land use planning and business models for urban ...€¦ · pr d y wrzoski 4 6 izbicko 94 94 a4...
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Land Use Planning and Business Models for Urban Distribution
Centers
Tomasz Dowgielewicz
Institute of Logistics and Warehousing
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Profile
R&D activities in public sector are commissioned by:• The Ministry of Economy• The Ministry of Infrastructure• The State Committee for Scientific Research
Core competences
• Logistics Management Consulting• Supply Chain Logistics• Macro-logistics Systems• e-business
POLLOCO
www.polloco.pl
Logistics knowledge networking and dissemination
Tomasz Dowgielewicz – Institute of Logistics and Warehousing
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The State’s goal
To balance the transportation system technically, spatially, economically, socially and environmentally, concerning the circumstances of developing economy and international competition.
Tomasz Dowgielewicz – Institute of Logistics and Warehousing
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Strategic Goals:�The newly built logistics centers should
be an element of national plan of integrated network of logistics centers
�The plan should consider their integration with functioning European logistics centers
Tomasz Dowgielewicz – Institute of Logistics and Warehousing
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Tomasz Dowgielewicz – Institute of Logistics and Warehousing
Stage 1 – Goods flow identificationStage 2 – Location studyStage 3 – Feasibility study
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Tomasz Dowgielewicz – Institute of Logistics and Warehousing
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Tasks:
Goods flows analysis were carried on the basis of:
- deliveries structure in goods distribution processes,- volumes of goods import and export for Opole voivodship- volume of goods flow within the region.
The goal:
To estimate goods flow to be serviced by the Opole Logistics Center
Tomasz Dowgielewicz – Institute of Logistics and Warehousing
Brzeg
Nysa
Strzelce Opolskie
K �dzierzyn-Ko
�
le
Głubczyce
Krapkowice
Prudnik
Namysłów
Opole
Kluczbork
39
A4
94
Byczyna
Olesno
11
Biedziany
Zawada
45
Ozimek
Dobrodzie
�
46
Zimnice
Wi �kszyce
45
Pakosławice
Pr �dy
Wrzoski
46
Izbicko
94
94A4
Otmuchów
Paczków
46
Piorunkowice
41
LaskowiceGłuchołazy
40
40
40
Głogówek
41
Pawłowiczki
38
39
39
Domaszowice
Wołczyn
42
Rogalice
Praszka
Rudniki
42
45
4211
12,2
8,2
11,1
5,4
2,0
1,0
1,8
1,7
1,1
1,5
2,2
Skorogoszcz
29,2
25,3
20,0
17,8
20,7
25,3
2,5
1,83,4 4,2
1,3
2,3
4,5
2,8
0,6
2,0
1,4
2,1
1,8
42
1,6
43
42
43
Jaworzno0,56,5
3,1
4,4
4,2
4,7
5,6
4,0
3,0
6,8
Niemodlin
3,2
12,2
6,44,5
6,6
4,8 6,9
8,0
8,1
7,1
8,7
0,1
WOJ. DOLNO
�
L
�
SKIE
WOJ. WIELKOPOLSKIE
WOJ. ŁÓDZKIE
WOJ.
�
L
�
SKIE
CZECHY
Młodoszowice
Skarbimierz
Czeska Wie
�
5
8
13
4
13
910
11
12
LEGENDA
- oznaczenie lokalizacji CL
- granica powiatu
- granica pa
�
stwa
- granica gminy
- granica województwa
6
2Olszanka
Półwie
�
Metalchem
Linopłyt
KSR
7
SAG (Ujazd)
ZA K dzierzyn
Port
Blachownia 3Blachownia 4
- potok towarowy (drogowy)
Goods flows in motorway transport for Opole
voivodship
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Tomasz Dowgielewicz – Institute of Logistics and Warehousing
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762 685629 829463 564341 461221 946123 485Good stream assumed to be serviced by the OLC [tons]
9,50%8,50%7,00%5,50%4,00%2,50%Absorption coefficient
104,09%104,09%100,82%104,09%103,68%103,84%GDP dynamics coefficient
8 028 2657 409 7526 622 3406 208 3855 548 6394 939 392Total road transportation [tons]
201820162013201020072004Goods streams in following years
Forecasted volume of goods flow for the Opole Logistics Center
The volume of streams serviced by OLC in 2004-2018 was estimated on the basis of GDP forecast and concerning the base absorption coefficient on the level of 2.5%
Tomasz Dowgielewicz – Institute of Logistics and Warehousing
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127 582105 35877 54557 12037 12720 657Store-yards renting
127 582105 35877 54557 12037 12720 657On yard storing
165 857136 966100 80974 25648 26526 854Warehouses renting
165 857136 966100 80974 25648 26526 854Warehousing and order picking
99 51482 17960 48544 55328 95916 112Cross-docking
76 29263 00346 37134 15722 20112 352Container service
201820162013201020072004
Goods stream in years [tons]Service
The share of stream volume according to the kind of services
Tomasz Dowgielewicz – Institute of Logistics and Warehousing
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The goal:To estimate the optimal location for the logistics center for the voivodship of Opole.
