malaysia & asia pacific
TRANSCRIPT
MALAYSIA & ASIA PACIFIC : “M&A” HUB FOR THE FUTURE30 July 2008 | Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
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About Mergers and Acquisitions
• M&A is only a part of the larger context of strategic management
• M&A is a tool that, when used properly, can obtain higher returns for your company
• Like any tool it must be used correctly to achieve the desired results
"M&A is one of the most important means by which companies respond to changing conditions "
- Robert Bruner
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Course Objective
The objective of this course is to provide you with a working framework for understanding and using mergers, acquisitions, and strategic alternatives as tools for your firm.
This new knowledge will help you:
• Solve strategic problems
• Conceive of new possibilities
• Avoid ‘bad deals’ and non-objective advice
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Presentation Format
If you have a question or comment during the presentation, please raise your hand.
Questions are encouraged!
There will be a competitive quiz game at the end of each section to test your knowledge
Glossary located at the back of your participant guides
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Day One Summary
Today we will cover:
• Historic, Present and Future M&A Drivers
• Types of Transactions
• Synergies
• Competitive Analysis
• Defenses to hostile takeovers
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Day Two Summary
On Day Two we will cover:
• Valuation
• Deal Design
• Financing Methods
• Integration Concepts
OVERVIEW OF PAST, CURRENT & FUTURE TRENDS
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Forces Driving M&A
Historically
• Low cost of debt capital
• Deregulation
• Need for critical mass
• Over capacity
• Privatization
• Technological change
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Forces Driving M&A
Presently
• America’s Sub-prime Mortgage Crisis
• Energy Prices
• Inflation
• Commodity Prices
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Recent Trends
Source: Second Quarter 2008 Mergers & Acquisitions Review. Thompson Reuters.http://www.thomsonreuters.com/content/PDF/financial/league_tables/ma/2008/2Q08_global_ma_advisory.pdf
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Recent Trends
Source: Second Quarter 2008 Mergers & Acquisitions Review. Thompson Reuters.http://www.thomsonreuters.com/content/PDF/financial/league_tables/ma/2008/2Q08_global_ma_advisory.pdf
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Recent Trends
Source: Second Quarter 2008 Mergers & Acquisitions Review. Thompson Reuters.http://www.thomsonreuters.com/content/PDF/financial/league_tables/ma/2008/2Q08_global_ma_advisory.pdf
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Recent Trends
Source: Second Quarter 2008 Mergers & Acquisitions Review. Thompson Reuters.http://www.thomsonreuters.com/content/PDF/financial/league_tables/ma/2008/2Q08_global_ma_advisory.pdf
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Recent Trends
Source: Second Quarter 2008 Mergers & Acquisitions Review. Thompson Reuters.http://www.thomsonreuters.com/content/PDF/financial/league_tables/ma/2008/2Q08_global_ma_advisory.pdf
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Recent Trends
Source: Second Quarter 2008 Mergers & Acquisitions Review. Thompson Reuters.http://www.thomsonreuters.com/content/PDF/financial/league_tables/ma/2008/2Q08_global_ma_advisory.pdf
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Recent Trends
Source: Second Quarter 2008 Mergers & Acquisitions Review. Thompson Reuters.http://www.thomsonreuters.com/content/PDF/financial/league_tables/ma/2008/2Q08_global_ma_advisory.pdf
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Future of M&A In Southeast Asia
In line with the U.S.-led global slowdown, signs of moderating activity emerged in Asia in late 2007 and early 2008. While growth remains high, led by China and India, and domestic demand is still buoyant, key activity indicators suggest that momentum in the region is easing. Both export and import growth have picked up in recent months, although this development partly reflects price effects. Given the still-robust pace of activity, inflation pressures have risen as food and commodity price increases have begun to generate some second-round effects; producer price pressures have risen as well. Current account surpluses and reserve accumulation continue to be prominent in the region as exchange rate appreciation, particularly as measured on an effective basis, remains modest.
International Monetary Fund. Regional Economic Outlook. 11-April-2008.http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/reo/2008/APD/ENG/areo0408.pdf
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Future of M&A In Southeast Asia
… It’s complicated!
Economic outlook relative to the rest of the world is positive, but…
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Future of M&A In Southeast Asia
Very Notable Risks:
• Inflation
• Decline of trading partners (US recession)
• Increased relative value of MYR
• Tighter credit markets (difficult to borrow money)
• It is unlikely that Asia Pacific will ‘delink’ from other world economies and be unaffected
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Future of M&A In Southeast Asia
New Opportunities as Well:
• Growing trade in ‘non traditional markets’ such as Latin America, Eastern Europe, Middle East
• Obtain investment from abroad – M&A!
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Future of M&A In Southeast Asia
M&A is one of several tools that will help Malaysian companies perform in this uncertain market
Every risk is also an opportunity
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Impact of Foreign Direct Investment
• Unexpected entry of new buyers
• Increases purchase prices
• Changes market assumptions
• Foreign acquirers motivated differently
• Growth by market expansion
• Extension of technology and brands
• Acquisition of special resources
• Tax and currency arbitrage
• Demonstrates fundamental assumptions about local market
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Impact of Foreign Direct Investment
Drivers of Cross Border M&A
•Exploit market imperfections
• Cheap labor and raw materials, trade liberalization, country's integration into capital markets
• Extend the reach of the buyer's or target's intangible assets
• Reduce tax through jurisdiction arbitrage
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Impact of Foreign Direct Investment
Drivers of Cross Border M&A
• Reduce risk through diversification
• Exploit the differences in capital market and currency conditions
• Improve governance
• Combined valuation in home market rises when buyer is coming from a more regulated capital market country
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Impact of Foreign Direct Investment
Sovereign Wealth Funds
What are Sovereign Wealth Funds?
• State-owned investment fund
• Often funded by central banks, who accumulate the funds in the course of their fiscal management of a nation's banking system (foreign currency reserves, currency stabilization, etc)
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Impact of Foreign Direct Investment
Sovereign Wealth Funds
Why are they important?
• Significant recent growth due to high oil prices
• Notable investments globally
• Entry can change market assumptions
• Many may questions motivations
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Impact of Foreign Direct Investment
Sovereign Wealth Funds
Fund Country Established Source AUM($Billion USD)
Abu Dhabi Investment Authority
UAE 1976 Oil $875
Government Pension Fund of Norway
Norway 1990 Oil $391
Government of Singapore Investment Corp1
Singapore 1981 Non Commodity
$330
Kuwait Investment Authority
Kuwait 1953 Oil $264
China Investment Corporation
China 2007 NonCommodity
$200
1 Does not include Singapore’s Temasek Holdings , Established 1974, AUM $159 Billion
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Why Malaysia is a Good Place for M&A
•Friendly government policies
• Relatively Stable Government
• Allow 100% foreign ownership of Malaysian company
• Tax incentives
• Intellectual property protection
• Workforce
• Multilingual, English speaking
• Strong productivity
• Sufficient infrastructure
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Key Players in M&A
Now that we understand the general environment, we should understand the key players in a M&A transaction and their diverse motivations.
Successful navigation of these players is key for the long term success of any transaction.
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Key Players in M&A
Acquirer Target
• Board of Directors• Management• Employees
• Equity Investors• Debt Investors
• Banks
• Investment Bankers• Accountants• Attorneys
• Board of Directors• Management• Employees
• Equity Investors• Debt Investors
• Banks
• Investment Bankers• Accountants• Attorneys
ALL WITH THEIR OWN MOTIVATIONS!
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Key Players in M&A
Others
• Other Potential Buyers• Competitors
• Free riders• Arbitrageurs
• Analysts• Media
ALL WITH THEIR OWN MOTIVATIONS!
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‘Winners’ and ‘Losers’ in a Transaction
How do we define success?
• Creation of market value?
• Gained financial stability?
• Improved strategic position?
• Gained organizational strength?
• Enhanced brand?
• Improved processes?
Decide your goal at thebeginning of the process!
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‘Winners’ and ‘Losers’ in a Transaction
How do we define success?
Did it meet the goals and benchmarks you set at the beginning of the process?
YES NOor
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Quiz Game
What are some of the key drivers in M&A?
How do you decide on your definition of success?
