louisiana department of natural resources
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Louisiana Department of Natural Resources. Louisiana Mid-Continent Oil and Gas Association “Perspective on Energy Issues” DNR Secretary Scott A. Angelle January 26, 2012. Oil and Gas prices decoupling. Price Dynamics Changing Faster. Historic Pricing Ratio: Oil vs Natural Gas. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Louisiana Department of Natural ResourcesLouisiana Department of Natural Resources
Louisiana Mid-ContinentOil and Gas Association
“Perspective on Energy Issues”
DNR Secretary Scott A. AngelleJanuary 26, 2012
1
Oil and Gas prices decoupling
2
Price Dynamics Changing FasterHistoric Pricing Ratio: Oil vs Natural Gas
3
Shale Plays in Lower 48 States
4
U.S. Energy Sources in 2011
5
6
Domestic Gas Production/ConsumptionTrillion Cubic Feet Per Year
Gap Filled with Imports
Oil vs Gas in U.S. Drilling
7
8
One Week of Natural Gas Prices
Petrochemicals on the way down in 2008-2009
9
Ga. Gulf cuts 100 at La. plant The Advocate June 6, 2009
Dow trimming La. jobs260 laid off around areaThe Advocate January 31, 2009
50 face layoffs at BR officesAlbemarle Corp. starts RestructuringThe Advocate January 30, 2009
Before Wednesday's announcement by Dow, the Louisiana Chemical Association anticipated losing about 1,000 chemical jobs in the next year…The Advocate December 11, 2008
• Port of New Orleans expansion after chemical exports jumped 34 percent in 2010
• Dow investing $4 billion in Gulf Coast ethane cracker near Gulf Coast by 2017, will reopen another in Louisiana, and build two propylene plants
• Methanex of Canada has announced it will move production facilities from Chile to Louisiana
• Occidental Chemical, Chevron Phillips Chemical, and Formosa Plastics Corp. have indicated interest in Gulf Coast
10
Shale Natural Gas Has Brought on Mississippi River Renaissance
Gas-to-Liquids Opportunity
• Sasol proposed Gas-To-Liquids plant in Calcasieu Parish
• Potential $10-billion direct investment and 800-plus direct jobs that are associated with it
• Designed to produce highway-grade diesel fuel
• Sasol has stated economics work at 20-to-1 oil-gas price ratio
• Already began expansion of petrochemical facility in the area
11
Northwest –Southwest Global Expressway
12
Cheniere Energy Partners has initiated a project to transform its Sabine Pass LNG Terminal into a
bi-directional facility.
Text Body in White 12-20 pt Aerial Font (bold)
Sabine Pass LNG Terminal
Updated: 04/01/2011 AD
13
1.7 tcf
.78 tcf
Louisiana total – 2.49 tcf from 19,845 wells
2011 Natural Gas Production
Haynesville accounts for 9 percent of state gas wells and 68 percent of state gas production
Haynesville only – 1.7 tcf from 1,805 wells
U.S. total – 23 tcf from 480,000+ wells
30 percent of U.S. natural gas production now comes from shale wells
14
15
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
68 89 134 97 66
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
49 24 31 40 44
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
53 38 26 27 38
Three Louisianas – Five Years
Snapshots of rig activity trends
Louisiana Rig Counts 2008 - 2011
16
OCS Moratorium
Louisiana’s New Energy Map
17
Davy Jones Discovery
• 2 wells drilled, awaiting completion equipment
