

    13/42 T.Tzanov, Ph.D, UNWE

    call () put

    .

    ,

    1983 Philadelphia Stock Exchange (PHLX).

    ,

    ,

    . ,

    .

    call .

    put .

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    XYZ Inc., ..$,

    100000,

    90 .

    XYZ $1.60

    1. $0.04

    ( 100 000, $4 000).

    :

    (1) 1 $1.58.(2) 1 $1.64.

    (3) 1 $1.66.

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    () ()

    (). ().

    . .

    . .

    . .

    ()

    call (). put ().

  • 7/23/2019 Managing Exposures BG n

    16/42 T.Tzanov, Ph.D, UNWE

    .

    : .

    .

    -

  • 7/23/2019 Managing Exposures BG n

    17/42 T.Tzanov, Ph.D, UNWE

    ,

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    /

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    .

    -

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    , Real cost of

    hedging payables (RCHp)=

    ,

    Real cost of

    hedging receivables (RCHr)=

    + (

    )

    ()

    - RCH

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    ,

    .

    .

    ,

    RCH.

    RCH

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    (hedging policy) :

    ,

    , .

    (

    ) %- .

    ,

    .

    .

  • 7/23/2019 Managing Exposures BG n

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    ,

    (overhedging).

    ,

    /.

    .

  • 7/23/2019 Managing Exposures BG n

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    LT :

    .

    , -

    , OTE,

    .

    , - ,

    .

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    ,

    /

    , LT .

    LT :

    ;

    swap-;

    .

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    ,

    , 10

    .

    . ,

    ,

    () () ().

    .

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    T.Tzanov, Ph.D, UNWE

    (parall el loan), back-to-back , ,

    .

    ( ) ,

    .

    ..

    ( ).

  • 7/23/2019 Managing Exposures BG n

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    T.Tzanov, Ph.D, UNWE

    (

    ),

    .

    :

    (leading and

    lagging) ;

    - (cross-hedging);

    (currencydiversification).

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    T.Tzanov, Ph.D, UNWE

    leading and lagging

    ,

    . leading,

    - lagging.

    .

    : GE.

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    T.Tzanov, Ph.D, UNWE

    ,

    ,

    .

    , $ BGN, $ . -

    , -

    - cross-hedging.

    ,

    ,

    .

    :Coca-Cola Co., PepsiCo, Altria.

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    T.Tzanov, Ph.D, UNWE

    ( /

    , )

    (CF) .

    (

    ). (

    ) .

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    T.Tzanov, Ph.D, UNWE

    -

    CF ( , .).

    ,

    (intra-)

    (inter-).

    :

    .

    , .

    CF .

    .

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    T.Tzanov, Ph.D, UNWE

    -

    ()

    (),

    -

    . (

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    T.Tzanov, Ph.D, UNWE

    :/

    ;

    /

    ;

    / ;

    () (). LT

    .

    (ST) CF

    () .

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    T.Tzanov, Ph.D, UNWE

    - ( ) :

    - /

    / ;

    ; ,

    (, );

    ()

    .

    (

    LT ).

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    T.Tzanov, Ph.D, UNWE

    -

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    T.Tzanov, Ph.D, UNWE

    /

    ( ).

    CF!

    .

    ,

    . V .

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    ,

    (

    ).

    ( ).

    21.

    .

    0.

    .

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    ?

    (, ) .

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    (, ), ,. .

    : /

    . .. .

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    T.Tzanov, Ph.D, UNWE

    : ,

    (BGN)

    .

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    ( ). 31

    .

    (, )

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    T.Tzanov, Ph.D, UNWE

    : .

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    T.Tzanov, Ph.D, UNWE

    n

    t

    t

    n

    j

    tjtj

    r1=

    1

    ,,

    1

    ERECFE

    =Value

    E (CFj,t ) = j, tE (ERj,t ) = , j

    t

    r = WACC

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    !