WORLDWIDE SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT INFORMATION

SYSTEM

AS A PRECONDITION FOR LIFE IN THE STATE OF CHANGE

AND RISK

Leslaw Michnowskiwww.psl.org.pl/kte

Co-founder of Sustainable Development Information Society Forum – Poland.

Member of: - Committee for Futures Studies "Poland 2000 Plus"

Polish Academy of Sciences; - the Polish Association for the Club of Rome;- the Polish delegation for World Summit on Information

Society – Tunis, 2005.Chairman of Sustainable Development Creators’ Club -

Poland,

Nowadays, the main problems:

How to live in the State of Change and Risk?

How to develop ICT for life in above state?

In the State of Change and Risk:

- very high rate of changes in life-conditions,

- big inertia of societies, economy and management,

- lack of full knowledge about complex (including future) effects

of human activity (in chaotic world).

In the State of Change and Risk

a necessity of:

- anticipation of changes in life-conditions and

- “feedforward” adaptation forms of life to approaching new life-

conditions

In the State of Change and Risk

- the main cause of the global ecosystem degradation is

rapidly pacing moral degradation (out-datedness) of existing forms of

life - not fitted to new rapidly emergence life-conditions

The more scientific-technology progress - the more moral

degradation, as well as more human labor

- wisdom intellectual creativity – is needed for life and development

Nowadays, quite new life-conditions:environment has lost ability to recovery

by itself.Instead of

“growth at the cost of (socio-natural) environment”

we need: - “development together with

environment” and - wisdom based society.

Main cause of global crisis:World society and its economy is

not fitted to life in the State of Change and Risk.

To overcome global crisis we have to shape (with help of ICT): - farsightedness, - flexibility, and

- ability of reserves creation, as well as

- possibility of basing policy on common interest value system

Instead of social-Darwinism (and “structural”

unemployment) we need

Ecohumanistic Intellectual Evolution –

pre-selection in virtual reality aided by popular wisdom

In cybernetics approach:

no limits to WISDOM based growth and sustainable

development

The basic premise : i = B(n,q)1/s

where: i - is the level of information (Wiener, 1971) –

conceptual measure of level of development (and organization, as well as quality) of life-system; s - is the level of entropy as well as the level of

development - reserves of life-system;n - is the number of its elements;

q - is quality of elements of life system, andB(n,q) - some function connected with quantity

and quality of system elements.

Sustainable developmentof the world society

is essential to avoid global catastrophe

(environmental, world war for access to deficit resources, clash of

civilizations)

For sustainable development we need to combine:

- economic development,- social development, and - environmental protection,

in short- and long-term perspective

To achieve sustainable development we need to implement

- sustained economic growth, - fair globalization,

- elimination of unemployment and “digital divide”, as well as

- other UN Goals.

To avoid global catastrophe we must create (as rapidly as

possible – China,India!!!) information foundations of:

- SD(sustainable development)- policy, and

- SD-economy, as well as - large-scale flexible automation.

We have to build WORLD-WIDE,

COMMONLY ACCESSIBLE, SD-INFORMATION SYSTEM

for:- comprehensive monitoring,- far-sighted forecasting, and

- measurable evaluation,of policy, economy, work, and other changes effects in life-conditions

of human-beings and nature in general.

World SD-Information System (of systems) would be: - net and grid type

- continuously under development, and

- builded in multi stage way (based on G. Nadler „ideal” method)

As a next task we ought to build WORLDWIDE FLEXIBLE AUTOMATION SYSTEM

These tasks ought to be preceded by international research, which

will describe conditions for creation the information foundations of SD-policy and SD-economy - i.e. the

ways of ICT development for life in the State of Change and Risk.

Effects of above research would be presented during three international

conferences of the International forum on a wisdom-based global information society

– towards sustainable development of the world society

Conference I: Information efficiency and warning forecasting as preconditions of

SD-policy and SD-economy (2007)Main tasks:

1. How to get politicians and societies access to knowledge about complex (and future) effects of current

policy?2. How to combine existing forecasting systems and

projects (i.a. Meadows’s-Forrester, T. Utsumi, GEOSS) in World-wide SD-Information System.

3. How to get access to dates and knowledge that are necessary for warning forecasting?

4. How to transform national and regional statistical

offices (e.g. EUROSTAT) into offices for statistic and warning forecasting,

Conference II: Computer simulation methods for SD-economy (2009)

Main tasks:1. How to build information bases of SD-

economy.2. How to make possible complex accounting of

benefits and cost of socio-economic activity (including natural and social - human

components).3. How to make possible dividing effects of social

process of work proportionally to ecosocially usefulness of individual and/or collective work.

Conference III: Flexible automation as important agent of sustainable

development (2011)Main tasks:

1. How to aid, by automation, in elimination of rapidly emergence dangers.

2. How to aid fighting with negative effects of moral degradation of forms of life?

3. How to accelerate other science-technology progress that is essential for sustainable

development?4. How to decrease ecological costs of distant

transportation?

We will appreciate subsidy for the first stage above research and

Conference I of this complex, international project

Realization of above proposals is especially essential for:

- INTERNALIZING EXTERNALITIES, - DECOUPLING (the range of

economic growth from the range of deficit natural resources depletion

growth and degradation of environment);

- COUPLING (the economic growth with social development, including

popular quality of life growth).

Without realization of above proposals it is impossible to:- avoid global catastrophe,

as well as - implement UN Goals

This Summit (WSIS) (…) must push forward the outcome of the (2005) World Summit

(…) It must lead to information and communications technologies being used in new ways, which will bring new benefits to all social classes. (…) The

hurdle here is more political than financial.

From STATEMENT BY H. E. MR. KOFI ANNANTHE SECRETARY-GENERAL OF THE UNITED NATIONS

WSIS, Tunis, 16 November 2005