kbc group company presentation spring 2005 web site: ticker codes: kbc bb (bloomberg) kbkbt br...
TRANSCRIPT
KBC Group
Company presentation Spring 2005
Web site: www.kbc.com
Ticker codes: KBC BB (Bloomberg) KBKBT BR (Reuters)
ISIN code: BE0003565737
2
Contact information
Investor Relations Office :
Luc CoolNele KindtMarina Kanamori
Tel.: +32 2 429 49 16 investor.relations @ kbc.com
Surf to www.kbc.com for the latest update.
3
Disclaimer
This presentation is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security.
Although the statements of fact in this presentation have been obtained from and are based on sources that KBC believes to be reliable, KBC does not guarantee their accuracy, and any such information may be condensed or incomplete.
This presentation contains forward-looking statements with respect to our strategies and earnings development. By their nature, these forward-looking statements involve numerous assumptions, uncertainties and opportunities. The risk exists that these statements may not be fulfilled and that future results differ materially.
By receiving this presentation, each investor is deemed to represent that it is a sophisticated investor and possesses sufficient investment expertise to understand the risks involved.
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Table of contents
1. Company profile
2. Strategy and earnings drivers
3. 2004 Financial highlights
4. Impact of IFRS
5. Information on capital management
6. Closing remarks on valuation
Company profile
Foto gebouw
1
6
Euroland top-30 banks, ranking by market cap *
* DJ Euro Stoxx Banks constituents as at 14 March 2005
BSC
H
BN
P PA
RIB
AS
BBVA
DEU
TSC
HE
BAN
K
SOCIE
TE
GEN
ERALE
ABN
AM
RO
CRED
IT A
GRIC
OLE
FORTIS
UN
ICRED
ITO
INTES
A B
CI
DEX
IA
SP I
MI
HVB
AIB
BIR
POP
BACA
MED
ERST
E
CO
M
NBG
CAP
EUR
BCP
AL
AN
BN
L
MPS
SAB
KB
C
KBC Group : 24 bn euros
Considerable scale in Euroland
7
Shareholder structure
* Including ESOP hedge
CERA/Almancora27.3%
KBC(own shares: 3.3%)
Other committed shareholders 11.4%
MRBB11.6%
Free float46.6%
Staff6%
Institutional, Belgium
14%
Retail, Belgium
22%
Institutional, UK
23%
Institutional, Cont. Europe
14%
Institutional, N. America
20% Institutional, R/o world
1%
Free float
KBC is majority-owned by a group of committed shareholders providing continuity to pursue long-term strategic goals
Core holders include the Cera/Almancora Group (co-operative investment company), a farmers’ association (MRBB) and a syndicate of industrialist families
Situation as of 31-Dec-04(before merger with Almanij)
Situation as of 3-Mar-05
8
Business portfolio
KBC is a top bancassurer and asset manager in Belgium and has successfully expanded its operations in CEE
Thanks to the merger with Almanij (March 2005), the private banking activities were expanded to include a Western-European network. PB has become a more pronounced key focus
KBC is also active – be it rather selective – in corporate banking (mostly in W. Europe) and financial markets. As investments in CEE have increased, operations in these areas became relatively less important
CEE
Capital markets
International corporate
Europeanprivate banking
46%
24%
10%
7%11% 2%
Revenue breakdown(2004 pro forma new Group, excl. group items)
Belgium
Gevaert
9
0% 10% 20% 30%
Other
Argenta
ING
DEXIA
KBC
FORTIS
Client deposits
0% 10% 20% 30%
Other
ING
DEXIA
FORTIS
KBC
Mutual funds
Top-3 player in Belgium
Market share:
Consolidated banking landscape (80% of market held by top-4 banks)
Market highly receptive to cross-selling of AM & insurance products (the bancassurance model dominates)
0% 10% 20% 30%
Other
ING
KBC
AXA
ETHIAS
FORTIS
Insurance premiums
31-Dec-03
10
KBC Group is one of the largest international players in the region
Unlike the other players, KBC limits its presence to the EU Member States (Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary, Poland and Slovenia) and is active in both the banking and insurance fields
8.7
13.2
13.5
14.3
19.0
21.6
23.5
24.6
28.6
29.0
ING (NL)
OTP (HU)
Citibank (US)
Intesa BCI (IT)
Société Générale (FR)
RZB (AT)
HVB / BA-CA (GE/AT)
UniCredit (IT)
Erste Bank (AT)
KBC (BE)
Top-3 player in the CEE region
International banks in CEE (by total assets, in bn EUR):
Source: RZB – assets as at 31 Dec 03, ownership structure as at 30 Jun 04
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Banking Insurance
Slovakia:Market share: 6% (No. 4)Inhabitants: 5 mTotal assets: 2 bn EUR
Czech Republic:Market share: 21% (No. 2)Inhabitants: 10 mTotal assets:18 bn EUR
Poland:Market share: 5% (No. 8)Inhabitants: 38 mTotal assets: 5 bn EUR
Slovenia:Minority interest (34%)Inhabitants: 2 mMarket share: 41% (No. 1)
Czech Republic:Life M share: 8% (No. 5)Non-life M share: 4% (No. 6)
Slovakia:Life M share: 4% (No. 8)Non-life M share: 2% (No. 7)
Hungary:Life M share: 3% (No. 7)Non-life M share: 4% (no 6)
Poland:Life M share: 2% (No. 7)Non-life M share: 12% (No. 2)
Slovenia:Life M share: 6% (No. 5)
Top-3 position in the CEE region
Hungary:Market share: 11% (No. 2)Inhabitants: 10 mTotal assets: 7 bn EUR
KBC Group invested ± 3.6 bn to achieve a prominent position in a growth market of ± 65 m inhabitants
Especially in Poland, KBC is looking for external growth (lack of scale)
12
European private banking network
Netherlands:Theodoor Gilissen Acquired in ’03 – participation: 100%
Germany:Merck Finck & Co Acquired in ’99 – participation: 100%
Switzerland:Kredietbank (Suisse)Historical presence
Italy:Fumagalli SoldanAcquired in ’01 – participation: 95%
Monaco:KB Luxembourg (Monaco)Historical presence
Luxembourg:Kredietbank LuxembourgParent company
France:KBL France Acquired in ’98 – participation: 100%
Spain:Banco Urquijo Acquired in ’98 – participation: 100%
Since ‘98, KBC Group (KBL) has developed a private banking network throughout Western-Euope, anticipating erosion of its offshore activities in Luxembourg
AUM grew from 18 bn to c. 44 bn (appx. 70% managed outside Luxembourg)
Belgium:Puilaetco private bankersAcquired in ’04 – participation: 100%
UK:Brown ShipleyAcquired in ’89 – participation: 100%
13
Solid performance
KBC pre-merger:
Profitability
Efficiency
SolvencyTier-1, banking
Solvency, insurance
Cost/income, banking
Combined ratio, insurance
Return on equity
EPS growth
9.5%
316%
65%
96%
13%
Dec 03
+8%
10.1%
389%
60%
95%
Dec 04
8.8%
320%
65%
101%
13%
Dec 02
+1%
>8%
>200%
58%
95%
16%
Target
+10%
18%
+54%
Combined ratio, insurance, excluding reinsurance.
