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[email protected] Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

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Page 1: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

[email protected]

Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena

Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley

School of Physics

Trinity College Dublin

Ireland

Page 2: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

[email protected]

Göttingen Magnetischer Verein

• Trinity College Dublin was a site of Gottingen Magnetic

Union (1836-1841).

• Magnetic measurements

up to every 5 mins.

• Led to magnetic crusades

by Edward Sabine and

Humphrey Lloyd.

• Sabine (1852): Sunspot cycle identical to geomagnetic

cycle.

Page 4: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

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Today’s weather … on the Sun

Page 5: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

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The Problem: Linking ICMEs to CMEs to

Flares to Active Regions

Page 6: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

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The Problem: Linking ICMEs to CMEs to

Flares to Active Regions

Page 7: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

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The Problem: Linking ICMEs to CMEs to

Flares to Active Regions

Page 8: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

[email protected]

The Problem: Linking ICMEs to CMEs to

Flares to Active Regions

Page 9: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

[email protected]

The Problem: Linking ICMEs to CMEs to

Flares to Active Regions

Page 10: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

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HELIO Propagation Model

Page 11: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

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HELIO Propagation Model

Perez-Suarez et al. (2012)

Page 12: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

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Ballistic Propagation Model

• Search time window:

• Search PA window: PA ± ΔPA

t f ± Dt f = t i -Ri - Rf

v ± Dv

Input Property Input Parameter

Initial time τi

Initial distance Ri

Final distance Rf

Velocity range v ± Δv

Position angle PA

Width (PAN – PAS) / 2

Page 13: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

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HI1 -> COR2

• Search time window:

• Search PA window: PAfit ± ΔP

tCOR2 ± DtCOR2 = t HI1 -RHI1 - RCOR2

vSW ± DvSW

Input Property Input Parameter

Initial time τi

Initial distance 12 RS

Final distance 2 RS

Velocity range 200-600 km/s

Position angle PAfit

Width (PAN – PAS) / 2

Page 14: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

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Candidate Probability Space

Candidate 1

Candidate 2

Candidate 3

Page 15: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

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HELCATS HI CME List

Page 16: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

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Case Study

29-Jul-2007

07:30

29 A 300 240

Page 17: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

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Case Study

• ***** HI2 Parameters *****

• HI2 Start Time : 29-Jul-2007 07:30:00.000

• ***** COR2 Search Parameters *****

• COR2 Start Time: 28-Jul-2007 18:37:46.668

• COR2 End Time : 29-Jul-2007 05:05:12.500

• Window (hours) : 10.457176

• COR2 PA-N : 240.000

• COR2 PA-S : 300.000

• ***** Flare Search Parameters *****

• Flare Start Time: 28-Jul-2007 17:25:22.918

• Flare End Time : 28-Jul-2007 18:01:34.793

• Window (mins) : 36.197919

Page 18: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

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Case Study

28-Jul-2007

18:37

29-Jul-2007

05:05

28-Jul-2007

17:25

28-Jul-2007

18:01

29-Jul-2007

07:30

29 A 300 240

Page 19: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

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Case Study

CME Candidate: 29-Jul-2007 01:37 | PA 275o | Width 96o | 625 km/s

S

180 N

360

W

270

E

90

Search PAs: 240-300 Search Times: 28-Jul-2007 18:37

29-Jul-2007 05:05

Page 20: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

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Case Study

28-Jul-2007

18:37

29-Jul-2007

05:05

29-Jul-2007

01:37

28-Jul-2007

17:25

28-Jul-2007

18:01

29-Jul-2007

07:30

29 A 300 240

Page 21: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

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Case Study

Active Regions

GOES X-rays

17:25 – 18:01

Page 22: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

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Case Study

28-Jul-2007

18:37

29-Jul-2007

05:05

29-Jul-2007

01:37

28-Jul-2007

17:25

28-Jul-2007

18:01

None None NA 29-Jul-2007

07:30

29 A 300 240

Page 23: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

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Position Angle Variation with Distance

Page 24: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

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CME Deflection

Byrne et al. (2010)

Page 25: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

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Velocity

Declination

Width

Byrne et al. (2010)

Page 26: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

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Improved Inverse Tracking

• Use variable velocity profile

• Drag-based propagation model to obtain v(R)

• SOTERIA Drag-Based Model

http://oh.geof.unizg.hr/DBM/dbm.php

• E.g Vršnak et al. (2010)

t f = ti -1

v(R)dR

Ri

R f

ò

Page 27: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

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Modelling of CME Motion

• Simple model for CME propagation in heliosphere

• Numerical integration gives v( r ).

