koen kramer, cop 15, 11 december 2009, kopenhagen
DESCRIPTION
Presentation: "From nature conservation areas to nature adaptation areas" Presented at COP15, 11 December 2010, Copenhagen.TRANSCRIPT
from nature conservation areas
tonature adaptation areas
Koen KramerTeam leader Vegetation and Landscape
Ecology
December 11 2009, Copenhagen
source: Peter Timofeeff
source: Peter Timofeeff
Salt intrusion
functional diversity, base of adaptive capacity and ecological resilience
Number of species
Nu
mb
er
of
in
div
idu
als
“passengers”“drivers”
biodiversity
Red-listed species
source: B. Walker
Functional diversity in drivers (effect groups) Enhance adaptive capacity and resilience Allow ecosystems to adapt through succession and
disturbances Analyse ecosystem functioning and -services
Functional diversity in passengers (response groups) Analyse match between response groups and the
landscape What are (future) bottlenecks Avoid future disasters
Functional approach of ecosystem management
Connecting areas
source: Claire Vos, Alterra
source: Wilfried Thuiller
change in probability of occurrence of beech
Advise for adaptive measures in forested areas
Application of approach and models in Inner Mongolia
High levels of biodiversity, partly endemic
沙尘暴滚滚而来
People that decide…
…and people that have to do it:
Pristineforest
Degradedland
Extensive use
Plantation
Originalspecies
Fossil fuelsubsidized
Extensive use
Subsistence agriculture
REGULATINGSERVICES
PUBLIC
changes in ecosystem adaptive capacity and ecosystem services due to loss of biodiversity
source: Leon Braat
PROVISIONINGSERVICES
PRIVATE
2000 2050
global loss of biodiversity (Ref: Braat & Ten Brink 2008)
Nature areas are storehouses of adaptive capacity.
They should be managed as nature adaptation areas to protect nature and to safeguard ecosystem services
This requires a careful and stepwise shift from current policy and target setting