Solvency, insurance, including unrealized gains.
14
Solid performance (pro forma)
KBC post-merger (pro-forma):
* Non-updated targets used by the KBC Bank and Insurance Group before the merger with Almanij in March 2005
Profitability
Efficiency
SolvencyTier-1, banking
Solvency, insurance
Cost/income, banking
Combined ratio, insurance
Return on equity
EPS growth
9.6%
316%
66%
96%
12%
Dec 03
+26%
10.0%
389%
63%
95%
Dec 04
8.8%
320%
66%
101%
10%
Dec 02
+2%
14%
+29%
Combined ratio, insurance, excluding reinsurance.
Solvency, insurance, including unrealized gains.
Strategy and earnings drivers
Foto gebouw
2
16
Strategy headlines
Merger of KBC with parent company Almanij, following public bid on KBL European Private bankers (‘KBL epb'), in order to unlock additional value on the back of: increased visibility and liquidity realization of group synergies
Flexibility to continue current strategies: Leverage on bancassurance model and private banking expertise Core geographic focus on Belgium, CEE and private banking throughout Europe Continued good prospects for Belgian market CEE and European private banking to remain long-term earnings drivers Continued quest for (cost) synergies, partly through intra- and cross-group co-
sourcing for back-office processes Balanced risk profile through diversified business portfolio Solid solvency levels and credit ratings
17
Do not underestimate the market: KBC Group is well positioned:
Consolidated banking market (80% of assets held by Top 4)
Savings ratio amongst highest in the world (every year, ca. 15% of GDP flows into fin. assets)
Market highly receptive to cross-selling of AM & insurance
Growth trend for mortgages, AM and life insurance business of about 10% per year expected to continu
Credit quality has proven to be solid over the cycle
Top-3 market position, esp. strong in Northern region (one of the wealthiest regions in the EU)
Innovative product offering in retail AM (steadily increasing market share throughout the past 10 yrs.)
Performing bancassurance distribution model (life reserves grew >20% p.a. over last 3 yrs.)
Cost efficiency improvement potential (on the back of business process redesigning and co-sourcing of back offices processes with other banks)
Earnings drivers in Belgium - overview
18
Strong market growth momentum: KBC Group is well positioned:
Earning drivers in CEE - overview
Nom. GDP growth in 2005 at 6.5%, outgrowing EMU by 3.3%
Ongoing catch-up in product penetration (currently, an avg. 45% for banking accounts and 5% for mortgages)
Mortgage volumes growing at double-digit pace (up 51% on avg. in 2004)
Financial sector could grow five-fold if financial assets to GDP were to reach current levels of S. Europe
Solid market position in retail and corporate businesses (excl. banking in Poland)
Competitive advantage in enhancing cross-selling of asset management and insurance products
C/I still on high side, allowing for further improvement
Adequately provisioned balance sheet (risks under control)
Geographical exposure entirely within EU, limiting risk substantially
Availability of capital within the Group
19
5.4% 4.1% 3.9%
3.6% 2.6%
3.5%
2004 2005e 2006e
3.9% 3.6% 3.8%
6.8%4.5% 4.5%
2004 2005e 2006e
5.0% 4.7% 5.0%
7.5%3.5% 3.0%
2004 2005e 2006e
3.6% 3.6% 3.6%
2.0% 3.2%
2004 2005e 2006e
Czech Republic Slovakia
Above average GDP growth, CEE
Hungary Poland
Real GDP growth + inflation - KBC estimates Real GDP growth + inflation - KBC estimates
Real GDP growth + inflation - KBC estimates Real GDP growth + inflation - KBC estimates
3.2%
6.8%
12.5%
8.5% 8.0
10.7%8.1% 8.3%
8.9%7.7% 6.5%
5.6%6.8%
20
Changing market environment: KBC Group is well positioned:
Strong relationship-based approach, open architecture concept and add-on of the product expertise of KBC AM to the tailor-made services of KBL epb
Stringent compliance infrastructure, centrally monitored from Luxembourg
Greatly improved efficiency (implementation of large scale rationalization program), to be further fueled by the realization of merger synergies within an enlarged KBC Group
Shift in customer preference towards new investment concepts: open architecture, alternative investments, financial planning..
Progressively growing requirements from regulators (increasing vulnerability of smaller players)
Pressure on profitability (although decent performance was seen again in Europe in 2004)
Earnings drivers in private banking
2004Financial highlights
Foto gebouw
3
Foto gebouw
Headlines
Results KBC Bank & Insurance (pre merger)
- Financial performance
- Areas of activity
Results KBL epb
Results Gevaert
Financial outlook for 2005
Merger synergies – update
23
Quick reminder
Until 31-Dec-04:
As of 01-Jan-05:
Almanij
KBCBank & Insurance
KBLEuropean Private Bankers
Gevaert
KBC Bank
KBC Insurance
KBCAsset Management
KBC Group NV
KBCBank
KBCInsurance
KBCAM
KBLEuropean Private Bankers
Gevaert
24
1 022 1 034 1 119
1 758
2001 2002 2003 2004
Strong earnings momentum
Net profit FY2004 of 1 758 m
Strong year-on-year growth (+57%) and ROE (18%), driven by solid revenue dynamics and successful risk- and cost management
in m EUR+57%
* Organic growth
Key figures 2002 2003 2004
ROE 13% 13% 18%
Profit growth +1% +8% +57%
Revenue growth* +7% -1% +6%
C/I, banking 65% 65% 60%
Loan loss 0.55% 0.71% 0.20%
C/R, non-life 105% 96% 95%
KBC Bank & Insurance
Net profit
25
100 101 109
172
2001 2002 2003 2004
10070
83
118
2001 2002 2003 2004
Outperforming the market
Earnings growth at sustained high level compared to sector
Peer group *KBC Bank & Insurance
CAGR: +20% CAGR: +6%
* DJ Euro Stoxx Banks universe CAGR = compound average growth rate
26
1 017 1 0381 305
1 682
2001 2002 2003 2004
KBC Group (mergco)
Pro forma net profit FY2004 of 1 682 m
Major differences with KBC Bank & Insurance’s results: Elimination of gains on the sale of Almanij Group shares (82 m) Add-on of earnings of KBL epb, however with the non-recognition through P/L
of the use of the GFBR (130 m) – net contribution of 63 m Add-on of profit contribution of Gevaert (-36m) , adversely impacted by the
one-off divestment loss of Agfa Gevaert (81 m)
in m EUR
Key figures, 2004 KBC (Old)