Who are the key players in a transaction?
You are competing against a foreign firm to acquire a Malaysian company. How does this
affect your deal strategy?
FORMS OF MERGERS & ACQUISITIONS
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Buy Side vs. Sell Side (in Acquisitions)
Defined
• Acquirer
• Not always the successor firm
Motivations
• Obtain maximum value for their shareholders
Defined
• Side of the transaction being purchased
Motivations
• Obtain maximum value for their shareholders
Buy Side Sell Side
In complex deals identities may grow fuzzy, but motivations remain the same.
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Transaction Decision Framework
Business Strategy
Diversity or Expand
Organic
Internal Investment (“make”)
Inorganic
Merger or Acquisition
Minority Investment
Outbound Joint Venture
Strategic Alliance
Contractual Relationship
Restructure, Redeploy Assets, or
Exit
Partial
Inbound Joint Venture
Sale of Minority Interest
Spin Off
Carve Out
Split Off
Tracking Stock
Total
Divest
LBO / Go Private
Third Party Sale
Liquidate
Financial Restructuring
Abstracted from:= Bruner, Robert. Applied Mergers and Acquisitions. Exhibit 6.10. Wiley & Sons 2004.
Buy Side
Sell Side
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Buy Side – Diversify or Expand
Internal Investment (“make”)
What is an Internal Investment?
• Investment by the firm in itself in a new or existing business unit for the purpose of increasing organic growth
• Not a necessarily a form of M&A
• Should be considered a strategic option
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Buy Side – Diversify or Expand
Internal Investment (“make”)
Strengths
• Full control of outcome
• Cost effective
• Fewer integration issues
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Buy Side – Diversify or Expand
Internal Investment (“make”)
Weaknesses
• Much slower
• Results not guaranteed
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Buy Side – Diversify or Expand
Internal Investment (“make”)
When to use Internal Investments:
• Your firm has the capacity to develop the technology internally
• Your firm has the time to grow organically
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Buy Side – Diversify or Expand
Once your decide on an inorganic (M&A) growth path, you need to determine:
• How much return you will require (relationship benefits)
• How much control you need
• How well you need to manage risk
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Inorganic Growth Opportunity Decision Tree (Buy Side)
Need to Manage Risks
Need for Control
Relationship Benefits
-
Higher
Higher
Higher
Merger or Acquisition
Lower
Acquisition or Joint Venture
Lower
HigherAcquisition or Joint Venture
LowerJoint Venture or Minority Investment
Lower
Higher
Higher Minority Investment
LowerMinority Investment, Alliance, or Complex
Contractual Agreement
LowerHigher Alliance or Complex Contractual
Agreement
Lower Simple Contractual Agreement
Abstract from: Bruner, Robert. Applied Mergers and Acquisitions. Exhibit 6.20. Wiley & Sons 2004.
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Buy Side – Diversify or Expand
Horizontal Merger
What is a horizontal merger?
• Combination of peer firms at the same level of the production process in an industry
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Buy Side – Diversify or Expand
Before Horizontal Merger After Horizontal Merger
Consumers
Fuel Station Fuel Station
Oil Refiner Oil Refiner
Oil Producer Oil Producer
Consumers
Fuel Station Fuel Station
Oil Refiner
Oil Producer Oil Producer
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Buy Side – Diversify or Expand
Horizontal Merger
Strengths
• Improves margins by either:
• Improving economies of scale
• Increasing market power
• Allows for more optimal use of capacity
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Buy Side – Diversify or Expand
Horizontal Merger
Weaknesses
• Antitrust considerations
•Economies of scale may not be helpful long term
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Buy Side – Diversify or Expand
Vertical Merger
What is a vertical merger?
• Entails combining firms vertically along the value chain
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Buy Side – Diversify or Expand
Before Vertical Merger After Vertical Merger
Consumers
Fuel Station Fuel Station
Oil Refiner Oil Refiner
Oil Producer Oil Producer
Consumers
Fuel Station Fuel Station
Oil Refiner
Oil ProducerOil Producer
Oil Refiner
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Buy Side – Diversify or Expand
Vertical Merger
Strengths
• Cuts out intermediaries, reduces overhead expense and redundant assets
• Improved coordination from production to sale
•Divergent interests reconciled
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Vertical Merger
Weaknesses
• Can lead to long term supply chain inefficiency from complacency
• Restricts flexibility of the company
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Buy Side – Diversify or Expand
Vertical Merger
When to use Vertical Mergers:
• Supply prices increasing more than production cost
• Too many middlemen
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Buy Side – Diversify or Expand
Conglomerate Merger
What is a Conglomerate Merger?
• Holding company with a portfolio of diverse unrelated businesses
•Can be:
• Financial Conglomerate
• Managerial Conglomerate
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Buy Side – Diversify or Expand
Conglomerate
Parent Company
Subsidiary A (Telecom Service)
Subsidiary B (Computer Hardware)
Subsidiary C (Car Parts)
Contains Common Management Functions (Accounting, Marketing,
etc)
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Buy Side – Diversify or Expand
Conglomerate Merger
What is a Financial Conglomerate?
• Provides flow of funds to each segment of their operations
• Undertake strategic planning, but do not participate in management of operating entities
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Buy Side – Diversify or Expand
Conglomerate Merger
What is a Managerial Conglomerate?
• Provides management staff, common corporate functions, and oversight of operating entities
• Provides flow of funds to each segment of their operations
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Buy Side – Diversify or Expand
Conglomerate Merger
Strengths
• Reduced Default Risk and hence lower cost of debt
• Avoids “gambler’s ruin”
• Benefit to establishing programs of financial planning oversight
• Distinction between performance of management and underlying assets
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Buy Side – Diversify or Expand
Conglomerate Merger
Weaknesses
• Subject to “conglomerate discount” by market
• Inability to manage all businesses equally well
• Investors can (sometimes) do better themselves
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Buy Side – Diversify or Expand
Outbound Joint Venture
What is an Outbound Joint Venture?
• Separate entity formed by the partnership of two companies
• Generally used to develop a new technology or process, which would help both companies
• Outbound = You have majority control
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Buy Side – Diversify or Expand
Outbound Joint Venture
When to use an Outbound Joint Venture?
• A new technology is too expensive for only one company to develop
• There are more possible users of a technology in different industries
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Buy Side – Diversify or Expand
Minority Investment
What is a Minority Investment?
• You acquire a less than major equity position in another company
• Used to signify strong commitment as you have an interest in their economic success
• “Cross Shareholding Agreement”
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Buy Side – Diversify or Expand
Minority Investment
When to use a Minority Investment:
• You have a strategic interest in another company
• Failure of the other company would mean hardship for yours
• You are trying to gain control in the long term
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Buy Side – Diversify or Expand
Contractual Relationships
• Licensing Agreements
• Co-Marketing Agreements
• Co-Development Agreements
• Joint Purchasing Agreements
• Franchising
• Long Term Supply Agreements
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Buy Side – Diversify or Expand
Contractual Relationships
Strengths of Contractual Relationships
• Inexpensive
• Usually have a conditional exit clause
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Buy Side – Diversify or Expand
Contractual Relationships
Weaknesses of Contractual Relationships
• No equity involved
• Relying upon the soundness of another company that you do not control
• Limited economic upside
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Sell Side – Restructure, Redeploy, or Exit
Now to Sell Side… The other side of the transaction…
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Transaction Decision Framework
Business Strategy
Diversity or Expand
Organic
Internal Investment (“make”)
Inorganic
Merger or Acquisition
Minority Investment
Outbound Joint Venture
Strategic Alliance
Contractual Relationship
Restructure, Redeploy Assets, or
Exit
Partial
Inbound Joint Venture
Sale of Minority Interest
Spin Off
Carve Out
Split Off
Tracking Stock
Total
Divest
LBO / Go Private
Third Party Sale
Liquidate
Financial Restructuring
Abstracted from: Bruner, Robert. Applied Mergers and Acquisitions. Exhibit 6.10. Wiley & Sons 2004.
Buy Side
Sell Side
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Sell Side – Restructure, Redeploy, or Exit
Sale of Assets
What is a Sale of Assets?
