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Page 1: Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis - Go To Bermuda€¦ · Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis • Study Issued in 2012 • Company formed in 2012 • Inspired
Page 2: Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis - Go To Bermuda€¦ · Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis • Study Issued in 2012 • Company formed in 2012 • Inspired

© Kalibri Labs 2015

Confidential & Proprietary2

Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis

• Study Issued in 2012

• Company formed in 2012

• Inspired by findings that emerged from the

Distribution Channel Analysis

• Analyzing 2.5B transactions annually

• Data from 70+ brands worldwide

Helping hotels improve performance by evaluating

customer acquisition results based on revenue net of

acquisition costs

Page 3: Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis - Go To Bermuda€¦ · Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis • Study Issued in 2012 • Company formed in 2012 • Inspired

© Kalibri Labs 2015

Confidential & Proprietary3

Fragmented content give aggregators an advantage to control merchandising sources

Page 4: Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis - Go To Bermuda€¦ · Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis • Study Issued in 2012 • Company formed in 2012 • Inspired

© Kalibri Labs 2015

Confidential & Proprietary4

Large tech companies are selling hotel rooms and adding significant costs to the ecosystem

CONSUMER

BOOKING

BRANDS

STAY BRANDS

Page 5: Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis - Go To Bermuda€¦ · Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis • Study Issued in 2012 • Company formed in 2012 • Inspired

© Kalibri Labs 2015

Confidential & Proprietary

A Value Shift has been Underway

5

$72.3 B

16.4 B

$20.5 B$13.4 B

$9.4 B

$489 B

$672 B$296 B

$11.7 B

$26 B

$24.8 B

Updated: 11.1.15

Page 6: Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis - Go To Bermuda€¦ · Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis • Study Issued in 2012 • Company formed in 2012 • Inspired

© Kalibri Labs 2015

Confidential & Proprietary6

Third parties increment cost to both consumers and direct business

In reality, consumers are exposed to

many advertising channels, making it

difficult to identify true attribution

Page 7: Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis - Go To Bermuda€¦ · Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis • Study Issued in 2012 • Company formed in 2012 • Inspired

© Kalibri Labs 2015

Confidential & Proprietary7

Rise of the Gatekeepers

Source: Jeff Katz

Page 8: Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis - Go To Bermuda€¦ · Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis • Study Issued in 2012 • Company formed in 2012 • Inspired

© Kalibri Labs 2015

Confidential & Proprietary8

Everyone wants a piece of the action

Shop Buy Arrive Eat Drink Stay Pay

Page 9: Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis - Go To Bermuda€¦ · Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis • Study Issued in 2012 • Company formed in 2012 • Inspired

© Kalibri Labs 2015

Confidential & Proprietary9

We don’t want a “Kodak moment”

Page 10: Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis - Go To Bermuda€¦ · Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis • Study Issued in 2012 • Company formed in 2012 • Inspired

© Kalibri Labs 2015

Confidential & Proprietary10

Demand Share is Shifting

Data shown is preliminary; based upon forthcoming “Distribution Channel Analysis – 2016”

Total Acquisition Cost for

hotels is between 15-25%of total guest paid revenue

+108%

+52%

+33%

Page 11: Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis - Go To Bermuda€¦ · Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis • Study Issued in 2012 • Company formed in 2012 • Inspired

© Kalibri Labs 2015

Confidential & Proprietary11

Why are Hotel Website Visits Declining?

Together, Expedia and Priceline

spend over $3.5 B on online

advertising, accounting for

50% of the 2013 industry total.

In contrast, U.S. Hotels spent

just $886 M on online

advertising in 2013.

Major OTAs Dominate Online Marketing Spend

Page 12: Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis - Go To Bermuda€¦ · Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis • Study Issued in 2012 • Company formed in 2012 • Inspired

© Kalibri Labs 2015

Confidential & Proprietary12

Revenue Growth Positive - Commissions Rise at 2x

Retail commissions onlySource: HAMA Study 2013-2014

+39% Commissions

+20% Total Revenue

Page 13: Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis - Go To Bermuda€¦ · Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis • Study Issued in 2012 • Company formed in 2012 • Inspired

© Kalibri Labs 2015

Confidential & Proprietary13

Customer Acquisition Costs Erode Profits

Page 14: Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis - Go To Bermuda€¦ · Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis • Study Issued in 2012 • Company formed in 2012 • Inspired

© Kalibri Labs 2015

Confidential & Proprietary14

Acquisition costs need to be managed

?• CHANNEL COSTS

• COMMISSIONS

• TRANSACTION FEES

• LOYALTY COSTS

• AMENITY COSTS

• SALES AND

MARKETING

Net RevenueGuest-paid

Revenue

1 point will save about $2 billion per year for the U.S. hotel industry

Up to 5-6x higher than

acquisition costs in other

travel sectors

Page 15: Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis - Go To Bermuda€¦ · Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis • Study Issued in 2012 • Company formed in 2012 • Inspired

© Kalibri Labs 2015

Confidential & Proprietary15

• The latest from Google

• Peer to peer services: Uber and AirBnB

• Technology consolidation

• New entrants in core hotel segments

• Hot off the press from Amazon

Page 16: Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis - Go To Bermuda€¦ · Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis • Study Issued in 2012 • Company formed in 2012 • Inspired

© Kalibri Labs 2015

Confidential & Proprietary

“Organic search”…a quaint term from the mid-2000s

16

Page 17: Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis - Go To Bermuda€¦ · Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis • Study Issued in 2012 • Company formed in 2012 • Inspired

© Kalibri Labs 2015

Confidential & Proprietary17

Google search results are biased to Google internal channels

All results that are “above the fold” are paid; there is no organic listing.

