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Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV for 3 D TV 3-D TV John Carey Fordham University

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Page 1: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for

Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV for

3 D TV3-D TV

John CareyFordham University

Page 2: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for

Has it been tried before?Has it been tried before?

If so, what was the reaction?

Page 3: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for

HDTD = better resolution and bigger picture

Page 4: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for
Page 5: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for
Page 6: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for

3-D Timeline

When was 3-D introduced?When was 3 D introduced?

Page 7: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for

• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope

Page 8: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for

• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope

• 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for Thomas Edison) and others experiment with stereoscopic motion pictures.o o p c u es.

Page 9: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for
Page 10: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for
Page 11: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for
Page 12: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for

• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope

• 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for Thomas Edison) and others experiment with stereoscopic motion pictures.o o p c u es.

• 1922 Short films in 3-D are presented in New York using the Teleview Projector; in Los Angeles a feature length 3 Dusing the Teleview Projector; in Los Angeles, a feature length 3-Dfilm, “The Power of Love” is screened for the press.

Page 13: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for

• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope

• 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for Thomas Edison) and others experiment with stereoscopic motion pictures.o o p c u es.

• 1922 Short films in 3-D are presented in New York using the Teleview Projector; in Los Angeles a feature length 3 Dusing the Teleview Projector; in Los Angeles, a feature length 3-Dfilm, “The Power of Love” is screened for the press.

• 1936 MGM releases “Audioscopiks,” a 3-D short.

Page 14: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for
Page 15: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for

• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope

• 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for Thomas Edison) and others experiment with stereoscopic motion pictures.o o p c u es.

• 1922 Short films in 3-D are presented in New York using the Teleview Projector; in Los Angeles a feature length 3 Dusing the Teleview Projector; in Los Angeles, a feature length 3-Dfilm, “The Power of Love” is screened for the press.

• 1936 MGM releases “Audioscopiks,” a 3-D short.

• 1939 “In Tune With Tomorrow,” a 3-D film premieres at the , pNew York World’s Fair.

Page 16: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for

• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope

• 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for Thomas Edison) and others experiment with stereoscopic motion pictures.o o p c u es.

• 1922 Short films in 3-D are presented in New York using the Teleview Projector; in Los Angeles a feature length 3 Dusing the Teleview Projector; in Los Angeles, a feature length 3-Dfilm, “The Power of Love” is screened for the press.

• 1936 MGM releases “Audioscopiks,” a 3-D short.

• 1939 “In Tune With Tomorrow,” a 3-D film premieres at the , pNew York World’s Fair.

• 1952 “Bwana Devil” a 3 D feature length film is released• 1952 Bwana Devil a 3-D feature length film is released

Page 17: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for

• 1953 “It Came From Outer Space”

• 1969 “The Stewardesses,”

• 1974 “Andy Wharhol’s Frankenstein”

• 1983 “Amityville 3 D”• 1983 Amityville 3-D

• 1991 “Muppet*Vision”

• 2004 “Polar Express”

• 2010 “Avatar”

Page 18: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for
Page 19: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for
Page 20: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for
Page 21: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for
Page 22: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for

Be cautious about forecasts

Page 23: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for

Projected Growth Of HDTV In 1992Projected Penetration of HDTV in US Households

Group Making Year Projected PenetrationGroup Making Year Projected PenetrationProjections

NTIA 1997 1%2002 252008 94

Electronic 1997 10%Industry 2000 25Association 2003 33Association 2003 33

American 2000 1%Electronic Association 2003 6

Page 24: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for

Sometimes it’s better to be second

Page 25: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for

HDTV in Japan - Brief History

1964 NHK launches study of next-generation TV1964 NHK launches study of next-generation TV1970 HDTV development begins1984 Development of MUSE systemp y1985 First experimental broadcast of MUSE1989 Regular test broadcasting of HDTVbegins1996 Live coverage of Atlanta Olympics2000 HDTV from Shuttle Atlantis2000 (Dec) Start of digital Hi Vision broadcasting2000 (Dec) Start of digital Hi-Vision broadcasting

Source: Hi-Vision

Page 26: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for

People have to see it before they’ll buy it

Page 27: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for

2001 Ad for HDTV

Page 28: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for

Source: Bettman Archive

Page 29: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for

New YorkerCartoon, 1950

Page 30: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for
Page 31: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for

Japan

Page 32: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for

TV “parties” and group viewing can build interest

Page 33: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for
Page 34: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for

1951

Source: Life Magazine

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Page 36: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for

Does it disrupt the household?

Page 37: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for
Page 38: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for
Page 39: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for
Page 40: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for

Are there important demographicAre there important demographic differences in who likes it?

Page 41: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for

“T t ll th t th I d ’t h diff b t“To tell you the truth, I don’t see much difference betweenprograms in HD and programs that are not in HD.”

- Female, 35

Page 42: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for

K th t h l dKeep the technology and user interface simpleinterface simple

Page 43: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for
Page 44: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for

It generally takes longer than youIt generally takes longer than you might think to ‘take off.’

Page 45: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for

Wh i h i d f iWhat is the window of opportunity before the next technology comes along?gy g

Page 46: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for

Holographic TVHolographic TV

Page 47: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for
Page 48: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for

What types of content work well in the new technology?

Page 49: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for
Page 50: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for
Page 51: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for
Page 52: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for
Page 53: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for
Page 54: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for

Wh ill t t f ?Where will content come from?

Page 55: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for

HDTVHDTV

Page 56: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for

Sources of Content for 3-D TV

SportsSportsNew 3-D MoviesOld 3-D Movies3-D VideogamesgUpconverted 2-D TV ShowsU t d 2 D M iUpconverted 2-D MoviesNew 3-D TV ShowsOther ???

Page 57: Lessons From The Introduction of HDTV 3-DTVD TV...• 1830 Charles Wheatstone creates the reflecting mirror stereoscope • 1880-1895 Eadweard Muybridge, William Dickson (working for

Thank youThank you