• Vršnak et al. (2002), Reiner et al. (2003), Tappin (2006).

rdv

dt= -

1

2rDv2ACD

Page 28: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

[email protected] Maloney & Gallagher (2010)

Slow CME

Page 29: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

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Fast CME

Maloney & Gallagher (2010)

Page 30: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

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Coronal Mass Ejections

Coronal Waves

Radio Bursts

How are these related?

How are shocks formed?

Page 31: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

[email protected] Maloney & Gallagher (2011)

Page 33: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

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CME and Shock-Front Positions

Y

X DO

DS

RS RO

!

obstacle (CME)

shock

Page 34: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

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CME-Driven Shock Properties

Shock standoff distance

(Δ) varies linearly with

height.

Linear extrapolation

gives Δ ~ 40 Rsun at

Earth.

Can give improved

estimate of shock

arrival time at Earth.

Page 35: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

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CME

and

EUV Wave

Page 36: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

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0.01 MHz

400 MHz

Fre

quency (

MH

z)

~2 hours <2 minutes

Birr, STEREO and Nancay Radio Spectra

Carley et al. (2013)

Page 37: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

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Radio Spectra & Images and EUV Wave

Carley et al. (2013)

Page 38: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

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How do we find shock heights?

h(ne)

ne(h) = n0e-h/H

 

fp[Hz] @ 9000 ne[cm-3]

Frequency(t)

Density(t)

Height(t)

ne(f)

h(ne) Example model:

Plasma frequency:

Page 39: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

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Type II Height Problem

=> Given frequency gives single density but model dependent heights!

1.4 Rs 2.1 Rs

 

fp[Hz] @ 9000 ne[cm-3]

Page 40: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

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Shock Height Problem

500 km/s CME

Shock

Shock

1.4 Rs => Shock

2.1 Rs=> No shock

Page 41: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

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Solution: Data-constrained Alfven Maps

vAlfven (x, y) =B(x, y)

mmpne(x, y)

Electron density maps

(SDO/AIA and SOHO/LASCO)

Potential magnetic

field model

(PFSS)

Page 42: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

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94Å 131Å 171Å

193Å 211Å 335Å

Densities in low corona (<1.3 RS)

Aschwanden et al. (2011)

SDO/AIA

Intensity (T)

Emission Measure (T)

Density

Intensity (T)

Page 43: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

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Densities in high corona (>2.5 RS)

Brightnessµ ne(r)G(r, s)dsLOS

ò

SOHO/LASCO Intensity Electron Density

Page 44: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

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LASCO

Electron density (cm-3)

SDO

Electron Density Map

Page 45: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

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Two-component Density Model

• Spherically symmetric corona in hydrostatic equilibrium:

• At r < r0 , reduces to plane parallel solution

• Combine spherically symmetric and plane parallel

Zucca et al. (2014)

Page 46: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

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Electron Density Map

MODEL

LASCO

SDO

Electron density (cm-3)

Page 47: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

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Electron density (cm-3)

Electron Density Map

Page 48: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

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Magnetic Field Extrapolations

0.5 0.1 2.5 15 90 500

Magnetic field (Gauss)

Page 49: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

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Alfvén Speed Map

2 RSun

150 300 600 1250 2500 5000

Alfven speed

local min

Shock location

Alfven speed (km/s)

Zucca et al. (2014)

Page 50: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

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Conclusions

• Linking heliospheric to coronagraph features

– Ballistic model works well

• Linking coronagraph to low corona and surface

– Challenging - deflection important

– Activity in EUV images key

• Linking CMEs to IP and coronal Type II bursts

– Difficult without radio images

– Density and Alfven maps key

Page 51: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

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Solar Wind Velocity Distribution

De Toma (2009)

Velocity Search Range

Page 52: Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena€¦ · Linking CMEs to Associated Solar Phenomena Peter Gallagher, Pietro Zucca, Eoin Carley School of Physics Trinity College Dublin Ireland

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CME Velocity Distribution

Robbrecht et al. (2009)

Velocity Search Range