Notable increase in

Google search costs

Page 18: Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis - Go To Bermuda€¦ · Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis • Study Issued in 2012 • Company formed in 2012 • Inspired

Google’s Travel Ecosystem

Source: BCG and Hilton Worldwide

Page 19: Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis - Go To Bermuda€¦ · Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis • Study Issued in 2012 • Company formed in 2012 • Inspired

© Kalibri Labs 2015

Confidential & Proprietary

Future: Peer to peer services

Page 20: Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis - Go To Bermuda€¦ · Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis • Study Issued in 2012 • Company formed in 2012 • Inspired

© Kalibri Labs 2015

Confidential & Proprietary20

Tech Consolidation – why should it matter?

Page 21: Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis - Go To Bermuda€¦ · Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis • Study Issued in 2012 • Company formed in 2012 • Inspired

© Kalibri Labs 2015

Confidential & Proprietary

Core to a Hotel’s Profit

21

Business Travel Groups & Meetings

Page 22: Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis - Go To Bermuda€¦ · Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis • Study Issued in 2012 • Company formed in 2012 • Inspired

© Kalibri Labs 2015

Confidential & Proprietary

Surprise, surprise…

22

21st April, 2015

16th October 2015

Page 23: Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis - Go To Bermuda€¦ · Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis • Study Issued in 2012 • Company formed in 2012 • Inspired

© Kalibri Labs 2015

Confidential & Proprietary23

A New Era of Opportunity: Revenue Strategy

How can we optimize net revenue?

Page 24: Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis - Go To Bermuda€¦ · Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis • Study Issued in 2012 • Company formed in 2012 • Inspired

© Kalibri Labs 2015

Confidential & Proprietary24

Channels – managed separately

…especially when top line revenue is the target

Brand.com

Voice GDS

Property

Direct OTASILO

Page 25: Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis - Go To Bermuda€¦ · Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis • Study Issued in 2012 • Company formed in 2012 • Inspired

© Kalibri Labs 2015

Confidential & Proprietary25

Drive Holistic Performance

Brand.com

Voice GDS

Property

Direct OTASILOTake an omni-channel view and manage margins

Page 26: Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis - Go To Bermuda€¦ · Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis • Study Issued in 2012 • Company formed in 2012 • Inspired

© Kalibri Labs 2015

Confidential & Proprietary26

The New Imperative: Net Revenue Metrics

Net RevPAR

How much revenue are you earning net of

customer acquisition costs?

Contribution %

(COPE)

How much revenue is

generated from each

channel net of

commissions/transacti

on fees?

S&M Efficiency

How much net

revenue is generated

for every $1 spent on

Sales & Marketing?

Page 27: Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis - Go To Bermuda€¦ · Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis • Study Issued in 2012 • Company formed in 2012 • Inspired

© Kalibri Labs 2015

Confidential & Proprietary27

Refining a Classic Metric: Net RevPAR

How much revenue are you earning net of acquisition costs?

$100

$110

$120

$130

$140

$150

$160

$170

$180

$190

$200

P&L RevPAR Guest Paid RevPAR Net RevPAR

Booking Costs

Marketing Costs

Guest

Paid

RevPAR

Hotel-collected RevPAR

Net RevPAR

(Guest Paid Revenue – Acquisition Costs)

Available RoomsNet RevPAR =

Hotel-collected RevPAR

Hotel-collected RevPAR

Guest-paid RevPAR

Page 28: Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis - Go To Bermuda€¦ · Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis • Study Issued in 2012 • Company formed in 2012 • Inspired

© Kalibri Labs 2015

Confidential & Proprietary28

Traditional RevPAR Alone Can be Misleading

Source: 2012/2013 NYC Study

Traditional can look good while Net declines

+2%

-1%

Hotel-collected RevPAR Net RevPAR

Page 29: Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis - Go To Bermuda€¦ · Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis • Study Issued in 2012 • Company formed in 2012 • Inspired

© Kalibri Labs 2015

Confidential & Proprietary29

Customer acquisition costs are not systematically measured and managed; limited visibility on some costs

Reducing acquisition costs

by 1 point will save $2 billionper year for the U.S. hotel industry

Page 30: Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis - Go To Bermuda€¦ · Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis • Study Issued in 2012 • Company formed in 2012 • Inspired

© Kalibri Labs 2015

Confidential & Proprietary30

Hotels are not well informed about new entrants

Individual hotels might be agreeing to terms and other conditions without full knowledge of the implications

?

?

?

?

Page 31: Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis - Go To Bermuda€¦ · Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis • Study Issued in 2012 • Company formed in 2012 • Inspired

© Kalibri Labs 2015

Confidential & Proprietary31

Three Take-Aways

Align across siloes to drive Net Revenue

Work holistically to find your Optimal Channel Mix

Dive deep to under how new entrants work and how they will affect your business

Page 32: Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis - Go To Bermuda€¦ · Kalibri Labs & Distribution Channel Analysis • Study Issued in 2012 • Company formed in 2012 • Inspired

Questions?

Matt Carrier, Revenue Strategy ManagerKalibri [email protected]

November 16th, 2015