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July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

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July - December 2011. Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey. Firm distribution based on Annual Turnover based on responses received. July - December 2011. January – June 2011. Economic Impact CESA Membership earnings % of GDP. Source: RBQN, CESA BECS, Industry Insight. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: July - December 2011

July - December 2011

Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Page 2: July - December 2011

Firm distribution based on Annual Turnoverbased on responses received

Category by gross annual income

% of firms

0 – R1,5m 15.2%

R1,5m – R11,5m 50.0%

> R11,5m 34.8%

Total 100.0%

0-1.510.4%

1.5-11.539.5%

>11.550.1%

Firm distribution based on turnover

Category by gross annual income

% of firms

0 – R1,5m 10.4%

R1,5m – R11,5m 39.5%

> R11,5m 50.0%

Total 100.0%

July - December 2011 January – June 2011

0-1.515.2%

1.5-11.550.0%

>11.534.8%

Firm distribution based on turnover

Page 3: July - December 2011

Economic ImpactCESA Membership earnings % of GDP

Source: RBQN, CESA BECS, Industry Insight

JUN97

DEC97

JUN98

DEC98

JUN99

DEC99

JUN00

DEC00

JUN01

DEC01

JUN02

DEC02

JUN03

DEC03

JUN04

DEC04

JUN05

DEC05

JUN06

DEC06

JUN07

DEC07

JUN08

DEC08

JUN09

DEC09

JUN10

DEC10

JUN11

DEC11

0.0%

0.1%

0.2%

0.3%

0.4%

0.5%

0.6%

0.7%

Page 4: July - December 2011

Relationship to Gross Fixed Capital Formation

Source: RBQN, CESA BECS, Industry Insight

Page 5: July - December 2011

Consulting Engineering IndustryFee income, Rm Constant 2000 prices (CPI Deflated) Annualised

Jun-96 Jun-97 Jun-98 Jun-99 Jun-00 Jun-01 Jun-02 Jun-03 Jun-04 Jun-05 Jun-06 Jun-07 Jun-08 Jun-09 Jun-10 Jun-110

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

Source: CESA BECS

Page 6: July - December 2011

Consulting Engineering IndustryReal Fee income (CPI deflated), 2000 prices: Annual Change

Source: CESA BECS

Jun-

97

Dec-9

7

Jun-

98

Dec-9

8

Jun-

99

Dec-9

9

Jun-

00

Dec-0

0

Jun-

01

Dec-0

1

Jun-

02

Dec-0

2

Jun-

03

Dec-0

3

Jun-

04

Dec-0

4

Jun-

05

Dec-0

5

Jun-

06

Dec-0

6

Jun-

07

Dec-0

7

Jun-

08

Dec-0

8

Jun-

09

Dec-0

9

Jun-

10

Dec-1

0

Jun-

11

Dec-1

1-30%

-20%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Page 7: July - December 2011

CESA Confidence Index

Source: CESA BECS

Jun-9

5Ju

n-9

6Ju

n-9

7D

ec-

97

Jun-9

8D

ec-

98

Jun-9

9D

ec-

99

Jun-0

0D

ec-

00

Jun-0

1D

ec-

01

Jun-0

2D

ec-

02

Jun-0

3D

ec-

03

Jun-0

4D

ec-

04

Jun-0

5D

ec-

05

Jun-0

6D

ec-

06

Jun-0

7D

ec-

07

Jun-0

8D

ec-

08

Jun-0

9D

ec-

09

Jun-1

0D

ec-

10

Jun-1

1D

ec-

11

-60%

-40%

-20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

-10

10

30

50

70

90

110

% Change (Survey to Survey) Index

%

Change f

rom

pre

vio

us s

urv

ey

% R

espondents

sati

sfi

ed

Page 8: July - December 2011

Industry Confidence

Source: CESA BECS, BER

Page 9: July - December 2011

Jun-9

6N

ov-

96

Apr-

97

Sep-9

7Fe

b-9

8Ju

l-98

Dec-

98

May-

99

Oct

-99

Mar-

00

Aug-0

0Ja

n-0

1Ju

n-0

1N

ov-

01

Apr-

02

Sep-0

2Fe

b-0

3Ju

l-03

Dec-

03

May-

04

Oct

-04

Mar-

05

Aug-0

5Ja

n-0

6Ju

n-0

6N

ov-

06

Apr-

07

Sep-0

7Fe

b-0

8Ju

l-08

Dec-

08

May-

09

Oct

-09

Mar-

10

Aug-1

0Ja

n-1

1Ju

n-1

1N

ov-

11

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

Confidence

CO

NFID

EN

CE I

ND

EX

Fee inco

me (

consta

nt

pri

ces)