KBC (New)
RevenuesCosts
6 999-4 306
7 880-5 002
Operating result 2 693 2 879
Provisions&value adjExtraordinary
-333+61
-336-130
Pre-tax result 2 421 2 413
TaxesMinorities
-490-172
-541-195
Net profit 1 758 1 682
Net profit
27
Simulated impact of IFRS standards
7
80
81
9
674
-449
14.0
11
Other
Goodwill
Tangibles &intangibles
Lease
Tax
DBPUnderfunding
Provisions
Profitappropriation
89
3
2
-97
-35
-29
0.4
Other
Goodwill
Tangibles &intangibles
Lease
Tax
DBPUnderfunding
Provisions
Impact on equity: + 426 m *Impact on P/L: -67 m * in m EUR in m EUR
* Impact on KBC Mergco’s 2004 pro-forma figures
28
1.52 1.641.84
2002 2003 2004e
Growing dividend
Gross 2004 dividend yield, relative to 2004 average share price is 3.7%* (subject to AGM approval)
Backed by its strong solvency position and enhanced profitability, KBC Group intends in future to continue its policy of paying out a steadily growing dividend
Dividend per KBC share *
EUR
+12%
* 4.7% for ex-Almanij shares that were converted to KBC shares
Foto gebouw
Headlines
Results KBC Bank & Insurance (pre merger)
- Financial performance
- Areas of activity
Results KBL European Private Bankers
Results Gevaert
Financial outlook for 2005
Merger synergies – update
30
5 756 5 655 6 011
FY02 FY03 FY04
Top-line growth, banking
In m EUR
Key points
+6%3 156 3 486
5 037
FY02 FY03 FY04
Premium growth, insurance
In m EUR
+33% org
7.2%5.9% 5.2%
2002 2003 2004
Investment return, insurance
- 70bp
0.55%0.35%
0.71%
0.20%
2002 2003 2004 Targetcorporates
Loan-loss ratio, banking
- 50 bp
In bn EUR
31
105%96% 95% 95%
2002 2003 2004 Target
Combined ratio, non-life
Key points
23%
17% 16% 16%
2002 2003 2004 Target
Return on equity, insurance
10% 11%
19%16%
2002 2003 2004 Target
Return on equity, banking
+8pp -1pp
- 1pp
65% 65%60% 58%
2002 2003 2004 Target
Cost/income ratio, banking
- 5pp
32
Solid growth in banking revenues
Total FY04 income up 6% y-o-y : Sustained high commission income
(+10%), mainly on the back of growth in investment management and – to a lesser extent – in corporate finance, bancassurance and payments services in CEE
Robust financial market activity (+24%), mainly in the first half of the year. Capital gains on investments (365m) in line with 2003
Interest income up 1% owing to volume growth. NIM* slightly down to 1.67% from 1.73% in 2003 (vs. 1.67% in 2002)
Strong Q4 thanks to a successful marketing campaign (investment products) in Belgium and ‘normalized’ trading levels (after weak Q3)
FY 2004
3 046 3 118 3 138
1 696 1 807 1 971
1 014 730902
FY02 FY03 FY04 Interest income Commissions & other
Financial transactions
Banking income (in m EUR)
6 0115 6555 756
NIM = net interest margin
33
Favourable growth in banking assets
Customer deposits up 6%*
Customer loans up 7%*: Corporate book* up 4% (down in 2003,
partly due to impairments in Poland) Solid mortgage growth :
End of 2004
23.5 24.6 28.3
62.2 59.361.7
13.16.3
16.6
0
2002 2003 2004
Retail Corporate Institutional
Customer loans(in bn EUR)
106.6
90.398.8
Note : mortgage growth adjusted for currency depreciations
O/S* in bn
Chg 2003
Chg 2004
Belgium 18.1 +10% +9%
CR/Slovakia 1.2 +36% +42%
Hungary 0.9 +69% +71%
Poland 0.4 +24% +5%
Total 26.7 +16% +17%
O/S = outstanding.Chg in 2003: excl. deconsolidation of Krefima
* Excl. institutional activity
34
1.50%
1.60%
1.70%
1.80%
1.90%
2.00%
2.10%
FY02 FY03 FY04
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
5.5%
Interest margin, Belgium (left)10-y EUR T-bonds (right)
Spread development
Interest margin, Belgium banking business
Spreads on outstanding loans,Belgium banking business
0.0%
0.2%
0.4%
0.6%
0.8%
1.0%
1.2%
1.4%
1.6%
1.8%
Jan-02 Jul-02 Jan-03 Jul-03 Jan-04 Jul-04 Jan-05
Mortgages SME loans (installments)
trend
trend
35
1 2751 676
2 525
971 762
1 085 910
1 048
1 428
FY02 FY03 FY04
Life, non-linked Life, unit-linked Non-Life
FY 2004
Strong growth in premium income
3 486
Sustained robust growth in Life: Up 45% y-o-y in organic terms Very strong in Belgium (+47%), outgrowing
the market on the back of successful business model (market share up from 13% to 15%, at 31% in unit-linked business)
Solid growth in CEE (+28%). Market share up in Hungary and Slovenia, down in Poland and CR.
Non-life: up 5% in organic terms * Primary business in Belgium growing
(+7%) slightly above claims inflation (stable market share)
Expansion in CEE: premiums up 11% y-o-y in organic terms. Market share stable in Hungary and SR, down in Poland and CR.
Drop in reinsurance exposure(premium income: -3% y-o-y)
Premium income (in m EUR)
5 037
3 156
* Extension of consolidation scope in 2004
36
Lower investment yields, insurance
6.19%
5.24%
4.79%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
5.5%
6.0%
6.5%
7.0%
FY02 FY03 FY04
Interest yield, bond portfolio10-y EUR T-bonds
m EUR FY 02 FY 03 FY 04
Interest, dividend,rent 449 455 524
Capital gains on shares * 198 138 104
Total 647 593 628
Investment return 7.2% 5.9% 5.2%
* capital gains on shares in 2004: 4.75% on market value of equity portfolio
Interest income, insurance Total Investment income, insurance
37
45
153
76 144 117
403
168
156
78
FY02 FY03 FY04
Belgium CEE Other
* Net specific provisions to average gross customer loans
Low loan-loss charges
Loan-loss provisions at very low level (-71% y-o-y)
465
FY 2004
676
199
Loan-loss provisions (in m EUR)
Customerloan book
Gross loans(in bn EUR)
Lossratio*FY03
Lossratio*FY04
Belgium 52.2 0.24% 0.09%
CR/Slovakia 7.1 0.34% 0.26%
Hungary 4.6 0.32% 0.64%
Poland 3.5 8.68% 0.69%
International 41.6 0.48% 0.26%
Total 109.0 0.71% 0.20%
38
Favourable non-life claims charge
FY 2004Claims ratio
(% of net premium income)
72%65% 62%
FY02 FY03 FY04
Premiumincome(in m EUR)
ClaimsratioFY03
ClaimsratioFY04
Belgium 715 59% 59%
CR 70 78% 68%
Slovakia 8 87% 88%
Hungary 55 78% 72%
Poland 330 - 63%
R/I 249 75% 69%
Total 1 428 65% 62%
Favourable development in all markets:
39
FY 2004
2 119
1 018997
431 491 520
2 302 2 197
1 006
FY02 FY03 FY04
Belgium CEE Rest o/t World
3 636
Banking expenses (in m EUR)
3 6953 751 Total cost basis down 2% y-o-y : In Belgium: -4% y-o-y (-78 m), headcount
reduced y-o-y by 800 FTEs CEE: -1% y-o-y (-9 m).
