la - silvanomonarca · •la conferenza di parigi sui cambiamenti climatici, cop 21 o cmp 11 si è...
TRANSCRIPT
• La Conferenza di Parigi sui cambiamenti climatici , COP 21 o CMP 11 si è tenuta a Parigi, Francia, dal 30 novembre al 12 dicembre del 2015. È stata la 21ª sessione annuale della conferenza delle parti della Convenzione quadro delle Nazioni Unite sui cambiamenti climatici (UNFCCC) del 1992 e la 11ª sessione della riunione delle parti del protocollo di Kyoto del 1997
Future Projections
Range: from 1 – 7°C average global warming by 2100
IPCC, AR5, 2013
CLIMATE
CHANGE
Temperature Rise 1
Sea level Rise 2
Hydrologic Extremes
Urban Heat Island
Effect
Air Pollution &
Aeroallergens
Vector-borne Diseases
Water-borne Diseases
Water resources & food
supply
Mental Health &
Environmental
Refugees
Heat Stress Cardiorespiratory failure Respiratory diseases, e.g., COPD & Asthma Malaria Dengue Encephalitis Hantavirus Rift Valley Fever Cholera Cyclospora Cryptosporidiosis Campylobacter Leptospirosis Malnutrition Diarrhea Toxic Red Tides Forced Migration Overcrowding Infectious diseases Human Conflicts
1 3°C by yr. 2100 2 40 cm “ “ IPCC estimates
Patz, 1998
EFFETTI SANITARI dei CAMBIAMENTI
CLIMATICI
Future
summers
warmer than
warmest on
record
Today’s 900 million
at risk for hunger
could double by
mid-century.
Battisi and Naylor, Science
2009
GHGE (kg CO2 eq./kg)
High GHGE of animal products vs plant-based ones
Sustainable diets : lower energy density without increasing quantities
Animal versus plant-base diets and GHG emissions
Plant-based diets recommended for health
2006
1979
2011
Forest health
2050 2070
Homalodisca vitripennis
An introduction scenario : potential distribution area of a disease vector under current climatic conditions, in
2050 and in 2070
JP Rossi, JY Rasplus, INRA CBGP