Consulting Engineering IndustryReal Fee income (CPI deflated) vs confidence

Source: CESA BECS

Page 10: July - December 2011

Jun-9

6

Jun-9

7

Jan-9

8

Jun-9

8

Jan-9

9

Jun-9

9

Jan-0

0

Jun-0

0

Dec-

00

Jun-0

1

Dec-

01

Jun-0

2

Dec-

02

Jun-0

3

Dec-

03

Jun-0

4

Dec-

04

Jun-0

5

Dec-

05

Jun-0

6

Dec-

06

Jun-0

7

Dec-

07

Jun-0

8

Dec-

08

Jun-0

9

Dec-

09

Jun-1

0

Dec-

10

Jun-1

1

Dec-

11

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

200030004000500060007000800090001000011000120001300014000150001600017000180001900020000Confidence Fee income Current prices

CO

NFID

EN

CE I

ND

EX

Fee inco

me,

R m

ill, c

urr

ent

pri

ces

Consulting Engineering IndustryNominal Fee income vs confidence

Source: CESA BECS

Page 11: July - December 2011

CESA Labour Cost Indicator: Y-Y Change

Source: CESA BECS

Jun-

98

Jun-

99

Jun-

00

Jun-

01

Jun-

02

Jun-

03

Jun-

04

Jun-

05

Jun-

06

Jun-

07

Jun-

08

Jun-

09

Jun-

10

Jun-

11

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

Page 12: July - December 2011

Consulting Engineering IndustryEmployment vs REAL fee income (CPI / LCI Deflated)

Source: CESA BECS

Dec-9

7

Dec-9

8

Dec-9

9

Dec-0

0

Dec-0

1

Dec-0

2

Dec-0

3

Dec-0

4

Dec-0

5

Dec-0

6

Dec-0

7

Dec-0

8

Dec-0

9

Dec-1

0

Dec-1

12,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000

11,000

12,000

8,500

10,500

12,500

14,500

16,500

18,500

20,500

Income: CPI 2000 prices Income : CESA LCI 2005 pricesEmployment Revised (right axis)

Page 13: July - December 2011

Consulting Engineering IndustryEmployment vs Salary / Wage bill

Source: CESA BECS

Dec-9

7

Dec-9

8

Dec-9

9

Dec-0

0

Dec-0

1

Dec-0

2

Dec-0

3

Dec-0

4

Dec-0

5

Dec-0

6

Dec-0

7

Dec-0

8

Dec-0

9

Dec-1

0

Dec-1

10

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

Salary/Wage bill (Constant) Employment - right axis

Page 14: July - December 2011

Discounting

Question: What is the prevailing discount being offered in a tendering situation to clients by your firm, benchmarked against the ECSA Guideline Fee Scales?

39% of firmsdiscounted by 20% or more

Source: CESA BECS

JUN07 DEC07 JUN08 DEC08 JUN09 DEC09 JUN10 DEC10 JUN11 DEC110.00%

5.00%

10.00%

15.00%

20.00%

25.00%

Page 15: July - December 2011

Fee income earned by Sub-disciplines: % ShareDecember 2011

AgriculturalArchitecture

Mechanical building ServicesCivil

Electrical / ElectronicEnvironmental

FacilitiesGeotechnical

Industrial Process / ChemicalGIS

Hydraulics

Information Systems / Technology

MarineMechanical

MiningProject Management

Quantity SurveyingStructural

Town planning

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45%

Question: What type of work did your company engage in during the past 6 months?

