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Long Term Services and Supports Peter Kemper Pennsylvania State University Presentation at the National Health Policy Forum “Health Policy Essentials: The Fundamentals of Long-Term Services and Supports” April 1, 2011

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Page 1: Long Term Services and Supports · 2011-04-05 · Extensive LTSS can be costly • Nationwide average prices (in 2010) – Nursing home: $75,000 per year – Assisted living: $40,000

Long Term Services and Supports

Peter KemperPennsylvania State University

Presentation at the National Health Policy Forum “Health Policy Essentials: The Fundamentals of Long-Term Services and Supports”

April 1, 2011

Page 2: Long Term Services and Supports · 2011-04-05 · Extensive LTSS can be costly • Nationwide average prices (in 2010) – Nursing home: $75,000 per year – Assisted living: $40,000

Preview

1. Need for LTSS is defined based on functional limitations.

2. Definition of functional limitations is important for policy.

3. The population needing LTSS will continue to grow.

4. Most needing LTSS live at home relying on unpaid help.

5. Lifetime risk of LTSS need is high, varies, and uninsured.

6. Medicaid and limited private insurance have important effects on people with functional limitations, families, and industry.

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Page 3: Long Term Services and Supports · 2011-04-05 · Extensive LTSS can be costly • Nationwide average prices (in 2010) – Nursing home: $75,000 per year – Assisted living: $40,000

1. Need for LTSS is defined based on functional limitations regardless of cause,

setting, or payer.

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Page 4: Long Term Services and Supports · 2011-04-05 · Extensive LTSS can be costly • Nationwide average prices (in 2010) – Nursing home: $75,000 per year – Assisted living: $40,000

What are LTSS?

A broad range of supportive services needed by people who have limitations in their ability to perform daily activities because of a physical, cognitive, or mental disability or condition.

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Source: O’Shaughnessy (2011).

Page 5: Long Term Services and Supports · 2011-04-05 · Extensive LTSS can be costly • Nationwide average prices (in 2010) – Nursing home: $75,000 per year – Assisted living: $40,000

What LTSS are NOT

• Medical and nursing care for chronic health conditions underlying disability

• Short-term post-acute care after hospitalization• Hospice careBut for the individual LTSS intersect all of these. Individuals who need LTSS often also have chronic health conditions, may be hospitalized, or are nearing end of life.

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Page 6: Long Term Services and Supports · 2011-04-05 · Extensive LTSS can be costly • Nationwide average prices (in 2010) – Nursing home: $75,000 per year – Assisted living: $40,000

What causes functional limitations?

• Chronic diseases or conditions • Developmental disabilities• Aging • Trauma• Alzheimer’s disease and dementia

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Page 7: Long Term Services and Supports · 2011-04-05 · Extensive LTSS can be costly • Nationwide average prices (in 2010) – Nursing home: $75,000 per year – Assisted living: $40,000

Where do people receive LTSS?

• At home (from unpaid family, friends, and paid caregivers)

• In the community (e.g., adult day care centers, workplace)

• In residential places (e.g., group homes, assisted living facilities, adult foster care)

• In nursing facilities

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Page 8: Long Term Services and Supports · 2011-04-05 · Extensive LTSS can be costly • Nationwide average prices (in 2010) – Nursing home: $75,000 per year – Assisted living: $40,000

A caution on terminology

• “LTSS” is a relatively new term for what has been called “long term care”

• Many still use “long term care” to mean LTSS• But beware: Some use “long term care” to

mean only nursing home care• The Affordable Care Act uses LTSS

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Page 9: Long Term Services and Supports · 2011-04-05 · Extensive LTSS can be costly • Nationwide average prices (in 2010) – Nursing home: $75,000 per year – Assisted living: $40,000

2. The definition of functional limitations is important for policy.

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Page 10: Long Term Services and Supports · 2011-04-05 · Extensive LTSS can be costly • Nationwide average prices (in 2010) – Nursing home: $75,000 per year – Assisted living: $40,000

How is need for LTSS defined in practice?

Activities of Daily Living (ADLs)• Eating• Toileting• Transferring• Bathing• Dressing• Continence

Instrumental Activities of Daily Living (IADLs)

• Going places• Shopping• Cooking• Housework• Managing money• Managing medications

SupervisionTo prevent harm due to intellectual or cognitive impairment

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Page 11: Long Term Services and Supports · 2011-04-05 · Extensive LTSS can be costly • Nationwide average prices (in 2010) – Nursing home: $75,000 per year – Assisted living: $40,000

Why is the definition important for policy?

