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FIRSTULYANOVSKARCHITECTURESUMMERSCHOOLLINKED May 2010Page 1
ir. W. (William) VeerbeekUrban Development
FLOOD RESILIENCE GROUP | WE Department | Unesco-IHEWestvest 7 | P.O. Box 3015 | 2601DA Delft | NetherlandsT: +31(0)15 2151 821 | M: +31(0)6 427 88 [email protected] www.floodresiliencegroup.org
FLO
OD
RE
SILIE
NC
EG
RO
UP
Flood Resilience Group, Unesco-IHE• Dura Vermeer Business Development•
WILLIAM VEERBEEKwww.fl oodresiliencegroup.org | w.veerbeek@fl oodresiliencegroup.org
ARCHITECTURE>URBAN/REGIONAL PLANNING>ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE>URBAN CLIMATE ADAPTATION
FIRSTULYANOVSKARCHITECTURESUMMERSCHOOLLINKED May 2010Page 2
ir. W. (William) VeerbeekUrban Development
FLOOD RESILIENCE GROUP | WE Department | Unesco-IHEWestvest 7 | P.O. Box 3015 | 2601DA Delft | NetherlandsT: +31(0)15 2151 821 | M: +31(0)6 427 88 [email protected] www.floodresiliencegroup.org
FLO
OD
RE
SILIE
NC
EG
RO
UP
Flood Resilience Group, Unesco-IHE, Delft• Dura Vermeer Business Development, Hoofddorp•
WILLIAM VEERBEEKwww.fl oodresiliencegroup.org | w.veerbeek@fl oodresiliencegroup.org
> > >
ARCHITECTURE>URBAN/REGIONAL PLANNING>ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE>URBAN CLIMATE ADAPTATION
FIRSTULYANOVSKARCHITECTURESUMMERSCHOOLLINKED May 2010Page 3
FLOODRESILIENCEGROUP
WILLIAM VEERBEEKwww.fl oodresiliencegroup.org | w.veerbeek@fl oodresiliencegroup.org
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DEVELOPING RESILIENCY: CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES FOR THE CITY
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RECILIENCY: CONCEPTSSystems
SYSTEMS:Any set of • interacting components that operate within an environmentSystems show • functional and non-functional behavior: local, globalSome behavior is goal oriented (e.g. maximizing profi ts)• Identifi cation of a system depends on perspective•
EXAMPLES:Corporate systems: e.g., Businesses• Physical / Socioeconomic systems: e.g. Cities• Mechanical systems: e.g. Machines• Social systems: e.g. Friends• Biological systems: e.g. Human body• etc.•
UNDER WHAT RANGE OF CONDITIONS DOES A SYSTEM FUNCTION (OPTIMALLY)?( )
Does you body perform well during -30 ºC or +40 ºC ?
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RECILIENCY: CONCEPTSStatic vs Dynamic environment
STATIC ENVIRONMENT:No changes in conditions over time• Optimization possible: e.g. construction of bridge• Exceedance probabilities (norms in risk assessment)•
CLOSED SYSTEM:No fl ow of energy in and out of the system• Thus: Energy balance•
Energy can be capital, labour, resources, information, etc.
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RECILIENCY: CONCEPTSStatic vs Dynamic conditions
DYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT:Changes in conditions over time (gradual, volatile)• Uncertainty• Optimization diffi cult: System has to perform in diff erent circumstances•
OPEN SYSTEM:Flow of energy in and out of the system• Sometimes shortage, sometimes surplus•
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RECILIENCY: CONCEPTSRobustness and Adaptation
ROBUSTNESS:Ability to withstand various stressor levels: • threshold capacityRedundancy (risk distribution)•
ADAPTATION:Ability to change (reconfi gure) the functioning of a system• Coping capacity, recovery capacity, adaptive capacity•
LIMIT OR DECREASE VULNERABILITY:Short term AND long term = Sustainability•
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RESILIENCY AND SUSTAINABILITYResiliency leads to Sustainability
EXAMPLE FINANCIAL CRISIS:High level of optimization (positive feedback)• Short term perspective• Extremely fragile system (no diversifi cation)•
LESSONS LEARNED (OR NOT)Risk distribution, diversifi cation• Short term and long term horizion• Vulnerability assessment for a wider range of scenarios•
GOAL: SUSTAINABILE ECONOMY
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SUSTAINABILITYWhat is it about?
