luzon power situation and outlook · 2017-11-02 · luzon electricity supply-demand outlook 1 april...

LUZON POWER SITUATION AND OUTLOOK

3 APRIL 2014

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Geothermal Coal Natural Gas Hydro Wind Biomass Oil-based 2013 System Demand

Summer 2013

Source: NGCP Daily Operations Report

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

MalampayaTurnaround (11

Nov-10 Dec 2013)

2013 Max Demand =8,305 MW (08 May)

08 May 2013 Luzon Blackout

ILIJAN A on biodiesel operation (11 Nov-05 Dec)ILIJAN B (08 Nov-11 DEc, SAN LORENZO 1 (01 Nov-05 Dec)

on maintenance; SAN LORENZO 2 on Forced Outage (28 May-09 Dec)

2013 Min Demand =4,800 MW (01 Jan)

SUAL 1 on PMS (02 Aug-01 Sep)SUAL 2 on PMS (14 Sep-21 Oct)PAGBILAO 2on PMS (31 Aug-26

Oct)

PAGBILAO 1 and 2, GNPower 2 , MASINLOC

1 on boiler tube leak

2013 Max Avail Cap =10,078 MW (23 Dec)

2013 Min Avail Cap =6,110 MW (08 May)

2013 LUZON SUPPLY-DEMAND SITUATION

POWER SUPPLY and DEMAND SITUATION

SUMMER MONTHS 2014

LUZON ELECTRICITY SUPPLY-DEMAND STUATION1 January – 31 March 2014

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Capacity Demand

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Reserve Regulating Reserve Contingency Reserve Dispatchable Reserve

Actual Reserve Profile

Actual Supply-Demand

"Yellow Alert" status declaredlast 3.20.14 due to outage ofMalaya U2 and tripping ofGMCP U1.

Jan Max Demand7063 MW Feb Max Demand

7470 MW

Mar Max Demand7706 MW

LUZON ELECTRICITY SUPPLY-DEMAND OUTLOOK1 April - 31 May 2014

NGCP FORECAST PEAK DEMAND 8,504 MW FOR APRIL AND 8,654 MW FOR MAY.

MAJOR PLANT/UNIT ON OUTAGE/DERATED:

o BCF UNIT 1 EMERGENCY SHUTDOWN ON MARCH 24, 2014 DUE TO

INSTRUMENT TRANSFORMER TROUBLE, WITH ESTIMATED TIME-IN ON APRIL 4,

2014.

o MALAYA U1 ON FORCED OUTAGE DUE TO HIGH TURBINE VIBRATION ON MAR

21, 2014. INSPECTION OF UNIT IS ON-GOING

o MASINLOC U2 ON FORCED OUTAGE DUE TO BOILER TUBE LEAK ON MARCH

25, 2014, WITH ESTIMATED TIME-IN APRIL 9, 2014.

o GNPOWER U1 UNDER OBSERVATION OF TURBINE MASTER/GOVERNOR VALVE.

CAPABILITY TODAY IS 260 MW, WHILE U2 IS GOOD FOR 302 MW.

o EXTENDED FORCED OUTAGE OF STA RITA M40 (250 MW) UP TO JUNE 2014.

o EXTENDED MAINTENANCE OF CALACA U2 (300 MW) UP TO APRIL 15, 2014.

o STA RITA M10 ON MAINTENANCE OUTAGE, APR 5 - 9, 2014.

o MAGAT HEPP NO IDR FROM APR 1 TO MAY 15, 2014. NO GENERATION.

Supply and Demand Assumptions:

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Geothermal Coal Combined Cycle/Nat Gas Hydro Diesel Thermal Symtem Peak Required Reserve

LUZON ELECTRICITY SUPPLY-DEMAND OUTLOOK1 April - 31 May 2014

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Gross Reserve/Deficiency (MW) Required Regulating Reserve Required Contingency Reserve Required Dispatchable Reserve

Max Demand8,654 MW

Average ReserveApr 2014: 1,289 MWMay 2014: 1,251 MW

Projected CapacityMax: 9,652 MW

Average: 9,115 MW

Reserve Profile

POWER SUPPLY and DEMAND OUTLOOK

2014-2020

LUZON SUPPLY-DEMAND OUTLOOK 2014-2020

Notesa. Required Reserve Margin (RM) i.e. 4% regulating reserve and contingency and dispatchable reserve requirement b. 4.2 % peak demand growth rate resulted from observed 0.6 elasticity ratio of demand for electric power with national

economic growth applied to 7 percent GDP growth rate (GR) target for 2014-2015.c. 4.8 % peak demand growth rate resulted from observed 0.6 elasticity ratio of demand for electric power with national

economic growth applied to 8 percent GDP growth rate (GR) target for 2016-2020.d. Assumed 5.49 percent average forced outage of the total available capacity