• Sale of tangible or intangible assets in exchange for value
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Sell Side – Restructure, Redeploy, or Exit
Sale of Assets
Strengths
• Immediate economic benefit
• Straightforward
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Sell Side – Restructure, Redeploy, or Exit
Sale of Assets
Weaknesses
• No longer have use of asset
• Selling company is responsible for capital gains
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Sell Side – Restructure, Redeploy, or Exit
Sale of Assets
When to use a Sale of Assets?
• Asset no longer provides value for your company
• You need to raise capital
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Sell Side – Restructure, Redeploy, or Exit
Sale of Minority Interest
What is a Sale of Minority Interest?
• Sale of a less than majority stake in the parent company to a third party
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Sell Side – Restructure, Redeploy, or Exit
Sale of Minority Interest
Public Shareholders
Parent Company
Subsidiary A Subsidiary B
New Owners
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Sell Side – Restructure, Redeploy, or Exit
Sale of Minority Interest
Strengths
• Other company has a financial interest in your success
• Demonstrated commitment to your company
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Sell Side – Restructure, Redeploy, or Exit
Sale of Minority Interest
Weaknesses
• May dilute value for existing shareholders
• May lose some control over operations in the long term
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Sell Side – Restructure, Redeploy, or Exit
Sale of Minority Interest
When to use a Sale of Minority Interest:
• When you can gain a strong, long term, strategic benefactor
• Need to raise capital
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Sell Side – Restructure, Redeploy, or Exit
Carve Out
What is a Carve Out?
• Organize a business unit as a separate entity and sell a majority of the shares in the new entity
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Sell Side – Restructure, Redeploy, or Exit
Carve Out via IPO
Public Shareholders
Subsidiary BSubsidiary A
Parent Company
New Public Shareholders
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Sell Side – Restructure, Redeploy, or Exit
Carve Out
Strengths
• Generates cash for the parent company
• Monetizes (values) the parent’s interest in the subsidiary
• Greater transparency for investors to value the subsidiary
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Sell Side – Restructure, Redeploy, or Exit
Carve Out
Weaknesses
• Parent company no longer has control of the carved out business unit
• Inefficiency created duplication of some management functions
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Sell Side – Restructure, Redeploy, or Exit
Carve Out
When to use a Carve Out:
• Activities of the business unit no longer meet the strategic goals of your company
• Market overvalues the subsidiary
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Sell Side – Restructure, Redeploy, or Exit
Spin Off
What is a Spin Off?
• Organize a business unit as a separate entity and sell a minority of the shares in the new entity
• Parent company retains a majority interest
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Sell Side – Restructure, Redeploy, or Exit
Spin Off via IPO
Public Shareholders
Subsidiary A
( <50% Shares of Sub B)
Parent Company
Subsidiary B
( >50% Control)
New Investors
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Sell Side – Restructure, Redeploy, or Exit
Spin Off via Dividend
Public Shareholders
Subsidiary A
( <50% Shares of Sub B)
Parent Company
Subsidiary B
( >50% Control)
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Sell Side – Restructure, Redeploy, or Exit
Spin Off
Strengths
• Creates greater transparency for investors to value the subsidiary
• Parent retains control
• Parent is able to later sell part or all of its ownership interest in the new entity for a (greater) gain
• Generally non-taxable event if transaction done via dividend
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Sell Side – Restructure, Redeploy, or Exit
Spin Off
Weaknesses
• Parent no longer fully participates in financial success of subsidiary
• Some inefficiency created by duplication of some management
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Sell Side – Restructure, Redeploy, or Exit
Split Off / Exchange
What is a Split Off or Exchange?
• Portion of the parent company’s shares are exchanged for shares of the subsidiary
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Sell Side – Restructure, Redeploy, or Exit
Split Off via Exchange of Parent Shares
X% Public Shareholders
Subsidiary BSubsidiary A
Parent Company
(1-X%) Public Shareholders
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Sell Side – Restructure, Redeploy, or Exit
Split Off / Exchange
Strengths
• New entity owned largely by the same shareholders
• Parent able to reclaim some of their shares for treasury
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Sell Side – Restructure, Redeploy, or Exit
Split Off / Exchange
Weaknesses
• Anticipate other activities of the parent company will outperform those of the subsidiary in the long term (the subsidiary would be dilutive to earnings)
• No immediate economic gain
• Complex tax rules
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Sell Side – Restructure, Redeploy, or Exit
Split Off / Exchange
When to use a Split Off or Exchange
• Subsidiary dilutive to earnings of the parent company
• Subsidiary no longer fits the strategic direction of the company
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Sell Side – Restructure, Redeploy, or Exit
Tracking Stock
What is a Tracking Stock?
• Creation of a special equity claim on subsidiary
• Dividend of Tracking Stock tied directly to net income of subsidiary
• No transfer of actual ownership
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Sell Side – Restructure, Redeploy, or Exit
Tracking Stock via IPO
Public Shareholders
Parent Company
Subsidiary A
New Public TS Shareholders
Subsidiary B
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Sell Side – Restructure, Redeploy, or Exit
Tracking Stock
Strengths
• Monetizes subsidiary without actually selling ownership
• Provides investors additional transparency
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Sell Side – Restructure, Redeploy, or Exit
Tracking Stock
Weaknesses
• Intercompany transactions become complicated (such as lending)
• Tracking stock dividend decreases value for parent company
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Sell Side – Restructure, Redeploy, or Exit
Tracking Stock
When to use a Tracking Stock?
• When your company experiences a conglomerate discount from significantly diverse operations
• When your company has a successful division that is not fully reflected in the share price of your company
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Sell Side – Restructure, Redeploy, or Exit
Financial Recapitalization
What is a Financial Recapitalization?
• Changes the firm’s capital structure by optimizing the debt to equity mix
• May be used as an alternative or defensive measure to being acquired
•Can be:
• Leveraged Restructuring
• ESOP Restructuring
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Sell Side – Restructure, Redeploy, or Exit
Financial Recapitalization – Leveraged Restructuring
What is a Leveraged Restructuring?
• Company borrows money to repurchase equity or pay extraordinary dividend
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Sell Side – Restructure, Redeploy, or Exit
Financial Recapitalization – Leveraged Restructuring
Strengths
• Rewards shareholders
• Retains company equity that can later be resold at (possibly) a higher price
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Sell Side – Restructure, Redeploy, or Exit
Financial Recapitalization – Leveraged Restructuring
Weaknesses
• Company takes on additional debt
• Can be expensive
• Limited tangible benefit for company
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Sell Side – Restructure, Redeploy, or Exit
Financial Recapitalization – Leveraged Restructuring
When to use Leveraged Restructuring?
• Company is undervalued by market
• Interest rates are low
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Sell Side – Restructure, Redeploy, or Exit
Financial Recapitalization – ESOP Restructuring
What is an ESOP Restructuring?
• ESOP = Employee Stock Ownership Program
• ESOP purchases additional shares of company stock
• May be either repurchased by the company to sell to ESOP or issued from treasury
• ESOP may take on debt to acquire shares, either from outside source of lent by company
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Sell Side – Restructure, Redeploy, or Exit
Financial Recapitalization – ESOP Restructuring
Strengths
• Can be beneficial to have ESOP as significant shareholder
• Reduces common shares available for purchase
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Sell Side – Restructure, Redeploy, or Exit
Financial Recapitalization – ESOP Restructuring
Weaknesses
• Can be expensive
• Dilutes existing shareholders if shares issued from treasury
• Can be problematic if firm is to be purchased
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Sell Side – Restructure, Redeploy, or Exit
Financial Recapitalization – ESOP Restructuring
When to use ESOP Restructuring
• Want to ensure friendly shareholder with significant stake in company (defensive move)
• Create employee or management incentive for greater corporate performance
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Quiz Game
If you are trying to reduce the impact of raw materials cost inflation on your company, what form of M&A makes the most sense?
What types of transactions would allow you to significantly reduce your R&D expense for a new technology?
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Quiz Game
What M&A options should you consider if you have a factory that is only 30% utilized?
What types of transactions make sense if you have a business unit that no longer fits with the strategic direction of your firm?
What types of transactions allow you to raise money specifically for the further development of one of your business units?
