# lecture 13

Post on 15-Aug-2014

650 views

Embed Size (px)

DESCRIPTION

Engineering Economics 390. Courtesy of Atre, Sundar V Associate Professor, Oregon State University.TRANSCRIPT

ENGR 390 Lecture 13: Equivalent Annual Worth

Winter 2007

Chapter 8Equivalent Annual Worth AnalysisEquivalent annual worth criterion Applying annual worth analysis Mutually exclusive projects Design economics

1

Computing Equivalent Annual Worth$120 $800 1 2 3 i = 12% 4 5 6

$70

$50

$189.43

$100

A = $46.070 0 1 2 3 4 5 6

PW(12%) = $189.43

EAW(12%) = $189.43(A/P, 12%, 6) = $46.072

S.V. Atre

1

ENGR 390 Lecture 13: Equivalent Annual Worth

Winter 2007

Annual Worth AnalysisPrinciple: Measure investment worth on annual basis Benefit:: By knowing annual equivalent worth, we can:

Seek consistency of report format Determine unit cost (or unit profit) Facilitate unequal project life comparison

3

Equivalent Annual Worth - Repeating Cash Flow Cycles$700 $500 $800 $700 $400 $400 $500 $800 $400 $400

$1,000

$1,000 Repeating cycle4

S.V. Atre

2

ENGR 390 Lecture 13: Equivalent Annual Worth

Winter 2007

First Cycle: PW(10%) = -$1,000 + $500 (P/F, 10%, 1) + . . . + $400 (P/F, 10%, 5) = $1,155.68 EAW(10%) = $1,155.68 (A/P, 10%, 5) = $304.87 Both Cycles: PW(10%) = $1,155.68 + $1,155.68 (P/F, 10%, 5) = $1,873.27 EAW(10%) = $1,873.27 (A/P, 10%,10) = $304.87

5

Equivalent Annual CostWhen only costs are involved, the EA method is called the equivalent annual cost. Revenues must cover two kinds of costs: Operating costs and capital costs. Equivalent Annual Costs Capital costs + Operating costs

6

S.V. Atre

3

ENGR 390 Lecture 13: Equivalent Annual Worth

Winter 2007

Capital Cost RecoveryDefinition: The cost of owning an equipment is associated with two transactions(1) its initial cost (I) and (2) its salvage value (S). Capital cost recovery : Taking into these sums, we calculate the capital recovery cost as:

S 0 N I0 1 2 3 N

CR(i) = I( A / P, i, N) S(A / F, i, N) = (I S)(A / P, i, N) + iS

CR(i)7

Capital Cost RecoveryA= F i (1 + i ) N 1 = F ( A / F ,i, N )

S 0 N I0 1 2 3 N

A = P

i (1 + i ) N (1 + i ) N 1 = P ( A / P ,i, N )

(A/F,i,N) = (A/P,i,N) - i

CR(i) = I( A / P, i, N) S(A / F, i, N) = (I S)(A / P, i, N) + iS

CR(i)8

S.V. Atre

4

ENGR 390 Lecture 13: Equivalent Annual Worth

Winter 2007

Example - Capital Cost CalculationGiven: I = $200,000 N = 5 years S = $50,000 i = 20% Find: CR(20%)

$50,000 0 5

$200,000CR (i ) = ( I - S ) ( A / P, i, N ) + iS CR ( 20%) = ($200,000 - $50,000 ) ( A / P, 20%, 5) + (0.20)$50,000 = $60,1579

Equivalent Annual Worth AnalysisEquivalent Annual Worth (EAW) can be used to compare projects. Equivalent Annual Cost (EAC) can be used instead of EAW if revenues are not included.

10

S.V. Atre

5

ENGR 390 Lecture 13: Equivalent Annual Worth

Winter 2007

Equivalent Annual Worth AnalysisProject Selection: If all expenses and revenues are included, select largest EAW that is 0. If some or none of the revenues are included, select largest EAW (lowest EAC).11

Capital Cost RecoveryFor a capital purchase (I) with a salvage value (S), the EAC can be calculated two ways: 1. I(A/P, i, N) S (A/F, i, N) 2. (I S) (A/P, i, N) + S*iAnnual equivalent for loss of value Opportunity cost12

S.V. Atre

6

ENGR 390 Lecture 13: Equivalent Annual Worth

Winter 2007

Capital Cost RecoveryLand is considered to have infinite life; it can be sold for its purchase price (neglecting inflation). I = S and EAC = S*i

13

Example 1The Ragweed Pollination Company needs a new building to expand seed production. The building will cost $600,000, last for 30 years, and is expected to sell for $100,000. It will be built on property that costs $200,000, which will be sold with the building. Energy costs are projected to be $45,000 the first year increasing by $3,000 each year after that. Needed equipment will cost $70,000 and last 10 years with no salvage value. It will be replaced with identical equipment 10 and 20 years from now. Annual maintenance is projected to be $20,000. Determine the Annual Equivalent Cost for the proposed expansion using a MARR of 15% compounded annually.14

S.V. Atre

7

ENGR 390 Lecture 13: Equivalent Annual Worth

Winter 2007

Example 1GIVEN: 1ST COST = $600,000 FOR BUILDING ANNUAL COST: A) ANNUAL MAINTENANCE: $20,000 B) ENERGY COST: $45,000 DURING FIRST YEAR INCREASING $3,000/YR SUBSEQUENTLY(LINEAR GRADIENT) STARTING AT YR 2 C) EQUIPMENT COST: $70,000 EVERY 10 YEARS ANNUAL REVENUE: $8,000 SALVAGE VALUE: $100,000 FOR BUILDING, $0 FOR EQUIPMENT PROPERTY VALUE: $200,000 LIFE TIME: 30 YEARS FOR PROJECT, 10 YEARS FOR EQUIPMENT MARR = 15%/YR, CPD ANNUALLY FIND: EAC (EQUIVALENT ANNUAL COST)