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Committed Available Capacity Peak Demand Required Reserve

2014Jul : 150 MW Southwest Luzon Coal U1Aug: 135 MW Puting Bato U1

87 MW Burgos Wind18 MW Northwind P3

Sep: 67.5 MW Pililia Wind81 MW Caparispisan Wind

Oct: 150 MW Southwest Luzon Coal U2Nov: 20 MW SJCI BiomassDec: 200 MW EWC P1

2015Mar : 18 MW IBEC Biomass

100 MW AvionJun: 18 MW Cj Global Biomass Jul : 10.8 MW Green BiomassNov: 135 MW Puting Bato U2Dec: 200 MW EWC P2

2016Mar : 82 MW Anda PowerDec: 200 MW EWC P3

LUZON SUPPLY-DEMAND OUTLOOK 2014-2020Projected Reserve

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Projected Reserve Regulating Reserve Contingency Reserve Dispatchable Reserve

Notesa. Regulating Reserve: Refers to a Generating Unit that assists in Frequency Control by providing automatic Primary

and/or Secondary Frequency response. Equals to 4 % of the peak demandb. Contingency Reserve: Generating Capacity that is intended to take care of the loss of the largest Synchronized

Generating Unit or the power import from a single Grid interconnection, whichever is larger.c. Dispatchable Reserve: Kept in operable condition and available for service but not for immediate loading, also equal

to the largest single unit operating in the system

COMMITTED POWER PROJECTSLuzon Grid Committed Power Projects, 1,724.65 MW

List of Power Projects as of 28 February 2014

Type Name of the Project Project Proponent Mother/ JV Company Location

Rated

Capacity

(MW)

Project Cost

(Php Billion)

Target

Commissioning

COAL

2 X 150 MW SLPGC

Coal-Fired Power Plant

Phase I

Southwest Luzon

Power Generation

Corporation (Project

Company)

DMCI Power

Corporation

Brgy. San Rafael,

Calaca, Batangas300 45.4

Unit I – Jul 2014; Unit

II – Oct 2014

COAL

135 MW Puting Bato

Coal Fired Power Plant

Phase I

South Luzon Thermal

Energy Corp.

(SLTEC)

Trans Asia Oil and

Energy Development

Corporation (TAOil)

Brgy. Puting Bato

West, Calaca,

Batangas

135 12.9 August 2014

WIND

Phase 1:

Burgos Wind Power

Project

EDC Burgos Wind

Power Corporation

Energy Development

Corporation (EDC)

Nagsurot-Saoit,

Burgos, Ilocos Norte87 12.8 August 2014

WIND

Phase 3:

Bangui Bay Wind

Power Project

NorthWind Power

Development

Corporation

NorthWind Power

Development

Corporation

Bangui, Ilocos Norte 18 1.5 August 2014

WIND

Phase 1:

Pililla Wind Power

Project

Alternergy Wind One

CorporationAlternergy

Brgy. Halayhayin,

Pililla, Rizal67.5 7.7 September 2014

WINDCaparispisan Wind

Energy Project

Northern Luzon UPC

Asia CorporationUPC Asia Corporation

Brgy. Caparispisan,

Pagudpud, Ilocos

Norte

81 11.2 September 2014

NATGAS100 MW San Gabriel

Avion Project

Prime Meridian

PowerGen

Corporation (Project

Company)

First Gen Corporation

First Gen Power

Corporation

Barangay Bolbok,

Batangas100 10.0 September 2014

BIOMASS

24 MW SJCiPower

Rice Husk-Fired

Biomass power Plant

Project

San Jose City I Power

Corporation

San Jose City I Power

Corporation

Brgy. Tulat, San Jose,

Nueva Ecija20.00 1.2

November 2014

(Subject to FIT)




Rated

Capacity

(MW)

Project Cost

(Php Billion)

Target

Commissioning

NATGAS

Pagbilao 600 MW

Combined Cycle Gas

Fired Power Plant

Proposed 3x200 MW

CCGT Power Plant

Energy World

Corporation

Energy World

Corporation

Brgy. Ibabang Polo,

Grande Island,

Pagbilao, Quezon

600 12.9

Dec 20141st Unit -

200MW, Dec

2015:2nd Unit-

200MW

Dec 2016:3rd Unit-

200MW

BIOMASS20 MW IBEC Biomass

Power Plant

Isabela Biomass

Energy Corporation

(IBEC)

Isabela Biomass Energy

Corporation (IBEC)Isabela 18 1.9

March 2015

(Subject to FIT)

BIOMASS

20 MW Waste-to-

Energy Project using

Thermal Gasifier

Conversion

CJ Global Green

Energy Philippine

Corp.