Source: CESA BECS

Page 16: July - December 2011

Fee income earned by Sub-disciplines: % ShareChange in market share in the last 12 months

AgriculturalArchitecture

Mechanical building ServicesCivil

Electrical / ElectronicEnvironmental

FacilitiesGeotechnical

Industrial Process / ChemicalGIS

HydraulicsInformation Systems / Technology

MarineMechanical

MiningProject Management

Quantity SurveyingStructural

Town planning

-6% -4% -2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10%

Source: CESA BECS

Page 17: July - December 2011

Fee income earned by Top four disciplines: R mill 2000 pricesAnnual average: 2002 – 2011

Source: CESA BECS

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Structural 475 465 551 574 801 1233 1459 1263.89

1555 1871.1

Proj Mang 461 320 283 356 442 495 663 783.1 814 1316.24

Mining 2 18 41 58 178 67 105 532.22 338 428.9

Civil - right axis

1926 1745 1869 2041 2392 3234 5576 4760.46

3751 3348.7

100

300

500

700

900

1,100

1,300

1,500

1,700

1,900

500

1,500

2,500

3,500

4,500

5,500

Structural Proj Mang Mining Civil - right axis

Page 18: July - December 2011

Fee income earned by economic sectorPercentage market share June 2012 – December 2011

Income distribution per economic sector

Source: CESA BECS

Wat

er

Tran

spor

tatio

n

Ener

gy

Min

ing

/ Qua

rryi

ng

Educ

atio

n

Health

Tour

ism

/Lei

sure

Housing

Comm

ercial

Agricul

ture

/ Fo

rest

ry /

Fish

ing

Oth

er0.00%

5.00%

10.00%

15.00%

20.00%

25.00%

30.00%

35.00%

40.00%

Jun-10 Dec-10 Jun-11 Dec-11

Page 19: July - December 2011

Fee earnings by selected sectorSmoothed |2 survey average

DEC06 JUN07 DEC07 JUN08 DEC08 JUN09 DEC09 JUN10 DEC10 JUN11 DEC110

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

WaterTransportationEnergyHousingCommercialWater

Transportation

Commercial

Housing

Energy

Source: CESA BECS

Page 20: July - December 2011

Fee earnings by sectorRm Constant prices

JUN07 DEC07 JUN08 DEC08 JUN09 DEC09 JUN10 DEC10 JUN11 DEC110

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

OtherAgriculture / Forestry / FishingCommercialHousingTourism/LeisureHealthEducationMining / QuarryingEnergyTransportationWater

Source: CESA BECS

Page 21: July - December 2011

Fee income earned by key economic sectorsJune 2005 – June 2011

Jun-

05

Jan-

06

Aug-

06

Mar

-07

Oct-0

7

May

-08

Dec-0

8

Jul-0

9

Feb-

10

Sep-

10

Apr-1

1

Nov-1

10

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

Housing

Jun-

05

Jan-

06

Aug-

06

Mar

-07

Oct-0

7

May

-08

Dec-0

8

Jul-0

9

Feb-

10

Sep-

10

Apr-1

1

Nov-1

10

200400600800

1,0001,2001,4001,6001,8002,000

Water

Jun-

05

Feb-

06

Oct-0

6

Jun-

07

Feb-

08

Oct-0

8

Jun-

09

Feb-

10

Oct-1

0

Jun-

110

5001,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,0004,500

Transportation

Jun-

05

Jan-

06

Aug-

06

Mar

-07

Oct-0

7

May

-08

Dec-0

8

Jul-0

9

Feb-

10

Sep-

10

Apr-1

1

Nov-1

10

200400600800

1,0001,2001,4001,600

Energy

Jun-

05

Feb-

06

Oct-0

6

Jun-

07

Feb-

08

Oct-0

8

Jun-

09

Feb-

10

Oct-1

0

Jun-

110

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

Commercial

Jun-

05

Jan-

06

Aug-

06

Mar

-07

Oct-0

7

May

-08

Dec-0

8

Jul-0

9

Feb-

10

Sep-

10

Apr-1

1

Nov-1

10

50

100

150

200

250

300

Health

Source: CESA BECS

Page 22: July - December 2011

E-Cape W-Cape N-Cape F State N-W Lim Gaut Mpu Kwaz Africa Int'l E-Cape W-Cape N-Cape F State N-W Lim Gaut Mpu Kwaz Africa Int'l

% Share 5.7 17.4 2.2 3.6 1.4 3.1 38.2 4.6 11 11.1 1.7

Change last 12 months -2.2 1.3 -0.3 -1.3 -1.1 0.800000000000001

3.5 0.9 -1.2 0.199999999999999

-0.6

2.50

7.50

12.50

17.50

22.50

27.50

32.50

37.50

42.50

-3

-2

-1

1

2

3

4

% Share Change last 12 months

% Sh

are (b

ar)Provincial Market Share: June 2011Vs change in market share from December 2010

