lgk mit 2004 stratosphere-troposphere exchange (ste) over easter island (27ºs,109ºw, 41 m.a.s.l.)...

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LGK MIT 2004 Stratosphere-Troposphere Exchange (STE) over Easter Island (27ºS,109ºW, 41 m.a.s.l.) and Cerro Tololo (30ºS,70ºW, 2200 m.a.s.l.): preliminary analysis of an intensive sounding campaign Laura Gallardo Klenner Centro de Modelamiento Matemático Universidad de Chile (UMR- CNRS 2071) [email protected] Melitta Fiebig, CEAZA/ULS Ana María Córdova, CEAZA Juan Quintana, DMC FONDECYT 1030809

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  • Slide 1
  • LGK MIT 2004 Stratosphere-Troposphere Exchange (STE) over Easter Island (27S,109W, 41 m.a.s.l.) and Cerro Tololo (30S,70W, 2200 m.a.s.l.): preliminary analysis of an intensive sounding campaign Laura Gallardo Klenner Centro de Modelamiento Matemtico Universidad de Chile (UMR-CNRS 2071) [email protected] Melitta Fiebig, CEAZA/ULS Ana Mara Crdova, CEAZA Juan Quintana, DMC FONDECYT 1030809
  • Slide 2
  • LGK MIT 2004 Outline What is (are) this(these) project(s) about? The problem(s) to be addressed Approach(es) Test campaign Nov 2003 Data and synoptical conditions Perspectives and future work
  • Slide 3
  • LGK MIT 2004
  • Slide 4
  • Rapanui/Easter Island Available Data Instrument: (ECC, standard WMO-GAW) 81 c/o Chilean Met Office since 1996, majority 1996 & 1997 75 c/o NASA from 1995 until 1997 (WODC) 10 during Nov 8-13 2003 campaign
  • Slide 5
  • LGK MIT 2004 Ozone Soundings Rapanui Spring maximum UTLS
  • Slide 6
  • LGK MIT 2004 Spring Maximum
  • Slide 7
  • LGK MIT 2004 ++ Reasons for a spring maximum in O3. Biomass burning? STJ? Orographic forcing? Subsidence
  • Slide 8
  • LGK MIT 2004 STRATOSPHERE-TROPOSPHERE EXCHANGE PROCESSES AND THEIR IMPACT ON THE OZONE BALANCE IN THE SUBTROPICS OF THE SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE: A MULTI-SCALE INTEGRATED STUDY BASED AT CERRO TOLOLO (30S, 70W, 2200 M.A.S.L) FONDECYT 1030809 (2003-2006) /FONDECYT-INT 7030071 (2003)
  • Slide 9
  • LGK MIT 2004 Which are the mechanisms that explain the spring ozone maximum observed in the southern subtropics...Tololo and Pascua? a)Stratosphere-troposphere exchange (STE)? b)Biomass burning in the tropics? c)All above When is there STE? And then, which is the relative importance of advection, subsidence and turbulent mixing? Are these phenomena well represented in models? FONDECYT (1030809) 2003-2006 Questions
  • Slide 10
  • LGK MIT 2004 Accomplished so far Ozone data collected at Rapanui and Tololo are being or have been analyzed A CTM model is being used to simulate the dispersion of an ozone like tracer, assuming a Dirichlet BC The same dispersion model is used to simulate the fate of SOx emitted from the Lscar volcano.insights in the UTLS circulation (Ekman et al connection) A meso-scale model is simulating the circulation in the Elqui valley A test campaign has been performed Logistics? Instruments? Forecast? Training Design of next campaign
  • Slide 11
  • LGK MIT 2004 People: Ana Mara Crdova, Juan Quintana, Alonso Gaete et al.
  • Slide 12
  • LGK MIT 2004 Tololo Nov 2003 People: Melitta Fiebig, Clotilde Pizarro, Alejandra Olave, Edwin Medina, Luis Valle Laura Gallardo, Alvaro Amigo, Alvaro Valdebenito, Milenko Obilinovic Ricardo Alcafuz, Jos NNez Patricio Serrano, Julio Coloma Standard soundings, using 1200 g, 350 g and 100 g balloons, up to 28 km Installation of a PM10 instrument (7Be)
  • Slide 13
  • LGK MIT 2004 And weather forecast
  • Slide 14
  • LGK MIT 2004 Synoptic conditions, 500 hPa analyses Day 08Day 10 Day 12 Day 09 Day 11 Day 13 Anticyclonic-Cyclonic(Trough)-Anticyclonic
  • Slide 15
  • LGK MIT 2004 D 08D 10 D 12 D 09 D 11D13 Synoptic conditions, STJ (m/s), 250 hPa
  • Slide 16
  • LGK MIT 2004 Evidence for STE? O 3 changes in the UTLS over Rapanui in connection with STJ a trough? Photochemistry? O 3 changes at Tololo?
  • Slide 17
  • LGK MIT 2004 9/11 ??!
  • Slide 18
  • LGK MIT 2004 10/11
  • Slide 19
  • LGK MIT 2004 11/11
  • Slide 20
  • LGK MIT 2004 12/11
  • Slide 21
  • LGK MIT 2004 9/11 While at TOLOLO...
  • Slide 22
  • LGK MIT 2004 Synoptic conditions, PV
  • Slide 23
  • LGK MIT 2004 Cut-off low and deep trough induce STE and O3 intrusions at Tololo Rondanelli et al, 2002
  • Slide 24
  • LGK MIT 2004 Simulating an ozone like tracerregional/mesoscales +BC (Dirichlet/Neumann) +IC Photolysis and deposition +Estimating the influx?
  • Slide 25
  • LGK MIT 2004
  • Slide 26
  • November 2004...10 days, one sounding per day
  • Slide 27
  • LGK MIT 2004 Rapanui A unique record of ozone soundings is available from Easter Island since 1995 under GAW/Chilean Weather Office The data show not much variability...no significant temporal trends...but there is some interannual variability (ENSO like) Ocassionally, deep troughs induce STEand the STJ seems to play a role too
  • Slide 28
  • LGK MIT 2004 Tololo A nearly continous surface O3 record is available under GAW/Chilean Weather Office The data is representative of background conditions There is a marked spring maximum possibly linked to STJbut biomass burning cannot be ruled out The diurnal cycle is week (5 ppbv) and driven by up/down slope local circulation Ocassionally, deep troughs induce significant STE
  • Slide 29
  • LGK MIT 2004 Evidence for STE? O 3 changes in the UTLS over Rapanui in connection with STJ a trough?...Nop, but a good chance to test Dirichlet BC and check the model set up Photochemistry?...Not obvious in the UTLS above Rapanuilower campaign cost O 3 changes at Tololo?...Yepa deep trough and an O3 intrusion
  • Slide 30
  • LGK MIT 2004 Future/Ongoing work Climatology and characterization using proxies (e.g., PV, H2O, 7Be) Regional/mesoscale simulation of the test- campaign period Dirichlet/Neumann Source estimate (Inverse modeling) 10 days campaign at Tololo including O3 soundings and COplus forecast and simulation
  • Slide 31
  • LGK MIT 2004 Subplinian Eruption April 19-20 1993 Ca. 0.2 TgS Cuasi permanent fumarolic activity 13 kg/s Lscar (23.3S, 67.7W, 5590 m.a.s.l.) : One of the ca. 100 active volcanoes along the Andes and one of the 3 whose emissions have been estimated
  • Slide 32
  • LGK MIT 2004 Amigo et al, 2004
  • Slide 33
  • LGK MIT 2004 www.igaconference2004.co.nz Megacities STE Aerosols... Welcome!