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Page 1: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

London 2062- housing

© bere: architects

Page 2: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

Pelsmakers Sofie

© bere: architects

Page 3: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment50 years

from now,…

Page 4: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built EnvironmentI should be

Page 5: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built EnvironmentI should be

87 years old

Page 6: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environmentbecause

Page 7: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environmentbecause

Most women in my family live in

their 90’s

Page 8: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment

97

Page 9: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built EnvironmentBut will I?

Page 10: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built EnvironmentBut will I?

Probably not,…

Page 11: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built EnvironmentBecause

Page 12: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built EnvironmentBecause

by 2050

Page 13: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built EnvironmentBecause

by 2050London will

Page 14: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environmentbe too hot

Page 15: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environmentthis is fatal

to many elderly

Page 16: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built EnvironmentWhy?

Page 17: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built EnvironmentWhy?

1. NO global effort to reduce carbon emissions so unabated climate change:2-6ºC temperature rise

Page 18: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built EnvironmentWhy?

1. NO global effort to reduce carbon emissions so unabated climate change:2-6ºC temperature rise

2. UK failed to meet its 80% CO2 reduction by 2050

Page 19: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built EnvironmentWhy?

1. NO global effort to reduce carbon emissions so unabated climate change:2-6ºC temperature rise

2. UK failed to meet its 80% CO2 reduction by 2050

3. ≈75% of buildings which exist today will still exist in

2050; of which 26 million dwellings

Page 20: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built EnvironmentWhy?

1. NO global effort to reduce carbon emissions so unabated climate change:2-6ºC temperature rise

2. UK failed to meet its 80% CO2 reduction by 2050

3. ≈75% of buildings which exist today will still exist in

2050; of which 26 million dwellings4. Lack of incentives means they both contribute to CO2

emissions and are ill-adapted to London’s changing climate

Page 21: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built EnvironmentWhy?

1. NO global effort to reduce carbon emissions so unabated climate change:2-6ºC temperature rise

2. UK failed to meet its 80% CO2 reduction by 2050

3. ≈75% of buildings which exist today will still exist in

2050; of which 26 million dwellings4. Lack of incentives means they both contribute to CO2

emissions and are ill-adapted to London’s changing climate

5. Heat-related deaths; 2000 in summer 2003 in UK

Page 22: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built EnvironmentHow hot?

Page 23: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built EnvironmentHow hot? (2080)

Summers to be 4.5ºC warmer

Page 24: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built EnvironmentHow hot? (2080)

© The Environmental Design Pocketbook

Page 25: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built EnvironmentWhat else?

(2080)

Sea level rise: 50-90cm

Page 26: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built EnvironmentWhat else?

(2080)

Sea level rise: 50-90cmup to 26% decrease in summer rain

Page 27: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built EnvironmentWhat else?

(2080)

Sea level rise: 50-90cmup to 26% decrease in summer rain

Up to 32% increase in winter rain

Page 28: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environmentimpact?

Page 29: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environmentimpact?

1. Increased seasonal water shortages

Page 30: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environmentimpact?

1. Increased seasonal water shortages2. Increased risk of flooding + localized flash floods

Page 31: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environmentimpact?

1. Increased seasonal water shortages2. Increased risk of flooding + localized flash floods3. Decreased winter fuel-poverty

Page 32: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environmentimpact?

1. Increased seasonal water shortages2. Increased risk of flooding + localized flash floods3. Decreased winter fuel-poverty4. Increased summer ‘cooling-poverty’ and health related issues (particularly the elderly at risk)

Page 33: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environmentavoidable?

Page 34: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environmentavoidable?

Yes!

Page 35: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environmentavoidable?

But we have to future-proof

today.

Page 36: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built EnvironmentSounds

simple?

Page 37: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built EnvironmentIt is!

Page 38: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environmentbecause

Although these conditions are new to London, we can borrow from

other climates in the world (Mediterranean, Netherlands)

Page 39: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built EnvironmentHow?

By choosing housing interventions which both

mitigate and adapt to climate change

Page 40: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built EnvironmentHow?

5 key interventions

Page 41: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment1. insulate

Going to zero carbon

Page 42: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment1. insulate

Going to zero carbonInsulation & increased airtightness reduce winter heat loss but also

summer heat gains.