GA

IN

mark

et

sh

are

Income distribution per province

Source: CESA BECS

Page 23: July - December 2011

Fee income earned by provinceHigh Capacity economies |Annualised smoothed

Income distribution per province

Dec-9

8

Jun-9

9

Dec-9

9

Jun-0

0

Dec-0

0

Jun-0

1

Dec-0

1

Jun-0

2

Dec-0

2

Jun-0

3

Dec-0

3

Jun-0

4

Dec-0

4

Jun-0

5

Dec-0

5

Jun-0

6

Dec-0

6

Jun-0

7

Dec-0

7

Jun-0

8

Dec-0

8

Jun-0

9

Dec-0

9

Jun-1

0

Dec-1

0

Jun-1

1

Dec-1

1

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

Eastern Cape Western Cape Gauteng Kwazulu Natal

Source: CESA BECS

Page 24: July - December 2011

Fee income earned (Constant 2000 prices)High Capacity vs lower capacity provincial economies |Smoothed

Income distribution per province

Dec-9

8

Jun-9

9

Dec-9

9

Jun-0

0

Dec-0

0

Jun-0

1

Dec-0

1

Jun-0

2

Dec-0

2

Jun-0

3

Dec-0

3

Jun-0

4

Dec-0

4

Jun-0

5

Dec-0

5

Jun-0

6

Dec-0

6

Jun-0

7

Dec-0

7

Jun-0

8

Dec-0

8

Jun-0

9

Dec-0

9

Jun-1

0

Dec-1

0

Jun-1

1

Dec-1

1

0.00

50.00

100.00

150.00

200.00

250.00

300.00

High Capacity Lower CapacityIndex Dec-98=100

83% of fees were earned in high capacity provinces

Source: CESA BECS

Page 25: July - December 2011

Fee income earned : RSA vs EX-RSAR mill, 2000 prices | Annualised, smoothed

Income distribution per province

Dec-9

8

Jun-

99

Dec-9

9

Jun-

00

Dec-0

0

Jun-

01

Dec-0

1

Jun-

02

Dec-0

2

Jun-

03

Dec-0

3

Jun-

04

Dec-0

4

Jun-

05

Dec-0

5

Jun-

06

Dec-0

6

Jun-

07

Dec-0

7

Jun-

08

Dec-0

8

Jun-

09

Dec-0

9

Jun-

10

Dec-1

0

Jun-

11

Dec-1

10

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000

Ex-RSA - left axis RSA - right axis

87% of fees were earned in South Africa

Source: CESA BECS

Page 26: July - December 2011

Fee income earned by type of client% Share – July – December 2011

Local (SA) Income distribution per fee paying client type, during the past 6 months

Central5%

Provincial8%

Local26%

Parastatals14%

Private47%

Source: CESA BECS

Page 27: July - December 2011

Fee income earned by type of client% Share

Local (SA) Income distribution per fee paying client type, during the past 6 months

Central Provincial Local Parastatals Private

Dec-08 7 17.7 27.9 10.4 37

Jun-09 6.4 10.7 23 9.8 50.2

Dec-09 15.7 9.9 27.4 12.8 34.2

Jun-10 16.37 13.91 20.42 12.69 36.61

Dec-10 14.8 12 18.14 11.7 43.4

Jun-11 13.6 11.8 19.8 12.1 42.7

Dec-11 5.3 7.5 26 14.3 46.9

5.0

15.0

25.0

35.0

45.0

55.0

Dec-08 Jun-09 Dec-09 Jun-10 Dec-10 Jun-11 Dec-11

Source: CESA BECS

Page 28: July - December 2011

Fee income earned by type of clientR mill 2000 prices | Annualised, smoothed - avg over 2 survey periods

Local (SA) Income distribution per fee paying client type, during the past 6 months

Jun-01

Dec-01

Jun-02

Dec-02

Jun-03

Dec-03

Jun-04

Dec-04

Jun-05

Dec-05

Jun-06

Dec-06

Jun-07

Dec-07

Jun-08

Dec-08

Jun-09

Dec-09

Jun-10

Dec-10

Jun-11

Dec-11

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

5,000

Central Provincial Local Parastatals Private

Source: CESA BECS

Page 29: July - December 2011

Fee income earned by type of clientConstant 2000 prices | Annualised, smoothed - average over 2 survey periods