• First production could come in 2012
• McMoran’s investment has drawn interest in area from other exploration companies
• McMoran Exploration is developing major discovery in about 20 feet of water, 10 miles south of Vermilion Parish
• Ultra-deep prospect – drilled more than 30,000 feet under sea floor (more than 5 miles)
• May be 200 feet thick – estimates of 2 tcf to 6 tcf of natural gas, potentially one of the largest finds in the Gulf
18
OCS Activity Improving – But Not There Yet
19
OCS Moratorium
Pre-Moratorium Rig Activity Level
20
Crude Oil/Condensate Production 2011Million Barrels a Day
21
GEST Related Meetings/Phone Calls
DateMeeting /Call Location Notes
1 18-Jun-10 Call MMS & Stakeholder Conference call
2 22-Jun-10 Call MMS & Stakeholder Conference call
3 24-Jun-10 Call MMS and stakeholder conference call
4 25-Jun-10 Call MMS and Stakeholder Conference Call
5 29-Jun-10 Call MMS & Stakeholder Conference Call
6 1-Jul-10 Call MMS and Stakeholder Conference Call
7 6-Jul-10 Meeting BTR Meeting with Lori Leblanc
8 6-Jul-10 Call MMS and Stakeholder Conference Call
9 8-Jul-10 Call MMS & Stakeholder Conference Call
10 13-Jul-10 CallConference call RE: Strategy for Recovery for Oil & Gas Industry
11 21-Jul-10 Call BOEM Conference Call
12 23-Jul-10 Call Conference call on Shallow Water Drilling
13 28-Jul-10 CallConference call with Shallow and Deep water drillers
14 29-Jul-10 Call BOEM Conference Call
15 2-Aug-10 Call Lori Leblanc Conference Call
16 4-Aug-10 Meeting New Orleans Meeting with Lori Leblanc/Others RE: Workshop
17 12-Aug-10 Workshop Lafayette Offshore Drilling Regulatory
18 31-Aug-10 Call Bromwich precall
19 1-Sep-10 Call Conference call with Lori Leblanc
20 8-Sep-10 Workshop Lafayette Event at the Lite Center
21 13-Sep-10
22 13-Sep-10 Call Industry Conference Call
23 22-Sep-10 Workshop New Orleans Offshore Drilling Regulatory Workshop
24 13-Oct-10 Call Conference Call with Shallow Water Drillers
25 19-Oct-10 CallCall with Lori Leblanc, Sandi Fury, Warren Williams, Kalil Ackal and Jim Noe
26 3-Nov-10 Meeting Baton Rouge Meeting with Lori Leblanc
27 12-Nov-10 Call Conference Call with Shallow Water Drillers
28 1-Dec-10 Call Conference call with GEST group
29 2-Dec-10 Call Return to Work Coalition Conference Call
30 7-Dec-10 Call Conference call with Lori Leblanc
DateMeeting /Call Location Notes
31 20-Dec-10 Call Conference call with Lori Leblanc32 7-Jan-11 Call Conference call with Back to work Coalition
33 12-Jan-11 Meeting DC Meeting with “Back to work Coalition”
34 12-Jan-11 Meeting DC Meeting with Director Bromwich and Back to Work Coalition35 14-Jan-11 Call Conference call with Back to work Coalition
36 20-Jan-11 Call Conference call White Paper, “Should to Must”37 31-Jan-11 Call Conference call with Back to work Coalition38 1-Feb-11 Call Conference call with Back to work Coalition
39 14-Feb-11 Call Conference call with Back to work Coalition
40 21-Feb-11 Call Conference call with Back to work Coalition
41 28-Feb-11 Call Conference call with Back to work Coalition
42 14-Mar-11 Call Small Group Industry Conference Call
43 14-Mar-11 Call Large Industry Conference Call
44 24-Mar-11 MeetingNew Orleans GEST & Back to work Coalition meeting
45 1-Apr-11 Call Conference call with Back to work Coalition