• Basis for eligibility for state LTSS• Private insurance’s benefit trigger• CLASS Act’s benefit trigger

1. Is unable to perform at least 2 or 3 activities of daily livingwithout substantial assistance; or

2. Requires substantial supervision to protect the individual due to substantial cognitive impairment; or

3. Has a similar level of functional limitation(for 90 days or longer in each case)

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Page 12: Long Term Services and Supports · 2011-04-05 · Extensive LTSS can be costly • Nationwide average prices (in 2010) – Nursing home: $75,000 per year – Assisted living: $40,000

3. The population needing LTSS will continue to grow.

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Page 13: Long Term Services and Supports · 2011-04-05 · Extensive LTSS can be costly • Nationwide average prices (in 2010) – Nursing home: $75,000 per year – Assisted living: $40,000

About three-fifths of adults who need LTSS are 65 or older

Under 6542%

65 or older 58%

13Source: Feder, Komisar, & Friedland (2007).

Page 14: Long Term Services and Supports · 2011-04-05 · Extensive LTSS can be costly • Nationwide average prices (in 2010) – Nursing home: $75,000 per year – Assisted living: $40,000

Percent of the adult population that needs LTSS rises with age

14

10

29

18-64 65-74 75-84 85+

14Source: Feder, Komisar, & Friedland (2007).

Page 15: Long Term Services and Supports · 2011-04-05 · Extensive LTSS can be costly • Nationwide average prices (in 2010) – Nursing home: $75,000 per year – Assisted living: $40,000

Population over age 65 will continue to grow; so will need for LTSS

0102030405060708090

100

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

Age 65-8485 or older

15

Mill

ions

Federal Interagency Forum on Aging-Related Statistics (2010).

Page 16: Long Term Services and Supports · 2011-04-05 · Extensive LTSS can be costly • Nationwide average prices (in 2010) – Nursing home: $75,000 per year – Assisted living: $40,000

4. Most adults who need LTSS live in the community relying on unpaid help.

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Page 17: Long Term Services and Supports · 2011-04-05 · Extensive LTSS can be costly • Nationwide average prices (in 2010) – Nursing home: $75,000 per year – Assisted living: $40,000

Most adults who need LTSS live in the community, especially if under age 65

Community, Under 65

40%

Community, Over 65

45%

Nursing home, Over 65

13%

Nursing home, Under 65

2%

17Source: Feder, Komisar, & Friedland (2007).

Page 18: Long Term Services and Supports · 2011-04-05 · Extensive LTSS can be costly • Nationwide average prices (in 2010) – Nursing home: $75,000 per year – Assisted living: $40,000

Most adults in the community who need LTSS receive unpaid help

Unpaid only76%

Paid only 8%

Both paid and unpaid14%

None2%

18Source: Feder, Komisar & Friedland 2007

Page 19: Long Term Services and Supports · 2011-04-05 · Extensive LTSS can be costly • Nationwide average prices (in 2010) – Nursing home: $75,000 per year – Assisted living: $40,000

Who cares varies with recipient’s age

19Source: Kaye, Harrington, & LaPlante (2010).

Page 20: Long Term Services and Supports · 2011-04-05 · Extensive LTSS can be costly • Nationwide average prices (in 2010) – Nursing home: $75,000 per year – Assisted living: $40,000

Many people go without needed LTSS

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Unmet Need20%

Met Need80%

Community adults who need LTSS

Source: Feder, Komisar & Friedland 2007.

Page 21: Long Term Services and Supports · 2011-04-05 · Extensive LTSS can be costly • Nationwide average prices (in 2010) – Nursing home: $75,000 per year – Assisted living: $40,000

5. An individual’s lifetime risk of needing LTSS is high, duration varies

greatly, but few have insurance.

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Page 22: Long Term Services and Supports · 2011-04-05 · Extensive LTSS can be costly • Nationwide average prices (in 2010) – Nursing home: $75,000 per year – Assisted living: $40,000

What LTSS risk does an individual face?

Risk at age 65 of needing LTSS before death

Percent who will need some LTSS 69%

Average duration

Among people needing some LTSS 4.3 years

Among all people turning 65 3 years

Source: Kemper, Komisar, & Alecxih (2006 )22

Page 23: Long Term Services and Supports · 2011-04-05 · Extensive LTSS can be costly • Nationwide average prices (in 2010) – Nursing home: $75,000 per year – Assisted living: $40,000

The duration of need for LTSS varies greatly

31%

17%

12%

20% 20%

Zero 1 or less 1-2 2-5 M ore than 5

Years needing LTSS after age 65

23Source: Kemper, Komisar, & Alecxih (2006).

4.3 years on average

Page 24: Long Term Services and Supports · 2011-04-05 · Extensive LTSS can be costly • Nationwide average prices (in 2010) – Nursing home: $75,000 per year – Assisted living: $40,000

Extensive LTSS can be costly

• Nationwide average prices (in 2010)– Nursing home: $75,000 per year– Assisted living: $40,000 per year– Home care aide: $30,600 per year ($21/hr. x 28 hrs./wk.)– Adult day services: $16,000 ($67/day x 240 days)

• Prices vary greatly; e.g., nursing home cost:– San Francisco: $112,000– Houston: $53,000

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Source: The 2010 MetLife Market Survey of Nursing Home, Assisted Living, Adult Day Services, and Home Care Cost.