In Poland, headcount reduced by 1 275 FTEs (exceeding initial target)
Elsewhere: +6% (+29 m), mainly related to trading bonuses
Cost/income ratio significantly improved from 65% to 60%
Q4 up 2% y-o-y (higer profit than anticipated resulting in higher bonus expenses) and 13% q-o-q (seasonality reasons and higher marketing costs)
* Extension of consolidation scope in 4Q01
Banking expenses well controlled
40
Reducing product complexity - update
Area of business
Actions planned
Examples Realized Realizationin progress
Pending
Paymentsservices 59
Reducing no of types of credit cards, transaction forms,etc
77% 19% 5%
Investmentproducts 129
Reducing no of savings accounts, high complex orders,etc
78% 23% 0%
Home, carand travelservices
45Reducing no of mortgages, no more floating rates for consumer loans,etc
89% 11% 0%
Services tobusinesses 131
Reduction in interest rate formulas for cash facilities, integrating types of insurance policies,etc.
76% 18% 7%
TOTAL 364 78% 19% 3%
Product simplification programme - banking, Belgium
41
Co-sourcing initiatives - update
Joint venture with the DZ Bank Group for cross-border payments
shared processing platform for cross-border payments
transactions
Economies of scale: the no. of cross-border transactions will go up over 50%, generating substantial recurring cost savings (double-digit reduction of unit cost per transaction -
expected payback period < 1 year) *
Multi-bank platform based on high performance straight-through
processing and compliant with new EU regulation
BE GE
Fin-Force
* For competitivity reasons, no further details can be disclosed
±12 m transactions p.a. from KBC's Belgian banking activities
Transactions from DZ and its 1 200 co-operative banks
42
Incremental intra-group synergies
Cross-border synergies with CEE entities :
Centralized card purchasing/processing (SiNSYS)
Alignment of ICT approach and joint contracting of business partners, e.g., in the field of cash handling (purchases of vendor solutions & machinery, etc.) and HRM (SAP)
Integrated int’l cash management product offering (W1SE), joint nostro/vostro proposal, centralized approach for cash handling, etc.
KBC standards for retail distribution and bancassurance (Mercator)
Foto gebouw
Headlines
Results KBC Bank & Insurance (pre merger)
- Financial performance
- Areas of activity
Results KBL European Private Bankers
Results Gevaert
Financial outlook for 2005
Merger synergies – update
44
269
365
118 116 93
193218
490
-132
126132143
583
378
221
Retail Belgium CEE Asset management SME & corporates Capital markets
2002 2003 2004
Areas of activity overview
Net profit contribution, in m EUR *
* Pro forma
45
322
239
260
41
343
230
FY02 FY03 FY04
Banking Insurance
Revenues ExpensesProvisions
Belgian retailProfit contribution
(in m EUR)
363
FY 2004
FY 04 at a glance :RevenuesExpensesCredit risk
FY profit conribution of 582 m, up 19%, thanks to remarkable improvement in banking profitability. ROAC at 19%
Banking result up 32%, driven by 4% revenue growth (margin pressure offset by asset growth and higher fee income in funds and insurance business), sustained cost control (-2% expenses) and low level of problem loans (9 bp loss on RWA). Private banking contributing 49 m
Strong premium income (+38% y-o-y) and strict technical discipline (combined ratio at 93%), but negative impact from lower investment yields and normalized tax level
Excellent performance in Q4 on the back of a succesful marketing campaign (investment products) and capital gains (offsetting impairment charges of preceding quarters)
490582
46
118
244
24
FY02 FY03 FY04
Banking Insurance
Revenues ExpensesProvisions
Central and Eastern EuropeProfit contribution
(in m EUR)
…
-132
269
FY 2004
FY04 at a glance (organic):RevenuesExpensesCredit risk
FY profit contribution of 269 m, up from -132m in 2003, underpinned by the robust turnaround in Poland and solid operating performance on the other markets. ROAC 14% (15% in banking)
Banking at 244 m (vs. –131 m), thanks to solid revenue expansion (+11%), cost discipline (C/I down from 75% to 67%) and ‘normalized’ credit risk (loan-loss charges at 48 bp)
Insurance at 24 m (vs. –1 m), driven by solid premium growth (+20% in organic terms) and improved underwriting (C/R down from 104% to 97%)
Q4 result below quarterly average due to various items: change in recognition of interest income and higher marketing costs (PL), seasonal effects in operating expenditure and higher life reservation charges (CZ) and provisioning for legal disputes (HU).
108
47
68%78%
88%
61%74% 79%
CR/Slovakia Hungary Poland
14%11%
17%
0%3% -1%
CR/Slovakia Hungary Poland
Top-line growth *
5.5%
21.5%
5.5%
11.4%
20.9%
5.9% 4.7%
11.4%
CR Slovakia Hungary Poland
Market shares
11%8%
12%14%
5%
CR/Slovakia Hungary Poland
Cost/income ratio
Return on investment
Key developments in CEE banking
Dec-03 Dec-04 FY03 FY04
FY03 FY04FY03 FY04
* Growth in local currency, after elimination of the yield on excess capital
n/r
Avg deposits and loans
48
CEE
CSOB K&H KB NLB Insurance
CEE, company overview
FY 04 (in m EUR)
(% chg y-o-y in local currency)
816(+10%)
405(+18%)
317(-2%)
217(+257%)
Gross operating income
-471(+0%)
-279(+10%)
-244(-11%)
- 191(+210%)
General expenses
-32 -30 -41 - Provisions
-101 -16 +3 -2 Taxes & extraordinary
212(+5%)
79(+121%)
35(-)
79 24(-)
Stand-alone profit
-32 -26 -6 - +4 Adjustments, o/w yield on excess capital, etc
-19 -21 -4 -52 -4 Minority interests
162(+13%)
31(+180%)
25(-)
27 24(-)
Profit contributionto Group
17% 18% 8% - 7% Return on allocated cap
49
Market share, retail funds
Belgium : 31.5% Czech Republic : 22.0% Slovakia : 7.7% Hungary : 9.4% Poland : 1.3%
Asset management
Assets under management(in bn EUR)
Net change in assets, 2004
Belgium:88%
CEE: 5%
40 4554
1415
201719
209
11
13
2002 2003 2004
In b
illio
ns o
f E
UR
Institutional, group assets Institutional, third-party assets Retail, private assets Retail, funds
Corporate107 bn
89 bn81 bn
2337
1145
5 162
635
8 278
Retail
Retail funds, Belgium
Retail funds, CEE
Group assets
Institutional assets
Private assets, Belgium
50
FY02 FY03 FY04
Revenues Expenses
FY profit contribution of 143 m (after allocation of distribution fees to retail business), up 8%, underpinned by solid increase in AUM
Assets (107 bn) up 20% y-o-y (of which 66% net inflow), but gradual shift to lower margin business (buoyant growth in capital-guaranteed retail funds and advisory mandates for HNW individuals in Belgium)
Solid growth momentum in CEE region, be it from a low basis: AUM up 25% y-o-y (+57% for retail funds on the back of market innovation / launch of structured funds)
Search for international expansion through third-party distribution of funds (0.5 bn gathered in 2004)
Strong Q4 segment result (6% increase in AUM)
Asset managementProfit contribution
(in m EUR)
116132
FY 2004
FY 04 at a glance :RevenuesExpenses
143
Belgium :88%
CEE : 5 %
51
Market share in Belgium
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Dec-93 Dec-94 Dec-95 Dec-96 Dec-97 Dec-98 Dec-99 Dec-00 Dec-01 Dec-02 Dec-03 Dec-04
KBC
Competitor A
Competitor C
Rest of the market
Competitor B
Mutual funds market – development of market shares
52
206 209
346
FY02 FY03 FY04
Banking Insurance
Revenues
ExpensesProvisions
FY profit contribution 378 m, up 72%, driven by improved operating performance and substantially lower loan-loss charges. ROAC at 19%.