Sustainability is the capacity to endure. (...) For humans it is the potential for long-term maintenance of well being.
HOW CAN WE ENSURE OUR WELL-BEING FOR THE LONG-TERM?
or
HOW CAN WE ENSURE OUR WELL-BEING IN CHANGING FUTURE CONDITIONS?
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RECILIENCY: APPLICATIONHow does a city perform under changing conditions?
NICE STORY BUT WHAT DOES IT HAVE TO DO WITH US?Cities are systems that perform under changing conditions• Physical (e.g. climate), Social (e.g. demographics), Economic (e.g. crisis), etc.• Is your city robust/adaptive enough to cope with these changes?• Additional problem: • Current changes evolve faster than ever
“A city is a pattern in time. No single consituent remains in place”John Holland, 1995
LET’S FOCUS ON PHYSICAL CHANGES IN THE ENVIRONMENT: CLIMATE CHANGE
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Drought
Heat
Severe precipitation
Trend change: Overall increase in temperatureMore extremes: Wetter, dryer, heat waves, storms
Severe storm events
CLIMATE CHANGEWhat is it about?
Climate Change (driver)Autonomous urban development (driver/receptor)
Drainage capacity• Urban heat island eff ect• Limited water suply•
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Vulnerable delta cities, 2005Ice mass in Greenland
Chehalis river fl ood, Washington, USA, 2007Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
1992 2002
Flooding Minsk, Wit-Rusland, 2009Illustration urban water cycle
Sea level riseMany cities are located in deltaic regions
Flooding (river)Delta cities often cause enchroachment of rivers
Flooding (rainfall)Limiting drainage capacity
CLIMATE CHANGERelation to urban areas
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Heat during the 4daagse, Nijmegen, 2007Illustration Urban Heat Island eff ect
Scammonden Reservoir, Yorkshire, UK, 2003Illustration groundwater level during drought
Wildfi res, Los Angeles, USA, 2008Forest fi res in de VS
Heat stressHeat islands because of densifi cation
DroughtLittle or no water retention in urban areas
FiresSuburbs adjacent to natural reserves
CLIMATE CHANGERelation to urban areas
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THE RUSSIAN ‘SOCIALIST CITY’:based on static rationalized requirements• Yet, the design is oversized; room for further development: Adaptible•
CLIMATE CHANGERelation to urban areas
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Transformation of Russian public space
CLIMATE CHANGEThe urban receptor
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Transformation of public space into parking spaceShort-term thinking: cheap way to fullfi ll demand of growing car ownership•
CLIMATE CHANGERelation to urban areas
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Minsk, July, 2009
CLIMATE CHANGELoss of urban drainage capacity
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Intensive land-use: land cover leaves almost no room for vegetation
CLIMATE CHANGEThe historic European city: Dense urban centres vs sparse outskirts
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High %age of landcover is impervious: low infi ltration capacity (natural drainage)
Based on: Veerbeek et al (2009) Klimaatrobuust Nederland
DENSE CENTRES: IMPERVIOUS LAND COVERThe historic European city: Dense urban centres vs sparse outskirts
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Landsat Infrared image of Rotterdam area
Based on: Veerbeek et al (2009) Klimaatrobuust Nederland
DENSE CENTRES: IMPERVIOUS LAND COVERThe Dutch urban areas are highly susceptible to extreme weather
Delft is representative for many Dutch cities (e.g. Rotterdam)
Especially industrial areas (e.g. port zones) are vulnerable.
