major winter storm - ashland, new hampshire storm update 3_31.pdfperiod of greatest impact: friday...

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Gray, ME Weather Forecast Office Follow us on Twitter Follow us on Facebook Presentation Created 3/30/2017 4:44 PM Major Winter Storm Decision Support Briefing # 1 As of: 5 PM Thursday, March 30 th What Has Changed? Initial briefing Winter Storm Warning Winter Storm Watch

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Page 1: Major Winter Storm - Ashland, New Hampshire storm update 3_31.pdfPeriod of greatest impact: Friday night – Saturday morning The potential exists up to a foot of wet snow, mainly

Gray, ME Weather Forecast Office

Follow us on Twitter Follow us on Facebook Presentation Created

3/30/2017 4:44 PM

Major Winter

Storm Decision Support Briefing # 1

As of: 5 PM Thursday, March 30th

What Has Changed? Initial briefing

Winter Storm

Warning

Winter Storm Watch

Page 2: Major Winter Storm - Ashland, New Hampshire storm update 3_31.pdfPeriod of greatest impact: Friday night – Saturday morning The potential exists up to a foot of wet snow, mainly

Gray, ME Weather Forecast Office

Follow us on Twitter Follow us on Facebook Presentation Created

3/30/2017 4:44 PM

Main Points

Hazard Impacts Location Timing

Snow Areas with significant

accumulations of wet snow will

likely have power outages

Greatest threat across

southern and central

New Hampshire

Friday into Saturday

(see map for onset and end times)

Ice Significant icing is NOT

expected Significant icing is NOT

expected

Significant icing is NOT

expected

Wind

Inland winds 5 to 10 mph.

Coastal winds 10 to 15 mph with

gusts to 30 mph. May contribute

to power outages along coast

All of New Hampshire

and Western Maine,

but strongest along the

coast

Strongest wind gusts Friday night and Saturday

Storm Surge/

Inundation Minor coastal flooding possible

New Hampshire

Seacoast and SW and

Midcoast Maine

Friday night high tide

Marine Gust up to 30 to 35 kts

Strongest gusts outside

the bays Friday night and Saturday

Page 3: Major Winter Storm - Ashland, New Hampshire storm update 3_31.pdfPeriod of greatest impact: Friday night – Saturday morning The potential exists up to a foot of wet snow, mainly

Gray, ME Weather Forecast Office

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3/30/2017 4:44 PM

Ice: None Expected

Strongest Winds: Along the Coast

Surge/Inundation: Greatest South of Portland

Marine: Strong Winds Especially Outside the Bays

Heavy Snow: Western Maine and NH

None Limited Elevated Significant Extreme

Summary of Greatest Impacts

None Limited Elevated Significant Extreme

None Limited Elevated Significant Extreme

None Limited Elevated Significant Extreme

None Limited Elevated Significant Extreme

Page 4: Major Winter Storm - Ashland, New Hampshire storm update 3_31.pdfPeriod of greatest impact: Friday night – Saturday morning The potential exists up to a foot of wet snow, mainly

Gray, ME Weather Forecast Office

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3/30/2017 4:44 PM

Storm Confidence: Confidence is high that

winter storm will impact area

Considerable uncertainty in

precipitation type and

snowfall amounts

Find the most up to date

snowfall map, click here

Page 5: Major Winter Storm - Ashland, New Hampshire storm update 3_31.pdfPeriod of greatest impact: Friday night – Saturday morning The potential exists up to a foot of wet snow, mainly

Gray, ME Weather Forecast Office

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3/30/2017 4:44 PM

Expect at least this much Potential for this much

Most Likely

Probabilistic Snowfall Forecast

Page 6: Major Winter Storm - Ashland, New Hampshire storm update 3_31.pdfPeriod of greatest impact: Friday night – Saturday morning The potential exists up to a foot of wet snow, mainly

Gray, ME Weather Forecast Office

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3/30/2017 4:44 PM

Snow Starting & Ending Times

Page 7: Major Winter Storm - Ashland, New Hampshire storm update 3_31.pdfPeriod of greatest impact: Friday night – Saturday morning The potential exists up to a foot of wet snow, mainly

Gray, ME Weather Forecast Office

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3/30/2017 4:44 PM

What to Expect: No significant issues

expected

Portland, ME Hampton, NH

Time 2:43 AM Saturday 2:57 AM Saturday

Astronomical

Tide

11.0 ft 10.0 ft

Storm Surge Around 1 ft Around 1 ft

Nearshore

Waves

Near 5 ft Near 5 ft

Impact Minor coastal

flooding possible

Friday night

Minor coastal

flooding possible

Friday night

Coastal Impacts Monday

Page 8: Major Winter Storm - Ashland, New Hampshire storm update 3_31.pdfPeriod of greatest impact: Friday night – Saturday morning The potential exists up to a foot of wet snow, mainly

Gray, ME Weather Forecast Office

Follow us on Twitter Follow us on Facebook Presentation Created

3/30/2017 4:44 PM

Winter Storm likely Friday into Saturday.

Confidence is HIGH that this event will occur and MODERATE on

precipitation type and expected impacts.

Period of greatest impact: Friday night – Saturday morning

The potential exists up to a foot of wet snow, mainly in southern

New Hampshire

Wind gusts along coast may contribute to power outages

Minor coastal flooding possible Friday night

Event Summary

Page 9: Major Winter Storm - Ashland, New Hampshire storm update 3_31.pdfPeriod of greatest impact: Friday night – Saturday morning The potential exists up to a foot of wet snow, mainly

Gray, ME Weather Forecast Office

Follow us on Twitter Follow us on Facebook Presentation Created

3/30/2017 4:44 PM

Contact and Next Briefing Information

Briefing Webpage:

http://www.weather.gov/gyx/EMhome

Next Briefing When: By 9 am on 3/31/2017

Method: E-mail

Web:

http://weather.gov/gyx

Phone (public):

(207) 688-3216

E-mail:

[email protected]

Facebook:

NWSGray

Twitter:

@NWSGray

YouTube:

NWS

Disclaimer: The information contained within this briefing

is time-sensitive, do not use after 9 AM March 31