Local (SA) Income distribution per fee paying client type, during the past 6 months

Jun-

01

Dec-0

1

Jun-

02

Dec-0

2

Jun-

03

Dec-0

3

Jun-

04

Dec-0

4

Jun-

05

Dec-0

5

Jun-

06

Dec-0

6

Jun-

07

Dec-0

7

Jun-

08

Dec-0

8

Jun-

09

Dec-0

9

Jun-

10

Dec-1

0

Jun-

11

Dec-1

10

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

Public Private

Source: CESA BECS

Page 30: July - December 2011

Competition in tendering

During July – December 2011 competition for work was (Tick selection)

DEC06 JUN07 DEC07 JUN08 DEC08 JUN09 DEC09 JUN10 DEC10 JUN11 DEC110.00%

10.00%

20.00%

30.00%

40.00%

50.00%

60.00%

70.00%

80.00%

Very Low Low Keen Very Keen Fierce

Source: CESA BECS

Page 31: July - December 2011

Competition in tendering

During July – December 2011 competition for work was (Tick selection)

Jun-00

Dec-00

01-Jun

01-Dec

02-Jun

02-Dec

03-Jun

03-Dec

04-Jun

04-Dec

05-Jun

05-Dec

06-Jun

06-Dec

07-Jun

07-Dec

08-Jun

08-Dec

09-Jun

09-Dec

10-Jun

01-Dec

2

Jun-11

Dec-11

% 0.999

0.999

0.975

0.989

0.98

0.993

0.99

0.982

0.991

0.978

0.987

0.971

0.995

0.991

0.976

0.969

0.986

1 0.993

0.999

0.913

0.998

0.948

0.996

87.0%

89.0%

91.0%

93.0%

95.0%

97.0%

99.0%

101.0%

Source: CESA BECS

Page 32: July - December 2011

% of Firms wanting to increase staff

New June 2005 survey

Eng O Tech Technologist Technicians Support staff

Dec'07 94.52 52.1 90.58 89.44 28.67

Jun'08 67.4 40.6 67.1 43 18.5

Dec'08 33.2 2.5 11.3 9.3 2.3

Jun'09 26.4 3.8 12.8 12.5 1.9

Dec'09 26.1 14.9 73.6 25.5 14

Jun'10 16.6 11.9 11.9 1.7 0.4

Dec'10 81.5 10.07 18.3 18.34 5.8

Jun'11 66 8.3 51.8 52.75 6.6

Dec'11 74 4.8 36 22 6.9

5.015.025.035.045.055.065.075.085.095.0

Source: CESA BECS

Page 33: July - December 2011

Engineering Skills Shortfall

Dec-9

7

Jun-

98

01-D

ec

01-Ju

n

01-D

ec2

Jun-

00

Dec-0

0

01-Ju

n2

01-D

ec3

02-Ju

n

02-D

ec

03-Ju

n

03-D

ec

04-Ju

n

04-D

ec

05-Ju

n

05-D

ec

06-Ju

n

06-D

ec

07-Ju

n

07-D

ec

08-Ju

n

08-D

ec

09-Ju

n

09-D

ec

10-Ju

n

10-D

ec

Jun-

11

Dec-1

10.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

120.0

% Wanting to increase engineers% of firms experiencing difficulties in recruiting engineers

Source: CESA BECS

Page 34: July - December 2011

Recruitment problems

Eng O Tech Technolo-gist

Technicians Other PDI Eng PDI Tech PDI Techno

Dec'08 97.81 51.6 63.48 57.64 6.2 98.08 57.76 97.66

Jun'09 95.9 41.15 84.3 70.6 1.6 97.3 82.6 91.7

Dec'09 83.1 33.7 79.9 34.3 0.08 98.4 35.3 95.3

Jun'10 52.7 15.6 41.2 28.8 42.9 60.9 27.8 60.5

Dec'10 86.7 17 25 10 0.4 98 48 35

Jun'11 62.4 56 27.5 31.5 10.8 83 79 68.8

10.0

30.0

50.0

70.0

90.0

110.0

Source: CESA BECS

Changes in Dec’11 questionnaire to split recruitment problems by male / female. Comparisons to previous surveys no longer availalbe