Page 25: Long Term Services and Supports · 2011-04-05 · Extensive LTSS can be costly • Nationwide average prices (in 2010) – Nursing home: $75,000 per year – Assisted living: $40,000

Private long term care insurance exists, but relatively few have it

• Most policies cover nursing home & home care• Some also cover assisted living & adult day • Price depends on features, age when purchased• Typically sold as individual policies • But market penetration is low

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Page 26: Long Term Services and Supports · 2011-04-05 · Extensive LTSS can be costly • Nationwide average prices (in 2010) – Nursing home: $75,000 per year – Assisted living: $40,000

Why do so few people have private long term care insurance?

• Demand is low– Consumer confusion, lack of knowledge– Difficult to navigate individual market– Concerns about premium increases, insurer viability, market

consolidation, benefit adequacy– Medicaid available if assets are exhausted– Expensive unless purchased when young

• “Underwriting” means many people can’t purchase it– One estimate: 28% of people age 65-69 could not buy policy

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Page 27: Long Term Services and Supports · 2011-04-05 · Extensive LTSS can be costly • Nationwide average prices (in 2010) – Nursing home: $75,000 per year – Assisted living: $40,000

Federal efforts have had little effect on the number of purchasers

• Federal tax incentives– Benefits exempt from taxation (for qualified policies)– Itemized deductions of premiums as medical expenses

• Information– Own Your Future campaign– National Clearinghouse for Long-Term Care website

• The Partnership for Long-Term Care program:– After exhausting benefits, policyholders can retain

more assets and still qualify for Medicaid

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Page 28: Long Term Services and Supports · 2011-04-05 · Extensive LTSS can be costly • Nationwide average prices (in 2010) – Nursing home: $75,000 per year – Assisted living: $40,000

6. Medicaid policy and limited private insurance have important implications.

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Page 29: Long Term Services and Supports · 2011-04-05 · Extensive LTSS can be costly • Nationwide average prices (in 2010) – Nursing home: $75,000 per year – Assisted living: $40,000

Key features of LTSS financing

• Much of LTSS are provided at home by unpaid family and friends

• A small minority have private LTC insurance• Medicaid covers paid LTSS for those with

limited financial resources• Most of the rest is paid for out-of-pocket

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Page 30: Long Term Services and Supports · 2011-04-05 · Extensive LTSS can be costly • Nationwide average prices (in 2010) – Nursing home: $75,000 per year – Assisted living: $40,000

How LTSS is financed affects families, risk, access, and industry

• Reliance on family care places unequally distributed demands on families

• Lack of insurance people are at financial risk • Reliance on Medicaid and out-of-pocket

– Affects access to care– Determines whether, what types of care can be obtained– Can lead to fragmented and uncoordinated care

• Payment, regulatory policy shapes industry

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Page 31: Long Term Services and Supports · 2011-04-05 · Extensive LTSS can be costly • Nationwide average prices (in 2010) – Nursing home: $75,000 per year – Assisted living: $40,000

Take away

1. Need for LTSS is defined based on functional limitations.

2. Definition of functional limitations is important for policy.

3. The population needing LTSS will continue to grow.

4. Most needing LTSS live at home relying on unpaid help.

5. Lifetime risk of LTSS need is high, varies, and uninsured.

6. Medicaid and limited private insurance have important effects on people with functional limitations, families, and industry.

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Page 32: Long Term Services and Supports · 2011-04-05 · Extensive LTSS can be costly • Nationwide average prices (in 2010) – Nursing home: $75,000 per year – Assisted living: $40,000

Sources

Feder, J, H Komisar, & R Friedland (2007). Long-Term Care Financing: Policy Options for the Future. Washington, DC: Georgetown University Long-Term Care Financing Project. http://ltc.georgetown.edu/papers.html

Federal Interagency Forum on Aging-Related Statistics. Older Americans 2010: Key Indicators of Well-Being. Washington DC: Us Government Printing Office.

Kaye, HS, C Harrington, MP LaPlante (2010). “Long-Term Care: Who Gets It, Who Provides It, Who Pays, and How Much.” Health Affairs, 29 (1), 11-21.

Kemper, P, H Komisar, & L Alecxih (2006). “Long Term Care Over an Uncertain Future: What Can Current Retirees Expect?” Inquiry, 42(4), 335-350.

MetLife Mature Market Institute & LifePlans, Inc. The 2010 MetLife Market Survey of Nursing Home, Assisted Living, Adult Day Services, and Home Care Costs.

O’Shaughnessy, C. (2010). The Basics: National Spending for Long-Term Services and Supports (LTSS). National Health Policy Forum.

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