key takeaways from day one of fortune brainstorm tech 2017 ... · 7/18/2017  · fung global retail...

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1 July 18, 2017 Deborah Weinswig, Managing Director, Fung Global Retail & Technology [email protected] US: 917.655.6790 HK: 852.6119.1779 CN: 86.186.1420.3016 Copyright © 2017 The Fung Group. All rights reserved. Key Takeaways from Day One of Fortune Brainstorm TECH 2017 Fung Global Retail & Technology is attending Fortune Brainstorm TECH 2017 in Aspen, Colorado this week. The event seeks to discuss the myriad of ways that companies are trying to prepare for the future, including products, processes and/or services. The panelists are comprised of Fortune 500 leaders, emerging entrepreneurs and financiers. Topics and speakers of day one included data, robots and self-driving cars, tech giants such as Dell and Qualcomm, China bicycle-sharing company Mobike, and Internet companies Priceline and Instagram. Below are selected takeaways from day one of the event. 1) As the invention of the internal-combustion vehicle enabled the automobile to replace the horse and buggy, autonomous vehicles will require a new transportation paradigm. 2) While an uprising of robots is unlikely, they will be created to assist humans in tasks they cannot perform well, such as heavy lifting and repetitive tasks. 3) Internet companies such as Instagram and Priceline have evolved beyond their initial missions through persistence, luck and key acquisitions. 4) Bicycle sharing is exploding in China and around the world; In China, Mobike rents three times as many bicycles a day as Uber provides rides. 5) Qualcomm expects to move beyond today’s lawsuits to provide the enabling of basic technology for driverless cars, the Internet of Things (IoT) as well as many new applications requiring mobility.

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Page 1: Key Takeaways from Day One of Fortune Brainstorm TECH 2017 ... · 7/18/2017  · Fung Global Retail & Technology is attending Fortune Brainstorm TECH 2017 in Aspen, Colorado this

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July18,2017

DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,FungGlobalRetail&[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2017TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

Key Takeaways from Day One of Fortune Brainstorm TECH 2017

FungGlobalRetail&TechnologyisattendingFortuneBrainstormTECH2017inAspen,Coloradothisweek.Theeventseekstodiscussthemyriadofwaysthatcompaniesaretryingtoprepareforthefuture,includingproducts,processesand/orservices.ThepanelistsarecomprisedofFortune500leaders,emergingentrepreneursandfinanciers.

Topicsandspeakersofdayoneincludeddata,robotsandself-drivingcars,techgiantssuchasDellandQualcomm,Chinabicycle-sharingcompanyMobike,andInternetcompaniesPricelineandInstagram.

Belowareselectedtakeawaysfromdayoneoftheevent.

1) Astheinventionoftheinternal-combustionvehicleenabledtheautomobiletoreplacethehorseandbuggy,autonomousvehicleswillrequireanewtransportationparadigm.

2) Whileanuprisingofrobotsisunlikely,theywillbecreatedtoassisthumansintaskstheycannotperformwell,suchasheavyliftingandrepetitivetasks.

3) InternetcompaniessuchasInstagramandPricelinehaveevolvedbeyondtheirinitialmissionsthroughpersistence,luckandkeyacquisitions.

4) BicyclesharingisexplodinginChinaandaroundtheworld;InChina,MobikerentsthreetimesasmanybicyclesadayasUberprovidesrides.

5) Qualcommexpectstomovebeyondtoday’slawsuitstoprovidetheenablingofbasictechnologyfordriverlesscars,theInternetofThings(IoT)aswellasmanynewapplicationsrequiringmobility.

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July18,2017

DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,FungGlobalRetail&[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2017TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

AboutFortuneBrainstormTECH2017FungGlobalRetail&TechnologyisattendingFortuneBrainstormTECH2017inAspen,Coloradothisweek.Theeventseekstodiscussthemyriadofwaysthatcompaniesaretryingtoprepareforthefuture,includingproducts,processesand/orservices.ThepanelistsarecomprisedofFortune500leaders,emergingentrepreneursandfinanciers.

Selectedtakeawaysfromdayoneoftheeventfollow.