Page 35: July - December 2011

Recruitment problems by genderNew addition December 2011 survey

PDEng_ma

le

PDTech-

nolo-gist_male

Eng_male

Technolo-gist_male

PDTechni-cians_mal

e

Technicians_male

PDTech-

nolo-gist_femal

e

OTech_ma

le

PDEng_female

Eng_femal

e

PDTechni-cians_female

Technolo-gist_femal

e

Technicians_female

Sup_male

OTech_.female

Sup_femal

e

% dif-fi-culty

0.933005162684597

0.88317925321167

0.86348901428743

0.705967102893505

0.266418537639573

0.198583263296914

0.129787489494537

0.106015127866491

0.093408572457678

0.078280705967102

9

0.055228718933845

6

0.046584223796374

1

0.034577980549886

0.029535358386360

9

0.021851362708608

5

0.009244807299795

89

5.00%

15.00%

25.00%

35.00%

45.00%

55.00%

65.00%

75.00%

85.00%

95.00%

Source: CESA BECS

Page 36: July - December 2011

Bursaries% of Salary / Wage bill

Dec-9

6

01-Ju

n

01-Ju

n2

Jun-

00

01-Ju

n3

02-Ju

n

03-Ju

n

04-Ju

n

05-Ju

n

06-Ju

n

07-Ju

n

08-Ju

n

09-Ju

n

10-Ju

n

Jun-

110.0%

0.2%

0.4%

0.6%

0.8%

1.0%

1.2%

Source: CESA BECS

Page 37: July - December 2011

BursariesR mill 2000 prices (Annualised)

Dec-9

6

01-Ju

n

01-Ju

n2

Jun-

00

01-Ju

n3

02-Ju

n

03-Ju

n

04-Ju

n

05-Ju

n

06-Ju

n

07-Ju

n

08-Ju

n

09-Ju

n

10-Ju

n

Jun-

110.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

80.0

90.0

Source: CESA BECS

Page 38: July - December 2011

Training (Salaries and Direct Training Costs) % of Payroll

Jun'05 Dec'05 Jun'06 Dec'06 Jun'07 Dec'07 Jun'08 Dec'08 Jun'09 Dec'09 Jun'10 Dec'10 Jun'11 Dec'110.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

40.0%

Dat

a no

t ava

ilab

le

Dat

a no

t ava

ilab

leSource: CESA BECS

Page 39: July - December 2011

Training (Salaries and Direct Training Costs) Rand millions, Constant 2000 prices

Jun'05Dec'05 Jun'06Dec'06 Jun'07Dec'07 Jun'08Dec'08 Jun'09Dec'09 Jun'10Dec'10 Jun'11Dec'110.0

500.0

1000.0

1500.0

2000.0

2500.0

3000.0

3500.0

4000.0

Dat

a no

t ava

ilab

le

Dat

a no

t ava

ilab

le

Source: CESA BECS

Page 40: July - December 2011

Training (Direct costs)% of Payroll

Dec-9

7

Dec-9

8

Dec-9

9

Dec-0

0

Dec-0

1

Dec-0

2

Dec-0

3

Dec-0

4

Dec-0

5

Dec-0

6

Dec-0

7

Dec-0

8

Dec-0

9

Dec-1

0

Dec-1

10.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

2.5%

3.0%

3.5%

Source: CESA BECS

Page 41: July - December 2011

Training (Direct costs)Rand millions, Constant 2000 prices

Dec-9

7

Dec-9

8

Dec-9

9

Dec-0

0

Dec-0

1

Dec-0

2

Dec-0

3

Dec-0

4

Dec-0

5

Dec-0

6

Dec-0

7

Dec-0

8

Dec-0

9

Dec-1

0

Dec-1

10.0

50.0

100.0

150.0

200.0

250.0

Source: CESA BECS

Page 42: July - December 2011

0.00

0.10

0.20

0.30

0.40

0.50

0.60

0.70

0.80

0.90

1.00

Jun-

98

Jan-

99

Jun-

99

Dec

-99

Jun-

00

Dec

-00

Jun-

01

Dec

-01

Jun-

02

Dec

-02

Jun-

03

Dec

-03

Jun-

04

Dec

-04

Jun-

05

Dec

-05

Jun-

06

Dec

-06

Jun-

07

Dec

-07

Jun-

08

Dec

-08

Jun-

09

Dec

-09

Jun-

10

Dec

-10

Jun-

11

Dec

-11

Uti

lisa

tio

n

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

Net

% c

han

ge

exp

ecti

ng

in

crea

se

Net % Change Utilisation

Industry Capacity UtilisationOf existing technical staff

Source: CESA BECS

Page 43: July - December 2011

Fee income outstanding for longer than 90 daysDecember 2011

Source: CESA BECS

Page 44: July - December 2011

Total fee income outstanding for longer than 90 days% of total fee income earned Including foreign clients

