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Latin American Business Outlook Part of the Global Business Outlook A joint survey effort between Duke University, Fundação Getúlio Vargas and CFO magazine Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Dec 2013 1

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Latin American Business Outlook Part of the Global Business Outlook. A joint survey effort between Duke University, Fundação Getúlio Vargas and CFO magazine. Top Internal Concerns for Latin American CFOs. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Latin American Business Outlook Part of the  Global Business Outlook

Latin American Business OutlookPart of the Global Business Outlook

A joint survey effort between

Duke University,Fundação Getúlio Vargas

and

CFO magazine

Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Dec 2013 1

Page 2: Latin American Business Outlook Part of the  Global Business Outlook

Top Internal Concerns for Latin American CFOs

Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Dec 2013 2

1. Ability to maintain margins

2. Attracting and retaining qualified employees

3. Ability to forecast results

4. Working capital management

5. Maintaining morale/productivity

6. Supply chain risk

7. Counterparty risk

8. Managing IT systems

9. Balance sheet weakness

10. Data security

11. Pension obligations

Page 3: Latin American Business Outlook Part of the  Global Business Outlook

Top External Concerns for Latin American CFOs

Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Dec 2013 3

1. Consumer demand

2. Federal government policies

3. Corporate tax rates

4. Price pressure from competitors

5. Global financial instability

6. Currency risk

7. Credit markets/interest rates

8. Foreign competition

9. Inflation

10. Cost of non-fuel commodities

11. Financial regulation

Page 4: Latin American Business Outlook Part of the  Global Business Outlook

Forecast of % change over next 12 monthsHistorical Responses Dec 2013 Response

Rev

enue

Notes: Presented data are the mean value for each region or country.

Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Dec 2013 4

Dec 2012 Mar 2013 Jun 2013 Sep 2013 Dec 2013

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

Latin America United States Europe AsiaAfrica

Pro

duct

Pric

es

Dec 2012 Mar 2013 Jun 2013 Sep 2013 Dec 2013

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

Latin America United States EuropeAsia Africa

United States

Europe Asia Latin America

Brazil Peru Chile0%

5%

10%

15%

United States

Europe Asia Latin America

Brazil Peru Chile

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

Page 5: Latin American Business Outlook Part of the  Global Business Outlook

Historical Responses

Cap

ital S

pend

ing

Dec 2013 Response

Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Dec 2013 5

Dec 2012 Mar 2013 Jun 2013 Sep 2013 Dec 2013

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

Latin America United States Europe AsiaAfrica

Forecast of % change over next 12 months

Notes: Presented data are the mean value for each region or country,except medians are shown for Latin American earnings in Dec 2012 and Mar 2013.

Ear

ning

s

Dec 2012 Mar 2013 Jun 2013 Sep 2013 Dec 2013

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

Latin America United States EuropeAsia Africa United

StatesEurope Asia Latin

AmericaBrazil Peru Chile

0%

5%

10%

15%

United States

Europe Asia Latin America

Brazil Peru Chile

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

Page 6: Latin American Business Outlook Part of the  Global Business Outlook

Historical Responses

# F

T E

mpl

oyee

sW

ages

& S

alar

ies

Dec 2013 Response

Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Dec 2013 6

Dec 2012 Mar 2013 Jun 2013 Sep 2013 Dec 2013

-5%

0%

5%

10%

Latin America United States Europe

Asia Africa

Dec 2012 Mar 2013 Jun 2013 Sep 2013 Dec 2013

-5%

0%

5%

10%

Latin America United States Europe Asia

Africa

Forecast of % change over next 12 months

Notes: Presented data are the mean value for each region or country,except medians shown for Latin America in Dec 2012 and Mar 2013.

#FT=Number of Fulltime Employees

United States

Europe Asia Latin America

Brazil Peru Chile

-5%

0%

5%

10%

United States

Europe Asia Latin America

Brazil Peru Chile0%

5%

10%

Page 7: Latin American Business Outlook Part of the  Global Business Outlook

Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Dec 2013

Business Optimism Index (Scale from 0 to 100)Historical Responses

Cou

ntry

/ R

egio

nO

wn

Com

pany

Dec 2013 Response

7

Dec 2012 Mar 2013 Jun 2013 Sep 2013 Dec 201335.0

45.0

55.0

65.0

75.0

Latin America United States EuropeAsia Africa

Dec 2012 Mar 2013 Jun 2013 Sep 2013 Dec 201335.0

45.0

55.0

65.0

75.0

Latin America United States Europe

Asia Africa

Brazil Mexico Argentina Chile Peru Colombia0

1020304050607080

Brazil Mexico Argentina Chile Peru Colombia0

1020304050607080

Notes: Presented data are the mean value for each region or country

Page 8: Latin American Business Outlook Part of the  Global Business Outlook

Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Dec 2013

Past Economic Conditions For Company

8

US Europe Asia Latin America Africa Brazil Peru Chile0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Significantly worse Somewhat worse No changeSomewhat better Significantly better

Have the economic conditions for your company changed in 2013?

Page 9: Latin American Business Outlook Part of the  Global Business Outlook

Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Dec 2013

Expected Economic Conditions For Company

9

US Europe Asia Latin America Africa Brazil Peru Chile0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Significantly worse Somewhat worse No changeSomewhat better Significantly better

Do you expect the economic conditions for your company to change in 2014?

Page 10: Latin American Business Outlook Part of the  Global Business Outlook

Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Dec 2013

Corporate Budget for Charitable Donations

10

US Europe Asia Latin America Africa0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Yes No

Does your company have a corporate budget for charitable donations?

Page 11: Latin American Business Outlook Part of the  Global Business Outlook

Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Dec 2013

Past and Expected Return on Assets (ROA)

11

US Europe Asia Latin America Africa Brazil Peru Chile0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

Approximate ROA in 2013 Expected ROA in 2014

Page 12: Latin American Business Outlook Part of the  Global Business Outlook

Duke/FGV CFO Survey in Latin America Press

Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Dec 2013 12

Page 13: Latin American Business Outlook Part of the  Global Business Outlook

Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Dec 2013 13

Duke/FGV CFO Survey in Latin America Press

Page 14: Latin American Business Outlook Part of the  Global Business Outlook

Latin American Business OutlookPart of the Global Business Outlook

A joint survey effort between

Duke University,Fundação Getúlio Vargas

and

CFO magazine

Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Dec 2013 14