Solid growth in banking on the back of a 5% revenue increase, stable expenditure level and significant gain (112 m) from lower loan-loss provisions (28 bp on RWA vs. 62 bp in 2003)
Better return in re-insurance thanks to further improvement in underwriting performance (combined ratio of 98% vs. 100% in 2003)
Remarkable profit increase in Belgium and in the global structured finance business. Also fine results from Ireland, the US and the diamond niche sector.
Q4 segment results in line with previous quarters (somewhat higher risk-provisioning offset by higher fee income)
SME and corporates
219
378
193
FY 2004
FY 04 at a glance :RevenuesExpensesCredit risk
Profit contribution (in m EUR)
53
SME and corporates
5167 69
1
35
61
121 8
42
2
41
011
32
100
166
103
FY 02 FY 03 FY 04
Belgium W. Europe USA
SE Asia RoW + other (Re)insurance
Profit contribution, geographical breakdown (in m EUR)
54
127
0
116 81
-34
22
72
1046
FY02 FY03 FY04
M/DCM ECM (cash) ECM (derivatives)
Revenues
Expenses FY profit contribution 221 m, up 76%, boosted by the pick-up of equity capital markets. ROAC at 20%.
Revenues in ECM activity up 20% (with expenses almost flat), mainly on the back of the non-recurrence of fair value adjustments on an unwinding derivatives portfolio in 2003 and additional commission income out of hedge fund activities. Moreover, further improvement in contribution from cash equity business: profit contribition of 22 m (vs. breakeven in 2003)
Profit contribution of money and debt capital markets up 9% as a result of 7% increase in income and 5% increase in expenditure
Q4 segment result back to ‘high average’ level after weak Q3 which was hurt by seasonal activity slowdown and adverse climate
Profit contribution (in m EUR)
Capital markets
93
126
221
FY 2004
FY 04 at a glance :RevenuesExpenses
55
Changes in activity reporting, 2005
Changes as of 1Q 2005:
Use of IFRS reporting standards(impact expected to be limited)
Integration of ‘Asset management’ business into retail and coporate divisions (separate details on asset management will be available)
Additional areas: ‘KBL epb’ + ‘Gevaert’ (to be integrated in 2006)
Allocation of capital: 6.8% on RWA (Tier-1 of 8% with 15% hybrid),
previously 5.95% No further allocation of goodwill
(ROAC becomes an indicator for operating performance, as opposed to ROI)
Areas of activity in 2005: *
1. Retail bancassurance (mainly in Belgium)
2. Central and Eastern Europe
3. Corporate services (SME and corporates)
4. Market activities
5. KBL European private banking
6. Gevaert
* Best-efforts approach for 2005 – will be reassessed for 2006
Foto gebouw
Headlines
Results KBC Bank & Insurance (pre merger)
- Financial performance
- Areas of activity
Results KBL European Private Bankers
Results Gevaert
Financial outlook for 2005
Merger synergies – update
57
KBL 1996
19961996 Challenges Challenges
Private banking purely concentrated on offshore (although predictable erosion of offshore center)
Limited geographic customer base diversification
KBL not primarily focused on private banking yet
58
1. To develop a network of European Private Bankers (epb): Higher proportion of AUM based in on-shore centres Well-balanced and diversified geographic origin of private clients
2. To refocus KBL in Luxembourg: Parent company activity Support function for the members of epb (IT, Global Custody, Markets, etc) Local banking activities in Luxembourg:
Private banking Niches : securities services and services to local professionals in Luxembourg
(banks, insurers, asset managers)
3. To continue a reasonable profit growth and decrease reliance on non-private banking revenues
Strategy of KBL epb
To achieve the above 3 targets, necessity to grow through acquisitions
59
KBL epb today
20042004 AchievementsAchievements
Presence in 11 countries
Clearly focused on private banking: The client is at the center Relationship-based on long term
view
Multicultural
Based on open-architecture
60
174 181193
205
2001 2002 2003 2004
Net profit
Financial key points
36 3438
43
2001 2002 2003 2004
Assets under management
In bn EUR
7.6% 8.4%10.0% 9.2%
2001 2002 2003 2004
Tier-1 ratio
15% 17% 18%21%
2001 2002 2003 2004
Return on equity
In bn EUR (Lux Gaap)
Lux GaapLux Gaap
CAGR +6% CAGR +6%
61
Revenues in line with strategy trend
Strong increase in commission income (+17% of which +6% on organic basis) due to the strengthening of the core private banking activity.
