lec . 07 – probability and bayes’ theorem
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Lec . 07 – Probability and Bayes’ Theorem. Today’s Outline. Probability a. Addition law b. Conditional probability 2. Baye s’ Theorem a. theory b. In class exercise c. Examples from the coastal geomorph literature d. Examples from YOUR field of research – - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
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Lec. 07 – Probability and Bayes’ Theorem
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1. Probability
a. Addition lawb. Conditional probability
2. Bayes’ Theorem
a. theoryb. In class exercisec. Examples from the coastal geomorph literatured. Examples from YOUR field of research –
(email me a .pdf before class on Thursday.)
Today’s Outline
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Probability – the addition law
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Conditional Probability
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Bayes’ Theorem - Origin
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Bayes’ Theorem Example 1
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Bayes’ Theorem Example 2
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In class exercise…
Write a MATLAB .m file that uses Bayes’ theorem to calculate the probability that a Xian-like, a Gulf of Tonkin-like, and a Java sea-like oil strike will occur in this concession.