Page 43: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment1. insulate

Going to zero carbonInsulate existing housing stock to high standards

Page 44: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment1. insulate

Going to zero carbonPassivhaus/EnerPHit or similar

Page 45: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built EnvironmentSpot the

Passivhaus?

© bere: architects

Page 46: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment1. insulate

Going to zero carbonWe need to think about external insulation (retains thermal mass,

reduces thermal bridging & other risks)

Page 47: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment

Going to zero carbon

© Anne Thorne Architects

Page 48: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment

Going to zero carbon

© Anne Thorne Architects

Page 49: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment

Going to zero carbondepth of insulation is substantial

© Anne Thorne Architects

Page 50: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment

© Anne Thorne Architects

Page 51: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment1. insulate

Going to zero carbonwhile increasing airtightness we need to allow for biodiversity habitats!

Page 52: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment

© Architecture for Change

biodiversity…because striving for increased

airtightness reduces opportunities for birds to nest & bats to roost in gaps &

cracks of old buildings.

Page 53: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environmentbiodiversity

Example of how it can be supported

Page 54: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environmentbiodiversity

© bere: architects

Page 55: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment

© Architecture for Change

biodiversity

Page 56: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment2.greenery

Page 57: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment2.greenery

Increase greenery, permeable surfaces & water storage – at micro

and macro scale

Page 58: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment2.greenery

This will: •increase biodiversity

Page 59: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment2.greenery

This will: •increase biodiversity•reduce Urban Heat Island Effect & effects of hot summers

Page 60: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment2.greenery

This will: •increase biodiversity•reduce Urban Heat Island Effect & effects of hot summers•reduce flood risk

Page 61: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment

Going to zero carbon

© The Environmental Design Pocketbook

Page 62: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment

© The Environmental Design Pocketbook

Page 63: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment

Page 64: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment

© Architecture for Change

Page 65: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environmentmeasures© Architecture for Change

Page 66: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment

© bere: architects

Page 67: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment

Going to zero carbon

3.reflection

Page 68: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment

Going to zero carbon

3.reflectionLight coloured external surfaces at

micro & macro scale

Page 69: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment

Going to zero carbon

3.reflectionBecause it will:

Page 70: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment

Going to zero carbon

3.reflectionBecause it will:•reflect sunlight back

Page 71: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment

Going to zero carbon

3.reflectionBecause it will:•reflect sunlight back•reduce surface temperatures by 10-20ºC

Page 72: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment

Going to zero carbon

3.reflectionBecause it will:•reflect sunlight back•reduce surface temperatures by 10-20ºC •keep buildings cooler

Page 73: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment

Going to zero carbon

© The Environmental Design Pocketbook

Page 74: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment

Light coloured surfaces, Avignon

Page 75: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment4. shading

Going to zero carbon

Page 76: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment4. shading

Going to zero carbonexternal solar shading will become essential in London 2062:

Page 77: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment4. shading

Going to zero carbonexternal solar shading will become essential in London 2062: replace outward opening windows with internal opening windows to

allow for ventilation.

Page 78: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment4. marseille

Page 79: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment

Freiburg

Page 80: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment5.airflow

Page 81: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment5.airflow

Night cooling is particularly important to balance increasing

summer temperatures to zero carbon

© The Environmental Design Pocketbook

Page 82: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment5. airflow

© The Environmental Design Pocketbook

Page 83: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built EnvironmentIt is not

‘zero carbon’

Page 84: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment0CO2

Because London on the whole is of too high density to achieve this

in the current definition of ‘zero carbon’

Page 85: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment

© The Environmental Design Pocketbook

Page 86: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment

Approx. 100 dw/ha – low energy Approx. 30 dw/ha – ‘zero carbon’

Page 87: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built EnvironmentEnergy

efficiency

Page 88: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment= first

renewable

Page 89: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built EnvironmentAnd,…

London boroughs who have

foresight of mitigation & adaptation will be better & safer places

to live.

Page 90: London 2062- housing © bere: architects. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built EnvironmentThank you

www.environmentaldesignpocketbook.comwww.architectureforchange.com