land cover change impacts on regional meteorology

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    Land-Cover Change Impacts onRegional Meteorology

    Professor Roger A. Pielke Sr.

    Colorado State University and Duke UniversityPresented at EROS Data Center

    Sioux Falls, South Dakota

    April 22th, 2004

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    Regional Land-Use Change Effects

    on Climate in the Winter

    Marshall, C.H. Jr., R.A. Pielke Sr., and L.T. Steyaert, 2003: Cropfreezes and land-use change. Nature, 426, 29-30.

    http://blue.atmos.colostate.edu/publications/pdf/R-277.pdf

    Marshall, C.H., R.A. Pielke Sr., and L.T. Steyaert, 2004: Has the conversion ofnatural wetlands to agricultural land increased the incidence and severity ofdamaging freezes in south Florida? Mon. Wea. Rev., accepted.

    http://blue.atmos.colostate.edu/publications/pdf/R-281.pdf

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    1997

    Min T

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    1997

    duration

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    Regional Land-Use Change Effectson Climate in the Summer

    Marshall, C.H. Jr., R.A. Pielke Sr., L.T. Steyaert, and D.A. Willard, 2004:The impact of anthropogenic land cover change on warm season sensibleweather and sea-breeze convection over the Florida peninsula. Mon. Wea

    Rev., 132, 28-52.

    http://blue.atmos.colostate.edu/publications/pdf/R-272.pdf

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    1973

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    1989

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    1994

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    Two-month average of thesurface latent heat flux (Wm-2) from the modelsimulations of July andAugust 1994 with pre-1900s land cover (top),1994 land use (middle),and the difference field for

    the two (bottom; 1994minus pre-1900s case).

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    1989

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    RAMS: Regional Atmospheric ModelingSystemPielke, R.A., W.R. Cotton, R.L. Walko, C.J. Tremback, W.A.

    Lyons, L.D. Grasso, M.E. Nicholls, M.D. Moran, D.A. Wesley,T.J. Lee, and J.H. Copeland, 1992: A comprehensivemeteorological modeling system -- RAMS. Meteor. Atmos.Phys., 49, 69-91.

    http://blue.atmos.colostate.edu/publications/pdf/R-155.pdf

    LEAF2: Land-Ecosystem AtmosphereFeedback Model

    Walko, R.L., L.E. Band, J. Baron, T.G.F. Kittel, R. Lammers,T.J. Lee, D.S. Ojima, R.A. Pielke, C. Taylor, C. Tague, C.J.Tremback, and P.L. Vidale, 2000: Coupled atmosphere-biophysics-hydrology models for environmental modeling. J.

    Appl. Meteor., 39, 931-944.http://blue.atmos.colostate.edu/publications/pdf/R-194.pdf

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    GEMTM: General Energy and Mass Transfer ModelChen D-X, and M.B. Coughenour, 1994: GEMTM: a general model for

    energy and mass transfer of land surfaces and its application at theFIFE sites.Agriculture and Forest Meteorology, 68, 145-171.

    GEMRAMS: General Energy and Mass RegionalAtmospheric Modeling SystemEastman, J.L., M.B. Coughenour, and R.A. Pielke, 2001: The effects ofCO2 and landscape change using a coupled plant and meteorologicalmodel. Global Change Biology, 7, 797-815.http://blue.atmos.colostate.edu/publications/pdf/R-229.pdf

    Eastman, J.L., M.B. Coughenour, and R.A. Pielke, 2001: Does grazingaffect regional climate? J. Hydrometeorology, 2, 243-253.http://blue.atmos.colostate.edu/publications/pdf/R-233.pdf

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    RAMS/LEAF2/GEMTM model sensitivityevaluations for summer season climate

    for the Mid-Atlantic, Southeastern Plainsand Western High Plains regions of theUnited States. The focus will be on the

    impacts of land-use and land-coverchanges on surface fluxes, precipitation,

    physical evaporation, transpiration, andsoil moisture. Runoff and floodingeffects may also be investigated.

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    MODEL RUNS

    Validation with Historical Surface

    Climate Data

    Assessment of Future RegionalClimate Vulnerability