Dec-99

Jun-00

Dec-00

Jun-01

Dec-01

Jun-02

Dec-02

Jun-03

Dec-03

Jun-04

Dec-04

Jun-05

Dec-05

Jun-06

Dec-06

Jun-07

Dec-07

Jun-08

Dec-08

Jun-09

Dec-09

Jun-10

Dec-10

Jun-11

Dec-11

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Sur-

vey

am

ended

to

in-

clude

for-

eig

n

clie

nts

Source: CESA BECS

Page 45: July - December 2011

Escalation trendsYear-on-Year % Change

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

An

nu

al C

han

ge,

%

% 8.7 6.9 5.8 5.3 5.7 9.2 5.9 1.4 3.4 4.6 6.6 11.6 7.13 4.3 5 6.2 5.3 5.1 5.9

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Based on headline consumer inflation

(CPI)Forecasts Industry

Insight Economist Poll

CPI B

ask

et

Revis

ed

in January

2

00

9Source: CESA BECS

Page 46: July - December 2011

Consulting Engineering ProfessionLabour unit cost indicator: Year-on-Year % Change (Smoothed)

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

LUC 15.2% 11.4% 22.5%21.8% 9.2% -1.9% 3.7% 15.0% 8.0% 2.9% 4.3% 14.3% 21.5% 11.3% 5.3% 7.2% 9.5% 10.6% 9.1% 10.2% 17.8% 25.5%20.6%10.7% 4.3% 7.8% 8.5% 1.50%

J un-98

Dec-98

J un-99

Dec-99

J un-00

Dec-00

J un-01

Dec-01

J un-02

Dec-02

J un-03

Dec-03

J un-04

Dec-04

J un-05

Dec-05

J un-06

Dec-06

J un-07

Dec-07

J un-08

Dec-08

J un-09

Dec-09

J un-10

Dec-10

J un-11

Dec-11

Source: CESA BECS

Page 47: July - December 2011

Consulting Engineering ProfessionLabour unit cost indicator: Annual Average Y-Y Chg

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

LUC 22.2% 3.7% 9.4% 5.4% 9.3% 16.3% 6.30% 10% 9.65% 21.67% 15.64% 4.30% 7.80% 8.50% 1.50%

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Jun-10 Dec-10 Jun-11 Dec-11

Source: CESA BECS

Page 48: July - December 2011

Typical Employment BreakdownJuly – December 2011

Professional Engineer Pr.Eng

Professional Architects

Professional Quantity Surveyors

Professional Other

Technologists Pr TEchENg

Technicians PrTechni

Unregistered technical staff: Engineer

Unregistered technical staff: Technologist

Unregistered technical staff: Technician

Unregistered technical staff: Other

Technical Assistants

Draughtspersons

Laboratory / Survey Assistants

Administration / Support staff

Total

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Black Coloured Asian White

Source: CESA BECS

Page 49: July - December 2011

Typical Employment profile: December 2011

Total employment 19 618

Source: CESA BECS

Page 50: July - December 2011

Dec-04

Jun-05

Dec-05

Jun-06

Dec-06

Dec-07

Jun-08

Dec-08

Jun-09

Dec-09

Jun-10

Dec-10

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Black Coloured Asian White

Overall Employment Breakdown, by raceJune 2004 – December 2011

Source: CESA BECS

Page 51: July - December 2011

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%D

ec

-99

Ju

n-0

0

De

c-0

0

Ju

n-0

1

De

c-0

1

Ju

n-0

2

De

c-0

2

Ju

n-0

3

De

c-0

3

Ju

n-0

4

De

c-0

4

Ju

n-0

5

De

c-0

5

Ju

n-0

6

De

c-0

6

Ju

n-0

7

De

c-0

7

Ju

n-0

8

De

c-0

8

Ju

n-0

9

De

c-0

9

Ju

n-1

0

De

c-1

0

Ju

n-1

1

De

c-1

1

%Employment profile: Black only (excluding Asian / Coloureds) representation of total employment % Share of total employment