1) AutonomousVehiclesRequireaNewTransportationParadigmAsautomobilesrequiredreinventingthetransportationecosystemtoreplacethehorseandbuggy,thesamewillbetruefordriverlesscars.Automobilescanbeconsideredpersonaltransportationdevices,however,therearesomestartupsthataredisruptingthatidea:robo-taxistartupZooxisdevelopingshared,on-demand,zero-emissionmobilityvehicles;andCruise,acquiredbyGeneralMotors,istestingdriverlesscarsandexpectstomoveuptheranksintermsofthehumaninterventionrequired(i.e.,humandisengagement).Therearenumerouspartnershipsandcooperationsunderway,andautonomousvehicleswillconstantlycollectdatainordertoimprove.Therearealsocertainregulatoryquestionsthatneedtobeanswered—i.e.,doesadriverlesscarneedadriver’slicense,canitcrossstatelinesandothers.Datasharingondriverlesscarswillalsobetricky.

2) RobotsAreUnlikelytoRiseAgainstUsfortheForeseeableFutureDespiteconcernsthatrobotsaregoingtotakeawayjobs,anexpertfromGoogle’sNestbelievesweshoulddesignthemtodojobsthathumanscannotperformwellsuchasperformingrepetitivetasksandliftingheavyloads.Robotsperformthefollowingactions:sensing,thinking,takingaction,eveniftheydonotmove(likeanintelligentthermostat).Whilenoteverycustomerisseriousaboutsavingenergy,Nestthermometershavealreadysavedenoughenergytopoweralargecity.Thetalkonrobotsconcludedwithadiscussionofthechallengesoftransitioningfromacademicresearchtodevelopingproductsforhumans.YokyMatsuoka,NestLabSource:FungGlobalRetail&Technology

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July18,2017

DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,FungGlobalRetail&[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2017TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

3) DellIsBenefitingfromGoingPrivateinBeingAbletoInvestfortheLongTermCompaniesarefacingfourtransformations—digital,IT,workforceandsecurity—andthenewDellTechnologiesbelievesthatitisthebest-positionedcompanytofillthoseneeds.Inaddition,publiccompaniesfacefrequentmanagementchangesandthepressureofquarterlyearningsreporting,whichmakesitdifficulttoinvestforthelongterm.Dell,asaprivatecompany,isabletomaketheseinvestments.Goingprivateappearstohavepaidoff,asthecompanytookin$1billionmorerevenuethanplannedinthemostrecentearningsperiod.Companieslooktopurchasefromanumberofvendors,whileDellseekstoselltheentirepackage.ManyofthecompaniesattheconferenceareDellcustomers.ThenewDell—termedDell2.0—wasabletomakeariskyandgutsymovetocombinethetwocompanies(DellandEMC).

MichaelDell,CEOofDellTechnologiesSource:FungGlobalRetail&Technology

4) InstagramContinuestoEvolve,IncludingOpeningtoBusinessesInstagramCOOMarneLevineoutlinedInstagram’smission:tostrengthenrelationships.ShefurtherdiscussedmajorchangesthathavetakenplaceatInstagramsinceherarrival,includingchangestothefeed,Instagramstories,videoandlive(whichallowspeopletohangouttogether),andthedifficultyinmakingthesechanges.Shesharedherbeliefthatsuccessfulcompanieschangeeverytwoyears.Instagramnowhasmorethan700millioninitscommunity,80%ofwhichareoutsideoftheUS.Currently,250millionpeopleuseInstagramstoresonadailybasis,connectingpeopleandbusinesseswithsharedinterests.Some80%ofthecommunityconnectstoabusinessvoluntarily.SinceitwasacquiredbyFacebookin2012,Instagramhasgainedaccesstoitstalent,technologyandauserbaseof2billionusers,whichhasaccelerateditsgrowth.Thecompanynowhas1millionadvertisers,infeedandstories,usingthefullscreenandvideo.One-thirdofthemost-viewedstorescomefrombusinesses,indicatinguserinterest.OneinfiveminutesonamobilephoneintheUSisspentonFacebookorInstagram.LevinefurtherprovidedexamplesofInstagramusedbybusinessesaroundtheworld.

