kafue aerial survey 2008

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" #$%&'$ (')*)'+, -./012'/3 4556 !"#$%& ()#*"+ ,"-.#/0 1%2)" 34.5+5/"6 7889

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Aerial Survey of the Kafue Ecosystem 2008. Systematic Reconnaissance Flight (sample count) of large mammals and human activities in the National Park and surrounding GMAs.

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Page 1: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008

!

!"!#$%&'$!(')*)'+,!-./012'/3!

4556!

!"#$%&'()#*"+',"-.#/0'1%2)"'34.5+5/"6'7889'

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Page 2: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008
Page 3: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008

• •

• •

Page 4: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008
Page 5: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008
Page 6: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008
Page 7: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008

• • •

Page 8: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008

Lunga Luswishi

Mufunta

BbililiMulobezi

Mumbwa

Kasonso-Busanga

Namwala

Sichifulo

Nkala

Kafue NP

Lake / Major Rivers

Kafue National Park

Kafue Ecosystem GMAs

0 25 50 75 10012.5

Kilometers

Page 9: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008
Page 10: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008

Stratum Spacing

(km) Transect

length (km) Flight time

(h) Area (km2)

Coverage (%)

Subunit Area (km)

Page 11: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008

NG

OM

A

KAUNGA

KAFWALAB

ILIL

I

NAMWALA

KATOBO

MUMBWA

LUFUPA SOUTH

KASO

NSO

SICHIFULO

MULOBEZI

MUSHINGASHI

MU

FU

NTA

LUNGA SOUTH

LU

SW

ISH

I

ITE

CH

I TE

CH

I

CH

UN

GA

LUNGA

LUFUPA

BUSANGA

KA

MA

NO

Ngoma

Chunga

Moshi

Lufupa

Lunga

Kafue 2008 Aerial Survey

Airstrips

Sampling Blocks

Spacing

20% (1.5 km)

12% (2.5 km)

6% (5 km)

3% (10 km)

Planning: 22 Sept 08

0 20 40 60 8010

Kilometers

Page 12: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008

• • • •

• •

Page 13: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008

±±

Page 14: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008
Page 15: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008
Page 16: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008

(0.16) 1.02

1.13 1.13

0.43 0.02

0.22 2.99

(2.45) 1.36

0.72 3.62

(0.84) 2.70

(1.93) (0.82)

1.92 (0.16)

(1.12) 0.12

(0.39) 3.86

1.28 (0.96)

(0.18) (0.09)

0.95 1.85

0.41 (1.79)

Page 17: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008

0 9 18 27 364.5

Kilometers

Kafue EcosystemSep-Oct 2008

All Wildlife

Density per sq. km.

1 - 4

5 - 13

14 - 40

41 - 144

145 - 741

Surveyed area

Lake / Major Rivers

Kafue National Park

Ecosystem GMAs

Page 18: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008

• •

0.43 1.69 0.02

1.41 2.75 1.08

Page 19: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008

1997 2004 2006 2008

Admin Est SE Est SE Est SE Est SE

Kasonso 401 27 5 5

Mufunta 17 16

Mulobezi 55 7 385 562 252 178

Mumbwa 124 117 181 23 1,228 500 66 57

Namwala 127 7

Nkala 210 20 114 98 90 37

Sichifulo 374 350 40 34

1997 2004 2006 2008

Admin Est SE Est SE Est SE

Bbilili 12 12

Kasonso 12 12

Mulobezi 60 39 69 19 11 22

Nkala 31 2

Sichifulo 24 13 164 22

Page 20: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008
Page 21: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008

0 9 18 27 364.5

Kilometers

Kafue EcosystemSep-Oct 2008

Elephant

Density per sq. km.

0.1 - 0.7

0.8 - 1.5

1.6 - 3.0

3.1 - 4.8

4.9 - 10.9

Elephant carcass

Surveyed area

Lake / Major Rivers

Kafue National Park

Ecosystem GMAs

Page 22: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008

1997 2004 2006 2008

Admin Est SE Est SE Est SE Est SE

Bbilili 99 84

Lunga-Luswishi 15 8

Nkala 807 868 2,102 1,880

Sichifulo 1,268 1,022 Kafue NP 2,484 1,095 14,434 6,228 3,719 72 6,314 2,549

Page 23: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008

Buffalo

Density per sq. km.