Contraction of net interest income on the back of:
Focus on private banking and intentional restricting of loan exposure
Reduction of exceptional profits on treasury activity
Lower excess capital (further to acquisitions and maturity of high-yielding assets)
Non-recurrence of extraordinary dividends (in 2003 related to re-insurance captive KB Ré)
Capital gains on non-core investments
335 317 370
321 312 213
192
15
7165
122
158
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
FY02 FY03 FY04Commissions Interest income
Dividends Other Operating Income
Operating income (in m EUR)
756822
914
62
FY02 FY03 FY04
* Net specific provisions to average gross customer loans
Continued stringent loan policy
Loan portfolio of 7.7 bn (diversified portfolio with 90% of exposure in Western-Europe)
Progressive scaling down of lending activities not related to private banking since 2000
Centralization of risk exposure and Strict local lending limits
Consistantly low loss ratio:
Loan portfolio (in m EUR)
2004 15 bp
2003 21 bp
2002 15 bp
Avg 5 yrs 17 bp
10 0179 600
7 679
63
318
213 208
317 299
194
FY02 FY03 FY04
Staff Costs Other Overhead Expenses
526
Operating expenses (in m EUR)
492530
Despite: continued streamlining of cost
base resulting in organic cost decrease of -2.5% y-o-y
improved efficiency through support services to epb from Luxembourg
… cost/income ratio rises from 60% to 70%
* Extension of consolidation scope in 4Q01
Expenses under control
64
Strongly reduced provisions
In m EUR, Lux GAAP
2002 2003 2004
Operating incomeOverhead expenses
914-530
822-492
756-526
Operating result 384 330 230
Provisions and depreciations -183 -83 19
Pre-tax result 201 247 248
Income taxMinority interest
-18-2
-52-1
-43-1
Net profit 181 193 206
Reduced operating result compensated by the non-recurrence of value adjustments on investments portfolios
A new provision was set aside for potential future restructuring charges (127 m), but offset by the writeback of the GFBR (130m)
As a balance, net profit up 6.5%
65
m EUR 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Stand-alone profit 161 174 181 193 205
Consolidation adjustments* 1 -33 -35 -53 -112
Minority interests -71 -63 -51 -31 -20
Amortisation of goodwill -2 -2 -6 -10 -10
Contribution to Group profit
89 76 89 99 63
* Mainly due to differences in scope of consolidation (-16 m in 2001), the elimination of intragroup income (-20m in 2002 and and -46m in 2003), and the fact that the GFBR has already been reversed (-130m) through equity in the Group pro-forma accounts in 2001 (relevant for 2004 results)
Reconciliation with KBC Group’s pro forma results:
Foto gebouw
Headlines
Results KBC Bank & Insurance (pre merger)
- Financial performance
- Areas of activity
Results KBL European Private Bankers
Results Gevaert
Financial outlook for 2005
Merger synergies – update
67
Gevaert portfolio
Fields of business of Gevaert (total portfolio at 31-Dec-04: 1.5 bn) Holdings in listed companies, of which important investment in Agfa Gevaert*
(26% stake, worth 854 m at 31-Dec-04) Private equity (0.2 bn) Real estate and specialised leasing and finance activities**
within ‘Almafin’, a since 2004 fully-owned subsidiary of Gevaert with total assets of 0.5 bn
Activity in 2004: New equity investments: 166 m (excl. intragroup shares) Realised gains on exits (incl. real estate): 35 m
* Belgian listed imaging technology company focusing on the health care and grafics sectors (market cap ca. 3.4 bn)** in the niche fields of audiovisual and railway equipment, leisure infrastructure,…
68
Gevaert portfolio
Profit contribution: –36m caused by the decreased contribution from Agfa Gevaert (-66 m, down from 63m in ’03)
Depressed contribution of Agfa due to: one-off divestment loss charge
(81 m) related to the sale of the ‘consumer imaging division’
reduction of business scope (disposal of non-core assets in 2003/04)
rather difficult business climate, although reversed trend recognised at end of year
Significant non-realised gains on equity portfolio:
On equity holdings: 496m, of which on ‘Agfa Gevaert’: 311m
* Pro forma, including Almafin in the scope of consolidation
2003* 2004
Results of associated companies Realised gains, securities Other income Gross income
107-999
197
4619
108173
Administrative expenses -92 -109
Operating result 105 63
Value adjustmentsAmortisation of goodwillShare in restructuring costs in associated companies
+13-28
-
+8-28
-81
Extraordinary results TaxesMinorities
--92
+6-4
-
Contribution to Group result
83 -36
69
Gevaert portfolio
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004*
Results associated companies
Realised gains Other income Gross income
468620
152
2142541
69-98
68
104-913
109
4619
108173
Administrative expenses -8 -6 -5 -6 -109
Operating result 144 35 63 103 63
Value adjustmentsAmortisation of goodwill **Share in restructuring associates **
-19-30
-
-19-30-75
-55-27-19
+13-27
-
+8-28-81
Extraordinary results TaxesMinorities
2-
-21
--1
+19
-7-11
--1
-
+6-4
-
Contribution to Group result 76 -71 -45 88 -36
Non-realised gains at 31-Dec 405 87 220 259 496
* Extension of consolidation scope (acquisition of Almafin) ** Mainly related to Afga Gevaert
Contribution to KBC Group’s pro forma results:
Foto gebouw
Headlines
Results KBC Bank & Insurance (pre merger)
- Financial performance
- Areas of activity
Results KBL European Private Bankers
Results Gevaert
Financial outlook for 2005
Merger synergies – update
71
Profit outlook - 2005
We continue to face a favourable environment in all of our home markets. In this respect, we are confident about 2005
However, due to uncertainty surrounding the implementation of IFRS, we cannot provide any precise quantitative guidance
Nevertheless, we are convinced that, on a like-for-like basis, year-on-year Group profit will be higher in 2005 then in 2004
This confidence is supported by the good results achieved so far in the first quarter
72
2005 IFRS disclosure schedule
• New IFRS templates
• FY04 IFRS earnings and B/S (excl. impact of IAS 32/39 and IFRS 4)23 Mar. 200523 Mar. 2005
• Impact of IAS 32/39 and IFRS 4 on shareholders equity on 1 Jan 200528 Apr. 200528 Apr. 2005
• 1Q05 earnings (full set of interim IFRS financial statements and notes)
• 1Q04, 2Q04, 3Q04 and 4Q04 earnings (IFRS reference P/L and B/S, incl. segments, excl. impact of IAS 32/39 and IFRS 4)
9 June 20059 June 2005
Foto gebouw
Headlines
Results KBC Bank & Insurance (pre merger)
- Financial performance
- Areas of activity
Results KBL European Private Bankers
Results Gevaert
Financial outlook for 2005
Merger synergies – update
74
Quick reminder
Merger of KBC with parent company Almanij, following public bid on KBL European Private Bankers (‘KBL epb'), in order to unlock additional value on the back of: increased visibility and liquidity realization of group synergies
Flexibility to continue current strategies: Leverage on bancassurance model and private banking expertise Core geographic focus on Belgium, CEE and private banking throughout Europe Continued good prospects for Belgian market CEE and European private banking to remain long-term earnings drivers Continued quest for (cost) synergies, partly through intra- and cross-group co-
sourcing Balanced risk profile through diversified business portfolio Solid solvency levels and credit ratings
75
Synergy areas
Gevaert portfolio
Optimization of value management by centralising capital and and risk management function
Additional revenue growth based on complementarity of product ranges (e.g. funds, life insurance...) and geographical presence
Cost savings based on overlapping activities and functions
Optimization of capital and risk management by rebalancing equity portfolio
Strenghtening of competitive position by merging Gevaert’s activities into KBC Bank and KBC Insurance
Synergy area Synergy potential
Private banking
(activities of KBL epb)
Corporate functions
Synergy projects proceeding according to plan
Unified strategy for private banking and private equity expected to be fully ready for execution by mid-2005
Management is committed to start realizing synergies immediately
76
0
20
40
60
80
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Activities of KBL epb
Note: ‘Synergy benefit’ described throughout as peak recurring annual increase in pre- tax bottom-line result vs. base business.
Synergy benefit, in m (see note below)
Revenue
Cost + Cost Avoidance
Total synergy program of NPV 500 m (net of restructuring and capital costs, post tax)
Estimated capital and restructuring costs are c 50m over 5 years
Recurring pre-tax benefits of 75 m (peak level), half of which can be realized by 2006
Cashflow positive in every year 40% revenue and 60% cost (and cost
avoidance) benefits All synergies reach their peak by 2009
(some faster than others) Portfolio of 32 synergies, 19 ‘large’ and
13 ‘small’
77
Gevaert portfolio
Private equity
Real estate & specialized
finance
Reduction of equity portfolio (case by case approach as to individual equity positions)
Merger of activities of ‘Almafin’ into KBC Bank (i.e. ‘KBC Real Estate’ and ‘KBC Lease’)
Disposal of of non-core activities
Merger of Gevaert and ‘KBC Investco’ (KBC Investco is a subsidiary of KBC Bank and KBC Insurance)
Build up a private equity platform with geographical focus on home markets (targeted portfolio of 500-600 m)
Business line Strategy headlines
Holdings in listed
companies
Impact of IFRS
Foto gebouw
4
79
Disclaimer
By its nature, the information in this presentation involves numerous assumptions, uncertainties and opportunities, both general and specific. We caution readers of this presentation not to place undue reliance on this information as a number of factors could cause future Group results to differ materially.