Source: CESA BECS

Page 52: July - December 2011

Professional Indemnity InsuranceRisk profile

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

%

J un-09 71.4% 28.6% 0.0%

Dec-09 75.0% 17.5% 7.5%

Dec-10 66.7% 33.3% 0.0%

Jun-11 60.0% 37.8% 2.2%

Dec-11 78.16% 18.39% 3.45%

Low Medium High

Source: CESA BECS

Page 53: July - December 2011

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%J

UN

06

DE

C0

6

JU

N0

7

DE

C0

7

JU

N0

8

DE

C0

8

JU

N0

9

DE

C0

9

JU

N1

0

DE

C1

0

JU

N1

1

DE

C1

1

%

Pty Ltd CC Partnership

Equity Distribution by firm type

Source: CESA BECS

Page 54: July - December 2011

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

JU

N0

6

DE

C0

6

JU

N0

7

DE

C0

7

JU

N0

8

DE

C0

8

JU

N0

9

DE

C0

9

JU

N1

0

DE

C1

0

JU

N1

1

DE

C1

1

Ownership / Equity: % Share of total employmentPTY, CC & Partnerships

Source: CESA BECS

Page 55: July - December 2011

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

JU

N0

6

DE

C0

6

JU

N0

7

DE

C0

7

JU

N0

8

DE

C0

8

JU

N0

9

DE

C0

9

JU

N1

0

DE

C1

0

JU

N1

1

DE

C1

1

Bla

ck

eq

uit

y a

s %

of

tota

l Eq

uit

y

Black equity as % of total equity 2 per. Mov. Avg. (Black equity as % of total equity)

Black Ownership / Equity: % Share of total ownership / equityPTY, CC & Partnerships

Black, including Asian & ColouredSource: CESA BECS

Page 56: July - December 2011

DEC07 DEC08 DEC09 DEC10 JUN11 DEC110.00%

1.00%

2.00%

3.00%

4.00%

5.00%

6.00%

7.00%

8.00%

9.00%

10.00%

WomenBlack women

Black including Coloured & Asian

Women contribution to ownership and equity% of total ownership / equity (PTY, CC and Partnerships)

Source: CESA BECS

Page 57: July - December 2011

0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 100.0%

Pty_exec

Pty_nonexec

Member of CC

Partner

%

Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Jun-11 Dec-11

Dec-11 20.80% 85.70% 36.50% 14.30%

Jun-11 15.3% 55.2% 37.0% 22.2%

Dec-10 15.2% 35.9% 45.5% 12.5%

Dec-09 19.6% 88.9% 51.8% 0.0%

Dec-08 13.5% 81.5% 36.8% 0.0%

Pty_exec Pty_nonexec Member of CC Partner

Black ownership / equity as % of total ownership / equity by type of companyDecember 2008 – December 2011

Black includes Asian and Coloureds

Source: CESA BECS

Page 58: July - December 2011

0.0%

20.0%

40.0%

60.0%

80.0%

100.0%

120.0%

%

J un-08 100.0% 72.7% 94.4% 75.0% 84.0%

Dec-08 100.0% 93.0% 100.0% 75.0% 84.0%

Jun-09 100.0% 93.3% 100.0% 75.0% 93.0%

Dec-09 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

Dec-10 100.0% 93.0% 100.0% 100.0% 97.4%

Jun-11 92.0% 100.0% 100.0% 87.0% 95.0%

Dec-11 100.00% 93.10% 92.00% 77.30% 89.90%

Large Medium Small Micro Total

Quality Management System

Source: CESA BECS

Page 59: July - December 2011

0.0%

20.0%

40.0%

60.0%

80.0%

100.0%

%

J un-08 81.8% 36.0% 11.0% 0.0% 30.1%

Dec-08 87.5% 46.7% 20.0% 0.0% 42.0%

Jun-09 90.0% 20.0% 20.0% 12.5% 34.8%

Dec-09 90.9% 42.1% 14.3% 16.7% 45.2%

Dec-10 92.3% 25.0% 0.0% 20.0% 45.0%

Jun-11 53.8% 55.6% 57.1% 12.5% 47.8%

Dec-11 84.60% 37.90% 29.20% 9.10% 35.20%

Large Medium Small Micro Total

ISO 9001:2008 Certificate

Source: CESA BECS

Page 60: July - December 2011

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