0.1 - 7.1

7.2 - 71.3

71.4 - 142.9

143.0 - 628.6

628.7 - 707.1

Surveyed area

Lake / Major Rivers

Kafue National Park

Ecosystem GMAs

0 10 20 30 405

Kilometers

Kafue EcosystemSep-Oct 2008

Page 24: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008

1997 2004 2006 2008

Admin Est SE Est SE Est SE Est SE

Kasonso 277 215 1,178 468 194 102

Lunga-Luswishi 437 238 3,217 934 n/a

Mumbwa 237 171 1,004 468 5,972 1,975 652 259 Namwala 49 40 602 221 79 67 Kafue NP 14,394 2,847 11,585 28,333 3,095 1,745 5,700 850

Page 25: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008

0 10 20 30 405

Kilometers

Kafue EcosystemSep-Oct 2008

Puku

Density per sq. km.

0.2 - 0.6

0.7 - 1.5

1.6 - 2.9

3.0 - 5.1

5.2 - 26.9

Surveyed area

Lake / Major Rivers

Kafue National Park

Ecosystem GMAs

Page 26: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008

• •

1997 2004 2006 2007 2008

Admin Est SE Est SE Est SE Est SE Est SE

Kasonso 151 121 41 27

Kafue NP 6,325 3,442 8,880 5,633 5,817 6,595 2,098 279 5,494 1,153

Page 27: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008

0 3 6 9 121.5

Kilometers

Kafue EcosystemSep-Oct 2008

Red Lechwe

Density / Samples

0.1841 - 0.3683

0.3684 - 0.9565

0.9566 - 2.977

2.978 - 5.402

5.403 - 8.286

Surveyed area

Lake / Major Rivers

Kafue National Park

Ecosystem GMAs

Page 28: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008
Page 29: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008

Eland

Density per sq. km.

0.2 - 0.6

0.7 - 1.1

Surveyed area

Lake / Major Rivers

Kafue National Park

Ecosystem GMAs

0 10 20 30 405

Kilometers

Kafue EcosystemSep-Oct 2008

Page 30: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008

Ground Hornbill

Density per sq. km.

0.2 - 0.6

0.7 - 1.4

1.5 - 2.7

Surveyed area

Lake / Major Rivers

Kafue National Park

Ecosystem GMAs

0 10 20 30 405

Kilometers

Kafue EcosystemSep-Oct 2008

Page 31: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008

Hartebeest

Density per sq. km.

0.2 - 1.1

1.2 - 2.6

2.7 - 4.9

5.0 - 8.1

8.2 - 14.0

Surveyed area

Lake / Major Rivers

Kafue National Park

Ecosystem GMAs

0 10 20 30 405

Kilometers

Kafue EcosystemSep-Oct 2008

Page 32: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008

0 10 20 30 405

Kilometers

Kafue EcosystemSep-Oct 2008

Impala

Density per sq. km.

0.2 - 1.1

1.2 - 3.2

3.3 - 7.0

7.1 - 14.4

14.5 - 30.9

Surveyed area

Lake / Major Rivers

Kafue National Park

Ecosystem GMAs

Page 33: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008

0 10 20 30 405

Kilometers

Kafue EcosystemSep-Oct 2008

Kudu

Density per sq. km.

0.2 - 0.3

0.4 - 0.7

0.8 - 1.4

1.5 - 2.7

2.8 - 4.8

Surveyed area

Lake / Major Rivers

Kafue National Park

Ecosystem GMAs

Page 34: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008

0 10 20 30 405

Kilometers

Kafue EcosystemSep-Oct 2008

Roan

Density per sq. km.

0.2 - 0.4

0.5 - 1.0

1.1 - 1.8

1.9 - 4.3

4.4 - 6.9

Surveyed area

Lake / Major Rivers

Kafue National Park

Ecosystem GMAs

Page 35: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008

0 10 20 30 405

Kilometers

Kafue EcosystemSep-Oct 2008

Sable

Density per sq. km.