~ BREAK
PORTFOLIO APPROACH TO M&A
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Overview of Portfolio Theory
Goal of Conglomerate Portfolio Theory:
To create a portfolio of SBUs that is well-balanced in terms of cash inflow and outflow, and growth prospects
Cost-effective organizations structure to buy and divest off business units, which is often where competitive advantage is created.
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Considering Risk
Alpha Risk α
What is Alpha Risk α ?
• Diversifiable, Unsystematic risk (ex: changes due to weather, strike, fire).
• Mediate by developing a portfolio of businesses (ex: skis and bicycles)
• Unrelated M&A reduces alpha
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Considering Risk
Beta Risk β
What is Beta Risk β ?
• Non-diversifiable, systematic risk (shareholder risk)
• Variance in returns associated with changes in market/economy conditions
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Is Diversification Desirable
• Increases Size
• Reduced Alpha
• Buy Undervalued Stock
• Use Available Free Cash Flow
• Cash flows of unrelated businesses are not correlated
• Lowers risk of bankruptcy and allows more debt
• Implementation Problems: Financial controls, bureaucracy
• No Relationship-Size returns
• Managers interests of stockholders interests
• Conglomerate Discounts
• Can be hostile takeover targets
• Only Related mergers lower costs
• Only Related mergers reduce their beta risk
Yes No
Conclusion: Only if acquirer manages organizational risk AND exploits a core competence!
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Growth Share Matrix (BCG Matrix)
Purpose: Identify relative positions of firms in an industry or divisions within a firm.
Relative Market ShareM
arke
t G
row
th R
ate
Low
HighHigh Low
STARS QUESTION MARKS
CASH COWS DOGS
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Growth Share Matrix (BCG Matrix)
Relative Market ShareM
arke
t G
row
th R
ate
Low
HighHigh Low
Circle size indicates size of cash flow
STARS QUESTION MARKS
CASH COWS DOGS
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Growth Share Matrix (BCG Matrix)
“Cash Cows”
• A business unit that has a large market share in a mature, slow growing industry. Cash cows require little investment and generate cash that can be used to invest in other business units.
• High market share, but low growth, and hence low ongoing investments to support the business. Firms in this section are net providers of cash. With multi-business firms, cash cows are typically milked to support the growth of other divisions.
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Growth Share Matrix (BCG Matrix)
“Stars”
• A business unit that has a large market share in a fast growing industry. Stars may generate cash, but because the market is growing rapidly they require investment to maintain their lead. If successful, a star will become a cash cow when its industry matures.
• Firm with high market share and high growth: It generates plenty of cash for its ongoing expansion. And because of its strong market position, the continued investment to grow the business is attractive.
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Growth Share Matrix (BCG Matrix)
“Dogs”
• A business unit that has a small market share in a mature industry. A dog may not require substantial cash, but it ties up capital that could better be deployed elsewhere. Unless a dog has some other strategic purpose, it should be liquidated if there is little prospect for it to gain market share.
• Firm with low growth and low market share. The business has low competitive power in the marketplace and has low prospects for growing the business into a more attractive position. Unless the position is changed, the business will be a sump for cash.
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Growth Share Matrix (BCG Matrix)
“Question Marks”
• A business unit that has a small market share in a high growth market. These business units require resources to grow market share, but whether they will succeed and become stars is unknown.
• High growth rate and low market share - demands high rate of investment to grow the business but does not command the market position that might justify the investment
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Assess your firm’s business units
Relative Market ShareM
arke
t G
row
th R
ate
Low
HighHigh Low
STARS QUESTION MARKS
CASH COWS DOGS
Where does your business unit fit in?
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Growth Share Matrix (BCG Matrix)
• Highlights the kinds of attention various business unit may want/need
• Simple
• Focused on market position, not directly on shareholder value
• Oversimplifies
Strengths Weaknesses
There needs to be a better way, right?
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Industry Attractiveness-Strength Matrix (GE / McKinsey Matrix)
Strong Average Weak
Hig
hM
ed
ium
Low
Ind
ust
ry A
ttra
ctiv
en
ess
Competitive Position of the Unit
Invest Selective Growth
Up or Out (Access unit's profitability and
prospects for improving position)
Selective GrowthUp or Out
(Restructure to Improve) Harvest
Up or Out(Analyze long term
profitability and prospects for endgame)
Harvest Divest
M&A Opportunity
M&A Opportunity
M&A Opportunity
M&A Opportunity
M&A Opportunity
M&A Opportunity
M&A Opportunity
M&A Opportunity
M&A Opportunity
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Industry Attractiveness-Strength Matrix (GE / McKinsey Matrix)
Industry Attractiveness Factors
• Market growth rate
• Market size
• Demand variability
• Industry profitability
• Industry rivalry
• Global opportunities
• Macro environmental factors
Allot a weighting to each to determine “Industry Attractiveness”
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Industry Stage & Its Affect on Value
Start-Up Phase Growth Phase Maturity / Decline Phase
Time
Rev
enu
es
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Industry Stage & Its Affect on Value
Start-Up / Development Stage
Stage is typically characterized exceptionally high growth and low profitability.
Companies require high levels of capital to fund their growth
High price to earnings ratio
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Industry Stage & Its Affect on Value
Growth
Stage is characterized by strong profitability, market development, and new market entrants
Companies require external funding to sustain growth
Market participants generally become cash flow positive by the end of this stage
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Industry Stage & Its Affect on Value
Maturity
Stage is characterized by a fully developed marketplace and consolidation within the industry
Market participants compete on product quality and price and will emphasize production efficiency
Significant industry consolidation occurs in this stage
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Industry Stage & Its Affect on Value
Decline
Stage characterized by steady, but declining revenue and increased presence of substitutes
Low price to earnings ratio
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Industry Stage & Its Affect on Value
Aggregate Growth of Conglomerate
Time
Rev
enu
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Business 1
Business 2
Business 3
Business 4
Utilizing outcome of Industry Attractiveness-Strength Matrix
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Implications of M&A on Stock Performance
Cash Flow
Accretive M&A
• Typically increase the stock price due to an improved PE multiple
Dilutive M&A
• Typically decreases stock price due to a diminished P/E multiple
• Must be well justified
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Implications of M&A on Stock Performance
Momentum Acquiring
What is Momentum Acquiring?
Corporate mergers and acquisitions for the primary purpose of growing earnings per share or revenue via accretive acquisitions.
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Implications of M&A on Stock Performance
Momentum Acquiring
Strength
• Market appears to favor EPS and revenue growth
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Implications of M&A on Stock Performance
Momentum Acquiring
Weaknesses
• Strategy is unsustainable
• Integration issues
• Promotes uneconomic deals
• Dilutes shareholders
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Implications of M&A on Stock Performance
Momentum Acquiring
Don’t get caught in the trap of pursing ‘phantom gains’!
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Implications of M&A on Stock Performance
Stock Performance Indicators
Alpha Risk
Beta Risk
Earnings per Share
Risks of over diversification
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Implications of M&A on Stock Performance
Conclusion
• Unrelated acquisitions increase Beta and overall cost of capital
• Related acquisitions reduce Beta
• Investors respond favorably to restructuring, divestitures, spin-offs, and carve outs
• These transactions liberate value
• Investors tend to discount synergies
• Greater discount to Revenue Enhancement Synergies rather than Cost Saving Synergies
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Implications of M&A on Stock Performance
Conclusion
• When judging success on stock performance, always:
• Use a valid benchmark
• Define it as ‘abnormal returns’ rather than absolute returns
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Quiz Game
Why would you want to use “Momentum Acquiring”?
Your firm makes an accretive acquisition in an unrelated industry. What are the affects on: alpha, beta, and stock price?
REASONS FOR A TRANSACTION
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Overview
“M&A is one of the most important means by which companies respond to changing conditions”
- Robert BrunerApplied Mergers & Acquisitions
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Overview
We have learned that diversification alone is not a sufficient reason for a merger or acquisition. The transaction must capitalize on a core competence.
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Improving Operating Synergies
Core Competencies
What is a Core Competency?