46 15-Apr-11 Call Conference call with Back to work Coalition
47 11-May-11 Call Conference call with Lori Leblanc & GEST Members48 1-Jun-11 Call Conference call with Lori Leblanc
49 3-Jun-11 Call Conference call with Back to Work Coalition (Small Grp)50 7-Jun-11 Call Conference call with Back to Work Coalition51 10-Jun-11 Call Conference call with Lori Leblanc
52 16-Jun-11 Call Conference call with Lori Leblanc & Bill Townsley (Shell)53 29-Jun-11 Call Conference call with Lori Leblanc & Others
54 8-Jul-11 Call Conference call with Lori Leblanc & Ted
55 15-Jul-11 Call Conference call with Back to Work Coalition (Small Grp)56 1-Aug-11 Call Conference call with Back to Work Coalition
57 30-Aug-11 Workshop BOEMRE Workshop
58 12-Sep-11 Call Conference call with Lori Leblanc
59 15-Sep-11 Meeting BOEMRE Reorganization Meeting
60 15-Sep-11 Meeting Meeting with Back to Work Coalition and Director Bromwich61 3-Oct-11 Call Conference Call with Back to Work Coalition62 18-Oct-11 Call Conference Call with Lori Leblanc & Others
DateMeeting /Call Location Notes
63 20-Oct-11 CallConference Call with Lori Leblanc & Back to Work Coalition
64 26-Oct-11 CallConference call with Back to Work Coalition
65 28-Oct-11 CallConference call with Steve Feldgus & Back to work Coalition
66 23-Nov-11 Call Conference call with Lori Leblanc67 30-Nov-11 Meeting Houston GEST Stakeholders Meeting
22
Deepwater Plan and First APD Approval: EPs and DOCDs
92
170
119
171
121
213192
43
107
203191199219219
182187190176
232204
231203204
73
158
76
122
62
133126
238248
98
51
173146
100
273
12692
300288288
173
110
167
43
115
289
191
352
227
21
100
283
120122
60 62
120
5886 89
5623
52
40
47
46
25
2146
27
28
4341 31
29 29
30 31 2828
3058
3155 65
17
46
35
33
50
35 42
51 29
24
74
29
30
76
47
48
36
30 51 51
54
30
51
71
53
36
162
29
26
62
29
110
5534
3042
42
26
2950
29
27
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Shel
l GB
427
Shel
l MC
348
Stat
oil A
C 81
0BH
P G
C 73
8BH
P G
C 65
3Co
balt
GC
858
Hes
s GC
507
Nex
en G
C 87
2H
ess G
C 69
Nex
en G
C 32
7N
exen
GC
504
Chev
ron
WR
142
Nex
en G
C 46
0N
exen
GC
549
Chev
ron
GB
973
Chev
ron
WR
758
Uno
cal W
R 63
4St
atoi
l WR
925
LLO
G M
C 43
1N
ewfie
ld M
C 39
0Sh
ell M
C 93
5Co
balt
GB
958
New
field
MC
524
Shel
l MC
762
Apac
he A
T 76
Stat
oil G
C 40
4De
epgu
lf G
B 50
6An
adar
ko W
R 79
3Ap
ache
ST
318
Reps
ol K
C 64
2EN
I WR
719
Chev
ron
KC 7
36Ap
ache
GC
861
Stat
oil K
C 69
8Pe
trob
ras W
R 20
6LL
OG
MC
300
ENI M
C 77
2M
arat
hon
MC
993
Shel
l AC
857
Shel
l WR
95W
oods
ide
GC
451
Anad
arko
GC
904
Woo
dsid
e AT
187
BHP
AT 5
74Sh
ell M
C 98
4LL
OG
MC
503
Mar
atho
n W
R 57
8Ch
evro
n W
R 29
BP K
C 29
2Ch
evro
n G
C 64
0W
oods
ide
GC
451
LLO
G M
C 70
5Sh
ell G
B 42
7Ap
ache
GC
823
Anad
arko
LL
400
ATP
MC
710
BHP
GC
609
Anad
arko
KC
875
Shel
l MC
762
Nob
le M
C 69
9Ex
xon
KC 9
19An
adar
ko E
B 64
5N
ewfie
ld V
K 10
02Sh
ell W
R 50
7LL
OG
MC
301
Day
s
DW Plan & First APD Approval Trend: EPs & DOCDs
Plans: Operator submission to "Deemed Submitted" Plans: "Deemed Submitted" to Final Action (Approval)
APD Submittal (Post Plan Approval) to APD Approval 5 Plan Average Approval Time
Deepwater plans with EA. Adjusted reference date to 10/12/2010. *APDs targeting HC only.
Based on Coalition data QC as of 1/1/2012
May June July Aug Sept OctM
arch Nov Dec