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July18,2017

DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,FungGlobalRetail&[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2017TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

5) MobikeHasExperiencedExplosiveGrowth,ProvidingThreeTimestheNumberofDailyRidesProvidedbyUber

BikesharinghasexistedintheUSsince2005,however,AmericansareunlikelytobefamiliarwithbikesharinginChina,wherebike-sharingenterpriseshavesprunguplikemushroomsaftertherain,includingMobike.MobikeCEODavisWangprovidedthebackgroundofhiscompanywhichislookingtosolvetwosocialproblems:congestionandairquality,andthesolutionisbicycles.Mobikeisthefusionofmobileandbicycle.Inmanycities,dockshadbeenanimpedimenttobicyclerental.MobikewaslaunchedinShanghaionEarthDay2016andhas:100millionregisteredusers,6millionconnectedbikesand20millionridesaday,threetimesthenumberofridesprovidedbyUber.Mobiketransportsmorethan20millionpeopleaday,notonlyinChina,butinSingapore,ManchesterandseveralcitiesinJapan.Thecompanyaimstobein200citiesbytheendofthisyear.WangenvisionsMobikebeingmorelikeasmartphonethatcanbeusedanytime,anywhere,charging$0.15per30minutes,lessthanthecostofasubwayride.

DavisWang,CEOofMobikeSource:FungGlobalRetail&Technology

6) PricelineReinventedItselfthroughPersistenceandSuccessfulAcquisitionsItseemswehavenotheardmuchaboutPricelinesincetheWeb1.0andtheTVadsfeaturingWilliamShatner.Thecompanyhasinfactgoneglobalandbenefitedfrompureserendipity.SomecompetitorsmademistakesfromwhichPricelinehasbenefited.ThecompanyhasalsobenefitedfromtheacquisitionsofOpenTable,Kayak,Rentalcars.comandAgodainAsia.CEOGlennFogelleftMorganStanleytoworkfortheoriginalPriceline.“Nameyourownprice”isnowcalledExpressDeals;themajorityofcompanyrevenuesarefromBooking.com.Althoughnameyourownpricewassuccessful,itturnedoutthatconsumersliketobooktheirowntravel,and,whileBooking.comhasgrowntobecometheworld’slargestonlinetravelcompany,itisnotyetnumberoneintheUS,ChinaandJapan,whichFogelconsidersagrowthopportunity.Opportunitiesincludepeoplewhoprefertostayinhomesandapartments,ratherthanhotels,with7,000propertiesworldwide.FogelbelievesthatunlessonetravelstoChina,itishardtounderstandhowfastthingsarechangingandhowinnovativetheyarethere.Tothisend,

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July18,2017

DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,FungGlobalRetail&[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2017TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

Pricelineisfollowingathree-prongedstrategyfortheChinamarket:1)provideChinesehotels;2)serveoutboundChinesetourists;and3)catertodomesticChinaforChina.

GlennFogel,CEOofPricelineSource:FungGlobalRetail&Technology

7) TheCurrentSpateofLawsuitsIsLikelytoBlowOver,EnablingIoTtoFlourishWhenaskedaboutthecurrentswirloflitigationwithApple,QualcommCEOSteveMollenkopfoutlinedthecurrentissuessurroundinghiscompanyandthesignificantinvestmentsithasmadetoprovidethemobilitywehavetoday.Inreality,hearguedthatQualcommcustomerswanttopaylessthanspecifiedbythecontractssigned.HecommentedthatQualcommtriedtoinventthecorefundamentaltechnologiesthatenabletheindustrytogrow,forexample,workingonalow-powerconnectedcomputerinthelate1990s,whichwasthoughttobenotimportantatthetime.Today,Qualcommisworkingtomaketechnologyprevalentformoreindustries,i.e.,theIoT.Qualcommclaimsthatitinventsthetechnology,sharesitwithpartnersandenablestheindustrytogrow.Thetypesofdisputesitisembroiledinhavehappenedinthepastandweresettled,whichislikelytohappenagain.Self-drivingcarsarelikelytoneedcommunicationchips,incontrasttoconnectedbicycles.FromQualcomm’sperspective,thedevelopingthetechnologyforself-drivingcarsistheeasypart,thedifficultpartishowtheyputthetechnologytogetherinawaythatiseasyfortheautoindustrytoselltotheconsumer.

SteveMollenkopf,CEOofQualcommSource:FungGlobalRetail&Technology

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July18,2017

DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,FungGlobalRetail&[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2017TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

DeborahWeinswig,CPAManagingDirectorFungGlobalRetail&TechnologyNewYork:917.655.6790HongKong:852.6119.1779China:[email protected],CFASeniorAnalyst

HongKong:8thFloor,LiFungTower888CheungShaWanRoad,KowloonHongKongTel:85223004406London:242–246MaryleboneRoadLondon,NW16JQUnitedKingdomTel:44(0)2076168988NewYork:1359Broadway,18thFloorNewYork,NY10018Tel:6468397017

FungGlobalRetailTech.com