• Capabilities that serve as a source of competitive advantage for the business over the competition
• Also called Business Fit
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Improving Operating Synergies
Core Competencies
Characteristics of a Core Competency
• Valuable
• Rare
• Difficult to Imitate
• No Substitutes Reasonably Exist
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Improving Operating Synergies
Core Competencies versus Synergies
• Core Competencies are different that Synergies
• Think of Synergies as WHAT and Core Competencies as WHY
• Synergies are how 2 + 2 = 5, and Core Competencies are why the sum is greater than its parts
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Improving Operating Synergies
GrowthBenefits from acquiring opportunities in other industries or sectors, revenues, profitability, or
customers
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Improving Operating Synergies
DiversificationBenefits from acquiring operations in different
industries or sectors that provide growth, complementary cash flow, or access to new
opportunities.
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Improving Operating Synergies
Acquire TechnologyBenefits from acquiring new business processes or
new technology.
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Improving Operating Synergies
Acquire TalentBenefits from acquiring a group of successful
managers or management program.
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Improving Operating Synergies
Acquire
Research & Development
CapacityBenefits from acquiring additional research and
development capacity.
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Improving Operating Synergies
Market AccessBenefits from acquiring companies in different
markets or countries to gain a new or enhanced sales channel.
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Improving Operating Synergies
Enhanced Capacity Utilization
Benefits from acquiring to increase sales capacity and consolidate production.
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Improving Operating Synergies
Enhanced Purchasing Power
Benefits from acquiring companies to grow purchasing to gain enhanced economies of scale.
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Improving Operating Synergies
Enhanced Utilization of Marketing
Benefits from acquiring companies to more effectively market the target’s products.
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Improving Operating Synergies
Gain Greater Control of Vital Assets
Benefits from acquiring a company you have a joint venture with to acquire the full interest of the
venture.
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Enhanced Financial Synergies
“The market is readily persuaded by the cost-cutting motive for mergers, while subjecting other rationales
to considerable skepticism.”
- Houston and Ryngaert
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Enhanced Financial Synergies
Cross SellingBenefits from acquiring companies that have
overlapping customer groups.
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Enhanced Financial Synergies
Eliminate Intermediaries
Benefits from acquiring companies involved in different stages of the value chain.
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Enhanced Financial Synergies
Improve LogisticsBenefits from acquiring companies with production or
distribution facilities.
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Enhanced Financial Synergies
Asset ReductionBenefits from acquiring companies where you can close one of the redundant headquarters, unused
plants, or excess inventory.
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Enhanced Financial Synergies
Tax ReductionBenefits from acquiring a company with net operating
losses or higher levels of depreciation.
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Enhanced Financial Synergies
Reduce Financing CostBenefits from either acquiring a company with
inversely correlated cash flows or a firm that would contribute to a lower overall default risk.
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Enhanced Financial Synergies
Acquire LiquidityBenefits from acquiring a company that has significant balance sheet liquidity and financing for acquisition is
long term.
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Enhanced Financial Synergies
Coinsurance EffectBenefits from acquiring a company that contributes to
an overall lower default risk.
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Enhancing Financial Synergies
Cautionary Note
The benefits from operating and financial synergies are anticipated, but not guaranteed.
Remember to discount the synergy by a cost of capital appropriate for the risk.
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Quiz Game
Scenario: You are Malaysia’s second largest producer of solar panels and you are considering the acquisition of Malaysia’s third largest producer of solar panels (XYZ Co). After a well publicized IPO four years ago, XYZ Co built three brand new production facilities, but has failed to achieve profitability. XYZ Co’s brand is well known worldwide, while you have focused on providing high quality solar panels under private label contract for other companies. What are the potential synergies?
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Quiz Game
Scenario: You are Malaysia’s second largest provider of high speed data services. Nine years ago you formed an (inbound) joint venture with YYY Co to lay an undersea cable between Malaysia and Hong Kong. This cable now carried 90% of your internet and voice traffic. All of the other undersea cables from Malaysia are owned fully or jointly by your competitor who charges you exorbitant fees for usage. YYY Co is rumored to be near bankruptcy due to financial mismanagement. What are the potential synergies?
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Quiz Game
Scenario: You are Malaysia’s largest owner of commercial real estate, which generates large amounts of recurring cash flow. What types of acquisitions should you consider?
~ LUNCH
VALUING SYNERGIES: KEY DRIVERS OF DEAL VALUE
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Value Created by an Acquisition
What is the value created by an acquisition?
[Value of Synergies] – [Purchase Price] = Value
or
[Maximum Purchase Price] – [Purchase Price] = Value
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Value Created by an Acquisition
What is the value created by an acquisition?
[Value of Synergies] – [Actual Purchase Price] = Value
Thus, the determination of synergy value determines how profitable the transaction is.
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Value Created by an Acquisition
Considerations when valuing a synergy
• Establish the credibility of the source
• Choose a discount rate consistent with the risk
• Use realistic assumptions
• Consider all values only after tax
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Value Created by an Acquisition
Formula for Synergy Value
FCFt= Free Cash Flow at time tWACC = Weighted Average Cost of Capital
t = Time period
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Value Created by an Acquisition
Formula for Synergy Value - Perpetuity Terminal Value
Because we cannot complete this calculation indefinitely, we add a terminal value for all future years (usually after the first five years)
FCFt+1= Free Cash Flow at time t+1r = Risk Free Rate of Return (a component of WACC)
g = Perpetual Growth Rate
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Value Created by an Acquisition
Cross Border Acquisitions
Why acquire across borders?
• New Markets
• New Customers
• New Opportunities
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Value Created by an Acquisition
Cross Border Acquisitions
• Valuing synergies across borders is more complicated
• You can either:
• Value the target in local currency and convert it
• Convert the target to your currency then convert
• Opinions vary, but I prefer the first option
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Value Created by an Acquisition
Cross Border Acquisitions
• There are some complications that make the results of the two methods vary:
• Inflation assumptions
• Currency exchange rates
• Tax rates
• Timing of cash remittance
• Political risk
• Governance
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Value Created by an Acquisition
Cross Border Acquisitions
• Financial advisors routinely offer one or two year forecasts, but do not provide longer term projections of forward rate contracts required to fully value to cash flows from the target
• The only practical alternative is the interest rate parity formula, solving for the forward rate yield
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Value Created by an Acquisition
Cross Border Acquisitions
• More than just currencies vary across borders
• Accounting methods may also vary. Be aware of:
• Composition of Balance Sheet “Cash”
• Expense and Investment Recognition
• Pension Accounting
• Inflation Accounting
• These differences are minor in DCF analysis, but more notable in other methods
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Value Created by an Acquisition
Cross Border Acquisitions
• Political risk is also an important consideration
• Political risk is the probability that a government will intervene to the detriment of the corporation
• Many use sovereign debt credit ratings as a proxy for political risk
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Value Created by an Acquisition
Cross Border Acquisitions
• Integration of the home and target companies’ markets also affect valuation
• Interest rates and equity multiples
• More integrated markets typically have higher valuations
• There is a governance premium applied to companies in more integrated markets
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Value Created by an Acquisition
Cross Border Acquisitions
• Weak systems of fairness and justice can impose unanticipated costs
• Valuation model needs to reflect this
• Always have expertise on hand to navigate the foreign market
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Value Created by an Acquisition
Cross Border Acquisitions
• Estimate the Cost of Equity consistent with the risk of the foreign target
• Check for market segmentation and require compensation for it
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Value Created by an Acquisition
Common Reasoning Pitfalls
• Phantom gains
• Synergies not achieved
• Revenue growth without profitability
• Unrealistic synergies
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Quiz Game
What is the value of an acquisition?
How would your company benefit financially from acquiring a related company in a high risk part of Africa?
The vice president of sales for your company says that he can sell your company’s widgets to all of your target company’s customers. How would you reflect this in your model?
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Quiz Game
You are considering acquiring one of your suppliers in Africa. A minority interest in your target is owned by a prominent African diplomat. What enhanced due diligence should you undertake?
Your company’s CEO wants to acquire XYZ Co because it will double your company’s revenue. What is the first financial statistic you should check before responding?
ACQUIRER’S PERSPECTIVE: PART 1 - EVALUATION
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Maximum Acceptable Price
• Remember Synergies less Price Paid equals value created
• Purchase price must be less than the value of synergies
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Don’t Forget To…
• At this stage it is easy to get excited and forget some basics. It is important to do these things before you proceed:
• Inform your Board of Directors
• For a special guidance committee
• Retain strategic advisors
• Write down the goal of your transaction so you don’t forget!