Tasks:� to evaluate the need of creating the logistics center in the
region� to identify the role and function of the future logistics center� to recommend logistics center’s number within the
voivodship
Tomasz Dowgielewicz – Institute of Logistics and Warehousing
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Main groups of criteria for logistics centers locating:
1. location (the location’s abundance)
2. economical (the regions potential)
3. distributional (distribution costs)
Tomasz Dowgielewicz – Institute of Logistics and Warehousing
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Issues to be recognized when analyzing potential locations:
1. Land destination – spatial plan conformity2. Land development – accessibility and efficiency
of media3. Ownership structure – lands’ legal status4. Infrastructure
5. Communication network accessibility
Tomasz Dowgielewicz – Institute of Logistics and Warehousing
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Strzelce OpolskieUjazd Strefa Aktywno
�
ci Gospodarczej (SAG)-w �zeł A4 „Olszowa”„Nogawczyce”
13
OpoleZACh „Metalchem”12
OpolePółwie
�
11
KluczborkWołczynZPL „Linopłyt”10
KluczborkKluczborkKluczborska Strefa Rozwoju (KSR)9
K �dzierzyn-Ko
�
leK �dzierzyn-Ko
�
lePort8
K �dzierzyn-Ko
�
leK �dzierzyn-Ko
�
leZCh „Blachownia 4”7
K �dzierzyn-Ko
�
leK �dzierzyn-Ko
�
leZCh „Blachownia 3”6
K �dzierzyn-Ko
�
leK �dzierzyn-Ko�
leZA ”K �dzierzyn”5
BrzegSkarbimierzSkarbimierz - lotnisko4
BrzegOlszankaCzeska Wie
�
- Jankowice3
BrzegOlszankaOlszanka – w �zeł A4 „Przylesie”2
BrzegGrodkówMłodoszowice – w �zeł A4 „Przylesie”1
PoviatCommuneNameNo.
Locations to be verified
Tomasz Dowgielewicz – Institute of Logistics and Warehousing
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2 149(100%)
175(8,1%)
266(12,4%)
39(1,9%)
Number of foreign investments over 1 M$12
17,5%21,5%15,7%18,2%Unemployment rate11
2 045,11 973,42 094,41 865,5Average gross salary [PLN]10
9 7167 3289 1546334Goods retail sales per capita [PLN]9
12 96012 09617 39111 573Sold industry production per capita [PLN]8
500 780,7(100%)
35 940,6(7,2%)
84 174,8(16,8%)
12 530,3(2,5%)
Sold industry production [millions of PLN]7
3 1413 7062 5982 048Investments expenditures per capita [PLN]6
121 362,9(100%)
11 012,0(9,1%)
12 573,1(10,4%)
2 217,2(1,8%)
Investments expenditures [millions of PLN]5
17 72518 32419 50915 146GDP per capita [PLN]4
684 981,9(100%)
54 516,0(8%)
94 773,1(13,8%)
16 458,2(2,4%)
GDP [millions of PLN] 3
379,7328,2349,1326,2Working population per 1000 people2
38 632 453(100%)
2 970 094(7,7%)
4 830 472(12,5%)
1 080 505(2,8%)
Population1
POLANDDOLNO-�
L
�
SKIE
�
L
�
SKIEOPOLSKIEIndexNo.
Economical indexes
Tomasz Dowgielewicz – Institute of Logistics and Warehousing
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DOLNO
�
L
�
SKIE
MAZOWIECKIE
ŁÓDZKIE
MAŁOPOLSKIE
PODLASKIE
WARMI
�
SKO-MAZURSKIE
ZACHODNIOPOMORSKIE
POMORSKIE
KUJAWSKO-POMORSKIE
LUBELSKIE
PODKARPACKIE
LUBUSKIE
OPOLSKIE
�
L
�
SKIE
�
WI
�
TOKRZYSKIE
WIELKOPOLSKIE
Stan ludno
�
ci
3 360 000 do 5 070 000 (2)2 640 000 do 3 360 000 (4)2 140 000 do 2 640 000 (3)1 470 000 do 2 140 000 (3)1 020 000 do 1 470 000 (4)
Produkcja sprzedanaprzemysłu i handlu
210 000
w mln. zł.