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URBAN CLIMATE ADAPTATION: BUILDING RESILIENCYMaking our urban areas less vulnerable to natural hazards
INVEST IN ROBUSTNESS AND ADAPTATION:Use the 4 capacities: threshold, coping, recovery, adaptive• Distribute your risk• Always solve multiple problems in a design• Design in space and time• Seek synergies• Design in an integrative manner: including public space• Solve problems locally•
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HOTSPOT ROTTERDAM
Using Climate Change as an opportunity to drive new urban development• Research - Policy - Design - Investment•
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ROTTERDAM GREEN ROOF INITIATIVEIncreasing the drainage capacity of buildings
Transform leftover spaces (roofs) into climate proof functional spaces• Subsidise green roof initiatives (tax cuts)• Frontrunner: develop green roofs on public buildings•
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Biggest multi-functional levee in Europe• Combining a levee, park, retail, logistics• Connect currently seperated neighborhoods• Currently under construction•
ROOF PARKRotterdam, Netherlands, 2006-2012. Dura Vermeer, Rotterdam, Netherlands
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building programme
location
fl ood defense
combined functions
park
ROOF PARKRotterdam, Netherlands, 2006-2012. Dura Vermeer, Rotterdam, Netherlands
Stack diff erent functions on top of each other• Wrap the park around•
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reference: Bercy, France
park area
mediteranian garden/glass house
ROOF PARKRotterdam, Netherlands, 2006-2012. Dura Vermeer, Rotterdam, Netherlands
Biggest multi-functional levee in Europe• Combining a levee, park, retail, logistics• Connect currently seperated neighborhoods• Currently under construction•
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APPLYING THE STATE-OF-THE-ART CLIMATE TECHNOLOGYVistor centre marketing Rotterdam’s climate proofi ng ambitions• Cooling/Heating with solar power, water • Storing of energy by using phase-change materials•
FLOATING EXPOCENTRE ROTTERDAMRotterdam, Netherlands, 2008-2010. Dura Vermeer, Rotterdam, Netherlands
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Housing area located on the Meuse river bed• During high waters the houses fl oat• Hollow concrete base for buoyancy• International attention (e.g. Discovery Channel)•
AMPHIBIC COMMUNITY46 Housing Units, Maasbommel, Netherlands, 2002-2003. Dura Vermeer, Hoofddorp, Netherlands
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FLOATING GREEN HOUSE NAALDWIJKRotterdam, Netherlands, 2003-2005. Dura Vermeer, Rotterdam, Netherlands
USING THE DUTCH WATER SYSTEM AS A CROP FIELDCooling/Heating using water• Moving an industry sector away from the city•
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Low-level city
fl ood prone area
1:4000 year levee
new residential area
URBAN FLOOD MANAGEMENT DORDRECHTIntegrating fl ood risk in brownfi eld development
INTEGRATION OF FLOOD RISK IN BROWNFIELD DEVELOPMENT:Problem are became a ‘safe haven’• Knowledge driven•
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HOUSING TYPOLOGIES FOLLOW FLOOD RISK:Living with water instead of fi ghting water•
URBAN FLOOD MANAGEMENT DORDRECHTIntegrating fl ood risk in brownfi eld development
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URBAN FLOOD MANAGEMENT DORDRECHTIntegrating fl ood risk in brownfi eld development
HOUSING TYPOLOGIES FOLLOW FLOOD RISK:Living with water instead of fi ghting water•
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NOT ENOUGH ‘CRITICAL MASS’ FOR A SINGLE CITYShip the theatre from city to city• On-shore facilities are limited to parking and logistics•
DOCKSTAGE: FLOATING THEATRE FOR THE DRECHTSTEDENServing 3 cities with a multi-functional theatre/concert hall
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CONCLUSIONSDevelopment of the Russian provincial city
ADOPT A ‘NO-REGRET’ STRATEGY:Current interventions should not lead up to mistakes in the future• Rigourously analyse the current city in space and time• Develop a strong public space policy; public space is functional!• Adopt a system’s perspective; the city is not just a colleiton of objects•
DIVERSIFY AND LIMIT:Diversify your assets; distribute your risk• Create synergy instead of singular objects; combine functions• Smart growth; do not endlessly expand your cities•
INCLUDE ADAPTATION:Flexibility is a must; think in time• Develop fl exible development plans using scenarios• Abandon rigid zoning plans•
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LEARN FROM WHAT IS THERE!The origins of the Russian cities are almost forgotton • Yet, there are many places with potential qualities• Adopt a local strategy, building on what is there instead of wiping things away•
CONCLUSIONSDevelopment of the Russian provincial city