CJ Global Green Energy

Philippine Corp.Camarines Sur 18 June 2015

BIOMASS12 MW Biomass

Power Plant Project

Green Innovations for

Tomorrow

Corporation

Green Innovations for

Tomorrow CorporationNueva Ecija 10.80 July 2015

BIOMASS3.5 MW Bicol Biomass

Energy Corporation

Bicol Biomass

Energy Corporation

Bicol Biomass Energy

CorporationCamarines Sur 3.15 Dec 2015

BIOMASS

12 MW Multi-

Feedstock Biomass

Power Plant Project

Cagayan Biomass

Energy Corporation

Cagayan Biomass

Energy CorporationCagayan 10.80 Dec 2015

COAL

135 MW Puting Bato

Coal Fired Power

Plant Phase II

South Luzon Thermal

Energy Corp.

(SLTEC)

Trans Asia Oil and

Energy Development

Corporation (TAOil)

Brgy. Puting Bato

West, Calaca,

Batangas

135 9.6 November 2015

HYDRO Inabasan Ormin Power, Inc. Ormin Power, Inc.San Teodoro,

Oriental Mindoro10.0 December 2015

COAL

Anda Power

Corporation's 82 MW

Circulating Fluidized

Bed Coal Fired Power

Plant

Anda Power

Corporation

Anda Power

Corporation

Brgy. Bundagul,

Mabalacat,

Pampanga

82 8.6 March 2016




Rated

Capacity

(MW)

Project Cost

(Php Billion)

Target

Commissioning

HYDRO CatuiranSta. Clara Power

Corp.Sta. Clara Power Corp.

Naujan, Oriental

Mindoro8.0 March 2016

HYDROLinao-Cawayan

(Upper Cascade)

Oriental Mindoro

Electric Cooperative,

Inc. (ORMECO)

Oriental Mindoro Electric

Cooperative, Inc.

(ORMECO)

Baco, Oriental

Mindoro2.1 0.3 March 2016

TOTAL1,724.65

INDICATIVE POWER PROJECTSLuzon Grid Indicative Power Projects, 10,185.20 MW

List of Power Projects as of 28 February 2014 13

Name of the Project Project Proponent Mother/ JV Company LocationRated Capacity

(MW)

Target

Commissioning

2 X 20 MW FDC Camarines

CFB Coal Power PlantFDC Utilities, Inc. FDC Utilities, Inc. Camarines Sur 40.00 March 2016

300 MW Limay Power Plant

Project Phase I

(2x150MW)

SMC Consolidated Power

Corporation


CorporationBrgy. Lamao, Limay, Bataan 300.00

Unit 1 - 150 MW -

Feb. 2016

Unit 2 - 150 MW -

July 2016

2 X 300 MW Coal-Fired Power

Plant

Redondo Peninsula Energy,

Inc.

MERALCO MGEN Power

Corporation/ Aboitiz Power

Corporation/ Taiwan

Cogeneration Corporation

Sitio Naglatore, Cawag,

Subic Bay Freeport Zone600.00

Unit I - October

2016

Unit II - December

2016

2 X 150 MW SLPGC Coal-

Fired Power Plant Phase II

Southwest Luzon Power

Generation Corporation

(Project Company)

DMCI Power CorporationBrgy. San Rafael, Calaca,

Batangas300.00

Unit I - 2016

Unit II - 2016

2 X 300 MW Masinloc

Expansion

AES Masinloc Power

Partners Co., Inc.

AES Philippines Power Partners

Co., LTD.Zambales 600.00

Unit 3 (300 MW) -

October 2017

Unit 4 (300 MW) -

October 2017

Quezon Power Expansion

ProjectQuezon Power Phils.


CorporationMauban, Quezon 500.00 July 2017


Project Phase II

(2x150MW)


Corporation


CorporationBrgy. Lamao, Limay, Bataan 300.00

Unit 1 - 150 MW -

Jan. 2017

Unit 2 - 150 MW -

July 2017

1 x 420 MW Pagbilao Coal-

Fired Thermal Power PlantPagbilao Energy Corporation TeaM Energy / Aboitiz Power

Pagbilao Power Station,

Nrgy. Ibabang Polo,

Pagbilao, Quezon

420.00 January 2018

2 X 600 MW Mariveles

Expansion Project

GNPower Mariveles Coal

Plant Ltd. Co.GNPower Ltd. Co. Mariveles, Bataan 1,200.00 2018


Project Phase III

1x300MW)


Corporation


CorporationBrgy. Lamao, Limay, Bataan 300.00 2019/2020

TOTAL COAL 4,560.00




(MW)