Liczba inwestycji zagranicznych
1 Punkt = 10 inwesty cji
Tomasz Dowgielewicz – Institute of Logistics and Warehousing
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Analysis of logistics distribution costs
The logistics costs analysis of distribution centers functioning
was carried on the basis of the Institute’s methodology. It
was estimated regarding the following:
� real structure of goods stream flow
� costs indexes of the second half of 2002
� issuing point located in Germany
� receiving points in all voivodship capitals of Poland
Tomasz Dowgielewicz – Institute of Logistics and Warehousing
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100,0%18,6%5,8%75,6%Costs share
108,62 944,3548,6171,72 224,0Country avg.
120,33 260,5639,4166,22 454,8Białystok16
118,83 219,6606,0158,82 454,8Rzeszów15
116,63 159,5539,6165,02 454,8Lublin14
114,43 100,9639,4165,52 296,0Olsztyn13
112,43 046,5639,4179,42 227,6Gda
�
sk12
110,02 982,7774,3176,62 031,7Szczecin11
109,52 969,2506,6166,62 296,0Kraków10
109,42 966,0441,8228,22 296,0Warszawa9
109,02 954,5506,6171,72 276,2Katowice8
107,02 899,4441,8161,62 296,0Kielce7
105,42 858,2409,7172,32 276,2Łód
�
6
103,32 800,8606,0163,02 031,7Zielona Góra5
100,92 734,2506,6174,12 053,4Pozna
�
4
100,52 723,8506,6163,82 053,4Bydgoszcz3
100,52 722,9506,6162,92 053,4Opole2
100,02 710,5506,6172,22 031,7Wrocław1
[tys PLN][tys. PLN][tys. PLN][tys. PLN]
The cheapest location
= 100
TOTALDistribution costs
Warehousing costs
Transport costsLocationRank
Locations rank according to logistics costs
Tomasz Dowgielewicz – Institute of Logistics and Warehousing
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Source: Institute of Market Economy Research
Investment attractiveness for voivodships’ capitals in Poland
Tomasz Dowgielewicz – Institute of Logistics and Warehousing
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Pan European transport corridorsCorridor I: Warszawa - Białystok - Suwałki - z odgał �zieniem: - Elbl �g -Gda
�
sk;
Corridor II:
�
wiecko - Pozna
�
- Warszawa – Terespol;
Corridor III: Zgorzelec - Wrocław - Opole -Katowice - Kraków - Rzeszów -Medyka;
Corridor IV:
Gda
�
sk/Gdynia - Warszawa -Katowice – Zwardo
�
– Pozna
�
- Katowice
Tomasz Dowgielewicz – Institute of Logistics and Warehousing
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CONCLUSIONS
�The necessity of building a logistics center within Opole voivodship has been proved
� It should operate within and for the city of Opole having regional character
� It should co-operate with another logistics centers in Poland
� Within international operability it should co-operate with the closest international logistics center that has international character
Tomasz Dowgielewicz – Institute of Logistics and Warehousing
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lokalizacyjne gospodarcze dystrybucyjne
Skarbimierz 0,5 0,5 0 1
Młodoszowice 0,5 0,5 0 1
Przylesie 0,5 0,5 0 1
Czeska Wie
�
0 0,5 0 0,5
Strzelce Opolskie 1 0 0,5 1,5
ZAK 0,5 0 0 0,5
Port 0,5 0 0 0,5
Blachownia 3 1 0 0 1
Blachownia 4 0,5 0 0 0,5
Półwie
�
0 1 1 2
Metalchem 0,5 1 1 2,5
Linopłyt 0,5 0 0 0,5
KSR 1 0 0 1
KryteriumŁ �cznie
Brz
egK
�dzie
rzyn
-Ko
� leO
pole
Klu
czbo
rkLokalizacja
Final result
Tomasz Dowgielewicz – Institute of Logistics and Warehousing
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Brzeg
Nysa
Strzelce Opolskie
K �dzierzyn-Ko
�
le
Głubczyce
Krapkowice
Prudnik
Namysłów
Opole
Kluczbork
39
A4
94
Byczyna
Olesno
11
Biedziany
Zawada
45
Ozimek
Dobrodzie
�
46
Zimnice
Wi �kszyce
45
Pakosławice
Pr �dy
Wrzoski
46
Izbicko
94
94A4
Otmuchów
Paczków
46
Piorunkowice
41
LaskowiceGłuchołazy
40
40
40
Głogówek
41
Pawłowiczki
38
39
39
Domaszowice
Wołczyn
42
Rogalice
Praszka
Rudniki
42
45
4211
Skorogoszcz
4243
42
43
Jaworzno
Niemodlin
WOJ. DOLNO
�
L
�
SKIE
WOJ. WIELKOPOLSKIE
WOJ. ŁÓDZKIE
WOJ.
