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    Patricio A. Bernal, Executive Secretary IOCLaura S. L. Kong, Director,

    International Tsunami Information Centre

    Tsunami Depos i ts Workshop

    Jun e 12-15, 2005

    Seatt le, Washin gto n

    The Indian Ocean

    Tsunami Warning System:A Progress Report

    Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission

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    Intergovernmental

    Oceanographic Commission

    Established in 1960, part of UNESCO

    Purpose isto promote international cooperation and tocoordinate programmes inresearch, services and capacity-building,in order to learn more about the nature andresources of the ocean and coastal areasand to apply that knowledge for theimprovement of management, sustainabledevelopment, the protectionof the marineenvironment, and the decision-makingprocess of its Member States

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    Earthquake

    Tsunami

    TsunamiWarning

    Center

    International

    - Regional

    Framework

    National Warning System Public Awareness

    NationalGovernment

    LocalGovernment

    People

    Mass Media

    Where isEvacuation

    Route?

    What is

    Tsunami?

    TSUNAMI Early Warning Overview

    Cabinet Office Japan

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    1. Assess national tsunami

    risk (Hazard assessment)

    2. Establish national / regional warning center

    against local and regional tsunamis

    (Warning guidance)

    3. Promoteeducation/preparedness and

    risk reduction against tsunami hazard

    (Mitigation and Public Awareness)

    TWS SYSTEM COMPONENTS

    END-TO-END SYSTEM

    Develop National and

    Regional Capacity to:

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    Comprehensive Tsunam i Risk Reduct ion

    Stakeho lders bui ld Tsunam i Resi l ient Commun ity

    WARNING CENTER OPERATORSPacif ic , Indian Ocean, Mediterr anean

    Tsun ami Warning Centers

    TSUNAMISCIENTISTSUniversi ty and

    Gov t Researchers

    GLOBAL

    REGIONAL

    NATIONAL

    GOVT, NGOEMERGENCYMANAGERSCivi l Defense

    Lo cal Au tho r i t ies

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    BACKGROUND

    InApr i l 1965, IOC est . ICG/ITSU-

    Internat ional Coo rdinat ion Groupfor the Tsunami Warning Systemin the Pacif ic (TWSP)

    Recommends & Coord inatetsunam i programs, inc lud ing t imely

    internat ional tsun am i warnings

    Subsid iary Group to IOC Assemb lycomposed by 129 States

    In1966, IOC establish ed theInternat ional Tsunam i Info rmation

    Centre(ITIC)

    Supports ITSU and TWSP

    RHHPacif ic Tsunami WarningCenteracts as TWSPOperat ions

    Center; hos ted by USA

    IOC ICG/ITSU

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    27 member States:

    Australia, Canada, Chile, China,Colombia, Cook Islands,

    Costa Rica, Democratic People's

    Republic of Korea, Ecuador,

    El Salvador, Fiji, France, Guatemala,

    Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico,

    New Zealand, Nicaragua, Peru,Philippines, Republic of Korea,

    Singapore, Thailand, USSR,

    United States, Samoa.

    Successful Operational Tsunami Warning System

    Successful international scientific program Direct humanitarian aim

    Mitigate tsunami effects - save lives/property

    System based on national / regional warning centres +

    international information centre (ITIC); Training Programme

    Pacific Basin monitoring of seismicity and sea levels

    Global network of tsunami scientists

    IOC ICG/ITSU

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    IOC ICG/ITSU

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    IOC ICG/ITSU

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    Pacific Example

    TWSP WARNING CENTERS

    PTWC

    ATWC

    CPPT

    SNAM

    NWPTAC

    DHN

    NZ

    KMA

    RFTWC

    BOM

    INOCAR

    BMG

    JMAPHIVOLCS

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    EWS WILL SAVE LIVESRequirements

    1. Warning

    local (educate), distant (monitoring center)2. Recognized Authorized National Authority receives

    and immediately evaluates/translates, informs public

    For an appropriate response,

    - government must understand phenomena,

    and limitations of impact prediction,

    - have already practiced response plan,

    - have already educated and prepared public,

    - have already minimized impact through

    pre-disaster mitigation

    - during and afterward, be prepared to explain

    to highest government leaders and public

    why decisions made (qualitatively, quantitatively)

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    UN role

    Define the proper scale of the problemand its solution.