All data in this document are unaudited and are meant as indications necessary to illustrate the changes introduced by IFRS which will affect future reportings.
KBC undertakes no obligation to revise or update any information to reflect changes in policy, events, expectations or otherwise.
80
Content
1. Disclosure headlines
2. Impact on financial statements 2004
3. Impact on financial statements 2005
81
Headlines
22
33Corrections due to the first time application of IFRS valuation rules in opening B/S on 1-Jan-04 (exception: first time application of IAS 32/39 and IFRS 4 in opening B/S on 1-Jan-05)
Comparative figures of 2004 available (excluding impact of IAS 32/39 on financial instruments and IFRS 4 on insurance contracts)
First IFRS reporting 1Q 200511
Headlines – Impact 2004 – Impact 2005
82
Disclosure schedule, 2005
• New IFRS templates
• FY04 IFRS income statement and B/S (excl. impact IAS 32/39 and IFRS 4)
• Impact of IAS 32/39 on shareholders equity in opening B/S of 1-Jan-05Apr 28, 2005Apr 28, 2005
• 1Q05 earnings (full set of IFRS interim financial statements and notes)
• 1Q04, 2Q04, 3Q04 and 4Q04 earnings (IFRS reference P/L and B/S, incl. segments, excl. impact of IAS 32/39 and IFRS 4)
Jun 9, 2005Jun 9, 2005
Mar 23, 2005Mar 23, 2005
Headlines – Impact 2004 – Impact 2005
83
Headlines – Impact 2004 – Impact 2005
Segment information, 2005
Financial statements
6 business segments
1) Banking2) Insurance 3) Asset Management 4) KBL epb* 5) Gevaert *6) Holding Company
P/L and B/S
3 geographical segments
1) Belgium2) CEE3) Rest of world
Key income figures
Management reporting
6 customer segments
1) Retail 2) CEE3) SME/corporate4) Capital Markets5) KBL epb* 6) Gevaert* + Group Item (= non-allocated activities)
P/L
* Temporarly solution for 2005: KBL and Gevaert as non-integrated divisions
84
Main changes in valuation rules, 2004
Impact on earnings
Impact on book value
Impact start
Presentation of own equity before profit appropriation (instead of after profit appropriation)
X 2004
Stricter criteria for recognition of provisions (IAS 37) X X 2004
Recognition of deficit/excess of defined benefit pension plans (DBP) (IAS 19)
X X 2004
Broader criteria for recognition of deferred taxes (IAS12) X X 2004
Reclassification from operating to finance lease (IAS 17) X X 2004
Correction of depreciation of tangible assets and capitalisation of internal software (IAS 16/38)
X X 2004
Impairment testing of goodwill and no further depreciation (IAS 36 and IFRS 3)
X X 2004
Misceleaneous other changes with limited impact, such as inclusion of SPV’s in scope of consolidation, etc.
X X 2004
Headlines – Impact 2004 – Impact 2005
85
IFRS Income statement FY 2004*
m euros KBC (Old)
KBC Group (Mergco)
Net interest incomeGross earned premium, insuranceDividend incomeNet gains from financial instruments at fair valueNet realised gains from available for sale assetsNet fee and commission incomeOther income
3 687 5 158
214 647513
1 029308
3 833 5 158
231725503
1 404479
Gross income 11 555 12 333
Operating ExpensesImpairments - o/w on loans and receivables - o/w on AFS assetsGross technical charges, insuranceCeded reinsurance resultShare in results, associated companies
-4 200-379-201-165
-4 633-6855
-4 944-365-198-150
-4 633-6822
Profit before taxes 2 329 2 345
Income tax expense
Minority interests
-498-172
-537-193
Net profit 1 659 1 615
* Non-audited figures (excl. impact of IFRS 4 and IAS 32/39) Headlines – Impact 2004 – Impact 2005
86
-34
-7 +0.4
+5
+39 -10
Net profit2004
BEL GAAP
Net profit2004 IFRS
Impact on profit 2004 - KBC Old
Non-audited figures, excl. impact of IFRS 4 and IAS 32/39
-92
1659
1758
Provisions*
DBP
Tax Lease
Fixedassets
Goodwill Other
Headlines – Impact 2004 – Impact 2005
* Mainly related to reversal of the use of the provision for financial risks in the insurance business
87
-35
+2 +0.4
+3
+89
-29
Net profit2004
BEL GAAP
Net profit2004 IFRS
Impact on profit 2004 - KBC Mergco
Non-audited figures excl. impact of IFRS 4 and IAS 32/39
-97
1615
1682 Provisions*
DBP
Tax LeaseFixedassets
Goodwill Other
Headlines – Impact 2004 – Impact 2005
* Mainly related to reversal of the use of the provision for financial risks in the insurance business
88
Impact on EPS 2004 *
EurosKBC (Old)
KBC Group(Mergco)
Basic EPS, Belgian GAAP 5.66 4.59
IFRS adjustments: - reversal of provisions - underfunding of DBP - adjustments of deferred taxes - reclassidication of lease - adjustments on fixed assets - adjustment of goodwill - other - change in definition of no of shares
-0.30-0.11-0.02+0.00+0.02+0.12-0.03+0.06
-0.27-0.10+0.01+0.00+0.01+0.24-0.08+0.08
Total IFRS adjustments -0.26 -0.10
Basis EPS, IFRS 5.40 4.49
* Non-audited figures (excl. impact of IFRS 4 and IAS 32/39) Headlines – Impact 2004 – Impact 2005
89
IFRS Balance sheet, 31-Dec-04 *
m euros KBC(Old)
KBC(Mergco)
Loans and advances to customersSecuritiesLoans and advances to banksDerivative financial instrumentsProperty and equipment (excl invest. property) Goodwill and other intangible fixed assetsInvestments in associated companiesOther assets
106 79890 88727 06515 376
1 782650615
9 160
111 17798 86238 46315 376
2 3001 0861 228
16 671
Deposits from customers and debt securitiesDeposits from banksDerivative financial instrumentsGross technical provisions, insuranceLiabilities under investment contracts, insuranceOther liabilities
141 95542 46017 72813 259
3 93120 847
157 71255 08317 72813 259
3 93123 351
Total equity- Parent company equity- Minorities
12 15410 641
1 513
14 09912 328
1 771
Balance sheet total 252 334 285 163
* non-audited figures (indicative only), excl. impact of IFRS 4 and IAS 32/39 Headlines – Impact 2004 – Impact 2005
90
Headlines – Impact 2004 – Impact 2005
Impact on BPS, 31-Dec-04 *
EurosKBC (Old)
KBC Group
(Mergco)
Book value per share, Belgian GAAP 33.84 32.50
IFRS adjustments: - profit appropriation - reversal of provisions - underfunding of DBP - adjustments of deferred taxes - reclassidication of lease - adjustments on fixed assets - adjustment of goodwill - other - change in definition of no of shares
