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3 Collecting Information and Forecasting Demand 1

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Page 1: Kotler mm 14e_03_ippt

3Collecting

Information and Forecasting

Demand

1

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Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.  Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-2

Chapter Questions

What are the components of a modern marketing information system?

What are useful internal records? What makes up a marketing intelligence

system? What are some influential macro

environment developments? How can companies accurately measure

and forecast demand?

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What is a Marketing Information System?

A marketing information system consists of people, equipment, and procedures to gather, sort, analyze, evaluate, and distribute needed, timely, and accurate information to marketing decision makers.

Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.  Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-3

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Case Study: MEDC

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Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.  Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-5

Table 3.2 Information Needs Probes

What decisions do you regularly make? What information do you need to make these

decisions? What information do you regularly get? What studies do you periodically request? What information would you want that you are

not getting now? What are the four most helpful improvements

that could be made in the present marketing information system?

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Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.  Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-6

Internal Records and Marketing Intelligence

Order-to-payment cycle Sales information system Databases, warehousing, data mining Marketing intelligence system

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Database Management

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What is a Marketing Intelligence System?

A marketing intelligence system is a set of procedures and sources that managers use to obtain everyday information about developments in the marketing environment.

Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.  Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-8

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Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.  Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-9

Steps to Quality Marketing Intelligence

Train sales force to scan for new developments Motivate channel members to share intelligence Hire external experts to collect intelligence Network externally Utilize a customer advisory panel Utilize government data sources Purchase information

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Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.  Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-10

Sources of Competitive Information

Independent customer goods and service review forums

Distributor or sales agent feedback sites Combination sites offering customer reviews

and expert opinions Customer complaint sites Public blogs

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Needs and Trends

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Fad

Trend

Megatrend

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Major Forces in the Environment

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Demographic

Economic

Socio-cultural

Natural

Technological

Political-legal

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Population and Demographics

Population growth Population age mix Ethnic markets Educational groups Household patterns

Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.  Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-13

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Perspective on the Global Demographic Environment

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Economic Environment

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Consumer Psychology

Income Distribution

Income, Savings, Debt, Credit

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Economic Environment and Consumer Psychology

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Income Distribution

Subsistence economies Raw-material-exporting economies Industrializing economies Industrial economies

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Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.  Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-18

Social-Cultural Environment

Views of themselves Views of others Views of organizations Views of society Views of nature Views of the universe

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Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.  Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-19

Table 3.4 Most Popular American Leisure Activities

Reading TV Watching Spending time with

family Going to movies Fishing

Computer activities Gardening Renting movies Walking Exercise

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Socio-Cultural Influences

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Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.  Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-21

Natural Environment

Shortage of raw materials Increased energy costs Anti-pollution pressures Governmental protections

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Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.  Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-22

Keys to Avoiding Green Marketing Myopia

Consumer Value Positioning Calibration of Consumer Knowledge Credibility of Product Claims

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Consumer Environmental Segments

Genuine Greens Not Me Greens Go-with-the-Flow Greens Dream Greens Business First Greens Mean Greens

Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.  Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-23

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Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.  Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-24

Technological Environment

Pace of change Opportunities for innovation Varying R&D budgets Increased regulation of change

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The Political-Legal Environment

Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.  Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-25

Business Legislation

Growth of Special Interest Groups

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Forecasting and Demand Measurement

How can we measure market demand? Potential market Available market Target market Penetrated market

Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.  Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-26

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A Vocabulary for Demand Measurement

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Market Demand

Market Forecast

Market Potential

Company Demand

Company Sales Forecast

Company Sales Potential

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Market Demand Functions

Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.  Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-28

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Estimating Current Demand: Total Market Potential

Calculations Multiple potential

number of buyers by average quantity each purchases times price

Chain-ratio method

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Estimating Current Demand: Area Market Potential

Market-Buildup

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Estimating Current Demand: Area Market Potential

Multiple-Factor Index

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Estimating Future Demand

Survey of Buyers’ Intentions Composite of Sales Force Opinions Expert Opinion Past-Sales Analysis Market-Test Method

Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.  Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-32

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For Review

What are the components of a modern marketing information system?

What are useful internal records? What makes up a marketing intelligence

system? What are some influential macroenvironment

developments? How can companies accurately measure and

forecast demand?

Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.  Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-33