london forex expo 03.06.2016 multi market analysis final edit
TRANSCRIPT
London Forex Expo 'Multi Market Analysis for capturing the major new macro FX trends’
with Francis Hunt aka ‘The Market Sniper’
Introduction & Session Plan
www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper
1. Introduction
Who am I?
Why should you care?
What I am going to tell you today
2. The Detail
I. Why do Intra Market/Cross Market & Multi Time Frame Market Analysis for FX or other markets offer
II. What do we look for & what can derive from it, for our trade?
Introduction & Session Plan
www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper
4. Summary & Conclusion
5. A few predictions
6. Squeeze the time continuum to success. The trellis of learning & dilemma of too much freedom, Multiple variable confusion
7. How to engage me, should you wish
8. Questions
Part 1 - Who am I?
www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper
Trading for 26 years across most markets
Been Training, Mentoring and Trader community building since 2009
Originator of the Hunt Volatility Funnel [HVF] Set up & Theory
MBA in International Finance & Economics
Member of the STA
Why should you care?
www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper
So what?
Utilising HVF Theory – Landed Major investing & trading Themes, e.g.–
1. Euro Crisis, Mk I & Mk II
• EURCHF floor to fail in January 2015 – for a 30% FX Trade overnight ‘Floor Fail’ Mk II
• EURCHF Nov 2009 Fail prediction for 1400 pips & preceding the 2010 Jan ‘Greek Crisis’ Mk I
Eurozone Crisis & Later 2015 Floor fail
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Floor Fail in January EURCHF
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Eurozone Crisis & Later 2015 Floor fail
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30% FX move in under an hour
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Retail Broker cost of Floor Fail in EURCHF
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The August Equity 2015, sell off. We traded USDJPY for a 62.5 RRR
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The August Equity 2015, sell off. We traded USDJPY for a 62.5 RRR
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Bank Crisis MKII – Deutsche Bank Bail In/Out,
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Bank Crisis MKII – Deutsche Bank Bail In/Out,
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Barclays Breaks & gives up the 200 level
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Barclays gives up the 200 level
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Banks
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Mega Crash Main Stream Media Arrives Banking Part II
Why When Trading, should we look Intra Market including different underlings
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1. A FRESH Perspective
2. FX has two halves the Base and the Quote Currency, you need to understand the outlook for both, when compared to other currencies
3. Cross Market Analysis, The worlds markets represents is a ‘flow of global liquidity’ seeking yield. The Commodity Theme’s, affect Commodity Currencies and indirectly Non-Commodity currencies
4. Multi Time Frame chart analysing of a Pair provide real Macro to Micro ‘in depth’ insight
How the Commodity Cycles, were relevant for FX
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2011 was a little noticed year…
But it was a critical Commodity Top
The Great Energy sell off - Brent 2014/15& Top out of 2011
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Brent Oil – [2011 Red] Weekly Chart
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GPX - 70% Market Cap decimationBEFORE
• Textbook inverse HVF • Perfect set up with a windup within • 70% devaluation performed well • Entered short from 102 to exit at target of 28.75
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Gulf Sands petroleum (GPX)BEFORE
• Textbook inverse HVF • Perfect set up with a windup within • 70% devaluation performed well • Entered short from 100 to exit at target of 27.75
Dr Copper the Industrial Metal of Building
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We Traded it on an Inverted HVF
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Contained initial fall, that got disorderly later
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AUD/NZD – Key Inflection points Monthly Chart
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AUD/NZD – Key Inflection points Weekly Chart 2011
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Brent Oil – [2011 Red] Weekly Chart
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USDNOK – [2011 Red] Monthly Chart
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USDNOK – [2011 Red] Weekly Chart
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USDCAD – [2011 Red] Weekly Chart
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USDCAD – [2011 Red] Weekly Chart
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The Boss Market & God of ‘Fear’ FX Pair - USDJPY
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This pair is a great indicator of ‘Fear’, generally great lengths are gone to, to prevent excessive Yen strength gains. If this happens, there is stress in the system.