+1.19+0.05-1.31+0.03+0.03+0.28+0.12+0.00+0.35
+1.84+0.04-1.23+0.03+0.02+0.22+0.22+0.02+0.63
Total IFRS adjustments +0.74 1.80
Book value per share, IFRS 34.58 34.30
* non-audited figures excl. impact of IFRS 4 and IAS 32/39, based on 307.7m shares for ‘KBC old’ and on 359.5 m shares for ‘KBC Mergco’
91
Headlines – Impact 2004 – Impact 2005
Main changes in valuation rules, 2005
Impact on earnings
Impact on book value
Impact start
Deposit accounting for unit-linked life products (IFRS 4) 2005
Derecognition of catastrophe / equalisation provision (4) X X 2005
Insurance liability adequacy test (IFRS 4) X X 2005
Adjustment of loan losses (NPV-approach and recognition of portfolio-based provisions) (IAS 32/39)
X X 2005
Recognition impairments on equity investments (32/39) X X 2005
Deduction of treasury shares from own equity (32/39) X X 2005
Convertible bonds to be considered as own equity (32/39) X X 2005
Marking to market,‘bonds available for sale’ (IAS 32/39) X 2005
Marking to market, ‘bonds at fair value’ (IAS 32/39) X X 2005
Marking to market, ‘shares available for sale’ (IAS 32/39) X 2005
Marking to market, ‘shares at fair value’ (IAS 32/39) X X 2005
Marking to market, derivatives not held for trading (32/39) X X 2005
92
Disclosure schedule 2005 - reminder
• Impact of IAS 32/39 on shareholders equity in opening B/S of 1-Jan-05Apr 28, 2005Apr 28, 2005
• 1Q05 earnings (full set of interim IFRS financial statements and notes, incl. impact of IAS 32/39 and IFRS 4)
Jun 9, 2005Jun 9, 2005
Headlines – Impact 2004 – Impact 2005
93
Indicative composition of portfolios*
Assets as of2005
Value at 31-12-04 *
Valuation (volatility impact)
Loans and receivables
Mortgages/consumer creditCorporate loans
28.3 bn78.2 bn
Amortized cost (no impact from volatility in valuation)
HTMinstruments
Bonds, banking bookBonds, insurance book
5.9 bn2.5 bn
Amortized cost (no impact from volatility in valuation)
AFS instruments
Bonds, banking bookBonds, insurance bookShares, banking bookShares, insurance book
16.5 bn7.3 bn1.0 bn2.9 bn
Fair Value (adjustments recognized in shareholders’ equity)
Financial instruments at Fair Value
Bonds, banking bookBonds, insurance bookTrading portfoliosUnit-linked investmentsDerivatives, banking bookDerivatives, insurance book
18.5 bn0.6 bn
31.5 bn3.9 bn
p.m.p.m.
Fair Value (adjustments in P&L)
* Figures for KBC pre-merger, book value according to B-GAAP Headlines – Impact 2004 – Impact 2005
94
Annex
Disclosure on IFRS available in the annual report at www.kbc.com:
Description of major differences between IFRS and B-GAAP
Full P/L and B/S 2004 IFRS with reconciliation to B-GAAP, for both ‘KBC’ (old) and ‘KBC Group’ (Mergco)
Foto gebouw
5 Information on capital management
96
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
2003 2004
Legal Econ buffer Excess
-100
100
300
500
700
900
1100
2003 2004
Legal Econ buffer + Excess
Solvency
10.0%
9.2%
316%
389%
Private banking, KBL epb (Tier-1)
Insurance business
(solvency margin)
726 m
726 m
1 372 m
467 m
359 m
In m EURIn m EUR
0
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
5 000
6 000
7 000
8 000
9 000
10 000
2003 2004
Legal Econ buffer Excess
Banking KBC,(Tier-1)
In m EUR 10.1%9.5%
2 060 m
3 871m
3 871m
In the short term, regulators will not apply the IFRS approach for monitoring solvency
97
Non-realized gains on investments*
* Excluding trading portfolio
31-Dec-04, in m EUR Book value Market value
Net gains
Fixed-income
- Banking business 40 331 41 739 1 402
- Private banking business 13 414 13 529 115
- Insurance business 10 409 11 036 627
- Gevaert portfolio 14 15 1
Equity
- Banking business 927 955 28
- Insurance business 3 050 3 413 363
- Gevaert portfolio 867 1 363 496
98
Allocation of excess capital
Excess capital may be used for: Increasing presence in CEE (banking presence in Poland and
insurance presence in Hungary may be strenghtened by acquisitions or setting up business combinations)
Strenghtening the European private banking franchise Buying out minority shareholders Decreasing the leverage at holding-company level Securing a stable, growing dividend
Board’s mandate to buy back own shares, up to 10% of capital*
* Valid until 29 Oct. 2005. Extension subject to approval of the AGM on 28 Apr. 2005
Closing remarks on valuation
Foto gebouw
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Valuation
P/E 2005
CEE banks 1 13.5
CEE-exposed banks 2 12.4
Euro-zone banks 3 12.1
KBC 10.9
BEL banks 4 10.4
Key figures: Share price: 65.8 euros Net asset value: 39.3 euros
Analysts’ estimates: 2005 EPS consensus*:
6.02 euros (+7% y-o-y) P/E 2005: 10.9
Recommendations: Positive: 55% Neutral: 25% Negative: 20%
Valuation relative to peer group:
Weighted average of IBES data :1) OTP, Komercni, Pekao, BPH PBK, BRE2) BA-CA, Erste, Unicredit, Soc. Gen., Intesa BCI3) Top 20 DJ Euro Stoxx Banks 4) Fortis, Dexia
Situation as at 14 March 2005
* Smart consensus collected by KBC (13 estimates)
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Group restructuring benefits
Merger of KBC with parent company Almanij (March 2005):
Business benefits: Flexibility for fully implementing existing strategies Unity of strategy, capital and management Enhanced efficiency, with business synergies
Financial benefits: Increased share liquidity, thanks to pooling of two listed entities
and higher free float Elimination of holding-company discount Increased transparency through simplified structure Improved visibility on capital markets
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Increased visibility and share liquidity
Amongst top-10 banking shares in the euro zone
Increased weighting in stock indices due to higher free float
Further expansion of (equity) research coverage
Situation as at 15 Dec. 2004 for KBC (old) and Almanij; as at 14 Mar. 2005 for KBC (new)
KBC (old) Almanij KBC (new)
Market capitalization (in EUR) 15 bn 10 bn 24 bn
Free float
% of shares outstandingSize, bn EURDaily traded volume (Ytd, m EUR)
31%5 bn18 m
29%3 bn8 m
46%11 bn51 m
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Sollicited research coverage