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Step 1: Competitive Analysis
Purpose
• The purpose of the competitive analysis is to identify companies with synergies that are likely to result in a sustainable competitive advantage.
• The key is to identify synergies that will be worth more to your company than the target company
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Step 1: Competitive Analysis
Methods
• There are any number of ways to identify synergies for a sustainable competitive advantage, but I prefer the following two methods:
• Porter’s Five Forces Model
• Fit Model
• I use the Porter model for evaluating your company, and then the Fit model for seeing how well qualified targets fit
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Step 1: Competitive Analysis
Porter’s 5 Forces Model
• Consists of evaluating a company along five competitive ‘forces’:
• Barriers to Entry
• Customer Power
• Supplier Power
• Threat of Substitutes
• Rivalry Conduct
• Use the results to determine your company’s weaknesses and look for targets that make them stronger
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Step 1: Competitive Analysis
Porter’s 5 Forces Model
Barriers to Entry
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Step 1: Competitive Analysis
Porter’s 5 Forces Model
Customer Power(Bargaining Power of Customers)
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Step 1: Competitive Analysis
Porter’s 5 Forces Model
Supplier Power(Bargaining Power of Suppliers)
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Step 1: Competitive Analysis
Porter’s 5 Forces Model
Threat of Substitutes
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Step 1: Competitive Analysis
Porter’s 5 Forces Model
Rivalry Conduct
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Step 2: Search and Screen
Sample Searching Criteria
Quantitative criteria is often useful for narrowing down the universe of potential acquisitions. You may want to consider searching by:
• Size of Business (sales and assets)
• Profitability
• Risk Exposure
• Asset Type (tangible versus intangible)
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Step 2: Search and Screen
Sample Searching Criteria
And also by some broad qualitative criteria:
• Industry and Position in Industry
• Resources and Strategic Capabilities
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Step 2: Search and Screen
Fit Model
During the search process, you develop a “short list” of truly attractive candidates. You then evaluate these using the Fit model, which includes:
• Business Fit
• Organizational Fit
• Financial Fit
This is usually prepared by the due diligence committee
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Step 2: Search and Screen
Fit Model
Business FitSynergies, Relatedness, & Combined Portfolio
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Step 2: Search and Screen
Fit Model
Organizational FitImplementation & Integration
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Step 2: Search and Screen
Fit Model
Financial FitValue Creation
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Step 2: Search and Screen
Due Diligence
Due diligence is an ongoing process throughout the transaction
At the beginning it is broad and based on public information, but as additional information is provided, it gets more specific
Diligence should be oriented towards the strategic or financial benefits of a combination
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Step 2: Search and Screen
Due Diligence Focus Areas
Legal
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Step 2: Search and Screen
Due Diligence Focus Areas
Accounting
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Step 2: Search and Screen
Due Diligence Focus Areas
Tax
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Step 2: Search and Screen
Due Diligence Focus Areas
Information Technology
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Step 2: Search and Screen
Due Diligence Focus Areas
Risk and Insurance
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Step 2: Search and Screen
Due Diligence Focus Areas
Environmental
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Step 2: Search and Screen
Due Diligence Focus Areas
Market Presence & Sales
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Step 2: Search and Screen
Due Diligence Focus Areas
Operations
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Step 2: Search and Screen
Due Diligence Focus Areas
Real & Personal Property Issues
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Step 2: Search and Screen
Due Diligence Focus Areas
Intellectual Assets
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Step 2: Search and Screen
Due Diligence Focus Areas
Finance
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Step 2: Search and Screen
Due Diligence Focus Areas
Cross-Border Issues
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Step 2: Search and Screen
Due Diligence Focus Areas
Human Resources
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Step 2: Search and Screen
Due Diligence Focus Areas
Culture
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Step 2: Search and Screen
Due Diligence Focus Areas
Ethics
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Step 2: Search and Screen
Due Diligence - Reminders
• Remember it is the job of the due diligence committee to not only see issues with the potential targets, but to foresee potential integration issues
• By the time you get to making an offer, you should have a good idea about how you will integrate the acquisition
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Step 2: Search and Screen
• Describe a scenario where Customer Power would be high.
• Describe a scenario where Rivalry Conduct would be a high risk.
• After plotting both your company’s and your target’s business units on a Growth-Share Matrix, you see a greater concentration to the top right. What are the financial implications?
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Step 2: Search and Screen
• What should you watch for when completing Cultural Due Diligence?
~BREAK
SELLER’S PERSPECTIVE OF AN M&A TRANSACTION
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When to Consider the Sale of Your Company
There are many reasons to consider the sale of your company, but they generally fall into three classes:
• Price is high enough
• Realization of a new strategic direction
• Realization of insurmountable strategic threat
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When to Consider the Break Up of Your Company
There are many more reasons to consider the restructuring of your company:
• Greater value (conglomerate discount)
• Unit too far away from core
• Need to gain financing
• Need to sharpen focus
• Need to correct a mistake acquisition
• Market does not fully value your company
• Optimize capital structure
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Types of Transactions
We already know the types of transactions possible, but lets refresh:
• Joint Venture
• Sale of Minority Interest
• Spin Off
• Carve Out
• Split Off
• Tracking Stock
• Financial Restructuring
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Transaction Decision Framework
Business Strategy
Diversity or Expand
Organic
Internal Investment (“make”)
Inorganic
Merger or Acquisition
Minority Investment
Outbound Joint Venture
Strategic Alliance
Contractual Relationship
Restructure, Redeploy Assets, or
Exit
Partial
Inbound Joint Venture
Sale of Minority Interest
Spin Off
Carve Out
Split Off
Tracking Stock
Total
Divest
LBO / Go Private
Third Party Sale
Liquidate
Financial Restructuring
Abstracted from: Bruner, Robert. Applied Mergers and Acquisitions. Exhibit 6.10. Wiley & Sons 2004. Pg 139
Buy Side
Sell Side
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Restructuring Framework Diagram (Sell Side)
Need for Control
Ongoing Relationship
Benefit
Is the Asset a
Growing Concern?
-
Yes
Higher
Higher
Tracking Stock
Lower
Partial Spin Off, Split Off, Carve Out, or Sale of Minority Interest
Lower
Higher
Partial Spin Off, Split Off, Carve Out, or Sale of Minority Interest
LowerFull Unit Divestiture, Spin Off, Carve Out, or
Split Off
No
Higher
HigherFull Sale followed by Leaseback, Licensing,
or Contract
Lower Full Sale followed by Leaseback, Licensing, or Contract
LowerHigher Full Sale followed by Leaseback, Licensing,
or Contract
LowerAsset Sale or Liquidation
Abstracted from: Bruner, Robert. Applied Mergers and Acquisitions. Exhibit 6.21. Wiley & Sons 2004.
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Sell Side – Method of Payment
Overview
• Statistically the shareholders of target firms have better performance than acquiring firms (Bruner)
• Nonetheless, you should be aware of the benefits and weaknesses of different methods of payment
• Financing of acquisition will be discussed tomorrow
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Sell Side – Method of Payment
• Immediate liquidity
• Tax Considerations
• Could be invested and worth more
• Longer term commitment
• Dilution of EPS
• Lower future market value
• Potential for “phantom gains”
Cash or Debt Stock
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Strategies to Defend Against Hostile Takeovers
Overview
• Not all acquisitions are friendly
• The “best offense is a good defense”
• It is best to have defensive measures in place prior to the possibility of a hostile acquisition
• Existence creates value for shareholders to prevent undervaluation in hostile takeover
• Costly to companies with underperforming management
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Strategies to Defend Against Hostile Takeovers
Proactive Defenses
Modification of the company’s charter to include one or more of the following can be an effective deterrent of hostile activity:
• Classified Board
• Supermajority provision
• Fair Price Provision
• Dual Class Recapitalization
• “Poison Pills”
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Strategies to Defend Against Hostile Takeovers
Proactive Defenses
Classified Board
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Strategies to Defend Against Hostile Takeovers
Proactive Defenses
Supermajority Provision
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Strategies to Defend Against Hostile Takeovers
Proactive Defenses
Fair Price Protection Provision
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Strategies to Defend Against Hostile Takeovers
Proactive Defenses
Dual Class Recapitalization
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Strategies to Defend Against Hostile Takeovers
Proactive Defenses
Poison Pill
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Strategies to Defend Against Hostile Takeovers
Proactive Defenses
Poison Put
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Strategies to Defend Against Hostile Takeovers
Proactive Defenses
“Chewable” Poison Pill
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Strategies to Defend Against Hostile Takeovers
Proactive Defenses
Proactive defenses force potential acquirers to negotiate with the Board, which results in a higher price.