15

EAC =

BUILDING COST ($600,000 - $100,000)(A|P,15%,30) + $100,000(0.15)

Example 1

+ LAND COST ($200,000 - $200,000)(A|P,15%,30) + $200,000(0.15) + MAINTENANCE COST $20,000 + ENERGY COST $45,000 + $3,000(A|G,15%,30) +EQUIPMENT COST [($70,000 0) + ($70,000 -0)(P|F,15%,10) + ($70,000-0)(P|F,15%,20)](A|P,15%,30)16

S.V. Atre

8

ENGR 390 Lecture 13: Equivalent Annual Worth

Winter 2007

EAC =

BUILDING COST ($500,000)(0.1523) + $100,000(0.15) + LAND COST

Example 1

$0 + $200,000(0.15) + MAINTENANCE COST $20,000 + ENERGY COST $45,000 + $3,000(6.2066) + EQUIPMENT COST [($70,000 + $70,000(0.2472) + $70,000(0.0611)](0.1523)

EAC

= $91,150 + $30,000 + $20,000 + $45,000 + $18,620 + $13,948 = $218,71817

Example 2A 1000-foot tunnel must be constructed as part of a new aqueduct system for a major city. Two alternatives are being considered. One is to build a full-capacity tunnel now for $400,000. The other alternative is to build a half-capacity tunnel now for $200,000, and then to build a second parallel half-capacity tunnel 20 years hence for $300,000. The cost of repair of the tunnel lining at the end of every 10 years is estimated to be $20,000 for the full capacity tunnel and $18,000 for each half-capacity tunnel. Determine whether the full capacity tunnel or the half-capacity tunnel should be constructed now. Solve the problem by annual worth analysis, using an interest rate of 5% per year compounded annually, and a 50-year analysis period. (Note: There will be no tunnel lining repair at the end of the 50 years.)18

S.V. Atre

9

ENGR 390 Lecture 13: Equivalent Annual Worth

Winter 2007

Example 2GIVEN: LIFETIME 1ST COST 10 YR REPAIR SALVAGE INTEREST FULL CAPACITY 50 YRS / 10 YR REPAIR $400,000 $20,000 HALF CAPACITY 50 YRS / 20 YR EXPAND / 10 YR REPAIR $200,000 / $300,000 $18,000 / $18,000 5%/YR CPD. ANNUALLY

FIND: EACFULL AND EACHALF

19

Example 2

EACFULL =

[$400,000

EACFULL =

[$400,000

+ $20,000(P|F,5%,10) + $20,000(P|F,5%,20) + $20,000(P|F,5%,30) + $20,000(P|F,5%,40)] x (A|P,5%,50) =

+ $20,000(0.6139) + $20,000(0.3769) + $20,000(0.2314) + $20,000(0.1420)] x 0.0548 $427,284 x 0.054820

EACFULL = $23,415 / YR

S.V. Atre

10

ENGR 390 Lecture 13: Equivalent Annual Worth

Winter 2007

Example 2

EACHALF =

[$200,000

EACHALF =

[$200,000

+ $18,000(P|F,5%,10) + $318,000(P|F,5%,20) + $36,000(P|F,5%,30) + $36,000(P|F,5%,40)] x (A|P,5%,50) =

+ $18,000(0.6139) + $318,000(0.3769) + $36,000(0.2314) + $36,000(0.1420)] x 0.0548 $344,347 x 0.054821

EACHALF = $18,870 / YR

EACFULL = $23,415 / YR

Example 3Your parents paid cash for a home they purchased 18 years ago for $100,000. They just sold it for $100,000. They were bragging that, neglecting such expenses as taxes, insurance, and utilities, it did not cost them anything to live in the house for the 18 years. Having completed an engineering economics course as a part of your engineering degree, you know immediately that your parents reasoning was incorrect. Identify and describe the engineering economic principle involved. Include in your explanation what it actually cost your parents each year to own the house provided that they value money at 6% per year compounded annually. Do not include changes in the purchasing power of money, and continue to neglect taxes, maintenance, insurance and utilities.22

S.V. Atre

11

ENGR 390 Lecture 13: Equivalent Annual Worth

Winter 2007

Example 3GIVEN: LIFETIME = 18 YRS INTEREST = 6%/YR, CPD ANNUALLY FIRST COST = $100, 000 SALVAGE VALUE = $100,000 FIND EACN = 18 YRS

EAC

= (I-S )(A|P,i,N) + iS = ($100,000 - $100,000)(A|P,6%,18) + $100,000(0.06)

= $6,000 (Method 1)EAC = I(A|P,i,N) - S(A|F,i,N) = $100,000(A|P,6%,18) - $100,000(A|F,6%,18) = $100,000(0.0924) - $100,000(0.0324) = $100,000(0.0924 - 0.0324) = $100,000(0.06)

= $6,000 (Method 2)

23

Justifying an investment based on AE Method

Given: I = $20,000, S = $4,000, N = 5 years, i = 10% Find: see if an annual revenue of $4,400 is enough to cover the capital costs. Solution: CR(10%) = $4,620.76 Conclusion: Need an additional annual revenue in the amount of $220.76.

24

S.V. Atre

12

ENGR 390 Lecture 13: Equivalent Annual Worth

Winter 2007

SummaryEquivalent annual worth analysis, or EAW, isalong with present worth analysisone of two main analysis techniques based on the concept of equivalence. The equation for EAW is EAW(i) = PW(i)(A/P, i, N). AE analysis yields the same decision result as PW analysis. The capital recovery cost factor, or CR(i), is one of the most important applications of EAW analysis in that