�
L
�
SKIE
CZECHY
Młodoszowice
Skarbimierz
Czeska Wie
�
5
8
13
4
13
910
11
12
LEGENDA
- oznaczenie lokalizacji CL
- granica powiatu
- granica pa
�
stwa
- granica gminy
- granica województwa
6
2Olszanka
Półwie
�
Metalchem
Linopłyt
KSR
7
SAG (Ujazd)
ZA K dzierzyn
Port
Blachownia 3Blachownia 4
Location of the future logistics center
Tomasz Dowgielewicz – Institute of Logistics and Warehousing
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Goal:To estimate optimal organizational form of the center and economical effectiveness of the project.
Tasks:� logistics centers’ market analysis in Poland and Europe� defining the range of logistics services� elaboration of the initial plan of OLC’s development plan� organizational forms’ analysis� impact on environment� elaboration of 15 years financial forecast� identification of possible financing sources� evaluation of the investment’s financial effectiveness
Tomasz Dowgielewicz – Institute of Logistics and Warehousing
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0,0
10,0
20,0
30,0
40,0
50,0
60,0
70,0
80,0
90,0
1998 1999 2000 2001 1)
w m
ln P
LN
Incomes from logistics services sales
Tomasz Dowgielewicz – Institute of Logistics and Warehousing
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The range and stages of the investment
22 1502 8002 8503 4503 4509 600m2Maneuver yards and ways
3 0001 0001 0001 000m2Container yard
18 8003 1003 1003 1003 1006 400m2Storing yards
35 6006 7005 4006 7006 70010 100m2Warehouses
11,10,82,10,82,15,3haLands
Razem20162013201020072004UnitInvestment range
Tomasz Dowgielewicz – Institute of Logistics and Warehousing
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����
����
PSP
SO
H
B
- obiekt magazynowy (rok inwest.- )
- plac kontenerowy (rok inwest.- )
- plac składowy (rok inwest.- )2004
2012
2015
P - stacja paliw
- parking samochodów ci � �
ar.
- stacja obsługi pojazdów
PS
2004
SO
- obiekt hotelowy
- obiekt biurowy
H
2012
2015
B
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METALCHEM
Obwodnica Opolska
54
53
ul. O�w
i� cimska
53
5 4
Obiekty CL
Obiekty towarzysz �ce
Spatial development concept
Tomasz Dowgielewicz – Institute of Logistics and Warehousing
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OLC’s Managing Operator
Local government Private investors
The real estateapprox. 6 mln zł
Cash contributionapprox. 4 mln zł
Co-financing resourcesapprox. 24 mln zł
Debt (credit, bonds)approx. 36 mln zł
EU Financial institutions
Tomasz Dowgielewicz – Institute of Logistics and Warehousing
Utilization costs
of the Opole LC
(2004-2018)
25 402 387 Total costs
4 535 975 Depreciation
998 068 Unexpected costs reserve
5 703 255 Management costs
-Space renting
72 285 Parking lots
476 737 Container yards
69 862 Hiring service
1 241 964 yards service
1 311 827 Storing yards
7 442 319 picking service
4 164 259 cross-docking service
790 693 Hiring service
12 397 269 Warehouses
14 258 120 Direct costs
Costs (2004 - 2018)[EUR] Category
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Tomasz Dowgielewicz – Institute of Logistics and Warehousing
Income of
the Opole LC
(2004-2018)
-Space renting
96 279 Parking lots
2 525 581 Containers yards
1 513 340 Hiring service
1 920 698 yards service
3 434 037 Storing yards
20 680 116 picking service
10 734 977 Cross-docking service
8 820 301 Hiring service
40 235 394 Warehouses
46 195 013 Total income
Incomes (2004 - 2018) [EUR] Category
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Tomasz Dowgielewicz – Institute of Logistics and Warehousing
Investment Expenditures of the Opole LC (2004-2018) [EUR]
16 105 112 TOTAL
442 791 8 Tools, movables and equipment
2 697 132 7 Means of transport
1 278 534 2 Objects of land engineery
10 655 743 1 Buildings
1 030 912 0 Grounds
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Tomasz Dowgielewicz – Institute of Logistics and Warehousing
Internal Return Rate of the investment project for Opole LC (independent of the financial source)
13,7 % IRR
Internal Return Rate
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Tomasz Dowgielewicz – Institute of Logistics and Warehousing
All questions concerning the presentation please refer:
www.polloco.pl+48 / 61 / 850 49 49
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