However, proactive defenses are also a slippery slope in that they can keep entrenched management and boards in place when it is not in the best interest of the shareholders.
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Strategies to Defend Against Hostile Takeovers
Deal Embedded Defenses
Once a deal proposal is imminent, there are several other steps that can be taken:
• Deal Termination Fees
• Toehold Stakes
• Asset Lockups
• Stock Lockups
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Strategies to Defend Against Hostile Takeovers
Deal Embedded Defenses
Deal Embedded Defenses take place once a letter of intent has been issued by the potential acquirer.
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Strategies to Defend Against Hostile Takeovers
Deal Embedded Defenses
Deal Termination Fees
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Strategies to Defend Against Hostile Takeovers
Deal Embedded Defenses
Toehold Stakes
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Strategies to Defend Against Hostile Takeovers
Deal Embedded Defenses
Asset Lockups
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Strategies to Defend Against Hostile Takeovers
Deal Embedded Defenses
Stock Lockups
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Strategies to Defend Against Hostile Takeovers
Reactive Defenses
Once a deal proposal is imminent, there are several reactive defenses that can be taken:
• Litigation
• Regulatory or legislative protection
• Countertender offers
• Asset restructuring, share repurchases, leveraged recap
• White Knights
• White Squires
• Leveraged Buyout
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Strategies to Defend Against Hostile Takeovers
Reactive Defenses
Litigation
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Strategies to Defend Against Hostile Takeovers
Reactive Defenses
Regulatory of Legislative Protection
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Strategies to Defend Against Hostile Takeovers
Reactive Defenses
Countertender Offer
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Strategies to Defend Against Hostile Takeovers
Reactive Defenses
Asset Restructuring, Share Repurchases, Leveraged Recapitalization
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Strategies to Defend Against Hostile Takeovers
Reactive Defenses
White Knight, White Squire
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Strategies to Defend Against Hostile Takeovers
Reactive Defenses
Leveraged Buyout
(Go Private)
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Negotiating the Best Deal
• When seriously considering a transaction, always retain an investment banking firm with industry experience
• Defensive measures discussed help your company get the deal on your terms. Should not be used as an excuse for entrenched management.
• When possible let the other side speak first
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Quiz Game
Scenario: Your company owns the real estate under many of KL’s cultural centers. A private equity firm is attempting a hostile acquisition of your company so that it can own the real estate and extort excessive rents from the government. You have no proactive defenses in place. What other defenses do you have?
Scenario: A sovereign wealth fund has expressed an interest in acquiring your company, but you believe it is simply a ploy to test public and government reaction. What deal feature can you suggest that would allow you to benefit in the event the deal is not completed?
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Quiz Game
Scenario: You are a manufacturing company that has recently patented a lubricant which you have been using for years that is 20% more effective than all other lubricants. A company is now attempting to acquire you with the intent of closing down all operations except the production of the lubricant, which will result in the loss of hundreds of Malaysian jobs. What is your best strategic option?
DAY 1: QUESTIONS & ANSWERS
MALAYSIA & ASIA PACIFIC : “M&A” HUB FOR THE FUTURE31 July 2008 | Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
SUMMARY OF DAY 1 KEY POINTS
SU
MM
AR
YO
FD
AY
1
Transaction Decision Framework
Business Strategy
Diversity or Expand
Organic
Internal Investment (“make”)
Inorganic
Merger or Acquisition
Minority Investment
Outbound Joint Venture
Strategic Alliance
Contractual Relationship
Restructure, Redeploy Assets, or
Exit
Partial
Inbound Joint Venture
Sale of Minority Interest
Spin Off
Carve Out
Split Off
Tracking Stock
Total
Divest
LBO / Go Private
Third Party Sale
Liquidate
Financial Restructuring
Abstracted from: Bruner, Robert. Applied Mergers and Acquisitions. Exhibit 6.10. Wiley & Sons 2004. Pg 139
Buy Side
Sell Side
SU
MM
AR
YO
FD
AY
1
Key Points
• Historical Drivers of M&A
• Transaction Decision Framework
• Industry attractiveness matrix
• Operating Synergies
• Financial Synergies
• Deal Defenses
•Cross Border Transactions
ACQUIRER’S PERSPECTIVE: PART 2 – STRATEGY & VALUATION
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Step 3: Strategy Development
• At this stage, develop strategic scenarios for each of the qualified candidates
• Focus your strategy on how to achieve actual synergies for each candidate versus the potential synergies
• Begin to consider how the management of the target will respond
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Step 3: Strategy Development
• You should already be aware of what acquisition defenses are in place at the target
• If management is hostile, be prepared to appeal directly to shareholders via “Bear Hug” or “Green Mail”
• Be prepared for the unexpected entrance of other bidders; use your valuation to know your limits
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Step 3: Strategy Development
• At this stage, the due diligence committee should:
• Expand to include outside advisors and managers to advise on integration and valuation
• Prepare a list of private information to request once LOI and CA are signed
• Determine which areas of the target’s business require enhanced due diligence
• The goal of the due diligence committee in this stage is to advise on the content of the Letter of Intent (LOI)
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Step 3: Strategy Development
• The Letter of Intent (LOI) is a nonbinding document where the acquirer and the target publicly express their intent to complete the transaction
•The LOI does not discuss valuation or any other potential transaction terms
• The LOI is typically accompanies by a Confidentiality Agreement (CA) where the acquirer agrees not to disclose nonpublic information provided by the target
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Step 4: Valuation
• There are a number of valuation methods each with specific strengths
• It is important to utilize more than one method to develop a range of potential values because any single method can be misleading
• Your retained investment banking team may be best suited to develop a valuation analysis, but if you have a lending relationship with the bank, ensure an information firewall is in place
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Step 4: Valuation
Book Value
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Step 4: Valuation
Liquidation Value
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Step 4: Valuation
Replacement Cost
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Step 4: Valuation
Current Market Value
AC
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Step 4: Valuation
Trading Multiples
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Step 4: Valuation
Enterprise Value
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Step 4: Valuation
Equity Value
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Step 4: Valuation
Transaction Multiples
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Step 4: Valuation
Discounted Cash Flow
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Step 4: Valuation
In my experience, the three most common valuation methods are:
• Discounted Cash Flow
• Transaction Multiples
• Trading Multiples
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Step 4: Valuation
Discounted Cash Flow
Discounted cash flow valuation is calculated by creating a working model of the operations of the target company and the anticipated synergies with the acquisition company.
Generally a range of inputs are used to generate a reasonable range of outputs
A DCF analysis can be used to value synergies if you are performing a less than total acquisition or the entire company if you are completing a full acquisition
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Step 4: Valuation
Discounted Cash Flow
FCFt = Free Cash Flow at tWACC = Weighted Average Cost of Capital
t = Time Period
r = Risk Free Rate
g = Anticipated rate of FCF growth in perpetuity
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Quiz Game
When would you want to use each of the following forms of valuation?
•Book Value Valuation
•Liquidation Value
•Replacement Cost
•Current Market Value
•Trading Multiples
•Transaction Multiples
ACQUIRER’S PERSPECTIVE: PART 3 – DEAL DESIGN & NEGOTIATION
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Step 5: Deal Design
“Deal structures are solutions to economic problems”
- Robert Bruner
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Step 5: Deal Design
Good deal design involves using the tools available to you to maximize the desirable aspects of a transaction.