Target

Commissioning

Aero Derivative Combined

Cycle Power Plant

Calamba Aero Power

Corporation

MERALCO MGEN Power

CorporationCalamba, Laguna 150.00 TBA

TOTAL OIL-BASED 150.00

San Gabriel Power Plant First Gas Power Corp. First Gen Power Corporation San Gabriel, Batangas 450.00 December 2015

2 x 1,200 MW Combined

Cycle Gas Turbine Power

Plant Project

Atlantic, Gulf and Pacific

Company of Manila, IncAG&P

Limay, Bataan

(PNOC-AFC Industrial

Estate)

2,400.00

Unit 1 - March

2017

Unit II - March

2018

415 MW San Isidro Combined

Cycle Gas Turbine Plant

Project

Trans Asia Oil and Energy

Development Corporation

(TAOil)

Trans Asia Oil and Energy

Development Corporation

(TAOil)

Pilipinas Shell Petroleum

Co.'s Tabangao Refinery,

Brgy. San Isidro and

Tabangao-Ambulong,

Batangas City

415.00 September 2017

LNG-Fired Combined Cycle

Power Plant * Onshore

Regasification and Storage

Terminal

Meralco PowerGen

Corporation and Chubu

Electric Power

MERALCO MGEN Power

CorporationAtimonan, Quezon 1,750.00 2018-2019

TOTAL NATGAS 5,015.00

Tanawon Geothermal ProjectEnergy Development

Corporation (EDC)

Energy Development

Corporation (EDC)Guinlajon, Sorsogon 40.00 December 2018

Rangas Geothermal ProjectEnergy Development

Corporation (EDC)

Energy Development

Corporation (EDC)Bacon District, Sorsogon 40.00 June 2019

Kayabon Geothermal ProjectEnergy Development

Corporation (EDC)

Energy Development

Corporation (EDC)Manito, Albay 40.00 December 2019

TOTAL GEOTHERMAL 120.00




(MW)

Target

Commissioning

Ibulao Hydroelectric Power

ProjectHydrocore, Inc. Hydrocore, Inc. Lagawe, Ifugao 4.50 May 2015

Dupinga Hydroelectric Power

Project

Constellation Energy

CorporationExelon Corporation Gabaldon, Nueva Ecija 3.00 October 2015

Main AklanSunwest Water & Electric Co.,

Inc. (SUWECO)

Sunwest Water & Electric Co., Inc.

(SUWECO)Libacao, Albay 15.00 July 2016

Tinoc 2Philnew Hydro Power

CorporationPhilnew Hydro Power Corporation Tinoc, Ifugao 11.00 December 2016


CorporationPhilnew Hydro Power Corporation Tinoc, Ifugao 5.00 June 2017

PinacanauanSunwest Water & Electric Co.,

Inc.

Sunwest Water & Electric Co., Inc.

(SUWECO)Peñablanca, Cagayan 6.00 July 2017

Tinoc 1 Quadriver Energy Corp. Quadriver Energy Corp. Tinoc, Ifugao 4.10 April 2018


CorporationPhilnew Hydro Power Corporation Tinoc, Ifugao 5.00 April 2018

TOTAL HYDRO 53.60

Currimao Solar Photovoltaic

Power ProjectMirae Asia Energy Corporation Mirae Asia Energy Corporation Currimao, Ilocos Norte 20.00 August 2014

Macabud Solar Photovoltaic

Power Project

ATN Philippines Solar Energy

Group, Inc.

ATN Philippines Solar Energy

Group, Inc.

Brgy. Macabud, Rodriguez,

Rizal30.00 February 2016

TOTAL SOLAR 50.00

Phase 2:

Burgos Wind Power Project

EDC Burgos Wind Power

Corporation

Energy Development Corporation

(EDC)

Nagsurot-Saoit, Burgos, Ilocos

Norte63.00 September 2014

Balaoi Wind Power ProjectNorthern Luzon UPC Asia

CorporationUPC Asia Corporation

Brgy. Balaoi, Pagudpud, Ilocos

Norte45.00 August 2015

Phase 2:

Mabitac Wind Power Project

Alternergy Sembrano Wind

CorporationAlternergy Mt. Sembrano, Mabitac, Laguna 72.00 April 2017

Phase 1:

Pasuquin East Wind Power

Project

Energy Logics Philippines, Inc. Delgado Group of Companies Pasuquin, Ilocos Norte 48.00 January 2017

TOTAL WIND 228.00

10 MW Serin CorporationRice

Husk-Fired Power PlantSerin Corporation Tarlac 8.60 TBA

TOTAL BIOMASS 8.60

TOTAL 10,185.20

LUZON POWER SITUATION AND OUTLOOK

3 APRIL 2014

end of presentation

luzon power situation and outlook · 2017-11-02 · luzon electricity supply-demand outlook 1 april...

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