0.1 - 2

3 - 7

8 - 10

20

30 - 60

Surveyed area

Lake / Major Rivers

Kafue National Park

Ecosystem GMAs

Page 36: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008

0 10 20 30 405

Kilometers

Kafue EcosystemSep-Oct 2008

Waterbuck

Density per sq. km.

0.2 - 1.1

1.2 - 2.6

2.7 - 4.9

5.0 - 8.1

8.2 - 14.0

Surveyed area

Lake / Major Rivers

Kafue National Park

Ecosystem GMAs

Page 37: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008

0 10 20 30 405

Kilometers

Kafue EcosystemSep-Oct 2008

Warthog

Density per sq. km.

0.1 - 0.4

0.5 - 1.0

1.1 - 2.2

2.3 - 4.7

4.8 - 8.9

Surveyed area

Lake / Major Rivers

Kafue National Park

Ecosystem GMAs

Page 38: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008

Wildebeest

Density per sq. km.

0.1 - 0.4

0.5 - 1.0

1.1 - 2.2

2.3 - 4.7

4.8 - 8.9

Surveyed area

Lake / Major Rivers

Kafue National Park

Ecosystem GMAs

0 10 20 30 405

Kilometers

Kafue EcosystemSep-Oct 2008

Page 39: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008

Zebra

Density per sq. km.

0.3 - 0.6

0.7 - 1.4

1.5 - 2.5

2.6 - 3.8

3.9 - 5.1

Surveyed area

Lake / Major Rivers

Kafue National Park

Ecosystem GMAs

0 10 20 30 405

Kilometers

Kafue EcosystemSep-Oct 2008

Page 40: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008

1997 2004 2006 2008

Code Est. S.E. Est. S.E. Est. S.E. Est. S.E.

Buffalo 99 84

Duiker 84 38 75 35 19 26

Elephant Carcass 12 12

Greater Kudu 12 14

Hartebeest 72 71

Impala 278 273 19 22

Oribi 12 12

Reedbuck 72 48

Sable Antelope 363 356

Warthog 37 24 29 56

Waterbuck 28 25

Wildebeest 9 8

Page 41: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008

1997 2004 2006 2008

Code Est. S.E. Est. S.E. Est. S.E. Est. S.E.

Bushbuck 13 9 16 14

Duiker Common 113 40 268 53 104 32 99 36

Eland 138 126

Elephant 401 27 5 5

Elephant Carcass 12 12

Greater Kudu 107 77 93 64

Hartebeest 554 304 1,232 402 194 100 1,026 427

Hippo 81 75

Impala 37 26 174 100 49 43 490 228

Oribi 37 25 13 11 32 18

Puku 277 215 1,178 468 194 102

Red Lechwe 151 121 41 27

Reedbuck 25 15 80 26 68 66 47 33

Roan Antelope 25 14 576 343 13 10 5 5

Sable Antelope 340 308 750 238 410 213 3,109 1,030

Sitatunga 27 12 21 15

Warthog 365 145 817 183 166 151 203 113

Waterbuck 76 61

Wildebeest 12 11 37 31

Baboon 790 267 797 657

Ground Hornbill 5 5

Vervet 576 251

2006 2008

Code Est. S.E. Est. S.E.

Duiker Common 463 96 96 52

Elephant 17 16

Greater Kudu 31 17

Impala 123 69

Oribi 309 76

Reedbuck 62 23

Roan Antelope 19 17

Sable Antelope 123 69 5 4

Ground Hornbill 64 65

Page 42: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008

1997 2004 2006 2008

Code Est. S.E. Est. S.E. Est. S.E. Est. S.E.

Bushbuck 89 41

Duiker 278 113 309 57 190 78 319 101

Elephant 55 7 385 562 252 178

Elephant Carcass 60 39 69 19 11 22

Greater Kudu 247 67 319 141

Hartebeest 108 96 316 132 249 228 537 293

Impala 60 60 1,112 376 68 137 185 107

Oribi 12 12 23 30 67 36

Reedbuck 60 59 124 37

Roan Antelope 12 13

Sable Antelope 653 418 1,016 453 1,218 1,801 710 461

Warthog 822 322 748 185 174 218 67 51

Waterbuck 36 37 96 53

Wildebeest 169 130 7 7 403 222 57 50

Zebra 193 137 82 61 453 542

Baboon 412 423 97 138 67 67

Ground Hornbill 67 65

Cattle 973 643

Sheep and goats 218 202

1997 2004 2006 2008

Code Est. S.E. Est. S.E. Est. S.E. Est. S.E.

