life & health expectancy of baby boomers
DESCRIPTION
Life & Health Expectancy of Baby Boomers. David Clark Information Services Division (ISD). Baby Boomers in Scotland & Edinburgh. Demographic trends (births & population) Life expectancy & healthy life expectancy Morbidity & mortality Lifestyle (risk factor) trends – indicators for future. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Life & Health Expectancy of Baby Boomers
David Clark
Information Services Division (ISD)
Baby Boomers in Scotland & Edinburgh• Demographic trends (births &
population)
• Life expectancy & healthy life expectancy
• Morbidity & mortality
• Lifestyle (risk factor) trends – indicators for future
Number of live births in Scotland by sex; 1946-2003
0
10 000
20 000
30 000
40 000
50 000
60 000
70 000
1946 1948 1950 1952 1954 1956 1958 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002
Year
Nu
mb
er o
f liv
e b
irth
s
Males
Females
Post-war baby boom
1960s baby boom
Minor baby boom
Population of Scotland; by 5 year age group and sex; 1911, 1951, 1991, and 2031
Population of Edinburgh City Council Area by 5 year age group and sex; 2001
Males Females
-25000 -20000 -15000 -10000 -5000 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000
Ag
e g
rou
p
Population in age/sex group
Life & Health Expectancy
• Life Expectancy - the number of years a person can expect to live from a given age.
• Healthy Life Expectancy – the number of years people can expect to live in “good” health from a given age.
Trends in Male Life & Healthy Life Expectancy at Birth and at age 50
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1998 2000 01/02
Year
Ex
pe
cte
d Y
ea
rs o
f L
ife
Male LE @birthMale HLE@ birthMale LE @50Male HLE@ 50
Trends in Female Life & Healthy Life Expectancy at Birth and at age 50
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1998 2000 01/02
Year
Ex
pe
cte
d Y
ea
rs o
f L
ife
Female LE@ birthFemale HLE@ birthFemale LE@ 50Female HLE@ 50
Life & Healthy Life Expectancy at age 50 by Council Area (2001 Census)
Men
LCA Name HLE Ranking LE@50 HLE@50 Years in poor health % in poor healthPerth & Kinross 1 29.0 25.0 4.0 13.7%Edinburgh City 16 26.9 22.4 4.5 16.8%Scotland 22 26.7 21.3 5.4 20.2%Glasgow City 33 23.3 15.8 7.5 32.3%
Women
LCA Name LE@50 HLE@50 Years in poor health % in poor healthOrkney Islands 1 32.3 28.4 3.9 12.1%Edinburgh City 11 31.9 26.6 5.3 16.7%Scotland 21 30.8 24.5 6.4 20.7%Glasgow City 33 29.0 19.9 9.1 31.4%
All Conditions – Hospital Admissions & Deaths in Edinburgh residents aged 55-59; 1984, 1994, 2004
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
Rate
per 1
0,000
pop
1984 1994 2004
Hospital Admissions
Men
Women
020406080
100120140160
Rate
per 1
0,000
pop
1984 1994 2004
Deaths
Men
Women
Malignant Neoplasms – Hospital Admissions & Deaths in Edinburgh residents aged 55-59; 1984, 1994, 2004
0
200
400
600
800
1000
Rate
per 1
0,000
pop
1984 1994 2004
Hospital Admissions
Men
Women
0
10
20
30
40
50
Rate
per 1
0,000
pop
1984 1994 2004
Deaths
Men
Women
Ischaemic Heart Disease – Hospital Admissions & Deaths in Edinburgh residents aged 55-59; 1984, 1994, 2004
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Rate
per 1
0,000
pop
1984 1994 2004
Hospital Admissions
Men
Women
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Rate
per 1
0,000
pop
1984 1994 2004
Deaths
Men
Women
Alcoholic Liver Disease – Hospital Admissions & Deaths in Edinburgh residents aged 55-59; 1984, 1994, 2004
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Rate
per 1
0,000
pop
1984 1994 2004
Hospital Admissions
Men
Women
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
Rate
per 1
0,000
pop
1984 1994 2004
Deaths
Men
Women
Trends in risk factors from 1995,1998 & 2003 Scottish Health Surveys
Summary of Risk factors 1995/1998/2003Ages 45-54
Men Women1995 1998 2003 1995 1998 2003
Alcohol% drinking over 21 (14) units per week 31 34 29 12 12 18Mean units per week 19.7 20.0 18.9 5.6 6.2 7.5Consumed >=8 (6) units in a day in past week 35 28 14 171 or more problem indicators 29 30 14 22
SmokingCurrent cigarette smoker 34 34 29 37 34 29Never regular or at all 36 43 44 41 46 51Mean per current smoker per day 21.0 20.7 18.7 17.0 17.3 16.9Non-smokers not exposed to others smoke 36 37 41 44
Trends in risk factors from 1995,1998 & 2003 Scottish Health Surveys
Summary of Risk factors 1995/1998/2003Ages 45-54
Men Women1995 1998 2003 1995 1998 2003
Physical Activity (past 4 weeks)Walking 27 29 25 29Sport & Exercise 30 46 32 40Any physical Activities 78 83 82 82Meeting Activity Recommendations 36 40 33 35
ObesityBMI 25+ (Overweight to morbidly obese) 70.9 75.4 76.9 55.6 61.0 64.0BMI 30+ (Obese to morbidly obese) 21.9 28.8 27.5 15.9 18.8 22.0BMI 40+ (Morbidly obese) 0.8 1.9 3.1 0.5 0.9 1.8Mean BMI 27.3 27.9 28.2 26.0 26.4 26.9
Boomers Summary
• Births declining and population ageing.• Life Expectancy increasing but increase in
Healthy Life Expectancy not keeping pace.• Cancer on the increase but survival
improving.• Hospital admissions and deaths from other
conditions declining for baby boomers.• Obesity a problem for both sexes – alcohol
related problems on the increase for females.