lng operational flexibility as value driver in the mediterranean basin

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LNG operational flexibility as value driver in the Mediterranean Basin Carlo MALACARNE CEO GIE Conference Radisson SAS Carlton Hotel Bratislava 29 th September 2006

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GIE Conference Radisson SAS Carlton Hotel Bratislava 29 th September 2006. LNG operational flexibility as value driver in the Mediterranean Basin. Carlo MALACARNE CEO. LNG supply / demand evolution in the Med Basin. The role of the LNG spot market. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: LNG operational flexibility as value driver in the Mediterranean Basin

LNG operational flexibility as value

driver in the Mediterranean Basin

Carlo MALACARNECEO

GIE Conference

Radisson SAS Carlton Hotel

Bratislava

29th September 2006

Page 2: LNG operational flexibility as value driver in the Mediterranean Basin

22

LNG supply / demand evolution in the Med Basin

The role of the LNG spot market

The issue of harmonisation and interoperability

Closing remarks and open issues

Page 3: LNG operational flexibility as value driver in the Mediterranean Basin

33

LNG supply options very attractivein the Med Basin

LNG to Med 2.00-2.50 $/MBtu

Pipe to MedS. haul 1.50-2.00 $/MBtuL. haul 2.50-3.00 $/MBtu

Source: IEA

1872

120

Gas 3% cagrLNG 10% cagr

New Med gas suppliesIn 2030

LNG 200 bcmPipe 130 bcm

Page 4: LNG operational flexibility as value driver in the Mediterranean Basin

44

LNG supply / demand evolution in the Med Basin

The role of the LNG spot market

The issue of harmonisation and interoperability

Closing remarks and open issues

Page 5: LNG operational flexibility as value driver in the Mediterranean Basin

55

LNG supply flowsfrom bipolar systems… to an open web

Source: BP

Markets

LNG

Pipe

S. America

TrinidadW.Africa

AlgeriaEgypt

Norway

Middle East

Sakhalin

S.E.Asia

Australia

PriceArbitrages

Page 6: LNG operational flexibility as value driver in the Mediterranean Basin

66

LNG spot market flexibilitya must for managing value chain risks

Spot-driven cargos geographical arbitragesas a risk-mitigation factor

Source: Various

Page 7: LNG operational flexibility as value driver in the Mediterranean Basin

77

Evolution of the electricity demandin the Med Basin

Source: OME

Page 8: LNG operational flexibility as value driver in the Mediterranean Basin

88

LNG plays a key role in supplying flexibility to the electricity generation sector

Source: Jensen

Page 9: LNG operational flexibility as value driver in the Mediterranean Basin

99

CCGT growth

Domestic production

declines

Seasonality increases

Gas / Power arbitrages

Pipeline saturation

Storage availability

Flexibility Tools Requirement

LNG spot markets are key flexibility providers

LNG spot markets flexibilitya must for the gas users

Page 10: LNG operational flexibility as value driver in the Mediterranean Basin

1010

LNG supply / demand evolution in the Med Basin

The role of the LNG spot market

The issue of harmonisation and interoperability

Closing remarks and open issues

Page 11: LNG operational flexibility as value driver in the Mediterranean Basin

1111

LNG supply flexibility requiresregassification interoperability…

Source: Various

Isle of Grain

Page 12: LNG operational flexibility as value driver in the Mediterranean Basin

1212

… as well as quality harmonisation

LNG

Domestic productions

Pipe imports

Source: Advantica

Page 13: LNG operational flexibility as value driver in the Mediterranean Basin

1313

LNG supply / demand evolution in the Med Basin

The role of the LNG spot market

The issue of harmonisation and interoperability

Closing remarks and open issues

Page 14: LNG operational flexibility as value driver in the Mediterranean Basin

1414

Closing remarks and open issues

LNG will play a key role in the future gas supplies to the Med Basin LNG trading from bi-polar systems to open web Growing Flexibility required both by the market and by LNG operators

… but major efforts are still required for allowing

Fair competition in a given basin Supply flexibility and security Optimal integration with grids

and pipe supplies

Regulatory harmonisation

Terminals interoperability

Quality harmonisation

Page 15: LNG operational flexibility as value driver in the Mediterranean Basin

LNG operational flexibility as value

driver in the Mediterranean Basin

Carlo MALACARNECEO

GIE Conference

Radisson SAS Carlton Hotel

Bratislava

29th September 2006