Bushbuck 98 53

Duiker Common 99 31 98 33 42 19 144 58

Eland 340 341

Elephant 124 117 181 23 1,228 500 66 57

Greater Kudu 62 46 151 74 339 61 46 25

Hartebeest 774 300 551 134 1,486 525 680 241

Hippo 778 339 508 141 57 42

Impala 1,036 307 2,537 721 4,235 551 1,766 583

Oribi 296 89

Puku 237 171 1,004 468 5,972 1,975 652 259

Reedbuck 385 132 127 37 16 15

Roan Antelope 60 42

Sable Antelope 262 175 1,095 429 1,143 247 2,869 1,042

Warthog 324 50 1,616 403 3,473 346 783 266

Waterbuck 87 83 113 58 212 90 593 183

Zebra 137 80 174 136 176 128

Baboon 91 90

Vervet 5 4

Page 43: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008

1997 2004 2006 2008

Code Est. S.E. Est. S.E. Est. S.E. Est. S.E.

Bushbuck 119 49

Duiker Common 24 23 85 36 16 13 50 21

Elephant 127 7

Greater Kudu 162 61 93 52 47 40 21 16

Hartebeest 112 92 59 53 645 380

Impala 349 295 34 22 624 455

Oribi 49 25

Puku 49 40 602 221 79 67

Reedbuck 34 28

Roan Antelope 8 7 267 224

Sable Antelope 162 133 542 218 550 466 1,337 1,230

Warthog 74 62 127 65 63 41 161 76

Waterbuck 17 14 142 85 221 165

Baboon 50 47

Vervet 94 83

Cattle 3,158 914

Sheep and goats 652 345

2004 2006 2008

Code Est. S.E. Est. S.E. Est. S.E. Buffalo 807 868 2,102 1,880

Bushbuck 5 4

Duiker 18 16 9 5

Eland 70 73 121 82

Elephant 210 20 114 98 90 37

Elephant Carcass 31 2

Greater Kudu 12 16 53 60 5 4

Hartebeest 271 204 37 33

Hippo 88 57 33 29

Impala 160 130 38 27

Oribi 28 16

Reedbuck 19 16

Roan Antelope 61 69

Sable Antelope 99 75 281 231 5 4

Warthog 37 33

Waterbuck 31 36 81 50

Wildebeest 579 1,338 342 241 178 81

Zebra 651 325 123 96 103 61

Page 44: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008

1997 2004 2006 2008

Code Est. S.E. Est. S.E. Est. S.E. Est. S.E.

Buffalo 1,268 1,022

Bushbuck 62 58 47 12

Bushpig 94 44

Duiker 294 42 60 31 83 39

Eland 62 59

Elephant 374 350 40 34

Elephant Carcass 24 13 164 22

Greater Kudu 62 59 94 31 124 63

Hartebeest 499 471 188 55 248 253

Impala 99 78 482 138 135 140

Oribi 62 16

Reedbuck 12 5

Roan Antelope 62 59

Sable Antelope 461 249 258 82 1,145 617 206 193

Warthog 199 105 211 49 332 155 21 19

Wildebeest 206 191

Zebra 62 34 188 87 165 152

Baboon 154 162

Page 45: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008

0 9 18 27 364.5

Kilometers

Kafue EcosystemSep-Oct 2008

Metal sheeting

Habitation

Cultivation

Surveyed area

Lake / Major Rivers

Kafue National Park

Ecosystem GMAs

Human Activities

Page 46: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008

• • • •

Page 47: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008
Page 48: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008
Page 49: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008
Page 50: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008
Page 51: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008
Page 52: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008
Page 53: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008
Page 54: Kafue Aerial Survey 2008

0 10 20 30 405

Kilometers

Flight Lines:Kafue 2008

9J-NAT &9J-RHE