    The system must be:

    Fully owned by Indian Ocean Rim countries

    Based on international multilateral

    cooperation

    Based on the open and free exchange of data

    Protect all countries in the Indian Ocean Basin

    Transparent and accountable to all members

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    How does it function?

    Is based on the joint operation ofinternational networks of detectionconnected with national tsunami warningcentres

    UN governance provided under the IOC

    Each nation is responsible for issuingwarnings in their territory and protect its own

    population.National centres must have strong links withemergency preparedness authorities(national, provincial and local)

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    ELEMENTS (Pacific):Regional Tsunami Warning

    and Mitigation System

    National

    TWC

    WC/ATWC

    NWPTAC

    PTWC

    Regional

    TWC

    International

    Tsunami

    Information

    Centre (ITIC)

    NationalTWC

    NationalTWC

    National

    TWCNational

    TWCNational

    TWS

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    Where are we now?

    A single system being plannedAll countries of the Indian Ocean participate

    Tsunami advisory information provided fromcentres in Hawaii and Tokyo.

    National focal points designated in 19 nations

    Governance of UN/IOC to be accepted in Paris

    Full scope of the task recognized: multi-nation

    (28), multi-year (>3)Beyond the emergency: transition toreconstruction and development phase.

    Joint UN implementation:

    IOC, WMO, ISDR, UNDP

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    Timeline 2005

    Ja F M A M J Jul

    Jan 18-22: World Con ference on Disaster Reduc tion , Ko be Jan 25-26: China-ASEAN Beijing Workshop

    Jan 28-29: Ministerial Meeting , Phuket, Thailand

    Feb 16: EOS III/GEOSS, Bruss els

    Feb 22-24 Tokyo Sem inar, Senior Off icers Affected countr ies

    Feb 28-March 2: NHK and Asian Broadcast ing Union ws

    Mar 3-8: IOC 1s tRegional Techn ical Coo rdin at ion Mtg, Paris

    Mar 6-19: J ICA/ADRC training course, Tokyo

    Mar 14-18: WMO GTS work shop , Jakarta, Indonesia

    Apr 14-16: IOC 2ndRegional Coordination Mtg, Mauri t ius

    A S O N D Ja Fe

    Implementation Interim System IOC-WMO-ISDR

    Implementation full system 2005-2006

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    Timeline 2005

    Ja F M A M J Jul

    May-Aug: IOC-led mult i -disc techn ical /capacity assessm ents

    June 22: IOC General Ass , Paris: Form al est of ICG/IOTWS

    Ju ly: IOC-ISDR Japan and Hawaii TWS Study Tours

    Sept: TIME tsunami modell ing, PHIVOLCS-ITIC-IASPEI-IAVCEI Sept-Oct:1stmeeting o f the ICG/IOTWS

    A S O N D Ja Fe

    Implementation Interim System IOC-WMO-ISDR

    Implementation full system 2005-2006

    Assessments

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    Mission Calendar

    May - August: 18 - 20 countries

    3-day mission: IOC, WMO, ISDR, in-countryorganizations, incl UNDP, OCHA, IFRC

    Goal: Assess technical capability and capacitybuilding needs; establish national priorities,

    regional actions18-21 May: Sri Lanka

    6-17 June: Oman, Kenya, Somalia, Tanzania

    10-15 June: Myanmar, Pakistan

    4-9 July: Comores, Madagascar5-13 July: Mozambique, Mauritius, Seychelles

    15-25 August: Thailand, Malaysia, Bangladesh

    20-28 August: India, Indonesia, Maldives

    Not yet scheduled: Iran, South Africa

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    ImplementationFast-track, based on existing networks

    seismographic and sea-level

    CTBTO broadcasting data experimentally

    Sea-level GLOSS network being upgraded

    Communication channels being providedthrough existing operators (GTS of WMO)

    Plans for full-fledged system to be completed:

    technical group to convene

    Interim solution operating by October

    National tsunami mitigation coordination

    committee organized; National tsunami

    response plans developed

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    GLOBAL BROADBAND

    SEISMOGRAPHIC NETWORK

    Broadband Seismic Stations contributing data to PTWC

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    Indian Ocean GLOSS

    WHITE CROSS retransmission to PTWC via

    GTSSelect station from map for data display.