Rarely good for emerging currencies
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Remember the ‘Fear index’ USDJPY
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Remember the ‘Fear index’ USDJPY weekly
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Remember the ‘Fear index’ USDJPY weekly
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Remember the ‘Fear index’ USDJPY weekly
Predictions
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1. The EURUSD will run through parity and 0.9575 levels, probably on Sovereign Debt & Banking issues. Implying the 2nd wave crisis will likely emerge there first
2. Bouts of USDJPY Weakness on most fearful moments, Possibly a long run reversal
3. FX Emergings against the Dollar to melt up again
EURUSD Weekly Predictions
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EURUSD Weekly Predictions
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FX Emergings Predictions
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FX Emergings Predictions
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Going Forward, what should you do?
www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper
1. More Pretrade Analysis,
2. Incorporate Intra market, Cross Market [Other underlyings or correlation/causation]. Multi Timeframe Analysis the 3+1 TF’s
3. Less trades generally, More Process & Trade record production
4. Less ‘at market’ Trade entry, more pending order triggers
5. Bigger Timeframe moves, Better Patience and More ‘away from screen’ time. Be a Long run Lifestyle trader, not an adrenalin addict
Truly attain a ‘Deep Seated’ Shift
www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper
1. If your existing situation is:
Successes, but ‘give back’ periods, Fits & Starts progress. Need help, yet least prone to ask for it by nature – Individual Creative
2. Time to Compress the ‘Time Continuum’ to Attaining a ‘Shift’
The Outakes & Conclusion
www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper
1. Solution - Support :
Become a specialist at 1 thing
Have a detailed complete strategy at all levels
Have a REAL edge
Low Emotion, Process Driven Trading
Follow my trades
The Outakes & Conclusion
www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper
1. Solution – Support [Continued] :
Trade with a Probability Outcome with a RRR approach
Know your Bias’s, through external assessment
Join a Private Online Community of ‘like minded’ – A Tribe
Learn Patience, Selectivity & Efficiency
Attain Precision, Relaxed Execution & Positive Outcomes
The Outakes & Conclusion
www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper
1. Solution - Support :
Develop your ‘self awareness’
Leave Impulse based responses behind
Receive Mentorship
Share Common Detailed Plan with others
Claim ‘the shift’ in your trading
Only those who will watch DVD in the next day, grab a Freeview at back
Products
www.TheMarketSniper.com
Product Includes Cost / Value
Trader Secrets Master Keys 1hr condensed break out principles. Webinar ‘How to become part of the 9%’ Free
91% of Traders fail, Become the 9% <== Click Here Trader Value Pack 5+ hours of content on DVD and CD £127.00‘Over the Shoulder’ Trading Day Live Location Day with Francis £147.00 Link http://www.eventbrite.co.uk/o/the-market-sniper-francis-hunt-8007187689HVF Draw Tool MT4 £457.008x Sunday Sessions 8x 1hr live webinar on prevalent market conditions and HVF theory + HVF Draw Tool MT4 £747.00
Basecamp Membership (online) Trading & Coaching community: share ideas, winning trades with a supportive community.
Joining Fee - £497.00 Mthly - £127.00
Trader Metamorphosis Program [TMP] 6 month teaching and coaching program includes:2 day theory weekend + 2x trading day + 2x One2One follow up + 12x Sunday Sessions + 6 mth Basecamp membership + HVF Draw Tool MT4. *Virtual Costings’ for outside the UK are lower email [email protected] for details
Live - £5,497.00Live Early Bird [EB] -
£4,997.00Virtual TMP EB - £3,997.00
Link https://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/hvf-trading-metamorphosis-program-6-month-program-tickets-18787348465?ref=estwOne-2-One Mentoring 4 x 45 min
8 x 45 min12x 45 min
$498.75 per session$398.75 per session$324.75 per session
20% off35% off
$1,995.00$3,190.00$3,897.00
©2015 – The Market Sniper
Follow, Contact and Questions
www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper
Avoid Inertia, at key moments, its time..
…To Take action.
June 18th Commencement of next Theory weekend
Free Premium Content DVD for an honest email address and an early viewing.
Ask about the Value Package Program ‘Lite’ till July 10th.
Email: [email protected] ; Skype is ‘FrancoFXTrader’
Free Items on www.TheMarketSniper.com [Click Shop]
Follow on Twitter @TheMarketSniper
YouTube & LinkedIn subscribe/connect: - Francis Hunt