Lag-lead correlations, CMIP5 models, historical run (1/1/1990-31/12/2005)

Pr-SM and AT-SM correlations use just land points, Pr-AT correlations done twice (all points and land points only)

Pr-SM Pr-AT (all points)

AT-SM

All correlations, globalExample: for +10 day – pr leads sm by 10 days (day 1 with day 11, day 2 with day 12, etc)

Pr-AT (land points only)

All correlations, global

Pr-Pr (land points only)

Africa South America AsiasA: 10-50E, 0-35S Brazil: 75-30W, 0-23S Oceania: 100-165E, 15N-15S wA: 20W-0E, 23-0N India: 70-90E, 35-10NeA: 15-50E, 23-0N

All correlations, Pr-PrExample: for +10 day – pr leads pr by 10 days (day 1 with day 11, day 2 with day 12, etc)

Brazil

India

Oceania

s. Africa

e. Africa

w. Africa

All correlations, Pr-SMExample: for +10 day – pr leads sm by 10 days (day 1 with day 11, day 2 with day 12, etc)

Brazil

India

Oceania

s. Africa

e. Africa

w. Africa

All correlations, Pr-AT (all points)Example: for +10 day – pr leads at by 10 days (day 1 with day 11, day 2 with day 12, etc)

s. Africa

e. Africa

w. Africa

Brazil

India

Oceania

All correlations, Pr-AT (land points only)Example: for +10 day – pr leads at by 10 days (day 1 with day 11, day 2 with day 12, etc)

Brazil

India

Oceania

s. Africa

e. Africa

w. Africa

All correlations, AT-SMExample: for +10 day – at leads sm by 10 days (day 1 with day 11, day 2 with day 12, etc)

s. Africa

e. Africa

w. Africa

Brazil

India

Oceania