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Step 5: Deal Design
Possible Desirables
•Create value•Improve reported financial results; avoid EPS dilution•Improve control; avoid voting dilution•Build financial flexibility•Manage risk•Preserve and improve competitive standing•Manage signals to capital markets•Manage incentives•Enhance the governance and management structure•Shape impact on employees and community
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Step 5: Deal Design
Tools
•Term Sheet
•Exclusivity Agreement
•Confidentiality Agreement
•Standstill Agreement
•Letter of Intent
•Definitive Agreement
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Step 5: Deal Design
Spectrum of Attractive Deals
• There is no one single best deal
• Both sides have to concede some ground in order to reach an agreement
• Concessions can be in the form of either price or constraints
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Step 5: Deal Design
Spectrum of Attractive Deals
higher
Restrictive Terms (constraints)
morelesslower
Acq
uis
itio
n P
rice
Acquirer
Target
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Step 5: Deal Design
Design of Terms (Constraints)
• Value to be delivered (price)
• Form of payment
• Fixed payments
• Contingent payments
• Side payments
• Financing
• Timing and Deadlines
• Commitments
• Control and Governance
• Risk Management
• Accounting Choices
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Step 5: Deal Design
Deal Approval Process
1) Obtain Acquirer’s board approval to pursue acquisition
2) Senior management of the two firms decide on critical details
3) Boards of the two companies ratify the agreement
4) Shareholders ratify the agreement
… Not quite that simple…
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Step 6: Negotiation
Negotiation
• Deal design is a learning process
• Seek commitment from the target
• Deadlines, termination fees, other signals
• Deadlines generally reduce bargaining costs
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Step 6: Negotiation
Negotiation
• Conduct multi-issue, parallel bargaining
• Distinguish between claiming value and creating value
• Know what tradeoffs you are willing to consider
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Step 6: Negotiation
Negotiation
• Don’t let stalemates simmer
• Take the tone of ‘bridging the gap’ versus simply making concessions
• Know your opponent
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Step 6: Negotiation
Pricing Strategy (Acquirer)
• Think objectively like an investor
• Know your bargaining costs going in
• Best Alternative to Negotiated Agreement
• Low bid can invite competitors to bid
• High bid can evaporate shareholder value and leaves you less to bargain with
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Step 6: Negotiation
BATNA (Best Alternative to Negotiated Agreement)
• Know what your next best option is if negotiations fail
•Hostile Takeover? Acquiring another firm?
• Know how much economic value you would give up by pursuing the alternative
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Step 6: Negotiation
Hostile Takeover Tactics
• Purchasing shares directly on market
• Offer directly to target’s board (versus through management)
• Tender Offer
• Proxy contest through consent solicitation
• Challenge the target’s defenses through litigation
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Step 6: Negotiation
Definitive Agreement
The Definitive Agreement shapes behavior between signing and deal completion, such as
• Disclosure of information
• Continuing Operations
• Conduct operations in an ordinary basis
• No extraordinary dividends or share repurchases
• No Change in compensation plans
• Best efforts to close promptly
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Step 6: Negotiation
Definitive Agreement
Finally, the Definitive Agreement needs to state who bears the risks and consequences of the transaction not closing as planned.
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Quiz Game
What are the tools available to you to sculpt a more desirable outcome?
What is BATNA and why is important during negotiations?
~BREAK
SOURCES OF FINANCING FOR ACQUISITIONS
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Overview
We have already discussed methods of payment to the target, but we now must focus on raising funds for the payment.
As a business we want to finance the acquisition with the lowest, reasonable cost of capital
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Weighted Average Cost of Capital
id = Expected yield on the target’s new debt after mergerKe = Cost of the target’s equity capitalWd = Debt as a percentage of the new firm’s capital structureWe = Equity as a percentage of the new firm’s capital structuret = Marginal tax rate of the target firm
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Weighted Average Cost of Capital
Cost of Equity
Rf = The expected return on risk-free securities over a time
horizon consistent with your investment in the targetRm = The expected market return; Variable affected by
political risk, moving into a more risk segment, etcβ = Beta, the systematic risk of a firm’s common stock
(Rm-Rf)= The Equity Risk Premium
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Optimizing the Debt Tax Shield
As you note from the WACC formula, the cost of debt is discounted by the marginal tax rate
This occurs because interest paid on debt reduces the basis of the tax
The assumes no significant decline in the debt rating or cost due to the new issue
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Bank Debt
Bank credit approvals for mergers and acquisitions are broadly based on:
• Cash Flow
• Collateral
• Capital
• Course
• Character
Additionally, banks consider the industry as a source of risk.
SO
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AN
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UISITIO
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Public Debt
There are several aspects of public debt that you will have to consider before deciding on this method of financing
• Maturity
• Fixed or Floating
• Currency
Unlike bank debt, you have to remain concerned that your new issue will be undersold causing you to have insufficient financing for your acquisition.
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Convertible Bonds
Defined:
Bond feature that allows bond principle to be converted into equity principle given certain circumstances.
Convertible bonds have a lower yield than standard bonds because of this benefit.
Convertible bonds exist as a way for debt investors to have some limited participation in equity appreciation without downside risk.
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Framework for Analysis: FRICTO
Flexibility
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UISITIO
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Framework for Analysis: FRICTO
Risk
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UISITIO
NS
Framework for Analysis: FRICTO
Income
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UISITIO
NS
Framework for Analysis: FRICTO
Control
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UISITIO
NS
Framework for Analysis: FRICTO
Timing
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UISITIO
NS
Framework for Analysis: FRICTO
Other
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Quiz Game
Scenario: Your company is experiencing rapid growth and needs to finance an expansion of your facilities. What are your debt options?
What would the FRICTO analysis be for:
10 year, non callable, bond yielding 10% for a company in the Palm oil industry?
INTEGRATION: SOURCE OF VALUE CREATION
INTEG
RA
TION
: SO
UR
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OF
VA
LUE
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EATIO
N
7-S Framework
INTEG
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TION
: SO
UR
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OF
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LUE
CR
EATIO
N
Integration Approaches
Preservation Linking
Confederation Absorption
Need for Strategic InterdependenceN
eed
fo
r A
uto
no
my
INTEG
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TION
: SO
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EATIO
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Incentives
Contingent payment to management can ensure their alignment with your strategic goals.
However ensure that the metrics for their contingent payments are based upon factors that contribute to successful integrations, rather than traditional performance factors
INTEG
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: SO
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LUE
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EATIO
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Best Practices
•Board level structure must be defined at announcement
•Publish and communicate integration plan
•Have very clear business and financial targets
•Keep integration time as short as possible
•Make decisions swiftly
•Involve as many employees as possible
•Make selection process transparent
INTEG
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TION
: SO
UR
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OF
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LUE
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EATIO
N
Best Practices
•Release those who cannot culturally adjust
•Do not prolong life of integration project teams
•Move to a common systems platform
•Manage the integration process as a project
•Manage each transaction phase; celebrate victories
•Consider the influence of the press
•Allow organizations time to develop new culture
INTEG
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Quiz Game
How does a ‘confederation’ method of integration vary from a ‘linking’ one?
Where do core competencies fit into the 7-S framework?
Which one of the 7 S’s is most important?
EVALUATING THE SUCCESS OF YOUR TRANSACTION
EV
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GTH
ES
UC
CESS
OF
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AN
SAC
TION
‘Winners’ and ‘Losers’ in a Transaction
• Creation of market value?
• Gained financial stability?
• Improved strategic position?
• Gained organizational strength?
• Enhanced brand?
• Improved processes?
Decide your goal at thebeginning of the process!
EV
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‘Winners’ and ‘Losers’ in a Transaction
Were you successful?
In the end it is the shareholders who decide.
EV
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ATIN
GTH
ES
UC
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OF
YO
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Quiz Game Bonus Round
How might you use M&A to improve your company’s strategic position?
How might you use M&A to improve your company’s brand?
How can you use M&A to make your company more efficient?
FO
LLOW
UP
Contact Methods
Personal ContactEmail: [email protected]
Phone: +1 512 772 4090 [direct]
Postal: Mr. Will DearmanDearman Ventures8000 Centre Park Dr, Suite 115Austin, TX 78754United States
Time Zone: GMT -6 hours
LinkedIn: http://linkedin.com/in/wdearman
THANK YOU!
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Malaysia Investment Banking Association