madhukar pai mcgill university, montreal · 2018-05-01 · 27/12/2010 1 madhukar pai mcgill...

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27/12/2010 1 Madhukar Pai McGill University, Montreal A few on active case detection A trial on same-day smear diagnosis (TDR) A trial on Xpert MTB/RIF in South Africa O l Ongoing trials on Xpert MTB/RIF Cluster-randomized stepped wedge designs for phased implementation

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Page 1: Madhukar Pai McGill University, Montreal · 2018-05-01 · 27/12/2010 1 Madhukar Pai McGill University, Montreal A few on active case detection A trial on same-day smear diagnosis

27/12/2010

1

Madhukar Pai

McGill University, Montreal

A few on active case detection

A trial on same-day smear diagnosis (TDR)

A trial on Xpert MTB/RIF in South Africa

O l Ongoing trials on Xpert MTB/RIF

Cluster-randomized stepped wedge designs for phased implementation

Page 2: Madhukar Pai McGill University, Montreal · 2018-05-01 · 27/12/2010 1 Madhukar Pai McGill University, Montreal A few on active case detection A trial on same-day smear diagnosis

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Lancet 2010

Lancet 2010

Page 3: Madhukar Pai McGill University, Montreal · 2018-05-01 · 27/12/2010 1 Madhukar Pai McGill University, Montreal A few on active case detection A trial on same-day smear diagnosis

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Thorax 2010

Thorax 2010

Page 4: Madhukar Pai McGill University, Montreal · 2018-05-01 · 27/12/2010 1 Madhukar Pai McGill University, Montreal A few on active case detection A trial on same-day smear diagnosis

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Cuevas L et al. TDR/WHO

Page 5: Madhukar Pai McGill University, Montreal · 2018-05-01 · 27/12/2010 1 Madhukar Pai McGill University, Montreal A few on active case detection A trial on same-day smear diagnosis

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Nicol M et al. Union Conference, Berlin 2010

Nicol M et al. Union Conference, Berlin 2010

Page 6: Madhukar Pai McGill University, Montreal · 2018-05-01 · 27/12/2010 1 Madhukar Pai McGill University, Montreal A few on active case detection A trial on same-day smear diagnosis

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TB NEAT consortium. Cape Town, Zimbabwe and Lusaka [Dheda K et al].

Parallel

randomized to control or cluster study periodintervention

direct comparison of clusters, which can bematched

Cross-over

randomized order of control and intervention

1

1

2

3

4

control and intervention

requires fewer clusters butlonger time

Wash-out between periods

1 2

1

2

3

4

Van den Hof, S

Page 7: Madhukar Pai McGill University, Montreal · 2018-05-01 · 27/12/2010 1 Madhukar Pai McGill University, Montreal A few on active case detection A trial on same-day smear diagnosis

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Unidirectional cross-over cluster study period

All transfer from control to intervention, but at different times

Randomization of order of transfer More than one cluster may

transfer at once

1 2 3 4 5

1

2

3

Restrained in case of smallnumber of clusters

Need even more time than in regular cross-over design

4

Van den Hof, S

Roll-out of GeneXpert in Brazil

Rio de Janeiro and Manaus

14 clusters = defined areas in which all health care units send in samples to same laboratory for diagnosis of TB

GeneXpert used instead of smear microscopy (and culture)

Transfer from smear to GeneXpert in 7 steps

Main effects studied: Diagnosis and treatment registration of bacteriologically confirmed

pulmonary TB, overall and for HIV+ individuals

Proportion of TB patients diagnosed with MDR

Time to appropriate treatment after diagnosis for (MDR) TB patients

Cost-effectiveness

(Treatment outcomes)

Van den Hof, S

Page 8: Madhukar Pai McGill University, Montreal · 2018-05-01 · 27/12/2010 1 Madhukar Pai McGill University, Montreal A few on active case detection A trial on same-day smear diagnosis

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Page 9: Madhukar Pai McGill University, Montreal · 2018-05-01 · 27/12/2010 1 Madhukar Pai McGill University, Montreal A few on active case detection A trial on same-day smear diagnosis

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Page 10: Madhukar Pai McGill University, Montreal · 2018-05-01 · 27/12/2010 1 Madhukar Pai McGill University, Montreal A few on active case detection A trial on same-day smear diagnosis

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Patients suspected of malaria

R

Rapid test A

Rapid test B

Gold standard Accuracy

AccuracyGold standard

Does rapid test A differentiate between diseased and non-diseased better than rapid test B?

Mariska [email protected]

Patients suspected of malaria

R

Rapid test A

Rapid test B

+

-

Treatment

No treatment

Treatment

N t t t

Survival

Survival+

No treatment

Is survival in patient who do receive rapid test A better than in those who do receive rapid test B?

-

Mariska [email protected]

Page 11: Madhukar Pai McGill University, Montreal · 2018-05-01 · 27/12/2010 1 Madhukar Pai McGill University, Montreal A few on active case detection A trial on same-day smear diagnosis

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Moons KGM. In: Grobbee & Hoes. Clinical Epidemiology. 2009

Tests must be sufficiently accurate

Actions after each possible test results must Actions after each possible test results must follow a clear unambiguous protocol

Sample sizes may be large

Diversity and complexity of diagnostic process leads to infinite number of possible trials

Ethical questions

OK to randomize to an experimental test?

Once a test is WHO-approved, OK to deny to half of trial participants?

Mariska [email protected]

Page 12: Madhukar Pai McGill University, Montreal · 2018-05-01 · 27/12/2010 1 Madhukar Pai McGill University, Montreal A few on active case detection A trial on same-day smear diagnosis

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Lord, Annals Int Med, 2006

1. Randomizationa. Valid randomizationb. Concealment of allocation

2. Blinding

S ffi i l l f ll3. Sufficiently long follow-up

4. Analyses