    There are 9 GLOSS sites with hourly real-time data, 11 additional sites with hourly fast

    delivery data, 10 sites with hourly data later than 1999, 2 sites with hourly data before 1999,

    15 sites with monthly data later than 1999, and 8 sites with monthly data before 1999.

    Tsunami Monitor ing

    http://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g031.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g037.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g281.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g002.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g006.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g038.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g029.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g042.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g007.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g002.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g003.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g004.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g006.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g007.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g008.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g009.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g010.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g011.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g013.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g015.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g017.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g018.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g019.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g020.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g021.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g023.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g024.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g026.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g027.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g028.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g029.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g030.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g031.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g032.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g033.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g034.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g035.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g036.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g037.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g038.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g040.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g041.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g042.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g043.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g044.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g045.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g046.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g047.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g049.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g050.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g051.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g052.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g053.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g054.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g062.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g076.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g096.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g141.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g271.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g273.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g281.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g291.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g295.htmlhttp://ilikai.soest.hawaii.edu/uhslc/IOTd/htmld/g297.html
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    Suggested global distribution of

    deep sea pressure sensors

    (USA - to be defined)

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    Beyond the immediate response:

    Planning Global Coverage

    Caribbean Region (IOCARIBE)IASTWS, 2002; Coo rdin ation m tg, Jun 2005

    South West Pacific (Australia)SP Awareness WS, 2004; SOPAC Tsunam i WG; Plann ing Sept 2005

    South-China Sea (WESTPAC/ASEAN)China-ASEAN, Jan 2005

    Mediterranean: France, Spain, Italy, Algeria

    Technic al WS, Mar 2005

    Strengthening of the Pacific System,Atlantic/Caribbean (USA, Senate Bill 50)

    ICG/ITSU October 2005 (Valparaso, Chile)

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    Issues requiring support

    Donor Coordination: Financial project pledges

    to extend Tsunami coverage to 28 nations ofIndian Ocean Rim beyond 2005 and to multi-hazard

    platform (TSU-REG-05/CSS10 Region)

    Deep-sea pressure sensor technology

    for tsunami detection (NOAA DART availability)

    Facilitating free exchange of national data

    for protection of life and property.

    Communication channels for increased number of

    instrumental platforms (Geo-sta Meteo Satellites)

    Support for the establishment of

    IOCOperational Centre for disaster management

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    How can scientists assist?In collaboration with countries:

    Conduct post-tsunami surveys; Report / data to countries (IOC) Wave runup/inundat ion, geolog y, engineer ing, soc ial, eyewitn ess

    Conduct research on Real t ime seismic character izat ion of great earthquakes

    Numerical Model l ing of im pacted/vu lnerable coast l ines

    Engineer ing design guidance for seism ic/tsunami loading ;

    vert ical evacuat ion cr i ter ia New real-t ime tsu nami (and o ther hazards ) monito r ing

    GPS (remo te, cabled), alt imetry , ionospheric, remo te sens ing

    Collect all data on earthquake / tsunami, and follow-up studies

    Create universally-available, comprehensive database / archive Global, regional, local seismograms, hyd roacou st ic, satel l i te,

    deformation sign als; Sea level reco rds coastal gauges, deep-ocean; Satellite imagery

    Damage and imp act; Research

    Participate as experts in capacity building efforts organized

    regionally (by IOC and others) and nationally

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    ITIC: Dr. Laura Kong

    [email protected]

    PTWC: Dr. Charles McCreery

    [email protected]

    ITSU: ioc.unesco.org/itsu

    www.tsunamiwave.info

    Chair: Dr. Francois Schindele

    IOC: Dr. Patricio Bernal

    IOC Tsu Prog: Peter Pisserssens

    p pissierssens@unesco org