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D: We've Predicted the Future! So What?

Let’s Predict the Future!

A half-day workshop at the SAOIM 2014 conference held on Tuesday 3 June 2014 facilitated by Brian Kelly, Cetis

Slides available under a Creative Commons licence (CC-BY)

D1: Let’s Predict the Future! Agile Thinking

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Need for Agility & Flexibility

Dangers that we:• Assume the future is

like today, only faster, bigger, smaller, …

• Fail to transform existing practices

• Fail to recognise implications of political, economic, cultural, … changes

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What Did You Notice?

What did you notice for the first time today?*

Or variants:• What did you notice for the first time this

week / recently?

* Acknowledgements to Tony Hirst

My recent observations:• Buying newspaper using my mobile phone• Being awarded a badge on a computer game• WiFi on buses• Responses to “Who has used a mobile device for

work-related purposes - in bed?”

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What Was The Question?

You overhear someone saying “Have you tried the library?”

What might have been the question?

You overhear someone saying “Have you tried Amazon/Google/…?”

What might have been the question?

Acknowledgements to Tony Hirst

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The Future Backwards

What will we see in the future?Dangers of:

Providing optimistic or pessimistic views based on personal inclinations

No new insights

Need for innovative ways of story-telling such as:

The History of the Web Backwards Forecasting Trends Backwards Reversible, Reverse History and Side-by-

Side Storytelling (Tony Hirst’s blog post)

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Questions

Any questions?